COMP PLAYS
Craig Trapp
Denver Nuggets vs. Dallas Mavericks
Play Under: 210½
Under is 8-3 in the last 11 meetings in Dallas.
Under is 7-2 in DEN last 9 road games.
Great Trends back up the capping on this play. Denver does not score near as well on road and also Dallas will be balls to the wall on defense to try and fight off elimination. The only worry here would be OT but no way these two get over 210. Denver might even be a lock down defense tonight as they would love a rest before facing LAL!! SCORE DEN 99 - DAL 96
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants
Play: San Francisco Giants
Was not going to release a Bonus Play winner but figured what the hell lets give out a premium play on Monday. Very light day in sports but Craig has very easy winner. Take a look at the records, trends, and winning breakdown here.
Records
Washington Nationals 10-19, 5-12 away (Cabrera 0-3, 4.85 ERA)
San Francisco 16-14, 10-4 home (Johnson 2-3, 5.68 ERA)
Betting Trends
Nationals are 0-6 in Cabreras last 6 starts.
Nationals are 3-9 in their last 12 during game 1 of a series.
Giants are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a favorite.
Giants are 7-2 in their last 9 home games.
Not sure how the lowly Nationals are not an even larger M/L underdog but we will take it and love every bit of it as SF wins easily. Also love that Washington is having to travel after losing in ARIZONA on Sunday. Washington is pitiful on the road with only 5 wins. The Giants go for their 14th win in 20 games and their eighth straight against the Nationals. The Giants hand the ball to Randy Johnson, who's three wins shy of 300, he is 2-1 with a 1.89 ERA in his first three home starts for the Giants. Lucky for the Giants hitters they get to face Cabrera today who can't get a win (0-6). Not even close today SF WINS EASY. SF 7 - WASH 3
Big Al McMordie
Washington at San Francisco
Pick Selection: SF Giants
At 10:15pm our complimentary selection is on the San Francisco Giants over the Washington Nationals. At first glance it would seem that Nats starter Daniel Cabrera and Giants starter Randy Johnson are having parallel seasons. But actually nothing could be further from the truth. While Johnson has been alternating great and poor outings, Cabrera has just been consistently bad. And while, surprisingly, Johnson's ERA is the higher of the two, there are at least two reasons for his team to be very optimistic about this evening. First, it's time for one of the Big Unit's strong starts, as he had almost identical seven-inning shutout performances two starts back and four starts back. Second, both of those starts (his two best starts of the year by far) were his only two at home, and tonight Johnson will be on the mound at AT&T Park for the third time. Don't try to find any pattern in Cabrera's performances to date. Just as was the case for most of the time with the Orioles, Cabrera has had trouble finding the plate and staying consistent. Even when he has several good innings in a row, it seems like a blow-up is right around the corner, as happened in his last start against the Dodgers when he was pretty effective through the first four innings, only to come apart in innings five and six. Cabrera has give up 10 total walks in his last two starts covering just 11 1/3 innings. It's uncertain how long the Nats will stick with him in their rotation, but it's unlikely they will be as patient as the Orioles were before finally giving up on him at the end of 2008 after five full seasons of frustration. Take the Giants.
Sports Gambling Hotline
Cleveland at ATLANTA
Tonight we play the Cavs-Hawks game UNDER the posted total.
Cleveland netted 97 points on Saturday, and the contest still stayed UNDER the total. We expect to see a similar type of game played out tonight at Philips Arena, and another UNDER the total to cash in.
Atlanta is on a 7-1 UNDER run when installed as the underdog, and 3 of the last 5 series meetings between the clubs have stayed LOW.
The Cavaliers are on a 5-1 playoff UNDER run, while the Hawks are on a 6-2 playoff UNDER run.
Just not enough offense here tonight to make us feel comfortable backing the OVER.
Play on the LOW in tonight's Cleveland-Atlanta contest.
1? UNDER
Karl Garrett
White Sox at CLEVELAND
Tonight on the diamond, look for the bats to get cranking in this Chicago-Cleveland game.
Both teams have been playing them LOW of late, as the Pale Hose have been UNDER the total in 4 straight, while the Tribe have been UNDER in their last 3.
That changes tonight with Gavin Floyd, and Carl Pavano serving them up.
Floyd sports a season ERA over 6, and 5 of his 6 starts this season have landed OVER the posted total.
Pavano's season ERA is also over 6, and 4 of his 6 season starts have landed OVER the total.
In last year's season series, 10 of the 18 games played between the teams did land HIGH, and the G-Man likes this one to also land OVER the total.
2? OVER
Bobby Maxwell
Cleveland -10 at ATLANTA
It looks like Cleveland is on a mission, so tonigh LeBron and his gang will finish off the Hawks and move on to the Eastern Conference finals. They haven't been challenged in a playoff game yet, winning and covering in all seven and we don't expect tonight to be the first time they fail. Play the Cavs as they wrap this series up with a 15-20 point win.
Saturday was their first semi-challenge as the Hawks were in the game until midway through the third quarter but watching it you just had that feeling the Cavs were just toying with the Hawks and had the ability to turn it on when they wanted. Tonight you'll see the Cavaliers play an inspired first half and get up big by halftime and then the Hawks will throw in the towel in the second half and it'll be an ugly final 20 minutes or so with backups in the game.
Cleveland has won every playoff game by double digits and their defense is giving up less than 80 points a game in the postseason. They seem to understand that they let LeBron draw the attention and the guards hit the open shots and the big guys rebound and make their putbacks and free throws.
