MNF! U Can't Beat The "Value Of 7"

[TheShotDoctor]

14-3-3

I've Been Doing This Since The Preseason..........& Will Continue To Do It....! If The Total For Any Quarter Is 7, No Matter How Good The Defenses Are....TAKE THE OVER!
50% Of WINNING..25% Of PUSHING..25% Of LOSING!
All You Need Is 1 TD To PUSH..Anything More Is A WIN!
Most Games Are 7.5, 9.5, 10, even 14....So When I See A Total For A Quarter Just 7.....I SLAM IT!




PITT/WASH 1st Q OVER 7 -105...........10 UNITS

PITT/WASH 3rd Q OVER 7 -110...........10 UNITS




ENJOY--NW

 

[VEGASBABY+]

Yeah until its 3-0 pitt after one

 

[Indianwells]

Seems solid. I'll give it a shot. BOL tonight

 

[maheha]

I can't argue with the record, however your math is obviously wrong "50% Of WINNING..25% Of PUSHING..25% Of LOSING!"
i dont see it lol, if you can explain please do, if not i understand...

0-0
3-0
0-3
3-3
6-0
0-6

are all possible scores for 1 quarter of play i dont understand how you can only lose 25% of the time

 

[Jetplane]

I can't argue with the record, however your math is obviously wrong "50% Of WINNING..25% Of PUSHING..25% Of LOSING!"
i dont see it lol, if you can explain please do, if not i understand...

0-0
3-0
0-3
3-3
6-0
0-6

are all possible scores for 1 quarter of play i dont understand how you can only lose 25% of the time

schnap >:X

 

[wizardofodd]

I can't argue with the record, however your math is obviously wrong "50% Of WINNING..25% Of PUSHING..25% Of LOSING!"
i dont see it lol, if you can explain please do, if not i understand...

0-0
3-0
0-3
3-3
6-0
0-6

are all possible scores for 1 quarter of play i dont understand how you can only lose 25% of the time

also...

0-2
2-0
2-2
2-3
3-2

 

[MarkieMark+]

i dont understand how you can only lose 25% of the time

Mr. NW also believes that you only have a 25% chance of losing the lottery.

 

[bigwillokc]

don't forget:
0-2
2-0
2-3
3-2

 

[MarkieMark+]

don't forget:
0-2
2-0
2-3
3-2

2-2
4-2
2-4
5-0
0-5

 

[Johnny~Vegas]

I wouldnt bet on this system with your money!

 

[aderol]

2-2
4-2
2-4
5-0
0-5

this logic doesn't really work either though. there are a finite number of totals under 7, but an infinite number of scores over 7.
7-2
7-3
7-5
7-6
7-7
7-8
7-9
7-10
pick any number

 

[maheha]

i was referring to more realistic scores, not saftey or two safties, etc. and yes there are an infinite number over 7 thats not the argument i was trying to make, like i said I cant argue with the record all I am saying to make a statment like only 25% of the time it loses when the #1 ranked defense in the league is involved in the game it is not a must bet... bol either way and the record is pretty impressive...
:toast:

 

[krh7]

Mr. NW also believes that you only have a 25% chance of losing the lottery.

:lol:

 

[rrwwdd]

Not sure, but I believe what NW is saying, is that: On MNF, if the qtr total is 7, 50% of the time it has won.

He did post a 14-3-3 record which is actually greater then the 50%.

 

[MarkieMark+]

Not sure, but I believe what NW is saying, is that: On MNF, if the qtr total is 7, 50% of the time it has won.

He did post a 14-3-3 record which is actually greater then the 50%.

Do you actually believe that record?

You must be new to the deceitful ways of Mr. NW.

NW is an attention whore who posts fake tickets to get that attention. This is only one instance of Mr. NW's fraudulent actions that litter this site

 

[ivan722]

Bol but just remember, it's posted at 7 for a reason.

hno:

 

[SHADY]

Do you actually believe that record?

You must be new to the deceitful ways of Mr. NW.

NW is an attention whore who posts fake tickets to get that attention. This is only one instance of Mr. NW's fraudulent actions that litter this site

:toast:

 

[YourAllAmerican]

Guys, there's a lot of validity to this system of quarter betting. It's not the number of possible ways for a total of under 7 to occur that affects the percentages, it's the likelihood of each manner of scoring that's important. There are a lot more quarters that have a touchdown than there are quarters with a safety, for example.

A very fast bit of backtesting on sportsdatabase gave me the following results dating back to and including the 2002 season:

PERCENTAGE OF QUARTERS WITH 7 OR MORE POINTS SCORED

Q1: 81%
Q2: 74%
Q3: 30%
Q4: 68%

This is based on 1,464 games, so the sample size is a good one. Do be aware that my testing was very fast and I haven't proofed my queries, but at a quick glance there does appear to be a lot of value in this type of wager, with the notable exception of the third quarter, where there is equal value in taking the Under 7.

 

[TheShotDoctor]

Play Or Fade! The Choice Is Yours!

PERCENTAGE OF QUARTERS WITH 7 OR MORE POINTS SCORED

Q1: 81%
Q2: 74%
Q3: 30%
Q4: 68%





Yes & Q1 & Q3 Are The Ones With A Total Of 7 & The Ones We Are Going For Tonight. As Always Just Trying To Help!


All The Best
---NW---

 

[TheShotDoctor]

Not Very Logical!

2-2
4-2
2-4
5-0
0-5



Not Likely........It's Very Obviou Alot Of You Are New To This Thing Called Gambling!

7.....IS A KEY NUMBER!


NWhno: