Monday 08/24/09 service plays chatter/comps/requests & gm strategy...

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Monday 08/24/09 service plays chatter/comps/requests & gm strategy...

-------------------------------------------------------------------

FYI, let's limit the comps to the first 2 pages, I need this thread to be used for chatter and what games members would like to pick up or split. Service thread getting way to much chatter. Ty.
<!-- / message -->
<!-- / message -->

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Hot Lines: Today's best MLB bets

Tampa Bay Rays at Toronto Blue Jays (-140, 7.5)

If the Rays hope to play postseason ball for a consecutive year, the club will have to solve its away troubles. Tampa Bay is in the thick of the AL wild-card race, but its 25-35 road record is keeping the squad from distancing itself from Boston and Texas.

“It’s this road thing, man, that’s the annoying part of what we’re doing,” Rays manager Joe Maddon told the St. Petersburg Times after finishing 1-5 road trip a little over a week ago. “We go home and get ourselves well and then we go away and we get sick again. We have to figure that part out.”

The Blue Jays are the perfect ailment for Tampa’s sickness. Entering Sunday’s tilt against the Halos, Toronto had dropped 25 of its last 34 games against teams with a winning record.

Pick: Rays


Cleveland Indians at Kansas City Royals (-115, 9)

There was hope this year would the first the Royals played October baseball since 1985. On May 7, Kansas City was 18-11 and had the second best record in the American League.

Now the bad news for loyal Royal backers: Entering Saturday’s game, no team in baseball – not even the Pirates or Nationals – owns a worst record since.

The best chance for a KC win normally falls on Gil Meche’s turn in the rotation – the Royals are 3-1 in Meche’s last four starts. Of course you also get the best value fading the last-place Royals when Meche or Zack Greinke toe the rubber.

This trend should push you in the right direction: KC is 5-22 in its last 27 home games against teams with a losing road record.

Pick: Indians

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Streaking and Slumping Pitchers

Streaking

Justin Verlander (13-7, 3.29 ERA), Detroit Tigers

Verlander’s 2008 campaign was marred with inconsistency, but he’s been old reliable for the Tigers this season.

The 2006 AL Rookie of the Year has walked just five batters in his last five starts and he can get out of most jams with his heater. Verlander is second in the majors with 204 strikeouts after last week’s 10-K performance against the Mariners.

“I’m sure he cares more about the wins than the strikeouts,” Detroit manager Jim Leyland said following the 3-1 loss to Seattle. “He’s one of the best pitchers in baseball, and his best years should still be ahead of him.”

Backing Verlander always comes at a cost. He’s been priced at -180 or higher in four of his last six starts. An away start at Los Angeles opens the door to some welcome value.

Barry Zito (8-11, 4.26 ERA), San Francisco Giants

He may not be a cost-effective starter for the Giants ownership, but the Z-man has been a great bargain for his backers.

San Francisco has won five of the $126 million-man’s last six outings and the under has cashed in eight of his last 10 appearances.

While he doesn’t blow anybody away with his fastball – he tops out around 89 mph – he gets the job done. The southpaw has a 2.36 ERA in seven starts since July 16.


Slumping

Collin Balester (1-3, 6.75 ERA), Washington Nationals

We don’t like to beat a dead horse, but if Balester was pitching for any other team in the bigs, he’d probably find himself on his way to the minors.

The 23-year-old righty has just one quality start in six outings this season. He’s been tagged for nine home runs in just 25 1-3 innings.

The Rockies touched home plate three times before Balester was yanked in the second inning last week. He says a rushed delivery was the reason he surrendered five free bases.

“I’ve pinpointed it, and now I need to execute it,” he told reporters after the game. “I’ve been trying so hard, and I think that’s my biggest problem. I’ve been trying too much.”

