MLB Home Team "System" 2009 Thread

[SelectiveAscent]

Worked pretty well last year, decided to start it up now this year.

To qualify as a play, Home team must have:

Better record than Away Team
Better Home Record than the Away Team's Away Record
Better SP ERA than Away Team's SP ERA
Better Record in the Last 7 Games

May add/change some qualifications as we go, or if you have any good suggestions.

Thanks

 

[SelectiveAscent]

May 1st:

Toronto Blue Jays –250 (-1.5, -120)
Los Angeles Dodgers –130 (-1.5, +155)
San Francisco Giants –115 (-1.5, +155)

 

[4WhatItsWorth]

May 1st:

Toronto Blue Jays –250 (-1.5, -120)
Los Angeles Dodgers –130 (-1.5, +155)
San Francisco Giants –115 (-1.5, +155)

Whats up man. Looks like a pretty good and simple system. When you say it worked pretty good last year. About how good is pretty good if you could answer that?
I think I might start following this system just betting a small amount on each game that qualifies.

P.S FYI- YOU ARE THE MAN! I LOVE YOUR PLAYS!
15-2, almost to good to be true

 

[SelectiveAscent]

Well all the picks are usually big favorites... That leads to having to hit at a higher % to profit. It hit about 60-70% I think.

 

[BBQMan]

SA, I'm assuming this a different sys. than what got you to 15-2. Will you put " offical" in the thread titles for the days to come, or is this system taking over at this time of year?

 

[SelectiveAscent]

This is just a system.. I am still keeping my "Official" plays threads.:toast:

 

[BBQMan]

Thanks-- just saw it when I reviewed !

 

[SelectiveAscent]

May 1st:

Toronto Blue Jays –250
Los Angeles Dodgers –130
San Francisco Giants –115

3-0, +3 units

What a start

no longer keeping RL record

 

[SelectiveAscent]

YTD Record: 3-0, +3 units

2-May NYY -270
2-May ATL -125
2-May PHI -115
2-May SF -125
2-May SEA -130
2-May LAD -165

 

[Sea-Urchin]

Will you be posting this throughout the season? If you are, I'm on the Ascent Express. Let's roll.

 

[SelectiveAscent]

Yeah, I will post this as long as it is profitable.

 

[SelectiveAscent]

Will you be posting this throughout the season? If you are, I'm on the Ascent Express. Let's roll.

Hopefully you didn't ride on the Ascent Express today. :sad3:

 

[SelectiveAscent]

ouch... 1-4 so far, 1 pending...

I think that "Better SP ERA than Away Team's SP ERA" may need to be more complicated.... Maybe include W/L Record or something.... suggestions?

 

[Sea-Urchin]

Hopefully you didn't ride on the Ascent Express today. :sad3:

No hard feelings SA. You can't win them all...there's no such thing. But I'll still tail you this season. BOL!

 

[SelectiveAscent]

2-May TOTAL 2-4, -4.45
YTD: 5-4, -1.45

 

[SelectiveAscent]

Thoughts on adding "Bullpen ERA" to the qualifications?

 

[SelectiveAscent]

After 5 plays yesterday, Just 1 today.

3-May TOR -120

YTD: 5-4, -1.45

 

[SelectiveAscent]

3-May TODAY 1-0, +1.00
YTD 6-4, -0.45

 

[SelectiveAscent]

4-May DET -130
4-May TB -235
4-May KC -190

YTD 6-4, -0.45

 

[jacksonjohn]

What happened to the system that was 16-4? Thanks and gl.