MLB 5/1 Plays

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what do you think of Cards/Cin game Sunday? I am loving the over 7.5 here.
 

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bg, can I get your thoughts on the Brewers tomorrow? Wolf has very quietly settled in very nicely his last 2 starts and I am not a believer in Garland at all anymore....think his first couple starts have been a mirage. Only thing that worries me here is Milwaukee has not been getting timely hitting at all lately.

I will have a play on the Brewers. Just don't know the size yet. Garland has been pitching well. But I too question the sustainability, as every single lineup he has faces so far was a fundamentally good match up for him. The Brewers don't match up that well with him either, but it looks like the market is starting to price him at a level he simply can not support in the long run.
 

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what do you think of Cards/Cin game Sunday? I am loving the over 7.5 here.

I will have a small play on the Reds. I think the Over is a decent stand alone bet as well as a hedge to a Reds play, as Reds backers biggest concern is Harrang. His recent struggles is more than just a slump, as there is a mechanical flaw in his delivery he is working on right now. If he is still struggling to fix it, the Over might cash in a hurry. Carpenter is more vulnerable against lineups that are power heavy from the left side. The market appears to be starting to over-adjust to a 8-15 Under record on the Cardinals.
 

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I will have a small play on the Reds. I think the Over is a decent stand alone bet as well as a hedge to a Reds play, as Reds backers biggest concern is Harrang. His recent struggles is more than just a slump, as there is a mechanical flaw in his delivery he is working on right now. If he is still struggling to fix it, the Over might cash in a hurry. Carpenter is more vulnerable against lineups that are power heavy from the left side. The market appears to be starting to over-adjust to a 8-15 Under record on the Cardinals.

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Greetings from the plains, been a while my friend. Suggest you research this one a little more. Carpenter is a perfect 5-0 against the RL, going back to all of last season, when playing the dreads. This has slaughter written all over it.

~T~
 

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