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Doc's Sports

NFL | Aug 24
New York Jets vs. Baltimore Ravens New York Jets
+3-115 at 5DIMES > 19h.
Bonus Play from Doc’s Sports. #431 Take New York +3 over Baltimore (Monday 8:00 pm ESPN) I think that this gives means more to the Jets, as their new coach spent the last few seasons with the Ravens. Coach Rex Ryan admitted he was disappointed when he did not get the Ravens head coaching job last season. He will want to make a good showing in this game and the Ravens could care less. Baltimore looked real good last week, but Coach John Harbaugh went just 1-3 in 2008 straight-up and against the spread in the preseason. Doc’s Sports NFL Preseason Game of the Year goes in Week 2, sign-up now for this winning selection!

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Vernon Croy

MLB | Aug 24
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
-138 at BOOKM > 18h.
1* Take the Toronto Blue Jays on the Moneyline, The Jays have the superior pitcher on the mound here Monday night with Roy Halladay (13-6, 2.78 ERA). Halladay has faced the Rays 4 times already this season with an ERA of just 2.10 against them and I look for him to have a solid outing at home Monday night. The Rays are just 0-4 in their last 4 road games and Halladay has allowed just 2 earned runs in his last 2 starts against the Rays while lasting an average of 8.5 innings per start. Jeff Niemann (11-5, 3.71) has lit up by the Jays back on July.26 allowing 9 hits and 5 earned runs over 6.7 innings and I look for the Jays to hit him hard again at home Monday night. Take the Toronto Blue Jays as my MLB Bonus Play for Monday night.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Craig Trapp

MLB | Aug 24
Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets Philadelphia Phillies
-1½-152 at 5DIMES > 13h.
PHI -1.5 (-152): If your book offers it take -2.5 at even money that is how strong I like this game. Lee has been great for PHI ever since arriving going 4-0 with a .82 era. Even better he won the 3 starts in CLE so 7 straight starts and all but two were blowouts and covering the R/L. PHI has been hitting well too so even if he would give up 2-3 runs we still will get a cover. Parnell starts for NYM and hopes to bounce back after allowing 9 ER's in only 3 innings last week. Also the lineup is banged up and is struggling to score. Easy blowout winner here. PHI 7 - NYM 2

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Rob Vinciletti

MLB | Aug 24
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays Total
7½ un-110 at SPBOOK > 10h.
On Monday the Bonus Play is on the under in the Tampabay at Toronto game.Rotation numbers 957/8 at 7:05 eastern.This game fits a big system that plays on the under when a home team is off a home favored win where the total is 8 or less and the opponent is off a home favored loss at -140 or higher.This system has cashed the last 5 times and barely averages 5 runs per game.Best of all is the pitching matchup between Halladay and Niemann.Roy Halladay has been awesome vs Tampa this year.In his last 2 starts he has pitched 17 innings allowing just 2 runs.He has a fine 2.89 home era and has gone under in his last 3 starts vs the Rays.For Tampa J.Niemann pitches tonight and he is one of the most underated pitchers in baseball this year.He has a solid 3.71 era this year,playing in the strongest division in baseball.This has been an under series with a 5 of the 6 games here playing under the total.Tampa has gone under 6 of 8 times as a road dog in this range.Go with the under 7.5 runs tonight in the Jays at Rays game.On Monday I have a Huge totals system that has cashed 12 of 13 times in bases.Those who have been on these Mlb top plays have been cashing regularly,its the lead play on a Big Monday card that also boasts a big play in the MNF Game.Jump on and start the week on the right foot.For those interested Ill be in studio and have another solid Bonus Play on the Monday night sports radio show on 88.9 wsia.fm hosted by Anthony Pierno between 8-9 eastern.For the Bonus Play go under Toronto and Tampa.BOL RV-

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Jordan Haimowitz

MLB | Aug 24
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Washington Nationals Total
8½ ov-120 at 5DIMES > 7h.
ENJOY THE Bonus Play WINNER

