Monday 07/09/18 ... Comps / Bonus Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Requests Etc.

[bmd1803]

Marc Lawrence
Jul 09 '18, 7:10 PM in 8h
MLB | Tigers vs Rays
Play on: Rays -185 at pinnacle


Play - Tampa Bay Rays w/Archer vs Liriano (Game 916).


Edges - Rays: Archer 2.47 ERA with 1.15 WHIP last seven starts … Tigers: Liriano 1-6 wiht 5.06 ERA and 1.58 WHIP last seven starts. With the rays 7-1 on Mondays this season, we recommend a 1* play on Tampa Bay. Thank you and good luck as always.

 

[bmd1803]

Dustin Hawkins
Jul 09 '18, 10:15 PM in 11h
MLB | Cubs vs Giants
Play on: Giants +106

 

[bmd1803]

Mark Franco
Jul 09 '18, 7:10 PM in 8h
MLB | Rangers vs Red Sox
Play on: Rangers +190 at MyBookie


Rangers


The Boston Red Sox own the best record in baseball and just finished off a nine-game road trip with six consecutive victories. The Red Sox will play their final seven games before the All-Star break at home, beginning when the Texas Rangers visit for the opener of a three-game series on Monday.


PITCHING MATCHUP: Rangers LH Mike Minor (6-4, 4.63 ERA) vs. Red Sox LH Eduardo Rodriguez (10-3, 3.84)


Minor allowed three or fewer earned runs in each of his last five starts and is 2-0 in that span. The Vanderbilt product was trying to make it three straight wins on Wednesday but had to settle for a no-decision against Houston after allowing three earned runs on seven hits and three walks in six innings. Minor earned a win at home over Boston on May 3, when he yielded three runs and seven hits in six frames.


Rodriguez turned in one of his best outings of the season on Wednesday, scattering three hits across six scoreless innings and striking out six to earn a win at Washington. The Venezuela native lost his previous two starts while serving up a total of 10 runs - nine earned - and 14 hits in 10 innings against Seattle and the New York Yankees. Rodriguez struck out a season-high 10 at Texas on May 5 but was charged with five runs in six innings and did not factor in the decision.


Rangers are 5-1 in their last 6 games vs. a left-handed starter. Red Sox are 1-4 in their last 5 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.

 

[bmd1803]

Scott Rickenbach
Jul 09 '18, 4:05 PM in 5h
MLB | NYY vs BAL
Play on: OVER 9½ +103


Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach MLB Game #923 Monday Free Pick OVER the total in Baltimore Orioles vs New York Yankees @ 4:05 ET (Game 1 of double header) - The Yankees CC Sabathia has great numbers recently and that helped drive this total down to a 9.5 after it opened up at a 10. The fact is that Sabathia would certainly rather be pitching somewhere else other than Camden Yards! In his last 3 starts versus the Orioles, Sabathia has a 9.00 ERA and he has allowed 8 homers in the 15 innings spanning those 3 starts! I did not mis-type there...Sabathia has allowed a home run, on average, every other inning in his last 3 starts versus the Orioles! The only good news for Yankees fans here is that their lineup should pound Jimmy Yacabonis. The Baltimore right-hander has an 8.53 ERA and has been pounded at a .346 clip in his 3 MLB appearances this season. Though he has pitched well in the minors, he has struggled at the MLB level. His numbers were better in 2017 in the majors but still he struggled and was hit hard by the Yankees and he also got hit hard by them this season too. This is a value spot because a lot of the "trending" for these teams points toward the under here and yet you can why, per the above, this game absolutely should fly over the total as both starters get crushed. Free Pick OVER the total in Baltimore (Game 1 of double header)

 

[bmd1803]

Larry Ness
Jul 09 '18, 10:15 PM in 11h
MLB | Cubs vs Giants
Play on: Cubs -106 at betonline

