I may add later.
Cubs @ Pirates
Play: Cubs +116
Intrinsic Value: -113
Consider Buying Price: +101
Comment:
No matter what happens in the continuation game, I view the Cubs undervalued in the following game. Despite being high on Snell, he is no longer a secret, as the general public has caught on to his pitching abilities, and are now exaggerating his abilities by over bidding on the Pirates. This appears to be a good spot for Snell to come back to earth, as he faces a team that dominated him last year and fundamentally matches up well with is power pitching style. He has actually been more vulnerable this year against right handed hitters, which could be a problem going up against a lineup loaded from the right side. Almost all his poor outings in his career have occurred during day games, as he was one of the worst day game pitchers in baseball last year. He comes into today’s game with a career day game ERA over six. There are several Cubs batters that have hit him well in limited at bats, while even Soriano took him deep last year when playing for the Nats. The Pirates bullpen has been solid, but still are vulnerable in the backend, as Torres is still a liability on the mound. The Cubs have one of the most potent lineups in baseball, and sooner or later will show that to be the case. They went deep three times yesterday.
Snell is not the only starting pitcher in this game that has been dominant on the mound to start off the season, as Marquis is showing his potential as well. He seems to have gotten his head on straight and has fixed a couple of deficiencies that plagued his season last year. He was one of the easiest pitchers to hit home runs against last year, but this year has allowed just one home run. He has been one of the hardest pitchers to get hits off of, and has been dominating both right and left handed hitting. He has always been more effective on the road and during day games, two variables that will also be working in his favor. He has also had solid career success against the Pirates, especially in this park. The depth in the Cubs bullpen allows them to be built for having to pitch in two games in one day. The Pirates have done a good job winning games, but their propensity to play station to station baseball still exists, making their offense not terribly potent, and are still struggling to score runs.
Cubs @ Pirates
Play: Cubs +116
Intrinsic Value: -113
Consider Buying Price: +101
Comment:
No matter what happens in the continuation game, I view the Cubs undervalued in the following game. Despite being high on Snell, he is no longer a secret, as the general public has caught on to his pitching abilities, and are now exaggerating his abilities by over bidding on the Pirates. This appears to be a good spot for Snell to come back to earth, as he faces a team that dominated him last year and fundamentally matches up well with is power pitching style. He has actually been more vulnerable this year against right handed hitters, which could be a problem going up against a lineup loaded from the right side. Almost all his poor outings in his career have occurred during day games, as he was one of the worst day game pitchers in baseball last year. He comes into today’s game with a career day game ERA over six. There are several Cubs batters that have hit him well in limited at bats, while even Soriano took him deep last year when playing for the Nats. The Pirates bullpen has been solid, but still are vulnerable in the backend, as Torres is still a liability on the mound. The Cubs have one of the most potent lineups in baseball, and sooner or later will show that to be the case. They went deep three times yesterday.
Snell is not the only starting pitcher in this game that has been dominant on the mound to start off the season, as Marquis is showing his potential as well. He seems to have gotten his head on straight and has fixed a couple of deficiencies that plagued his season last year. He was one of the easiest pitchers to hit home runs against last year, but this year has allowed just one home run. He has been one of the hardest pitchers to get hits off of, and has been dominating both right and left handed hitting. He has always been more effective on the road and during day games, two variables that will also be working in his favor. He has also had solid career success against the Pirates, especially in this park. The depth in the Cubs bullpen allows them to be built for having to pitch in two games in one day. The Pirates have done a good job winning games, but their propensity to play station to station baseball still exists, making their offense not terribly potent, and are still struggling to score runs.