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

MLB LONG SHEET


Monday, August 24

PHILADELPHIA (71 - 50) at NY METS (57 - 67) - 1:10 PM
CLIFF LEE (L) vs. BOBBY PARNELL (R)
Top Trends for this game.
LEE is 10-14 (-7.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season. (Team's Record)
NY METS are 20-14 (+9.5 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
NY METS are 10-6 (+13.8 Units) against the money line as a home underdog of +175 or more since 1997.
NY METS are 35-15 (+19.2 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 45-25 (+15.7 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 71-50 (+10.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 39-21 (+18.7 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 40-22 (+16.6 Units) against the money line in road games against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 68-47 (+9.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 27-14 (+13.3 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters this season.
LEE is 23-9 (+12.7 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
LEE is 56-39 (+20.1 Units) against the money line in road games since 1997. (Team's Record)
NY METS are 146-140 (-15.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 146-140 (-15.7 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 12-20 (-12.9 Units) against the money line when playing on Monday over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 97-93 (-27.7 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 8-5 (+2.0 Units) against NY METS this season
7 of 12 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.3 Units)

CLIFF LEE vs. NY METS since 1997
No recent starts.

BOBBY PARNELL vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
No recent starts.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MILWAUKEE (60 - 63) at WASHINGTON (44 - 80) - 4:35 PM
YOVANI GALLARDO (R) vs. COLLIN BALESTER (R)
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 43-48 (-10.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
MILWAUKEE is 27-40 (-19.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
MILWAUKEE is 250-290 (-67.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1997.
MILWAUKEE is 60-63 (-8.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 14-25 (-14.0 Units) against the money line in day games this season.
GALLARDO is 6-14 (-11.4 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
WASHINGTON is 93-94 (+21.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 51-45 (+16.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 26-24 (+12.7 Units) against the money line in August games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 34-24 (+14.9 Units) against the money line in home games in day games over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 44-80 (-27.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
WASHINGTON is 26-59 (-24.5 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 23-48 (-20.6 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 44-77 (-24.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
WASHINGTON is 34-62 (-20.7 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 3-4 (-0.2 Units) against MILWAUKEE this season
7 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+7.0 Units)

YOVANI GALLARDO vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
GALLARDO is 1-0 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 3.86 and a WHIP of 0.857.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

COLLIN BALESTER vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
BALESTER is 1-1 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 4.09 and a WHIP of 1.000.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (-0.1 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SAN FRANCISCO (67 - 57) at COLORADO (70 - 54) - 8:40 PM
BARRY ZITO (L) vs. JASON MARQUIS (R)
Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO is 132-108 (+17.6 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 3 seasons.
COLORADO is 117-101 (+30.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
COLORADO is 63-44 (+24.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
COLORADO is 70-54 (+13.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
COLORADO is 70-54 (+13.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
COLORADO is 170-151 (+19.4 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 3 seasons.
MARQUIS is 52-33 (+16.2 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
MARQUIS is 21-12 (+11.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
SAN FRANCISCO is 67-57 (+10.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 43-38 (+5.2 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 49-43 (+6.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 34-23 (+11.9 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 67-57 (+10.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 132-81 (+51.5 Units) against the money line when playing on Monday since 1997.
ZITO is 75-44 (+29.1 Units) against the money line against division opponents since 1997. (Team's Record)
COLORADO is 52-67 (-22.4 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
MARQUIS is 17-25 (-18.6 Units) against the money line in August games since 1997. (Team's Record)
MARQUIS is 56-74 (-39.1 Units) against the money line in night games since 1997. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
COLORADO is 6-5 (-0.2 Units) against SAN FRANCISCO this season
6 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.3 Units)

BARRY ZITO vs. COLORADO since 1997
ZITO is 2-2 when starting against COLORADO with an ERA of 2.25 and a WHIP of 1.036.
His team's record is 6-2 (+5.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-6. (-5.4 units)

JASON MARQUIS vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
MARQUIS is 4-2 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 2.30 and a WHIP of 0.938.
His team's record is 6-2 (+4.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-5. (-2.6 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TAMPA BAY (67 - 56) at TORONTO (57 - 65) - 7:07 PM
JEFF NIEMANN (R) vs. ROY HALLADAY (R)
Top Trends for this game.
TAMPA BAY is 12-19 (-9.2 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss this season.
TAMPA BAY is 25-35 (-11.2 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
HALLADAY is 112-52 (+34.7 Units) against the money line in games played on artificial turf since 1997. (Team's Record)
TAMPA BAY is 113-58 (+36.6 Units) against the money line in games played on artificial turf over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 122-78 (+33.7 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 172-129 (+25.7 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 74-50 (+26.5 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
NIEMANN is 14-4 (+11.0 Units) against the money line in night games this season. (Team's Record)
TORONTO is 57-65 (-13.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
TORONTO is 16-32 (-19.0 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
TORONTO is 30-42 (-15.5 Units) against the money line in night games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 9-3 (+6.1 Units) against TORONTO this season
9 of 12 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+5.7 Units)

JEFF NIEMANN vs. TORONTO since 1997
NIEMANN is 1-1 when starting against TORONTO with an ERA of 3.86 and a WHIP of 1.143.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-2. (-2.3 units)

ROY HALLADAY vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
HALLADAY is 12-9 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 3.58 and a WHIP of 1.183.
His team's record is 18-11 (+1.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 17-11. (+4.5 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CHI WHITE SOX (63 - 61) at BOSTON (70 - 53) - 7:10 PM
JOSE CONTRERAS (R) vs. CLAY BUCHHOLZ (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CHI WHITE SOX are 38-61 (-19.7 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 20-40 (-16.5 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 155-96 (+28.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 69-33 (+17.6 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 64-24 (+24.2 Units) against the money line in home games after a loss over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 97-48 (+22.4 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 59-51 (+4.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 42-34 (+8.0 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
BOSTON is 78-76 (-15.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 5-14 (-10.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
BUCHHOLZ is 6-16 (-14.3 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
BUCHHOLZ is 4-13 (-12.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
BUCHHOLZ is 3-12 (-13.2 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
BUCHHOLZ is 1-9 (-9.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

JOSE CONTRERAS vs. BOSTON since 1997
CONTRERAS is 4-4 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 7.35 and a WHIP of 1.669.
His team's record is 6-5 (+1.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-7. (-4.8 units)

CLAY BUCHHOLZ vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
BUCHHOLZ is 0-1 when starting against CHI WHITE SOX with an ERA of 15.00 and a WHIP of 3.000.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.2 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CLEVELAND (54 - 69) at KANSAS CITY (47 - 76) - 8:10 PM
JEREMY SOWERS (L) vs. GIL MECHE (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 18-35 (-16.7 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
CLEVELAND is 54-69 (-14.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CLEVELAND is 47-61 (-15.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
CLEVELAND is 33-44 (-13.4 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
CLEVELAND is 37-54 (-17.8 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
SOWERS is 17-33 (-16.5 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
KANSAS CITY is 16-8 (+11.7 Units) against the money line when playing on Monday over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 16-6 (+12.8 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 29-19 (+15.4 Units) against the money line in August games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 15-6 (+13.5 Units) against the money line in road games when playing on Monday over the last 3 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 28-47 (-16.2 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
KANSAS CITY is 9-21 (-12.5 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive losses this season.
KANSAS CITY is 19-33 (-14.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
KANSAS CITY is 47-76 (-26.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
KANSAS CITY is 70-122 (-36.5 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 3 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 25-39 (-18.3 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
KANSAS CITY is 23-40 (-18.6 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 10-17 (-9.1 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents this season.
KANSAS CITY is 41-66 (-25.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
KANSAS CITY is 32-49 (-16.6 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
KANSAS CITY is 15-31 (-16.7 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters this season.
MECHE is 0-6 (-6.8 Units) against the money line at home with a money line of -100 to -125 this season. (Team's Record)
MECHE is 15-28 (-14.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 7-5 (+1.7 Units) against KANSAS CITY this season
7 of 12 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.8 Units)

JEREMY SOWERS vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
SOWERS is 2-1 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 3.46 and a WHIP of 1.385.
His team's record is 3-2 (-0.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-2. (+1.0 units)

GIL MECHE vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
MECHE is 5-9 when starting against CLEVELAND with an ERA of 4.70 and a WHIP of 1.392.
His team's record is 7-14 (-5.5 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 11-10. (-0.6 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BALTIMORE (51 - 73) at MINNESOTA (61 - 63) - 8:10 PM
CHRIS TILLMAN (R) vs. SCOTT BAKER (R)
Top Trends for this game.
BALTIMORE is 19-32 (-14.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
MINNESOTA is 89-59 (+15.2 Units) against the money line in games played in a dome over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 105-85 (+15.2 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 86-55 (+15.3 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on artificial turf over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 86-55 (+15.3 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 61-63 (-9.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MINNESOTA is 8-19 (-13.1 Units) against the money line when playing on Monday over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BALTIMORE is 2-0 (+2.1 Units) against MINNESOTA this season
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.0 Units)

CHRIS TILLMAN vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
No recent starts.