Then there's LeBron who decided he do it from the outside on Saturday and was knocking down 3-pointers from everywhere. Tonight he might decide to show off his driving skill and have a few early dunks to demoralize the Hawks.
Atlanta can't seem to do anything right and they just can't score enough points to prove a threat to the Cavs. We'll lay the big chalk and play Cleveland tonight.
3? CLEVELAND
Jimmy The Moose
Washington Nationals at San Francisco Giants
Prediction: San Francisco Giants
Both teams come into this game having won 3 of their last 4. On the road the Nationals are 5-12 and will be facing a good home team in the Giants who are 10-4 at home. The Nationals send Cabrera to the mound and he takes his 0-3 record with him. The Nationals have lost all 6 of his starts this season. Randy Johnson's on the mound for the Giants and San Francisco has won 3 of his last 4 starts. Take the home team tonight. Play on the San Francisco Giants -.
Red Dog Sports
Chicago White Sox at Cleveland
Play Over 10.5
Cleveland has gone over in 8 of their last 11 and the White Sox have played 8 overs and 2 unders in their last 10 as an underdog. Floyd has an ERA of 6.29 and Pavano has an ERA of 6.61. These two have combined for 9 overs and 3 unders. Look for the over to cash on Monday!
Cajun Sports
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants
Play: San Francisco Giants
AT&T Park will be the site of a three-game series set to begin on Monday night at 10:15PM EST between the host San Francisco Giants and the visiting Washington Nationals. The Nationals are 28-65 W/L (-28.0) when playing against a team with a winning record the last 2 seasons and 7-27 W/L (-17.6) in road games versus a National League team with a batting average of .255 or worse the last 2 seasons. Washington will send right-hander Daniel Cabrera to the bump with his 0-3 W/L record on the highway this season and his ERA of 6.59 including a WHIP of 2.196. Cabrera has averaged allowing 16.69 men on base this season and has a Power Efficiency Rating of -4.65 not good numbers for a Nationals team that needs solid performances out of their starters. The Nationals bullpen has an ERA of 5.27 and a WHIP of 1.651 on the road this season. Cabrera is 0-6 W/L his last six starts as an underdog and Washington is 13-32 W/L (-15.3) when Cabrera takes the bump as an underdog of +100 or more. The Nationals are 15-46 W/L their last sixty-one installed as a road underdog and 13-39 W/L their last fifty-two road games versus a team with a winning record. San Francisco is 10-4 W/L (+6.2) when playing at home this season and 10-10 W/L (+1.6) when facing a right-handed starter. The Giants will send left-hander Randy Johnson to the hill with his 2-1 W/L record at home with an ERA of 1.89 and a WHIP of 0.632. Johnson’s numbers are better than Cabrera’s in that he only allows 12.51 men on base and has a Power Efficiency Rating of +5.02; he also gets solid support from the bullpen as they have an ERA of 2.92 and a WHIP of 1.525 at home the season. San Francisco is 5-1 W/L their last six as a favorite, 7-2 W/L their last nine at home, 6-2 W/L their last eight as a home favorite and 14-6 W/L their last twenty facing a team with a win percentage of less than .400 on the year. Key Angle: Washington is 4-14 W/L (-12.0) when Cabrera takes the bump versus teams averaging 0.9 or less homeruns per game the last 2 seasons. Key System: Play On MLB home favorites with a money line of -110 or higher stranding 6.9 or less runners on base per game on the season against an opponent with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 2.000 or more over his last 3 starts, 117-42 W/L (+53.2) the last five seasons. With solid fundamental and technical support for the host we will back the Giants here as they get the win over the Nationals in the Golden Gate City on Monday night.
Graded Selection: 2* San Francisco Giants 4 Washington Nationals 2
Alex Smart
Dallas Mavericks -1.5
A lot of controversy swirled around some questionable non calls by the referees in game 3 of this Denver Nuggets vs Dallas Mavericks western conference series , that allowed Carmelo Anthony to eventually hit a late 3 pointer , for a 106-105 win by the Nuggets. Antoine Wright deliberately bumped Anthony twice, but no call. That seemed odd considering how easily the officials had blown the whistle the whole game, only to turn their heads in this spot. That did not set well with the Mavericks, and I'm sure the league was not happy either , especially after the scandals that rocked the NBA over the last few years. NBA spokesman Tim Frank said Sunday that the league was still reviewing the post-game scene on the court, when Mavericks' Josh Howard and team owner Mark Cuban were among those that were shown to be extremely upset. Now with desperation on their plates, and the motivation of feeling like they were ripped off I expect the Mavs to come out here and play one of their best games of the playoffs, behind what will be a pumped up crowd. Here is a quote from Denvers Chauncey Billups that sums up tonights situation: "They're facing elimination. That's always the toughest game to win, especially in a sweep situation. They're going to fight really hard and do everything they can possibly do to keep their season alive." It must be noted that the Dallas Mavericks have never been swept in a 4 game series, and I am betting nothing changes tonight. .....Projected score: Dallas 107 Denver 103- Play on Mavs to cover
Frank Jordan
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets
Play: New York Mets
Atlanta and the NY Mets are each sending a 4-1 pitcher to the mound as the Braves send Derek Lowe up against the Mets Johan Santana. Lowe has an era of just under 4 so he is getting run support to be at 4-1 while Santana struggles to win games with an era of under 1. In this one look for a pitchers duel at Citi Field with the Mets and Santana coming out on top 2-1. Play NY Mets
Cappers Access
Mavericks
W. Sox
Joe Wiz
Chisox Cleve Under
Mets/ Braves Under
Giants