Adding this play as this is the third play out of four that just that is trading right at my target. It appears from today’s lines and tomorrows that lines are tightening and being more efficiently set.
Giants @ Rockies
Play: Giants +133
Intrinsic Value: +116
Consider Betting Price: +133
Comment:
Prior to seasons start, I said that the Rockies were going to be one of the more underrated teams in baseball. During the first week, they were trading at prices well below their intrinsic value. I also claimed that the Giants were going to be one of the most overvalued teams in baseball. I also anticipated Zito being accompanied with an overpriced price tag, while Francis would remain one of the more underrated southpaws in the game. What a difference two weeks make, as the slow start of the Giants and Zito has made the public shy away from them, while they finally caught on to Francis’s ability and are now willing to back him up. However, this is where the contrarian role is intriguing, as the Giants are now the undervalued team in this game.
Although the Rockies have one of the most potent lineups at home in baseball, this is not an ideal match up for them, as they are better suited facing power pitchers that are willing to challenge them with a lot of challenge fastballs. Expect Zito to bring a different approach to the table, as he is a crafty left hander that preys on young lineups that are not willing to take his curveball. He struggled in his first two games, as he faced to veteran lineups with hitters not willing to chase his curve, forcing him to fall behind the count, and come in with his fastball that is not a good challenge pitch. Expect the Rockies to deviate from this game plan and fall right into Zito’s style of pitching. He is also one of the bigger workhorses on the mound and gives the Giants the best chance of eating up innings avoiding their bullpen. Having essentially the last three days off, the Giants bullpen is well rested for this series, while the Rockies pen were asked to do a lot of work in the Dbacks series.
Francis is one of the more promising young left handers in the game, but he just doesn’t fool the Giants. The Giants veteran hitters have shown patience at the plate and don’t chase his sinkerball out of the zone. This has allowed them to consistently smack him around over the last three years. He comes into this game with a five plus ERA against them. Making matters worse for him this year is the return of Arillia, who has hit him well, and the addition of Molina, who has always hit left handed pitching well. He is also backed by a sub par bullpen that has been struggling on the mound of late.
Giants @ Rockies
Play: Giants +133
Intrinsic Value: +116
Consider Betting Price: +133
Comment:
Prior to seasons start, I said that the Rockies were going to be one of the more underrated teams in baseball. During the first week, they were trading at prices well below their intrinsic value. I also claimed that the Giants were going to be one of the most overvalued teams in baseball. I also anticipated Zito being accompanied with an overpriced price tag, while Francis would remain one of the more underrated southpaws in the game. What a difference two weeks make, as the slow start of the Giants and Zito has made the public shy away from them, while they finally caught on to Francis’s ability and are now willing to back him up. However, this is where the contrarian role is intriguing, as the Giants are now the undervalued team in this game.
Although the Rockies have one of the most potent lineups at home in baseball, this is not an ideal match up for them, as they are better suited facing power pitchers that are willing to challenge them with a lot of challenge fastballs. Expect Zito to bring a different approach to the table, as he is a crafty left hander that preys on young lineups that are not willing to take his curveball. He struggled in his first two games, as he faced to veteran lineups with hitters not willing to chase his curve, forcing him to fall behind the count, and come in with his fastball that is not a good challenge pitch. Expect the Rockies to deviate from this game plan and fall right into Zito’s style of pitching. He is also one of the bigger workhorses on the mound and gives the Giants the best chance of eating up innings avoiding their bullpen. Having essentially the last three days off, the Giants bullpen is well rested for this series, while the Rockies pen were asked to do a lot of work in the Dbacks series.
Francis is one of the more promising young left handers in the game, but he just doesn’t fool the Giants. The Giants veteran hitters have shown patience at the plate and don’t chase his sinkerball out of the zone. This has allowed them to consistently smack him around over the last three years. He comes into this game with a five plus ERA against them. Making matters worse for him this year is the return of Arillia, who has hit him well, and the addition of Molina, who has always hit left handed pitching well. He is also backed by a sub par bullpen that has been struggling on the mound of late.