SCOTT BAKER vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
BAKER is 2-0 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 3.48 and a WHIP of 1.355.
His team's record is 3-1 (+3.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-1. (+1.9 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DETROIT (65 - 58) at LA ANGELS (74 - 48) - 10:05 PM
JUSTIN VERLANDER (R) vs. JERED WEAVER (R)
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 17-36 (-17.3 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 19-34 (-18.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 139-146 (-31.9 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 14-35 (-19.5 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +125 over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 25-38 (-13.6 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
DETROIT is 34-45 (-24.4 Units) against the money line in August games over the last 3 seasons.
DETROIT is 10-21 (-15.8 Units) against the money line when playing on Monday over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 132-127 (-21.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 87-97 (-25.4 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 16-28 (-13.1 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters this season.
LA ANGELS are 67-40 (+24.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
LA ANGELS are 47-35 (+10.4 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
LA ANGELS are 70-41 (+26.5 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 35-27 (+8.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
LA ANGELS are 35-22 (+11.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 74-48 (+24.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
LA ANGELS are 21-10 (+10.5 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
WEAVER is 18-7 (+9.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
LA ANGELS is 3-3 (+0.7 Units) against DETROIT this season
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.2 Units, Under=-0.5 Units)

JUSTIN VERLANDER vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
VERLANDER is 0-2 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 4.55 and a WHIP of 1.516.
His team's record is 1-4 (-4.9 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-2. (-0.3 units)

JERED WEAVER vs. DETROIT since 1997
WEAVER is 2-1 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 7.08 and a WHIP of 1.771.
His team's record is 3-1 (+1.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-2. (-0.0 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

OAKLAND (55 - 68) at SEATTLE (63 - 61) - 10:10 PM
VIN MAZZARO (R) vs. IAN SNELL (R)
Top Trends for this game.
OAKLAND is 62-82 (-25.1 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 36-25 (+12.6 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
SEATTLE is 63-61 (+5.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
SEATTLE is 60-57 (+5.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
SEATTLE is 42-38 (+6.4 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
OAKLAND is 218-144 (+68.2 Units) against the money line in August games since 1997.
OAKLAND is 19-10 (+13.8 Units) against the money line when playing on Monday over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 246-232 (-75.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1997.
SEATTLE is 81-114 (-31.0 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SEATTLE is 6-3 (+3.0 Units) against OAKLAND this season
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.6 Units)

VIN MAZZARO vs. SEATTLE since 1997
No recent starts.

IAN SNELL vs. OAKLAND since 1997
No recent starts.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

MLB WRITE-UP

Monday, August 24

Hot Pitchers
-- Lee is 4-0, 0.82 in four starts for the Phillies.
-- Marquis is 5-3, 2.71 in his last nine starts.
-- Zito is 3-1, 2.52 in his last six starts.

-- Rays won nine of last 12 Niemann starts.
-- Buchholz has a 2.37 RA in his last three starts.
-- Baker is 5-0, 3.35 in his last eight starts.
-- Verlander has a 1.69 RA in his last two starts. Angels won 14 of last 17 Weaver starts.

Cold Pitchers
-- Parnell is 1-2, 8.49 in his last three starts.
-- Gallardo is 1-3, 5.92 in his last four starts. Balester is 0-2, 8.10 in his last four starts.

