mnf - aaron rogers vs philadelphia eagles

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Sep 20, 2004
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3* (20-18) (-1.35)
2* (18-20) (-10.10)
1* (17-19) (-3.95)
TOTAL (55-57) (-15.40)


3-0 picking up 9.00 units on Thanksgiving Day. 7-0 picking up 14.00 units on Sunday. Gravity check!! Is the earth still spinning? Really knocked a huge chunk out of my deficit the past two weeks. One more game this week.



3* Philly -4.5 vs Green Bay
3* Over 47.5 Green Bay/Philly

I keep waiting for Aaron Rogers to win thinking this cannot go another game and it keeps costing me money. Their defense sucks, they have no running game and Rogers just cannot do it by himself.

The Packers defense will make Philly’s offense look better than it is. I think they take a double digit lead and the Packers just keep on throwing and throwing. Let’s call it Philadelphia 31 Green Bay 23. The final score indicates a closer game than it will actually be.

Good Luck!!
 

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If you looked at the two teams without their "brands":

-yardage differentials, home team is superior
-strength of schedules, home team played a significantly harder one but has better record
-last 3 games results for visitor, allowing 42, 47, 31 points in losses
-visitor was in "must win" game last week got blown out by another border line playoff team
-conference strengths home team is in much stronger conference
-third road game in a row for visitor
-run "O" for home is superior to visitor
-run "D" for home is superior to visitor
-home team 4-0 SU & ATS
-much more injuries to the road team especially DB's, LB, OL
-key match up: strong DL for home team vs injured OL for visitor

Then the home team should be an 8-10 point favorite. But the public is still thinking The Packers are the Packers from the last decade. They are not. OK Rodgers is still playing well but...
 

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conference strengths home team is in much stronger conference

You mean division?
 

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conference strengths home team is in much stronger conference

You mean division?

Yes NFCE...
Dallas, NY, and Skins all in the playoffs if season ended today and Philly is in the hunt, NFCE has done well against non Division foes ATS.
 

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