My Bonus Play is on the Chi Cubs at 10:15 ET. The Cubs begin a six-game West Coast trip tonight in San Francisco against the Giants, coming off a 7-1 homestand. The Cubs have won nine of their last 11 contests overall to move a season-high 15 games above .500 but they still trail the Milwaukee Brewers by 1 1/2 games in the NL Central. Each of surging Chicago's last nine victories have been of the comeback variety (the team is tied for the major-league lead with 28 such wins) and after the Giants the Cubs will play the Padres in San Diego, leading into the All-Star break. As for the 47-45 Giants, they hit just .167 as a team and scored a total of 10 runs over a six-game stretch in which they were only 1-5, before erupting for 17 hits in a 13-8 victory over visiting St. Louis on Sunday. The Giants welcome the Cubs to AT&T Park in fourth-place in the NL West but they are also just 3 1/2 games back of the first-place Diamondbacks.

Kyle Hendricks (5-8, 4.27 ERA) will get the nod for Chicago and he comes in having lost five of his last six decisions, as well as posting a 6.29 ERA over his last seven starts. Hendricks was 16-8 (2.13 ERA) when the Cubs won the World Series in 2016 but he checks in just 12-13 overall, since. In fact, the Cubs are not only just 6-11 his Hendricks' 2018 starts but his moneyline mark of minus-$1251 is the worst of any starter this season (about 270 different starters). Hendricks is 3-2 with a 3.06 ERA in six career starts versus San Francisco.

San Francisco lefty Andrew Suarez (3-5, 3.92 ERA) will get the ball opposite Hendricks and in contrast, Suarez has posted a 2.10 ERA over his last five starts, allowing fewer than three runs in each, outing. However, has recorded only one win over that stretch (Giants are 2-3). A prime example was his most recent start, when the rookie struck out six and gave up just one run over seven innings last Wednesday at Colorado, but wound up on the wrong end of a 1-0 decision. Suarez will be facing the Cubs for the first time.

As noted above, Suarez has pitched better than his record and it is notable that he has been able to retain his spot in the starting rotation despite the fact the Giants welcomed back Johnny Cueto and Jeff Samardzija from the DL last week. However, why should we anticipate that his luck will change. He owns a decent 3.13 home ERA plus an excellent 0.96 home WHIP but in six starts, owns just one win (team is 2-4). Yes, Hendricks is "off his game" but he's proven to be a quality starter and his team is red-hot. Cubs Win! Cubs Win!

Good luck...Larry

 

[bmd1803]

Stephen Nover
Jul 09 '18, 7:10 PM in 8h
MLB | Reds vs Indians
Play on: Indians -171 at betonline


When you're on a pitching staff that has Corey Kluber, Carlos Carrasco and Trevor Bauer it's easy to get overlooked. That's the situation righthander Mike Clevinger is in. I find Clevinger to be underrated. He's 7-3 with a 3.11 ERA. Clevinger is at his best against weak road teams. So I'm not adverse to stepping out more than normal and laying this price with Cleveland in a pitching matchup of Clevinger versus Anthony DeSclafani. The Indians are in the superpower class of the Yankees, Red Sox and Astros when playing at home. Cleveland is 28-15 at Progressive Field this season. The Indians have been dominant when taking on below .500 road clubs at home winning 40 of the past 51 times for 78 percent. Cleveland is 7-1 the last eight times Clevinger has thrown against a sub .500 opponent at home. Cincinnati is 18-25 on the road. The Reds were playing their best ball winning 14 of 18 until this weekend. They blew a five-run lead to the Cubs on Saturday and lost in extra innings to the Cubs again on Sunday. They enter this series with bullpen fatigue and off two extremely tough losses. The Reds draw Clevinger coming off extra rest. He last played on July 1 in Oakland beating the A's allowing three runs in six innings. That pushed Clevinger's record to 5-1 with a 2.31 ERA when pitching on six or more days of rest. The Reds are 14-29 in their last 43 games against a righthanded starter. DeSclafani has struggled since coming off the 60-day DL following an oblique strain. He has a 5.08 ERA. His ERA jumps to 7.02 in night games. The Indians rank fifth in homers and runs. So the second part of the equation fits, too, as I see DeSclafani struggling against this lineup. He has a 5.18 ERA in seven interleague starts. Cincinnati is 15-43, too, during its past 58 interleague road contests.