-- Halladay is 2-3, 4.38 in his last five starts.
-- Contreras is 1-3, 7.28 in his last six starts.
-- Sowers is 2-4, 4.15 in his last seven starts. Meche has a 9.09 RA in his last seven starts.
-- Tillman is 1-1, 5.10 in five starts this season.
-- Mazzaro has an 8.08 RA in his last eleven starts. Snell is 0-2, 13.50 in his last two starts.

Hot Teams
-- Phillies won six of their last seven games.
-- Colorado won 27 of its last 37 home games.

-- Rays won six of their last eight games, but are 1-6 in their last seven road contests.
-- Indians won 10 of their last 15 road games.
-- Orioles won three of their last four games. Twins won five of six.
-- Angels won 12 of their last 16 home games.
-- Oakland is 11-8 in its last 19 games.

Cold Teams
-- Mets lost 14 of their last 21 games.
-- Brewers lost five of their last seven games. Nationals lost five of six.
-- Giants lost three of their last four games.

-- Toronto is 10-17 in its last 27 games.
-- Red Sox lost three of their last four home games, are 8-11 in their last 19 games overall. White Sox lost 13 of their last 18 road games.
-- Royals lost six of their last eight games.
-- Tigers lost 14 of their last 18 road games.
-- Mariners lost three of their last four games.

Totals
-- Under is 13-3-1 in Phillies' last 17 road games.
-- Over is 8-4 in Washington's last twelve home games.
-- Five of last six Colorado games stayed under the total.

-- Five of Tampa Bay's last six road games went over the total.
-- Ten of last eleven games at Fenway Park went over the total.
-- Over is 12-1-1 in Cleveland's last 14 road games.
-- Five of last six Baltimore road games stayed under the total.
-- Seven of last nine Detroit road games went over the total.
-- Nine of last eleven Oakland road games went over the total.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Trend Report

1:10 PM
PHILADELPHIA vs. NY METS
Philadelphia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against NY Mets
Philadelphia is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing NY Mets
NY Mets are 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
NY Mets are 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home

4:35 PM
MILWAUKEE vs. WASHINGTON
Milwaukee is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Milwaukee's last 12 games
Washington is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games when playing at home against Milwaukee

7:07 PM
TAMPA BAY vs. TORONTO
Tampa Bay is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 7 games
Toronto is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games when playing Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Toronto's last 13 games when playing Tampa Bay

7:10 PM
CHI WHITE SOX vs. BOSTON
Chi White Sox are 1-5 SU in their last 6 games when playing on the road against Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Chi White Sox's last 12 games when playing on the road against Boston
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Boston's last 11 games at home
Boston is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games

8:10 PM
BALTIMORE vs. MINNESOTA
Baltimore is 7-16 SU in its last 23 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Baltimore's last 6 games
Minnesota is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against Baltimore
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing at home against Baltimore

8:10 PM
CLEVELAND vs. KANSAS CITY
Cleveland is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Kansas City
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cleveland's last 6 games when playing Kansas City
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Kansas City's last 5 games when playing at home against Cleveland
Kansas City is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Cleveland

8:40 PM
SAN FRANCISCO vs. COLORADO
San Francisco is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Colorado
San Francisco is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Colorado
Colorado is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Colorado's last 9 games at home

10:05 PM
DETROIT vs. LA ANGELS
Detroit is 2-8 SU in their last 10 games when playing on the road against LA Angels
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 6 games when playing on the road against LA Angels
LA Angels are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 10 of LA Angels's last 13 games at home

10:10 PM
OAKLAND vs. SEATTLE
Oakland is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Oakland's last 11 games on the road
Seattle is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games when playing Oakland
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Seattle's last 5 games when playing Oakland

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Brad Diamond Sports FREE MLB Selection

Play on: (952) Philadelphia *Lee* - 1 1/2 Runs over New York
The Phillies continued to pound the Mets yesterday up in New York and should do the same today behind their ace lefty Cliff Lee. Since his exodus from the American League, the former Cy Young award winner has not lost and has been the perfect addition to the Philadelphia staff with Cole Hamels going in the tank. Over the last 8 meetings the Phillies have won 7 games versus the Mets, while championing 20 of 26 wins in Monday action. Good Luck!

