MisterMJ MLB System Plays

[Mistermj]

Play Baltimore for 1 unit +136 at Tampa Bay.

If Baltimore wins we bank it, if they lose we will most likely play Baltimore in the next game for 2 units.


Just a reminder, the system is designed to wager a full unit on each pick...NOT to win 1 unit. We need to leverage the dog lines as much as possible.


Also, keep in mind that we will lose some 2 game chases for a -3 unit loss. Make sure your wager size and your emotions can handle a 3 unit loss...it will happen, but we have a good chance of making profits over the entire season with this system.


I am not a fan of chasing...it is usually a bad thing to do. With this system we are using strict discipline, choosing a very select two game window in which we have an (expected) advantage ... only chasing one time, and leveraging dog lines (plus money) over the entire season.


Good luck.
MJ

Baltimore	-	7:10 PM ET	Baltimore +136	100
Tampa Bay Series Record 3-0 +$388 +3.88 units Game 1's 2-1 Game 2's 1-0

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[Mistermj]

Another Game 1 winner last night with Baltimore. So far so good. Internal chase system stats look good and I will keep a close eye on them to make sure we don't get into too much trouble.

Series Record 4-0 +$524 +5.24 units
Game 1's 3-1
Game 2's 1-0

Nothing qualifies today but there are (1 unit) single game possibilities tomorrow.

MJ

05/06/14 Baltimore +136

100

WON

+136

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04/29/14 NY Mets +136

100

WON

+136

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04/22/14 San Diego +126

200

WON

+252

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04/21/14 San Diego +102

100

LOSS

-100

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04/18/14 Atlanta -106

100

WON

+100

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[Mistermj]

Tampa Bay qualifies as a single game pick tonight...no possible chase involved.

7:10 pm ET Tampa -167 for 1 unit (Play it on the -1.5 Run Line , -1 Run Line or ML at your choosing and risk tolerance)

I will track the ML, -1 and -1.5 Run lines for the single games and we can monitor how they perform and it gives everybody the flexibility to play them as they choose.


Tampa -167 ML
Tampa -1 -119
Tampa -1.5 +125

If your book doesn't have -1 Run Lines you can make them yourself using proportional wagers on the ML and -1.5 Run Lines.

If you google "run line calculator" you can find a tool to calculate it.

Good luck.

P.S I am aware that there is some line slippage, I have to "lock in" and document the picks earlier in the day, and hopefully it won't be too much of an issue.

 

[STACKSONDECK]

are you still running your other systems and still have your site?

 

[Mistermj]

Nothing qualifies tonight.

Single Game Tracking

ML 0-1 -$167
-1 0-1 -$119
-1.5 0-1 -$100

 

[Mistermj]

We have a single game that qualifies today for 1 unit. No possible chase will be involved.

The game starts at 1:10 pm ET, play on the Mets at home for 1 unit on the ML.


(Anything under -130 ML.... I will not track with Run Lines, might as well play these on the ML in my opinion).
----

Philadelphia	-	1:10 PM ET	NY Mets -125	100
NY Mets Single Game Tracking $100 = 1 unit ML 0-1 -$167 -1RL 0-1 -$119 -1.5 RL 0-1 -$100

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[Mistermj]

Mets win in extra innings, just like they were supposed to do...lol :toast:

 

[rywill2006]

nice!

 

[Mistermj]

We have another pick tonight that qualifies as a possible 2 game chase pick.

Play 1 unit on Washington -118 9:40 pm ET at Arizona


If Washington wins we bank it, if they lose, we will most likely play them in the next game for 2 units.
This system is designed to catch a lot of dog lines, but we will play some favorites when they qualify.

2 Game Chase System Record
Series Record 4-0 +$524 +5.24 units
($100 = 1 unit)
Game 1's 3-1
Game 2's 1-0

 

[Mistermj]

Nats come through for us in the 9th ...great game.

 

[Mistermj]

Nothing qualifies today, possible single games could qualify on Wed. and Thur.

Updated record for the 2 Game Chase System

2 Game Chase System Record
Series Record 5-0 +$624 +6.24 units
($100 = 1 unit)
Game 1's 4-1
Game 2's 1-0

 

[Mistermj]

Tomorrow (Thursday 5/15) we have possible single games, and possible 2 game chases starting.

2 Game Chase System Record
Series Record 5-0 +$624 +6.24 units
($100 = 1 unit)

Date	WLT	Pct	Net Units
05/12/14	1-0-0	100.00%	+100
05/06/14	1-0-0	100.00%	+136
04/29/14	1-0-0	100.00%	+136
04/22/14	1-0-0	100.00%	+252
04/21/14	0-1-0	0.00%	-100
04/18/14	1-0-0	100.00%	+100

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Select Single Game System Record
1-1-0 -$67 -.67 Unit $100 = 1 unit

Date	WLT	Pct	Net Units
05/11/14	1-0-0	100.00%	+100
05/08/14	0-1-0	0.00%	-167

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[Mistermj]

Nothing qualifies today. We have some possible 2 game chase picks tomorrow (Friday 5/16).

 

[ECC]

MJ what are you qualifying games to start the 2 game chase?

 

[Mistermj]

MJ what are you qualifying games to start the 2 game chase?

I don't like to talk specifics because I am superstitious ...and I like to do my own style of handicapping without standard handicapping ideas polluting my brain.

It's a formula based on situational and statistical filters looking for select "2 game windows" to exploit using dog lines as much as possible for plus money leverage. Plus money leverage is the key...and that is why, in my opinion, we can get away with chasing "just one game" when appropriate.

If I can keep finding the right 2 game windows, it will work and be a lot of fun all summer long...if not, we can stop before we get hurt too bad. Our chase losses are capped at approx. -3 units which is very manageable and the bonus of the plus money leverage of our winning wagers.

It's a very different approach because we are really handicapping 2 game sets within a series to get the "win".

We are dancing with the devil a little bit by chasing ...but there is method to my madness...it's well thought out and borrows from many things I have learned over the years.

 

[Hustler982]

I'm with it. Get em Mj

 

[Mistermj]

Nothing qualifies today. MJ

 

[Mistermj]

Looks like a dry weekend...not getting what I want.

Possible single game play on Sunday and then Monday and Tues. will have 2 game chase possibilities.

 

[Michelangelo]

Keep the discipline MJ. You'll get what you're waiting for.

Good luck man. Hope you succeed.

 

[Mistermj]

Keep the discipline MJ. You'll get what you're waiting for.

Good luck man. Hope you succeed.

Thanks Bud...good to see that you are still around here. :toast: