JOHN RYAN
NCAA-F | Sep 03, 2018
Virginia Tech vs. Florida State
Florida State-7 -110
The Play and the Matchup
Florida State (220)
VIRGINIA TECH (0-0) at FLORIDA ST (0-0)
Week 1 Monday, 9/3/2018 8:00 PM
SIM grading and Recommended Strategy
5 stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale.
Place a 5-star wager on the Seminoles using the line, which currently prices them as 7-point home favorites.
SIM Projections and Results
Projection summary calls for the Seminoles to score at least 28 points and have at least 350 total yards of offense. In past home games installed as 7 or greater favorites and where they have matched or exceeded these performance measures, the Seminoles have gone 41-2 SU winning by an average of 35 PPG and 29-14 ATS for 68% winners and covering the line by at least 6.75 points per game.
NCAA-F | Sep 03, 2018
Virginia Tech vs. Florida State
Florida State-7 -110
The Play and the Matchup
Florida State (220)
VIRGINIA TECH (0-0) at FLORIDA ST (0-0)
Week 1 Monday, 9/3/2018 8:00 PM
SIM grading and Recommended Strategy
5 stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale.
Place a 5-star wager on the Seminoles using the line, which currently prices them as 7-point home favorites.
SIM Projections and Results
Projection summary calls for the Seminoles to score at least 28 points and have at least 350 total yards of offense. In past home games installed as 7 or greater favorites and where they have matched or exceeded these performance measures, the Seminoles have gone 41-2 SU winning by an average of 35 PPG and 29-14 ATS for 68% winners and covering the line by at least 6.75 points per game.
BRANDON LEE
10* FREE MLB PICK (Astros -1.5, -120)
I'll take my chances here with Houston on the -1.5 run line at home against the Twins. The Astros just took the final 2 games against LA over the weekend and are 7-3 in their last 10. Hard to not like Houston to win by at least 2 runs against the slumping Twins, who have lost 7 of their last 9. Not to mention Minnesota will have Kyle Gibson on the mound, who has allowed 12 runs on 15 hits and 7 walks in his last 2 starts at Chicago and Cleveland. Houston on the other hand will have Dallas Keuchel on the mound, who is coming off back-to-back strong starts. Lastly, we see the Twins are 0-9 this season when coming into a road game after allowing 7 or more runs in their previous two contests and have lost these games by an average of 4.5 runs/game. Take Houston -1.5, -120!
10* FREE MLB PICK (Astros -1.5, -120)
I'll take my chances here with Houston on the -1.5 run line at home against the Twins. The Astros just took the final 2 games against LA over the weekend and are 7-3 in their last 10. Hard to not like Houston to win by at least 2 runs against the slumping Twins, who have lost 7 of their last 9. Not to mention Minnesota will have Kyle Gibson on the mound, who has allowed 12 runs on 15 hits and 7 walks in his last 2 starts at Chicago and Cleveland. Houston on the other hand will have Dallas Keuchel on the mound, who is coming off back-to-back strong starts. Lastly, we see the Twins are 0-9 this season when coming into a road game after allowing 7 or more runs in their previous two contests and have lost these games by an average of 4.5 runs/game. Take Houston -1.5, -120!
CFL Betting Notes - Week 12
David Schwab
Week 11 Betting Recap
For the second week in a row, the underdogs in the CFL were the best bet against the spread at 3-1. Edmonton got things going last Thursday in a 25-24 loss to Hamilton as a 3 ½-point underdog on the road. In Friday’s action, Montreal pulled off the straight-up upset with a last-second 25-22 victory against Toronto as a five-point underdog at home.
Saturday’s doubleheader of games got underway with Calgary bouncing back from last week’s unexpected loss with a solid 39-26 victory over Winnipeg as a 7 ½-point home favorite. Week 11 closed things out with Saskatchewan squeezing past British Columbia 24-21 after closing as a 2 ½-point road underdog.
Monday, Sept. 3
Edmonton Eskimos (6-4 SU, 4-6 ATS) at Calgary Stampeders (8-1 SU, 6-3 ATS)
Point-spread: Calgary -6 ½
Total: 53
Game Overview
The Eskimos have a golden opportunity to make things interesting out West over the next two weeks in this home-and-home series. Edmonton has a pair of losses (SU and ATS) in its last three games and concerns with a shaky defense have once gain plagued this team. The defense is allowing an average of 24.7 points per game and that average as crept up to 26.7 points in the last three contests.
