MLB Total Season wins - DODGERS 82 1/2

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I am pounding the table on this play.
Los Angeles starting pitchers have
been HORRIBLE this spring, with Weaver,
Nomo, and Ishii struggling with ERA's over 8 !!
This combined with some of the worst offensive
production in '03, does not bode well for the boys
of Chavez Ravine.

In my eyes McCourt will be the deciding factor
to the success or failure in '04. I'm still not convinced
he has the capital to bring talent into the organization right away.
That being said, i see the longer term outlook for Los Angeles to be bright as DiPodesta should build upon the solid foundation in the minor leagues.

They may be no worse than last years 3 1/2 runs per game,
but when your biggest offseason additions are Robin Ventura, and Juan Encarnacion, this doesn't bode well for the offensive production, although i do like Encarnacion.

Dodgers team ERA in 2003 was 3.16. Replacing Kevin Brown and his 32 starts / 2.39 ERA with Jeff Weaver is a huge downgrade.
Also, counting on Gagne to have another legendary year, 55 saves / 1.20 ERA, will certainly be a tall task. Especially when
he may not have the abundance of save opportunities as last yr.

Their starting rotation is a sea of mediocrity. I just don't see anyone stepping up to stop a losing streak. Nomo, Ishii, Perez, and Weaver does not exactly strike fear into opponents.

I personally don't see enough run production to keep up with the improved teams of the NL West.

Division wise, LA finished above .500 against only the NL Central in 2003. With Houston and Chicago vastly improved this off season and the perennially tough Cardinals, it would be unlikely for them to repeat their 23-13 record against the NL Central.

My projection: Dodgers 73 - 78 wins in 2004.

enjoy.
 

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Perez has a 0.96 era this spring.

In that division the Dodgers will be able to win 82-86. Green is healthy again.


-MC
 

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I keep going back and forth myself. The one thing that will probably put them over is that the division is horrible. SF has gotten worse, and Colorado has Shawn Estes starting on opening day
icon_eek.gif
. With Gagne as the closer, it looks like they may squeak out the wins.
 

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Madcapper,

You're kidding right ?

Green is a shell of his
former self. He is batting
a whopping .250 in spring training.
Expect more of the same during the regular season.

The Dodger pitching staff is RUBBISH.
A combined ERA of over 5.

Perez looks sharp, but he
is 1/5 of the freaking staff !!
Shuey is injured, and Quantrill is gone.

Gagne will not have nearly the amount of
opportunities he had last yr.

Granted, the division is wide open.
Giants, AZ are weaker, Padres / stronger.

Come on MC, you're smarter than that.

73-78. TOTALS PLAY of the YEAR.
 

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Dude,

Are you really judging spring stats??

Pedro has a 6.96 era!
Pettitte 0.99 era!
Abraham Nunezz 9 HR!!!

I, like many, have the Dodgers winning this terrible division. They can win anywhere between 80-88. Not less. Not more. They still have a solid staff with Nomo, Perez, Ishii. Its not terrible. Green was injured last yr with a terrible elbow. He is back. Gagne will have the same amount of opps because they dont score enuff runs to blow teams out. They have a very good defensive team with the addition of Encarnacion in the OF.

Dodgers 85
Giants 83
D-Backs 77
Padres 74
Rockies 64

-MC
 

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I have the over in this one, but I am considering backing out. Shuey is hurt and out for 2 months, Mota has only pitched 3 innings this Spring due to injuries. But as bad as this divsion is, they should be able to pull out 83 wins.

IS
 

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Hopefully, if the Dodgers are near the top towards the end of the year, they pick up another bat.

IS
 

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