9/9:
Cubs ML -128
Anytime Lester is on the mound, I like my chances. Lester has been dominant at Home and Away this year and he is going up against a depleted Astros pitching staff. Look for Lester to go deep into this game and the Astros to struggle on the mound. Lester boasts a WHIP of 1.04 and a BAA of 2.11 this year with only a minor increase in these numbers away from home. The Astros are hitting a lowly .248 as a team, they are banged up, and they are tired from a 7 game road trip. The Astros are a much better team at home but I don't think they will be good enough to stop Lester and the Cubbies today.
Cubs/Astros U8 -117
On the surface, it looks like the Cubs could cover this number themselves. But if you look deeper, when the Cubs are away, they aren't the same team offensively as they are when at home. I would look for Lester to go deep and give up a run or 2 and the Cubs to produce about 4 or 5 for the win but I will sweat this one out to stay under 8.
Yankees/Rays O8.5 -111
The pitching matchup here is a disaster. You wouldn't tell from Snell's ERA that he is prone to give up some big numbers. ERA doesn't always tell the whole story. While he has only given up 28 Earned Runs this year, he has given up a total of 37 Runs in only 74.1 innings of work. The telling stats are his WHIP at 1.57 and his BAA at .262. Snell allows lots of baserunners and the Yankees will capitalize. On the other side, you have Pineda who has more innings of work under his belt than Snell, but he is just as bad with allowing baserunners. His WHIP is also high at 1.35 and his BAA is .271. Not to mention his ERA against the Rays this year is 11.05!!! This one has Over written all over it.
Dodgers ML -132
I'll make this REAL simple. Kershaw is BACK!!! If you give me Kershaw at -132 against a team that is 26th in the league overall putting up runs, I'll take my chances every day of the week and twice on Sunday with Kershaw. On top of that, the Dodgers are playing for Playoff contention and the Marlins have just flat out sucked lately and their playoff hopes are all but gone. I think the Dodgers will be jacked to have Kershaw back and I think Kershaw will be just as jacked to be back on the mound. My only word of caution would be that Kershaw will almost certainly be on a pitchcount so his innings will be limited. I still think its enough for a small wager here as the Dodgers are still the better team with more to fight for than the Marlins.
Giants ML 1st 5 U4.5 -116
With the Giants slumping at the plate and Bumgarner on the hill tonight, I see this being a low scoring affair for the 1st 5 innings. Bumgarner is boasting a stout WHIP of 1.04, opponents are only hitting .212 off him and his ERA is 2.51 and he's averaging about 6.2 innings per start. He will keep the D'backs quiet for the half of the game so I would basically put my money that the Giants can't score 3 or more runs in 5 innings.
Rockies/Padres O8.5 -114
I don't see the Padres contributing to this number as much as I do the Rockies. Perdomo has been pretty awful this year with a 1.69 WHIP, an ERA of 5.92, and giving up 163 hits in 121.2 innings of work. The Padres took the Rockies to the woodshed last night so I look for the Rockies to come out swinging tonight. With Perdomo's awful numbers, we know he allows a TON of baserunners. The Rockies are 2nd in the league in runs scored and 2nd in the league in batting average. I expect the Rockies to light up Perdomo and get to the Padres bullpen quick. The Padres will contribute as well. I would love to take the Rockies outright here but they are just not very good on the road and there's no telling what can happen in innings 6-9. Take the over as a safe play tonight.
Let's see if we can tack on to the 5-0 start from last night!! BOL and let's win this dang money!!
Cubs ML -128
Anytime Lester is on the mound, I like my chances. Lester has been dominant at Home and Away this year and he is going up against a depleted Astros pitching staff. Look for Lester to go deep into this game and the Astros to struggle on the mound. Lester boasts a WHIP of 1.04 and a BAA of 2.11 this year with only a minor increase in these numbers away from home. The Astros are hitting a lowly .248 as a team, they are banged up, and they are tired from a 7 game road trip. The Astros are a much better team at home but I don't think they will be good enough to stop Lester and the Cubbies today.
Cubs/Astros U8 -117
On the surface, it looks like the Cubs could cover this number themselves. But if you look deeper, when the Cubs are away, they aren't the same team offensively as they are when at home. I would look for Lester to go deep and give up a run or 2 and the Cubs to produce about 4 or 5 for the win but I will sweat this one out to stay under 8.
Yankees/Rays O8.5 -111
The pitching matchup here is a disaster. You wouldn't tell from Snell's ERA that he is prone to give up some big numbers. ERA doesn't always tell the whole story. While he has only given up 28 Earned Runs this year, he has given up a total of 37 Runs in only 74.1 innings of work. The telling stats are his WHIP at 1.57 and his BAA at .262. Snell allows lots of baserunners and the Yankees will capitalize. On the other side, you have Pineda who has more innings of work under his belt than Snell, but he is just as bad with allowing baserunners. His WHIP is also high at 1.35 and his BAA is .271. Not to mention his ERA against the Rays this year is 11.05!!! This one has Over written all over it.
Dodgers ML -132
I'll make this REAL simple. Kershaw is BACK!!! If you give me Kershaw at -132 against a team that is 26th in the league overall putting up runs, I'll take my chances every day of the week and twice on Sunday with Kershaw. On top of that, the Dodgers are playing for Playoff contention and the Marlins have just flat out sucked lately and their playoff hopes are all but gone. I think the Dodgers will be jacked to have Kershaw back and I think Kershaw will be just as jacked to be back on the mound. My only word of caution would be that Kershaw will almost certainly be on a pitchcount so his innings will be limited. I still think its enough for a small wager here as the Dodgers are still the better team with more to fight for than the Marlins.
Giants ML 1st 5 U4.5 -116
With the Giants slumping at the plate and Bumgarner on the hill tonight, I see this being a low scoring affair for the 1st 5 innings. Bumgarner is boasting a stout WHIP of 1.04, opponents are only hitting .212 off him and his ERA is 2.51 and he's averaging about 6.2 innings per start. He will keep the D'backs quiet for the half of the game so I would basically put my money that the Giants can't score 3 or more runs in 5 innings.
Rockies/Padres O8.5 -114
I don't see the Padres contributing to this number as much as I do the Rockies. Perdomo has been pretty awful this year with a 1.69 WHIP, an ERA of 5.92, and giving up 163 hits in 121.2 innings of work. The Padres took the Rockies to the woodshed last night so I look for the Rockies to come out swinging tonight. With Perdomo's awful numbers, we know he allows a TON of baserunners. The Rockies are 2nd in the league in runs scored and 2nd in the league in batting average. I expect the Rockies to light up Perdomo and get to the Padres bullpen quick. The Padres will contribute as well. I would love to take the Rockies outright here but they are just not very good on the road and there's no telling what can happen in innings 6-9. Take the over as a safe play tonight.
Let's see if we can tack on to the 5-0 start from last night!! BOL and let's win this dang money!!
Solid job on Thursday.....Good luck!
3-3 for the night for a -$64 lick. Fernandez for the Marlins had a career day, Bumgarner was uncharacteristically off his game, and the Rockies/Padres' bats just didn't show up. Hey, that's baseball!! Now you see why I put so much stock in the pitching matchup in making my choice!!
We are still 8-3 for +$474 profit for $100 bettors. I'll post a new thread for today's games soon!!
We are still 8-3 for +$474 profit for $100 bettors. I'll post a new thread for today's games soon!!