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Sports Gambling Hotline
Our Bonus Play run stands at 22-10-1 the last 33 days.

For Monday we look for Seattle to enjoy their return to the pacific northwest where they are 5 games above .500, and will be playing a division-rival whose number they have had this season.

Seattle is 6-3 this season against Oakland, and they are also 9-3 the last 12 overall meetings against the Athletics.

Ian Snell is coming off a 5-plus inning win over Detroit, and Justin Verlander, and we can see him building on that win against a team he will be facing for the first time.

Vin Mazzaro has gone 2-0 his last 3 starts, but is just 4-8 for the year, and in games he has started this season the A's are only 5-10.

Oakland is just 25-35 this season on the road, so we will stick with the "home cooking", and look for the Mariners to take the series opener on Monday.

Play on the M's.
1? SEATTLE

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Bobby Maxwell

Tonight's FREE winner comes from the gridiron as I love the way this Baltimore defense gets after it - even in the preseason - and how they are going after the Jets tonight.

Tough spot for the Jets' Mark Sanchez as he gets his first start in the NFL and it comes against the best defense the league has seen in quite a while. Play Baltimore in this one as the Ravens even shut out teams in the preseason - as evidenced in their 23-0 shutout win of the Redskins last week.

The Ravens get to go against not only a rookie QB but a rookie head coach who they know very well in Jets' coach Rex Ryan who was their defensive coordinator.

Baltimore has got a wonderful little battle going at RB between Willis McGahee and Ray Rice. Both guys have looked great in training camp and expect that to spill over into tonight's game against the Jets.

At QB, Joe Flacco will play into the second quarter and then expect to see a lot of Troy Smith in the third and fourth quarter. Smith hasn't looked too bad in camp and is getting more comfortable running the offense. Defensively, there's no worries with this team, even with the second stringers.

New York is giving the slight edge to Sanchez to win the starting spot over Kellen Clemens, but tonight could go a long way to clearing up that battle. If Sanchez performs well, the job is his. Both guys will get snaps with the first-team offense, just too bad for them it'll all come against a tremendous defense that is getting it's work in.

The Jets are without two starters on the offensive line - which doesn't help either QB out. Love the Ravens in this one, play Baltimore to win 24-10.
4♦ BALTIMORE

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Karl Garrett

G-Man stands at 25-20 the last 45 days with my comp plays.

Monday night, I look for things to calm down at Fenway Park, and the UNDER to finally prevail.

Boston just played a very HIGH-SCORING series against the NY Yankees, as all 3 meetings landed HIGH.

That makes 10 of the last 11 games played at Fenway having gone OVER. Normally, that kind of stat would have the G-Man licking his chops to back the OVER in tonight's game, but wait just a minute!

Chicago comes to Beantown having played UNDER in their last 4 games, and 8 of their last 11 overall.

The teams have also combined to go UNDER to a tune of 8-3-1 the last 12 games played in Boston, and the Pale Hose are on a 10-3 UNDER run their last 13 on the road.

Both Jose Contreras, and Clay Buchholz are coming off quality starts, and I think they will mow the hitters down again tonight.

G-Man playing this one LOW.
4♦ UNDER

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

EZWINNERS

EZ'S FREE SELECTION

Game: Oakland A's @ Seattle Mariners


(968) Seattle Mariners -$120


(Listing Snell and Mazzaro)

The Mariners starting pitcher Ian Snell pitched fantastic in his last start at Detroit, out pitching the Tigers ace Justin Verlander. That was by far Snell's best start in the big leagues this season. Snell has had great numbers in AAA, and since Oakland features a glorified AAA lineup I will back the Snell and the Mariners in this game. Play on Seattle.