Calgary quickly got back to its winning ways following a stunning loss to Saskatchewan in Week 10. With the 13-point victory against the Blue Bombers, the Stampeders have won seven of eight games by double figures. The total has gone OVER in three of their last four games with an average of 31.8 points scored after it had stayed UNDER in their first five contests this season.
Betting Trends
-- Calgary has a 9-1 SU record in its last 10 games against the Eskimos at home and it has covered the spread in five of the last seven meetings on its home field. The total has gone OVER in five of the last seven meetings overall.
Toronto Argonauts (3-6 SU, 4-5 ATS) at Hamilton Tiger-Cats (4-5 SU, 3-5-1 ATS)
Point-spread: Hamilton -7 ½
Total: 52
Game Overview
Toronto has turned to McLeod Bethel-Thompson has its new starting quarterback. Heading into the second half of the season, it decided to add veteran wide receiver Duron Carter to the mix after he was recently released by Saskatchewan. The Argonauts are going to need all the help they can get coming off that unexpected loss to Montreal. Bethel-Thompson did throw for 296 yards and one touchdown in last Friday’s game.
The Tiger-Cats are 2-4 SU in their last six games with a costly 1-4-1 mark ATS. The total has stayed UNDER in six of their first nine games heading into the opener of this East Division home-and-home tilt. Hamilton is an even 2-2 SU at home this season and it has failed to cover in three of those four games. In last Thursday’s squeaker against the Eskimos, Jeramiah Masoli put the ball up 44 times with 27 completions for 419 yards and one score. He was also picked off twice.
Betting Trends
-- Hamilton has a SU 7-3 edge over Toronto in the last 10 meetings of this East Division matchup and it has gone 9-3 ATS in the last 12 games between the two. The total has gone OVER in four of the last six matchups.
David Schwab
Week 11 Betting Recap
For the second week in a row, the underdogs in the CFL were the best bet against the spread at 3-1. Edmonton got things going last Thursday in a 25-24 loss to Hamilton as a 3 ½-point underdog on the road. In Friday’s action, Montreal pulled off the straight-up upset with a last-second 25-22 victory against Toronto as a five-point underdog at home.
Saturday’s doubleheader of games got underway with Calgary bouncing back from last week’s unexpected loss with a solid 39-26 victory over Winnipeg as a 7 ½-point home favorite. Week 11 closed things out with Saskatchewan squeezing past British Columbia 24-21 after closing as a 2 ½-point road underdog.
Monday, Sept. 3
Edmonton Eskimos (6-4 SU, 4-6 ATS) at Calgary Stampeders (8-1 SU, 6-3 ATS)
Point-spread: Calgary -6 ½
Total: 53
Game Overview
The Eskimos have a golden opportunity to make things interesting out West over the next two weeks in this home-and-home series. Edmonton has a pair of losses (SU and ATS) in its last three games and concerns with a shaky defense have once gain plagued this team. The defense is allowing an average of 24.7 points per game and that average as crept up to 26.7 points in the last three contests.
Calgary quickly got back to its winning ways following a stunning loss to Saskatchewan in Week 10. With the 13-point victory against the Blue Bombers, the Stampeders have won seven of eight games by double figures. The total has gone OVER in three of their last four games with an average of 31.8 points scored after it had stayed UNDER in their first five contests this season.
Betting Trends
-- Calgary has a 9-1 SU record in its last 10 games against the Eskimos at home and it has covered the spread in five of the last seven meetings on its home field. The total has gone OVER in five of the last seven meetings overall.
Toronto Argonauts (3-6 SU, 4-5 ATS) at Hamilton Tiger-Cats (4-5 SU, 3-5-1 ATS)
Point-spread: Hamilton -7 ½
Total: 52
Game Overview
Toronto has turned to McLeod Bethel-Thompson has its new starting quarterback. Heading into the second half of the season, it decided to add veteran wide receiver Duron Carter to the mix after he was recently released by Saskatchewan. The Argonauts are going to need all the help they can get coming off that unexpected loss to Montreal. Bethel-Thompson did throw for 296 yards and one touchdown in last Friday’s game.
