Monday 10/12/15 service plays chatter/comps/requests & other stuff...

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Post your request, Comments or concerns here.
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Euro Championships TODAY 19:45
LithuaniavEngland
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HOMEDRAWAWAY
ITV1044/11More markets
RECENT FORMLAST HEAD-TO-HEADSIN LITHUANIARECENT FORM
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KEY STAT: England have won all nine of their Euro 2016 qualifiers

EXPERT VERDICT: England have been slow starters in a number of European Championship qualifiers and it could be more of the same away to Lithuania. England have been level at the break in four of their nine matches before winning, including away to Estonia and Switzerland and that looks the best bet again.

RECOMMENDATION: Draw-England double result
2


 

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Euro Championships Tu 13Oct 19:45
WalesvAndorra
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HOMEDRAWAWAY
SS11/331250More markets
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RECENT FORMLAST HEAD-TO-HEADSIN WALESRECENT FORM
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KEY STAT: Wales have scored two goals or fewer in 40 of their last 41 competitive matches

EXPERT VERDICT: Wales are celebrating Euro 2016 qualification and a party atmosphere is in store when they host Group B basement boys Andorra. A win might be enough to lift them above group leaders Belgium but Chris Coleman’s side are unlikely to be fully focused and that should help the Andorrans in their efforts to keep the score down.

RECOMMENDATION: Wales to win 2-0
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Monday, Oct. 12

Pittsburgh at San Diego:

Backup Michael Vick leads the Steelers onto another primetime stage after doing his part in giving his team a chance to bury Baltimore last Thursday night. Kicker Josh Scobee, the main culprit in the defeat, has been replaced, but the Steelers had issues on both sides of the ball in falling short in OT. They will get WR Martavis Bryant back from suspension to give Vick yet another weapon, while LB Ryan Shazier could also return from a shoulder injury. The Chargers will have future Hall-of-Fame tight end Antonio Gates back for Rivers to throw to and should have a healthier offensive line in play since the situation there has nowhere to go but up.
 
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NFL TRENDS

Monday, October 12

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PITTSBURGH (2 - 2) at SAN DIEGO (2 - 2) - 10/12/2015, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 70-48 ATS (+17.2 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
PITTSBURGH is 53-32 ATS (+17.8 Units) in October games since 1992.
PITTSBURGH is 62-36 ATS (+22.4 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
 
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NFL TRENDS

Monday - Oct, 12

Pittsburgh at San Diego, 8:30 ET
Pittsburgh: 70-48 ATS as an underdog
San Diego: 17-33 ATS at home after allowing 6 or more yards/play in previous game
 
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NFL TRENDS

Monday, October 12

8:30 PM
PITTSBURGH vs. SAN DIEGO
Pittsburgh is 6-1-2 ATS in its last 9 games
Pittsburgh is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
San Diego is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Diego's last 7 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh
 
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Game 475-476
October 12, 2015 @ 8:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Pittsburgh
134.600
San Diego
132.210
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Pittsburgh
by 2 1/2
49
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Diego
by 3
45 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Pittsburgh
(+3); Over
 
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RANDLE THE HANDLE

Steelers (2-2) at Chargers (2-2)
LINE: SAN DIEGO by 3
While the Chargers have issues on their offensive line, the Steelers are saddled with QB Michael Vick. Never much of a passer even in his prime, his throwing ability has become noticeably worse. There is little zip and hardly a spiral on the veteran QB's passes. Defenders can give Pittsburgh's speedy receivers plenty of room knowing Vick's limitations. Now 35 years old, Vick averaged just five yards per completion in his start against Baltimore to go along with four sacks. San Diego will welcome back from suspension TE Antonio Gates for this one, giving QB Philip Rivers another option in an already potent passing attack. Under Mike Tomlin's guidance, the Steelers have never won a game in California. It's unlikely that streak gets broken here.
TAKING: CHARGERS -3
 
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G Orlando Franklin, WR Stevie Johnson, CB Craig Mager and LB Tourek Williams have been ruled out by Chargers for Monday night's game vs. Steelers. LT King Dunlap did not practice all week due to a concussion and is listed as doubtful.
 