2009 Free Selections Record 123-102 (54.7)

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Big Al McMordie

Detroit Tigers vs. LAA Angels

LAA Angels -121

At 10:05 pm our complimentary selection is on the Los Angeles Angels over the Detroit Tigers. Jered Weaver must have given his Anaheim teammates and fans quite a scare when the ace righthander completely fell apart in Baltimore against the Orioles on August 14. But he came back in his next start, which was also on the road - this time in Cleveland - to not only pitch much better, but in fact he threw a complete game shutout, allowing Angels players and managers alike to breathe a huge sigh of relief. Now he comes back home, where he does his best work by far (8-1 with a 2.76 ERA in 13 Anaheim starts) to face the Tigers and their #1 pitcher, Justin Verlander. Despite pitching well for the most part in his recent outings, Verlander has only one victory in his last four starts. Verlander has five lifetime starts against the Angels and the Tigers are 1-4 in those starts. By contrast, Weaver has started against the Tigers a total of four times in his career and Los Angeles has won three of the four. One of the biggest differences between these two teams is how they perform at home and away as Los Angeles has almost identical winning records regardless of whether it plays in Anaheim or away, whereas Detroit has been great at home (40-20) and horrible on the road (25-38). Take the Angels. As always, good luck...Al McMordie.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Frank Jordan

Cleveland Indians vs. Kansas City Royals

Play: Kansas City Royals -111

Cleveland and Kansas City had high expectations at the beginning of the season but have fallen on hard times and are each at least 15 games under .500 and looking toward 2010. Gil Meche was great in 2008, but can't seem to find the same magic in 2009 as he is 6-9 with an ERA closer to 5 than 4. Look for Meche to continue to win in August which he is 2-0 in after spending a month on the DL. Play Kansas City

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Tony Weston

Today's Complimentary Selection

How easy was that Twins winner yesterday? Minnesota cruises to an easy 10-3 win just like I said the team would.

I’m making it two straight Comp Play winners tonight as I’m taking the Tampa Bay Rays on the road at the Toronto Blue Jays.

These teams have met 12 times this season with Tampa Bay easily dominating its AL East rival, going 9-3 against the Jays. When playing in Toronto, the Rays have taken 4 of their 6 meetings this season.

Consider, too, while Roy Halladay is still one of the best pitchers in the majors, his team has done little to help his cause. Over his last 15 starts the Blue Jays are just 5-10 and have won just 2 of his last 7 starts at home.

Keep in mind, too, in four games against Tampa this season, Toronto has gone just 1-3 with Halladay on the mound.

Things won’t get any better tonight as the Rays get over.

3♦ RAYS (on a 1♦ - 5♦ Scale)

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Dominic Fazzini

Today's Complimentary Selection

I bucked all the trends Sunday in giving you the Blue Jays as a winner over the Angels. That victory gives me 11 wins in my last 15 complimentary selections, including four straight! Now I'm ready to roll over that success into another week.

Jered Weaver (13-4, 3.89 ERA) hasn't been pitching as well as he did in the first half of the season, but he has been winning.

The Angels right-hander is 5-1 with a 5.43 ERA in his last nine starts, and Los Angeles is 8-1 in that stretch. Weaver stepped up in his last outing, throwing a seven-hit shutout Wednesday against Cleveland.

He is 2-1 with a 7.08 ERA in four career starts vs. Detroit, and allowed three runs and seven hits in seven innings on April 21 in his last outing against the Tigers.

Detroit ace Justin Verlander (13-7, 3.29) hasn't had any success against the Angels in his career, going 0-2 with a 4.55 ERA in five starts. He pitched eight shutout innings against Los Angeles in Detroit on June 5, but left with a no-decision. Verlander was rocked for seven runs and nine hits in five innings in Anaheim on April 22.

Verlander allowed three runs and six hits with 10 strikeouts in eight innings Wednesday in a 3-1 home loss to Seattle. He hasn't been as good on the road as he has at home, going 6-5 with a 4.27 ERA in 14 starts away from Detroit.

Weaver has been nearly unbeatable at home, going 8-1 with a 2.76 ERA in 13 starts. The Tigers are 13 games under .500 on the road, and the Angels are returning home, where they are 36-22, after a successful 6-4 road trip.

Detroit had troubles with the lowly A's in Oakland over the weekend, has lost 10 consecutive road series and is 8-15 in its last 23 road games. That doesn't add up too well from the Tigers today facing Weaver. Take the Angels in this one.

2♦ L.A. ANGELS (on a 1♦ to 5♦ Scale)