INSIDE THE LINES
MONDAY, JUNE 22
NATIONAL LEAGUE
St. Louis (39-31) at N.Y. Mets (34-33)
Fresh off a three-game interleague sweep of the Royals in Kansas City, the Cardinals head to Citi Field for a four-game series against the Mets, with Todd Wellemeyer (6-6, 5.36 ERA) scheduled to pitch for the visitors tonight opposite Tim Redding (0-2, 6.27).
The Cardinals’ offense exploded for 29 runs in Kansas City over the weekend, capped by Sunday’s 12-5 rout. St. Louis has won five of its last six and is on further hot streaks of 6-2 on the road, 7-1 against right-handed starters, 11-5 against the N.L. East and 11-4 when facing teams with a winning record. However, Tony LaRussa’s squad has dropped five straight games on Monday and six of eight series openers.
New York started its current homestand by losing two of three to Tampa Bay, including Sunday’s 10-6 setback. The Mets have dropped four of their last five overall 12 of their last 18, and they’re also 3-7 in their last 10 against N.L. Central opponents and 2-6 in their last eight against right-handed starters. On the bright side, New York is on runs of 13-7 at home, 12-5 as a home chalk and 16-8 as a favorite.
The Cardinals swept a three-game home series from New York from April 21-23, outscoring the Mets 23-14. The host has won four straight and five of six in this rivalry.
Wellemeyer gave up just two runs on six hits in Wednesday’s 4-3 home win over Detroit, but he lasted just 5 1/3 innings, meaning the right-hander has now had five straight non-quality starts while posting a 5.65 ERA during this stretch. Wellemeyer is 3-1 in four road starts despite a 5.16 ERA.
With Wellemeyer on the hill, St. Louis is on upticks of 4-1 on the road, 6-0 as a road ‘dog and 5-0 when facing N.L. East teams, including a 6-4 home win over the Mets on April 21. In that contest, Wellemeyer gave up four runs on 10 hits in five innings. He’s now 0-1 with a 6.97 ERA in six career appearances (three starts) against New York.
Redding has failed to record a decision in his last three starts despite posting a respectable 3.93 ERA. In his most recent outing Wednesday, the veteran right-hander gave up four runs in 5 1/3 innings at Baltimore, with the Mets losing 6-4 to fall to 1-5 in Redding’s six starts this season. At home this year, Redding is 0-1 with an 8.18 ERA in two starts.
Redding is 3-5 with a 5.65 ERA in 13 career games (12 starts) against the Redbirds, surrendering six runs or more in three of the last four starts.
The over is 13-6-3 in the Mets’ last 22 games on Monday and 48-23-3 in the last 74 against N.L. Central opponents. On the flip side, St. Louis is on “under” streaks of 7-3-1 as an underdog, 7-3-2 in series openers, 6-1 on Monday, 7-3 with Wellemeyer starting, 7-1 with Wellemeyer working on the road and 5-1 when Wellemeyer pitches on Monday.
Lastly, the over is 7-1-1 in the last nine meetings between these clubs (2-1 this season), but the under is 6-2-1 in the last nine clashes in New York.
ATS ADVANTAGE: ST. LOUIS
Colorado (36-33) at L.A. Angels (36-31)
The red-hot Rockies resume interleague play when they visit Southern California for a three-game series against the Angels. Aaron Cook (6-3, 4.23) gets the call for Colorado against unbeaten rookie Matt Palmer (6-0, 4.13).
Colorado completed a three-game home sweep of the Pirates with Sunday’s 5-4 victory, improving to 16-1 in its last 17 games. The Rockies’ incredible surge began with an 11-game winning streak – including eight straight road wins – and after a 12-4 home loss to Tampa Bay on Tuesday, they’ve bounced back with five consecutive wins. Additionally, Colorado is on runs of 11-1 as an underdog and 7-1 in interleague play this season, including 4-0 versus the A.L. West.
Los Angeles is coming off Sunday night’s 5-3 loss to the crosstown rival Dodgers and has now followed up a seven-game winning streak with consecutive defeats. Still, the Angels are on impressive runs of 8-2 as a favorite, 5-2 at home, 4-1 on Monday and 5-0 in series openers. Additionally, despite losing to the Dodgers the last two days, the Halos carry positive interleague trends of 35-17 overall, 20-7 against winning teams and 19-8 against the N.L. West.
The Angels have handled Colorado recently, winning seven of the last nine head-to-head clashes.
Cook is 3-0 with a 2.14 ERA in his last three starts, all of them quality outings, and he’s given up four earned runs or fewer in 11 straight starts (three earned runs or less in nine of those games). On the road this season, the veteran right-hander is 3-2 with a 4.40 ERA, but 3-1 with a 1.86 ERA in the last four on the highway.
Although Cook has been pitching well recently, Colorado is 8-20 in his last 28 road starts against winning teams, 2-5 in his last seven interleague outings and 1-5 in his last six on Monday. However, in his only career start against the Angels back in 2006, Cook earned a 12-4 road win, giving up three runs in seven innings.
Palmer has delivered three straight quality starts (2.79 ERA), including Wednesday at San Francisco as he gave up three runs on six hits in 6 1/3 innings. He left trailing 3-1, but Los Angeles rallied for a 4-3 victory, improving to 8-1 with Palmer on the hill this season, including 4-1 at home. The right-hander is 4-0 with a 3.41 ERA in those five games at Angel Stadium.
Palmer made three starts with San Francisco last August, the final one being a 7-2 loss to Colorado as he yielded five runs (four earned) in 4 1/3 innings, allowing four hits while walking six.
With Cook pitching, the “over” is on runs of 17-7-2 overall, 10-2-1 on the road and 6-1-1 as an underdog, but his last four interleague starts have stayed low. Meanwhile, the over is 6-3 in Palmer’s nine starts this year.
Colorado is on “under” stretches of 19-8-1 against American League opponents, 4-0 in interleague roadies, 4-1 as an underdog and 13-6-2 as a road pup. Conversely, for the Angels, the “over” is on runs of 7-3-1 overall (all against the N.L. West), 5-2 at home, 7-2-1 as a favorite and 5-2 against right-handed pitching. Finally, the over is 4-1-1 in the last six battles between these squads and 4-1-2 in the last seven meetings in Anaheim.
ATS ADVANTAGE: OVER