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Preview: Pittsburgh at San Diego

When: 8:30 PM ET, Monday, October 12, 2015
Where: Qualcomm Stadium, San Diego, California

The Pittsburgh Steelers will be counting on their second game without injured quarterback Ben Roethlisberger to go better than the first when they travel across country to visit the San Diego Chargers on Monday night. The Steelers couldn't hold a 13-point fourth-quarter lead at home en route to a 23-20 overtime loss to bitter division rival Baltimore.

Backup Michael Vick threw for only 124 yards in place of Roethlisberger but expects to be sharper with more time to grasp the team's offense. "It is a great offense, but it takes some work and time to learn. I am piecing it together every day like a puzzle," Vick said. The Chargers have no such concerns at quarterback - Philip Rivers leads the league with 1,248 yards and gets back one of his favorite targets in tight end Antonio Gates, who returns from a four-game suspension. Rivers threw for 358 yards and three touchdowns last week as San Diego averted a third straight loss with a last-second victory at Cleveland.

TV: 8:30 p.m. ET, ESPN. LINE: Chargers -3. O/U: 45.5

ABOUT THE CHARGERS (2-2): Gates needs one scoring pass to join Tony Gonzalez (111) as the only tight ends with 100 in their career and his return comes at an opportune time for San Diego, which saw wide receivers Stevie Johnson (hamstring) and Malcom Floyd (concussion) hurt in last week's victory. Injuries are also wreaking havoc on the offensive line, one of the reasons first-round draft pick Melvin Gordon is off to a slow start in his rookie campaign, failing to surpass 51 yards in three of his four games. The Chargers have been generous against the run, yielding 126.8 yards per game.

ABOUT THE STEELERS (2-2): One player most impacted Roethlisberger's absence was star wideout Antonio Brown, who led the league in passing yards last season but saw his NFL record streak of 35 consecutive games with at least five catches and 50 yards come to an end. Speedster Martavis Bryant, who had eight TD receptions last season, also returns from a four-game suspension while running back Le'Veon Bell will continue to be the focal point of the offense after rushing for 129 yards last week and catching seven passes for the second straight game. Pittsburgh has been stingy on defense, allowing 18.8 points.

EXTRA POINTS

1. The Steelers signed K Chris Boswell to replace Josh Scobee, who missed a pair of field goals last week.

2. Rivers needs two TD passes to move past Dave Krieg (261) for 13th place on the all-time list.

3. Bell has scored 10 touchdowns and averaged 160.5 yards from scrimmage in his last eight games.

PREDICTION: Steelers 25, Chargers 24
 
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CFL Betting Notes - Week 16
By David Schwab

Week 16 of the CFL regular season features a unique five-game schedule starting this Tuesday night with the Ottawa RedBlacks on the road against Toronto. Looking back at last week’s results, the RedBlacks got things started with a 39-17 victory against Montreal last Thursday as three-point home favorites.

Calgary tightened its grip on another West Division title with a key 23-20 win over Hamilton on Friday to cover as a two-point road favorite. Saturday’s CFL action saw Edmonton sneak past Winnipeg 24-23 as a 6 ½-point road favorite while British Columbia closed things out with a 46-20 romp over Saskatchewan as a three-point favorite at home.

Monday, Oct. 12

Toronto Argonauts (7-5 SU, 6-6 ATS) vs. Montreal Alouettes (5-8 SU, 6-6-1 ATS)
Point-spread: OFF
Total: OFF
Game Overview

Toronto will be back in action on Monday to close things out in Week 16. The Argonauts have been able to average a respectable 26 points through their first 12 games of the season, but they have their issues keeping opposing teams out of the end zone behind a defense that is allowing an average of 29 points a game.

