MLB Wednesday

[Phaedrus]

Record currently 33-32 +12.643 units.

Monster card today, with twelve plays and over 38% at stake.

All lines are from MegaSB

Texas -118, 2.36 units to win 2.00 units

Oakland +201, 0.5 units to win 1.005 units
Kansas City (-1.5) +233, 0.5 units to win 1.165 units
Arizona (-1.5) +242, 0.5 units to win 1.21 units

Detroit (+1.5) -123, 2.46 units to win 2 units
Detroit +166, 1 unit to win 1.66 units
Detroit (-1.5) +247, 0.5 units to win 1.235 units

Toronto (-1.5) +177, 1 unit to win 1.77 units

Atlanta (-1.5) +151, 1 unit to win 1.51 units

Cubs-Milwaukee <7 +109, 1 unit to win 1.09 units

Colorado +131, 1 unit to win 1.31 units
San Francisco (-1.5) +158, 1 unit to win 1.58 units


Best of luck to all today, mostly to me as I'll be needing it the most.

Phaedrus

 

[PatPatriot]

Reds don't interest you?

 

[maxdemo]

Bold call on Detroit Vs NYY....

 

[Phaedrus]

Patriot

Right now I'm not real wild about the Reds on the road. Of course I'm not real wild about the Reds in general -- they are the #2 moneymaker in MLB and they lose practically every time I play them. I'm down six units on the Reds in the last month.

maxdemo

It looks like a lot, but all it really is is a two-unit play on the RL hedged with some smaller bets "just in case." Aside from the Bosox, the Yankees are the letdown kings this year, and Detroit has been full of suprises.

Overall I am a little queasy about having this much money on the table in a single day, but I have found that second-guessing my plays tends to cost me more than letting them play out.


Phaedrus

 

[Phaedrus]

YES YES BABIES!

Detroit gets me off to a good start, 3-0 +4.895 units.

Just, um, nine more plays to go and 3.965 more units to break-even.

BTW, I made an enormous error in math earlier. I did not have 38% of my bankroll on the line today -- I had just over 12% at risk. I realised the mistake after I looked back at the calculations, thinking that that couldn't possibly be right.

Anyway. Off to a nice start.


Phaedrus

 

[barman]

I think your success would increase if you listed your results down to the fifth decimal point instead of just three.

We're just punked because we slept in this morning and missed getting a Unit on the Tigers ourselves.

Keep jammin'

 

[Phaedrus]

lol@barman

An unavoidable consequence of putting half-units on alt run lines.

And oh what a day. A truly suprising 8-4 day for over ten units profit brings me to 41-36 +22.988 units on the season.


Phaedrus

 

[maxdemo]

Phaedrus;
Congrats on the winner..I try not to 2nd guess my picks either...its tough sometimes...but good call.