The Tiger-Cats are 2-4 SU in their last six games with a costly 1-4-1 mark ATS. The total has stayed UNDER in six of their first nine games heading into the opener of this East Division home-and-home tilt. Hamilton is an even 2-2 SU at home this season and it has failed to cover in three of those four games. In last Thursday’s squeaker against the Eskimos, Jeramiah Masoli put the ball up 44 times with 27 completions for 419 yards and one score. He was also picked off twice.
Betting Trends
-- Hamilton has a SU 7-3 edge over Toronto in the last 10 meetings of this East Division matchup and it has gone 9-3 ATS in the last 12 games between the two. The total has gone OVER in four of the last six matchups.
CFL
Dunkel
Week 12
Monday, September 3
Edmonton @ Calgary
Game 645-646
September 3, 2018 @ 3:00 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Edmonton
111.339
Calgary
121.333
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Calgary
by 10
48
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Calgary
by 7
53
Dunkel Pick:
Calgary
(-7); Under
Toronto @ Hamilton
Game 647-648
September 3, 2018 @ 6:30 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Toronto
104.611
Hamilton
115.083
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Hamilton
by 10 1/2
48
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Hamilton
by 8
51 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Hamilton
(-8); Under
Dunkel
Week 12
Monday, September 3
Edmonton @ Calgary
Game 645-646
September 3, 2018 @ 3:00 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Edmonton
111.339
Calgary
121.333
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Calgary
by 10
48
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Calgary
by 7
53
Dunkel Pick:
Calgary
(-7); Under
Toronto @ Hamilton
Game 647-648
September 3, 2018 @ 6:30 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Toronto
104.611
Hamilton
115.083
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Hamilton
by 10 1/2
48
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Hamilton
by 8
51 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Hamilton
(-8); Under
CFL
Long Sheet
Week 12
Monday, September 3
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EDMONTON (6 - 4) at CALGARY (8 - 1) - 9/3/2018, 3:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CALGARY is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 52 over the last 2 seasons.
CALGARY is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) in a home game where the total is between 52.5 and 56 over the last 2 seasons.
CALGARY is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in weeks 10 through 15 over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
CALGARY is 3-3 against the spread versus EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
CALGARY is 5-1 straight up against EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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TORONTO (3 - 6) at HAMILTON (4 - 5) - 9/3/2018, 6:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
HAMILTON is 3-3 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
HAMILTON is 3-3 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
Long Sheet
Week 12
Monday, September 3
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EDMONTON (6 - 4) at CALGARY (8 - 1) - 9/3/2018, 3:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CALGARY is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 52 over the last 2 seasons.
CALGARY is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) in a home game where the total is between 52.5 and 56 over the last 2 seasons.
CALGARY is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in weeks 10 through 15 over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
CALGARY is 3-3 against the spread versus EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
CALGARY is 5-1 straight up against EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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TORONTO (3 - 6) at HAMILTON (4 - 5) - 9/3/2018, 6:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
HAMILTON is 3-3 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
HAMILTON is 3-3 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
CFL
Week 12
Trend Report
Monday,September 3
Edmonton Eskimos
Edmonton is 12-5 SU in its last 17 games
Edmonton is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
Edmonton is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Edmonton's last 13 games on the road
Edmonton is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Calgary
Edmonton is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Calgary
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Edmonton's last 7 games when playing Calgary
Edmonton is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Calgary
Edmonton is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Calgary
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Edmonton's last 10 games when playing on the road against Calgary
Calgary Stampeders
Calgary is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games
Calgary is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Calgary's last 14 games
Calgary is 15-8 ATS in its last 23 games at home
Calgary is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Calgary's last 5 games at home
Calgary is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Edmonton
Calgary is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Edmonton
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Calgary's last 7 games when playing Edmonton
Calgary is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Edmonton
Calgary is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Edmonton
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Calgary's last 10 games when playing at home against Edmonton
Toronto Argonauts
Toronto is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Toronto's last 11 games
Toronto is 5-14 ATS in its last 19 games on the road
Toronto is 3-16 SU in its last 19 games on the road
Toronto is 3-9 ATS in its last 12 games when playing Hamilton
Toronto is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games when playing Hamilton
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 6 games when playing Hamilton