The Alouettes are two and a half games in back of Toronto for the third playoff spot in the East, but they are still in good position to make it into the CFL postseason as a crossover team. Montreal has not been nearly as productive on offense with 21.7 points a game, but its defense remains one of the stingiest units in the league with the same scoring average when it comes to points allowed.

Betting Trends

Montreal has the clear edge in this division rivalry for the past several years with a SU 18-7 record in the last 25 meetings and a 17-8 record ATS. The total has stayed UNDER in 11 of the last 12 meetings.
 
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MNF - Steelers at Chargers
By Kevin Rogers

The Steelers and Chargers close out Week 5 of the NFL card as both teams have started at 2-2, but each club has taken a different path to a similar record. Pittsburgh plays with at least 10 days of rest for the second time this season, losing both Thursday games at New England and Baltimore, but winning both Sunday contests against San Francisco and St. Louis. Now, the Steelers venture to the West Coast for the first time this season, looking to erase the bitter taste of last Thursday’s overtime loss to their hated rival.

Playing without star quarterback Ben Roethlisberger following his knee injury in Week 3, the Steelers turned to veteran Mike Vick to keep the train on the tracks for the next month until Big Ben returns. However, Pittsburgh couldn’t hold onto a 20-7 lead against rival Baltimore in Week 3, eventually losing in overtime, 23-20. What hurt even more than the loss to the dreaded Ravens was how they lost, missing two field goals in the fourth quarter, while failing to convert a pair of fourth downs in Baltimore territory in overtime.

The passing game of Pittsburgh took a hit with Roethlisberger out, as Vick threw for only 124 yards, while top receiver Antonio Brown was held to below 100 yards for the first time this season by racking up just 42 yards. Le’Veon Bell broke the 100-yards mark for the first time since his two-game suspension, rushing for 129 yards and a touchdown, but didn’t have critical carries in overtime as the Steelers fell to 0-2 in primetime games this season.

The Chargers haven’t been razor-sharp yet in any of their four games, losing at Cincinnati and Minnesota on the road, while holding off the Lions and Browns in two home victories. In last Sunday’s narrow 30-27 win over Cleveland, Mike McCoy’s club put up at least 400 yards at home for the second time this season, but needed a 34-yard field goal from Josh Lambo in the final seconds. San Diego failed to cover for the third straight week, while needing to rally from a 21-3 deficit in the season opener against Detroit to cash as three-point favorites in a 33-28 triumph.

San Diego and Pittsburgh are hooking up for the first time since 2012, as the Lightning Bolts escaped Heinz Field with a 34-24 victory as seven-point road underdogs. The Chargers built a 34-10 advantage before a couple of mop-up touchdowns by the Steelers made the final score more respectable. Philip Rivers tossed three touchdown passes in the win to snap a three-game losing streak to Pittsburgh that dated back to 2008. Pittsburgh is making its first trip to Qualcomm Stadium since 2006 (also a night game) as the Steelers lost 23-13 as 3 ½-point underdogs.

From a totals standpoint, the Chargers haven’t had a problem scoring at home, finishing ‘over’ the total in both contests at Qualcomm Stadium. The Steelers have played to a pair of ‘unders’ away from Heinz Field, which includes a 12-6 victory at St. Louis in Week 3, the game in which Roethlisberger suffered a knee injury. Since the start of 2014, Pittsburgh is 7-3 to the ‘under’ on the highway, while making its first trip to the West Coast since 2013 in a 21-18 loss at Oakland (which went ‘under’ 40).

Joe Nelson says on the defensive side, the Steelers have had their issues, "There were grave concerns about the Pittsburgh defense, particularly against the pass, heading into the season with the loss of Dick LeBeau and a lot of youth on the roster. Pittsburgh has allowed nearly 70 percent completions this season but they also have 14 sacks and overall the numbers on defense have been close to league average in many areas.”

