Hoping to rebound off of a horrible day; albeit my first losing day of the month. I may add more plays later.
Braves @ Pirates
Play: Pirates -105
Intrinsic Value: -142
Consider Betting Price: -128
Comment:
I am not sure how Davies warrants being near even money on the road, but that is the case in today’s game while going up against the ace of the Pirates staff. He just isn’t ready for pitching in the big leagues, as he lacks the overpowering stuff to make up for his high walk propensity. He comes into today’s game with a WHIP of 1.69, and has allowed at least four runs in four straight outings. He has also performed much worse on the road throughout his career, as his road ERA is approaching seven after nearly 100 innings of work. He is also a right handed pitcher that struggles more against right handed bats, as they are hitting over .300 lifetime against him. This is not something you want when going up against a lineup that will put six right handed hitters at the plate. Davies solid past numbers against the Pirates were accumulated a couple of years back when he was actually a more effective pitcher. He is not built to go deep into games, and the underbelly of the Braves bullpen has been struggling of late. Although the Pirates have not been hitting well at home this year, they have shown the last three years that they are a more productive hitting team in their own backyard.
Davies is not the only young pitcher in this game that has been struggling so far year to date, as this has been a poor season thus far for Duke as well. However, Duke has the talent and has proven already that he is a much more effective pitcher than his current season numbers would indicate. Duke has already put forth three solid starts in a row and appears to be getting things back on track. He has been more effective at home and during night games throughout his career, and has put forth solid starts against the Braves in past years. Despite his sub par numbers year to date, he still forces teams to put multiple hits per inning to produce runs, as he has allowed just three home runs all year. the Jones’s come into today’s game a combined 0 for 13 against him. Although the Braves have won their last three games, it has been a product of solid pitching, as their bats have cooled down a bit of late.
Braves @ Pirates
Play: Pirates -105
Intrinsic Value: -142
Consider Betting Price: -128
Comment:
I am not sure how Davies warrants being near even money on the road, but that is the case in today’s game while going up against the ace of the Pirates staff. He just isn’t ready for pitching in the big leagues, as he lacks the overpowering stuff to make up for his high walk propensity. He comes into today’s game with a WHIP of 1.69, and has allowed at least four runs in four straight outings. He has also performed much worse on the road throughout his career, as his road ERA is approaching seven after nearly 100 innings of work. He is also a right handed pitcher that struggles more against right handed bats, as they are hitting over .300 lifetime against him. This is not something you want when going up against a lineup that will put six right handed hitters at the plate. Davies solid past numbers against the Pirates were accumulated a couple of years back when he was actually a more effective pitcher. He is not built to go deep into games, and the underbelly of the Braves bullpen has been struggling of late. Although the Pirates have not been hitting well at home this year, they have shown the last three years that they are a more productive hitting team in their own backyard.
Davies is not the only young pitcher in this game that has been struggling so far year to date, as this has been a poor season thus far for Duke as well. However, Duke has the talent and has proven already that he is a much more effective pitcher than his current season numbers would indicate. Duke has already put forth three solid starts in a row and appears to be getting things back on track. He has been more effective at home and during night games throughout his career, and has put forth solid starts against the Braves in past years. Despite his sub par numbers year to date, he still forces teams to put multiple hits per inning to produce runs, as he has allowed just three home runs all year. the Jones’s come into today’s game a combined 0 for 13 against him. Although the Braves have won their last three games, it has been a product of solid pitching, as their bats have cooled down a bit of late.