Jimmy Boyd
Jul 23 '18, 7:05 PM in 6h
MLB | Red Sox vs Orioles
Play on: Orioles +170 at MyBookie
1* Free Pick on Orioles +170
The betting public wants nothing to do with Baltimore right now. The Orioles own the worst record in baseball at 28-72. They followed up their All-Star break trade of Manny Machado by getting swept in a 3-game series at Toronto. I think it has Baltimore showing some decent value here as a huge home underdog against division rival Boston in Monday's series opener.
Boston has a 5-game lead in the AL East and I think it's going to be tough for them to get up for this game against one of the worst teams. The Orioles will struggle to find motivation the rest of the way, as they have nothing but pride to play for at this point, but I expect them to give it all they got against the Red Sox at home.
The other key here is this feels like a good spot to fade Boston starter Rick Porcello, who posted an ugly 7.80 ERA and 2.000 WHIP in his final 3 starts before the All-Star break. Porcello is also just 5-11 with a 4.86 ERA in 19 career starts against the Orioles. Baltimore will send out Kevin Gausman, who has been up and down this season, though he has posted a strong 3.26 ERA in 11 night starts. Porcello on the other hand has a 4.66 ERA in 15 night starts and a 4.97 ERA in 10 starts against division opponents. Take Baltimore!