Taking a look at the home team, Nelson says the Chargers haven’t exactly beaten stellar competition in spite of putting up big numbers, “San Diego is 2-2 with a -14 point differential on the season as the wins came at home by just five and three points respectively against teams that are now a combined 1-7. San Diego is third in the NFL in total offense with 411 yards per game with over three-fourths of that yardage coming in the passing game behind Philip Rivers. Rivers has prolific numbers this season with the most passing yards in the league, but he has been sacked 12 times and has four interceptions, two of which have been returned for touchdowns. More critically, the San Diego defense is last in the NFL through four weeks allowing 4.9 yards per rush on defense. While San Diego has allowed only 225 passing yards per game, the Chargers have surrendered 7.7 yards per attempt which is ninth-worst in the league despite a schedule that has not exactly featured the cream of the crop in opposing quarterbacks.”

The Steelers are playing under the lights for the third time this season but for the first time on Monday night, as Mike Tomlin’s squad won twice in two opportunities in 2014 in Monday action. Pittsburgh rallied past Houston at home and held off Tennessee on the highway, as the Steelers own a 4-2 SU and 3-3 ATS record under Tomlin on Mondays. The Chargers are hosting their first Monday night contest since beating the Colts in 2013, as San Diego fell short on the road at Arizona to kick off the 2014 season in an 18-17 loss as three-point underdogs.

The Chargers are listed as 3 ½-point home favorites at most books, while creeping up to four at several spots. The total is set between 45 ½ and 46, as San Diego is 4-2 to the ‘under’ in its last six at home with a total of 46 or fewer. The game kicks off at 8:25 PM EST and can be seen nationally on ESPN.
 
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Total Talk - Week 5
By Chris David

Week 4 Recap

Scoreboard operators were given a bit of a break in Week 4 as only four of the 30 teams in action managed to score 30 or more points. Games with those teams all went ‘over’ the number but outside of those results, it was a week for ‘under’ bettors. All three of the primetime games went to the low-scoring side which helped the ‘under’ produced a 10-5 weekend. After four weeks, bettors have seen totals produce a stalemate (31-31-1) through 63 games.

Under the Lights

After watching the ‘over’ dominate the primetime games last season with a 33-17 (66%) mark, bettors have seen the pendulum swing back in 2015. It’s still early but the ‘under’ has gone 9-5 through the first 14 games and outside of the Chiefs-Packers result, we haven’t had many shootouts. Even this past Thursday’s game between the Colts and Texans was helped with a Hail Mary TD before halftime. For those who had the ‘under’ in that game, accept our apologies.

Pittsburgh at San Diego: It’s very hard to handicap the Steelers without Big Ben at QB and I’d be hesitant to back the side or total in this game. These teams haven’t met since 2012 but the last three meetings have seen the ‘over’ cash with combined scores of 58, 56 and 59 points. This game does fit into the “Thursday Night” total system since the Steelers hosted the Ravens in last week’s midweek matchup. If you go with the angle, good luck!
 
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'Monday Night Football'

San Diego Chargers and Pittsburgh Steelers get it on at Qualcomm Stadium Monday night. Chargers off a 30-27 home win against Cleveland welcome back Antonio Gates after a four-game suspension giving QB Philip Rivers another option to what is already a potent passing attack. Meanwhile, Steelers off a 23-20 OT loss to Baltimore hope for better results with a full week to prepare Michael Vick as a starter and the return of Martavis Bryant back from his four-game suspension.

Chargers 5-2 ATS at home under Monday Night Light's, 4-1 ATS after beating Browns, QB Rivers off a three TD performance, no interceptions plus the absence of Roethlisberger and Steelers under Mike Tomlin being 0-3 SU/ATS in the Pacific Time Zone, just 2-7 SU/ATS the past nine on the West Coast sportsbooks have Chargers 3 to 4 point home favorites depending on locale.
 
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Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Woodbine

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 1 - Post: 7:25 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 75 - Purse:$8000 - FILLIES & MARES, CLAIMING HANDICAP $8,000 TO $12,000. ALLOWANCES FOR AGE. ENTER IN MULTIPLES OF $1,000.