Toronto is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Hamilton
Toronto is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Hamilton
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Toronto's last 8 games when playing on the road against Hamilton
Hamilton Tiger-Cats
Hamilton is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Hamilton is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Hamilton's last 7 games
Hamilton is 5-13-1 ATS in its last 19 games at home
Hamilton is 4-14 SU in its last 18 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Hamilton's last 5 games at home
Hamilton is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 games when playing Toronto
Hamilton is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games when playing Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Hamilton's last 6 games when playing Toronto
Hamilton is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Toronto
Hamilton is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Hamilton's last 8 games when playing at home against Toronto
Week 12
Trend Report
Monday,September 3
Edmonton Eskimos
Edmonton is 12-5 SU in its last 17 games
Edmonton is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
Edmonton is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Edmonton's last 13 games on the road
Edmonton is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Calgary
Edmonton is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Calgary
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Edmonton's last 7 games when playing Calgary
Edmonton is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Calgary
Edmonton is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Calgary
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Edmonton's last 10 games when playing on the road against Calgary
Calgary Stampeders
Calgary is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games
Calgary is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Calgary's last 14 games
Calgary is 15-8 ATS in its last 23 games at home
Calgary is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Calgary's last 5 games at home
Calgary is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Edmonton
Calgary is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Edmonton
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Calgary's last 7 games when playing Edmonton
Calgary is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Edmonton
Calgary is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Edmonton
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Calgary's last 10 games when playing at home against Edmonton
Toronto Argonauts
Toronto is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Toronto's last 11 games
Toronto is 5-14 ATS in its last 19 games on the road
Toronto is 3-16 SU in its last 19 games on the road
Toronto is 3-9 ATS in its last 12 games when playing Hamilton
Toronto is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games when playing Hamilton
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 6 games when playing Hamilton
Toronto is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Hamilton
Toronto is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Hamilton
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Toronto's last 8 games when playing on the road against Hamilton
Hamilton Tiger-Cats
Hamilton is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Hamilton is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Hamilton's last 7 games
Hamilton is 5-13-1 ATS in its last 19 games at home
Hamilton is 4-14 SU in its last 18 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Hamilton's last 5 games at home
Hamilton is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 games when playing Toronto
Hamilton is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games when playing Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Hamilton's last 6 games when playing Toronto
Hamilton is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Toronto
Hamilton is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Hamilton's last 8 games when playing at home against Toronto
CFL
Week 12
Edmonton (6-4) @ Calgary (8-1) (-7, 53)— Stampeders won five of last six meetings in this Alberta rivalry, beating Eskimos 32-28 (-5) in LY’s playoffs. Over is 5-2 in last seven series games, 3-0 in last three played here. Calgary is 5-0 at home this year, 3-2 vs spread, with home wins by 14-10-17-9-13 points. Three of their last four games went over. Edmonton lost its last two road games, giving up 31-25 points in losses in Vancouver, Hamilton. Under is 4-2-1 in Eskimos’ last seven games.
Toronto (3-6) @ Hamilton (4-5) (-8, 52)— These teams split their last six meetings; over was 4-1-1 in the games. Argonauts are 0-4 on road this year (under 3-1), scoring 17.5 ppg; they were favored in two of those games; Toronto’s last three games were decided by total of five points- their three wins this year are also by total of five points. Argos are 4-3 as an underdog this season. Ti-Cats won two of last three games overall, split their four home games- they’re 2-4 as a favorite this season. Under is 5-2 in their last seven games.
Week 12
Edmonton (6-4) @ Calgary (8-1) (-7, 53)— Stampeders won five of last six meetings in this Alberta rivalry, beating Eskimos 32-28 (-5) in LY’s playoffs. Over is 5-2 in last seven series games, 3-0 in last three played here. Calgary is 5-0 at home this year, 3-2 vs spread, with home wins by 14-10-17-9-13 points. Three of their last four games went over. Edmonton lost its last two road games, giving up 31-25 points in losses in Vancouver, Hamilton. Under is 4-2-1 in Eskimos’ last seven games.
Toronto (3-6) @ Hamilton (4-5) (-8, 52)— These teams split their last six meetings; over was 4-1-1 in the games. Argonauts are 0-4 on road this year (under 3-1), scoring 17.5 ppg; they were favored in two of those games; Toronto’s last three games were decided by total of five points- their three wins this year are also by total of five points. Argos are 4-3 as an underdog this season. Ti-Cats won two of last three games overall, split their four home games- they’re 2-4 as a favorite this season. Under is 5-2 in their last seven games.