 

[bmd1803]

Brad Wilton


Monday night comp play is the Over in the Nationals-Pirates meeting at PNC Park.


The Nationals have been involved in a recent string of games whose scores have resembled scores of "slow pitch softball" games, as Washington has either scored or allowed double-digits in 4 of their last 6 games. Not surprisingly, 4 of those 6 games have also played Over the total.


The Pirates held Under on Saturday and Sunday, but the Over for the Bucs is 8-4 their last dozen games played.


It will be Jefry Rodriguez getting his third start - both previous turns have landed Over the total - as his 14-plus innings so far have seen him accumulate an ERA of 5.52.


Ivan Nova counters for the home team, and his last pair of starts have landed Over the total. Nova also sports a 4.91 career ERA against Washington in his 4 starts against them for his career.


Washington-Pittsburgh to land Over the total.


2* WASHINGTON-PITTSBURGH OVER

 

[bmd1803]

Chris Jordan


My Bonus Play for Monday night is the Boston Red Sox over the Texas Rangers. With the number as big as it is, I'll play this on the Run Line.


MAKE NOTE: All Run Line/Total plays automatically list pitchers with the starters who are scheduled to go at the time of the wager. But with this game I am not concerned with who goes for either team tonight and want you playing this game on the Run Line regardless. That being said, IT IS YOUR RESPONSIBILITY to be sure you have action even if one of the pitchers scheduled to start is scratched, by re-wagering the game if that takes place.


They won't be necessary in a game like this, as the Red Sox are well ahead of the pack with 62 wins, and are sporting a 28-12 mark at home. The Crimson Hose lead the New York Yankees by two games in the American League East, they've won six straight and eight of 10 and are in after crusing past the Kansas City Royals in dominating fashion.


The Rangers, meanwhile, are in the cellar of the A.L. West, and continue road trip after spending the weekend in Motown with the Detroit Tigers. Texas is 21-23 on the road, where it has the third-worst batting average in baseball, at .226. It hasn't been any better overall, either, as the Rangers are hitting a bleak .238 on the year. They've also scored the seventh-least number of runs on the road, with just 174.


Play the Red Sox on the Run Line tonight.


5* RED SOX RUN LINE

 

[bmd1803]

Eric Schroeder


My Bonus Play for Monday night is Tampa Bay Run Line over the sad Detroit Tigers, as I think the Rays will win this from the mound and at the plate.


IMPORTANT: As you know every single Run Line play and Total wager will automatically list the scheduled starting pitchers at the time of the wager, and I want you to be sure the following pitchers are the registered starters on your ticket when making your wager: Francisco Liriano and Chris Archer. If one or both of these pitchers is not going, this is a no-play.


We'll start with Archer, who is coming off the disabled list from a left abdominal strain, and will make his first Major League start since June 2. He pitched four hitless innings July 3 for Class A Advanced Charlotte, and is expected to be limited to about 75 pitches. In that short time, on a pitch count, Archer is going to utilize his best pitches from a wide array, and will be able to hit the corners, something he's worked on to ease back into the rotation.


He'll get the run support against Liriano, who has a rough history at Tropicana Field, where he’s 1-2 with a 9.43 ERA in five starts and two relief appearances.


And a lot of that damage came last season, with 10 runs on 11 hits over five innings in three games with the Jays and Astros. I don't like Liriano much these days, as he's 0-3 with a 4.50 ERA in this last three starts.


Play the Rays Run Line.