CONSORTIUM CHOICES


Chatsworth Consortium

# 4 WHISTYS PARADISE 3/1


# 7 JENNA CASIMIR 5/2


# 8 ALOT OF SENSE 9/2


WHISTYS PARADISE sure does look ready to dominate. This mare getting the victory wouldn't be impossible, a chance. Has nice speed ratings and surely has to be considered for a wager in this contest. She has very good class ratings, averaging 80. Worth considering for a bet in this one. JENNA CASIMIR - With a 77 avg class figure, this horse has one of the most respectable class edges in the field of starters. ALOT OF SENSE - Should be considered for this one if only for the formidable TrackMaster SR earned in the most recent race. Talk about a dynamic duo, McNair and Matthews have some of the best driver-trainer markings at the track.
 
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Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Yonkers Raceway

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 10 - Post: 10:10 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 83 - Purse:$22500 - NON-WINNERS OF 6 P-M RACES OR $60,000 LIFETIME. 2,3& 4 YEAR OLD FILLIES & MARES


CONSORTIUM CHOICES


Chatsworth Consortium

# 7 HIPNUMBERONE 5/1


# 4 MYDELIGHT BLUECHIP 15/1


# 5 CHALEURS FANTASY 5/1


HIPNUMBERONE is the clear stand out wager in the eyes of the group. Has the makings of a profitable play, averaging a nifty 86 TrackMaster SR. Has a clear-cut shot for this race, if she can race to her back class. MYDELIGHT BLUECHIP - Can't overlook this race horse, especially in exotics. Pace ratings put her in the mix today. Strong driver/trainer stats make this horse a clear-cut choice. More than likely will be putting some green stuff down here. CHALEURS FANTASY - Getting a good feel about this mare. Could surprise in this event. Overall markings appear good. Can't throw out at this point.
 
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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Belmont Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 8 - Optional Claiming - 8.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $80000 Class Rating: 98

FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $10,000 TWICE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER, OR STATE BRED OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES OR OPTIONAL CLAIMING PRICE OF $62,500. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF TWO RACES OTHER THAN CLAIMING, OR STARTER AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE FEBRUARY 1 ALLOWED 2 LBS. SUCH A


RECOMMENDED CHOICES

The Walker Group Picks

# 2 CARRUMBA 4/5


# 3 NATALIE VICTORIA 8/1


# 1 GUAYANA 12/1


CARRUMBA is the strongest bet in this race. Has performed soundly recently in route races, posting a nifty 114 avg speed figure. Hard to pass on this filly with Ortiz in the saddle. Ran a very solid last race. NATALIE VICTORIA - Has performed soundly recently in route races, posting a nifty 94 avg speed rating. Will most likely go to the front end and may never look back. GUAYANA - Has very good front-end speed and ought to fare admirably versus this group of animals. Displays the look of a money-making play, averaging a solid 89 speed fig which is one of the best in this field.
 
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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Lethbridge

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 6 - Stakes - 5.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $11500 Class Rating: 86

THANKSGIVING SPRINT S. - FOR 3 YEAR OLDS & UP. BY SUBSCRIPTION OF $150 TO PASS THE ENRTY BOX. STARTERS WILL BE DETERMINED BY PREFERENCES IN STAKE BOOK.


RECOMMENDED CHOICES

The Walker Group Picks

# 5 KEEPANOSECRETS 10/1


# 2 GOT A STASH 3/1


# 1 DUBLA GOLD 9/5


KEEPANOSECRETS is the most respectable bet in this race and is a quite good value-based bet given the 10/1 line. Has been racing in the most competitive company of the group lately. Has ran strongly in dirt sprint races. Could go off at a big price and has some positive attributes going for him. GOT A STASH - Always seems to be close on the wire. In fine fettle, and coming back soon again today. DUBLA GOLD - Always seems to be close up at the finish. Entrants trained by Dubois in dirt sprint races are usually strong.
 

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