Bucks he had
Hold on... wait.. what? He made an honest mistake in his plays?!??? He should go directly to jail and not collect $200 for passing go! Who fucking cares! A lot of clowns get hung up on posting records on this site, but does it really matter? Fade, follow, and most importantly shut the fuck up! A simple thank you would suffice. Good day Sir!
Good Morning RXers and Happy NFL Sunday to all! From original glance this morning there are looking to be some 7-9 plays that fall under the system this week including the primetime games. I will be posting the "Suggested Lines" for each game close to an hour before kickoff and then posting the actual plays 5-10 minutes before each kickoff.
Just a heads up for the Sunday Night Football Game. I'm doing a show at 7pm ET tonight and should be done by kickoff but my post may come only minutes before the actual kick but it will be posted.
GOOD LUCK TO EVERYONE TODAY!
:toast:
Just a heads up for the Sunday Night Football Game. I'm doing a show at 7pm ET tonight and should be done by kickoff but my post may come only minutes before the actual kick but it will be posted.
GOOD LUCK TO EVERYONE TODAY!
:toast:
Not gambling related until the season starts so I don't post about it here. Media stuff for the NBA covering the league and the 2k league and tonight we have an WNBA player on to discuss feud with Andre Iguodala. Start time a bit later than usual.
As previously mentioned a few weeks ago I'm thinking of starting a weekly 5-10 mins show to discuss system depending on how it does this week. Would make it easier to explain how I come up with lines and what kind of plays we are looking at for the upcoming week. Stay tuned and good luck today Bud!
Suggested Line (Week 12 Early Afternoon)
Arizona at New England
Suggested Line 1: Arizona -1.89
Suggested Line 2: Arizona -1.69
Suggested Line 3: Arizona -0.68
Suggested Line 4: Arizona -3.35
Tennessee at Indianapolis
Suggested Line 1: Indianapolis -1.96
Suggested Line 2: Indianapolis -2.72
Suggested Line 3: Indianapolis -0.71
Suggested Line 4: Indianapolis -2.58
Las Vegas at Atlanta
Suggested Line 1: Las Vegas -3.36
Suggested Line 2: Las Vegas -3.86
Suggested Line 3: Las Vegas -3.37
Suggested Line 4: Las Vegas -3.05
Cleveland at Jacksvonville
Suggested Line 1: Cleveland -9.24
Suggested Line 2: Cleveland -8.10
Suggested Line 3: Cleveland -10.17
Suggested Line 4: Cleveland -9.55
NY Giants at Cincinnati
Suggested Line 1: NY Giants -1.67
Suggested Line 2: NY Giants -2.18
Suggested Line 3: NY Giants -1.25
Suggested Line 4: NY Giants -1.72
Miami at NY Jets
Suggested Line 1: Miami -9.01
Suggested Line 2: Miami -8.80
Suggested Line 3: Miami -7.53
Suggested Line 4: Miami -10.92
Carolina at Minnesota
Suggested Line 1: Minnesota -1.23
Suggested Line 2: Minnesota -1.47
Suggested Line 3: Minnesota -2.20
Suggested Line 4: Minnesota -0.03
LA Chargers at Buffalo
Suggested Line 1: Buffalo -4.24
Suggested Line 2: Buffalo -2.80
Suggested Line 3: Buffalo -5.00
Suggested Line 4: Buffalo -5.08
Official system picks will be posted around 12:50pm ET as the system feeds off late line movement.
:toast:
Arizona at New England
Suggested Line 1: Arizona -1.89
Suggested Line 2: Arizona -1.69
Suggested Line 3: Arizona -0.68
Suggested Line 4: Arizona -3.35
Tennessee at Indianapolis
Suggested Line 1: Indianapolis -1.96
Suggested Line 2: Indianapolis -2.72
Suggested Line 3: Indianapolis -0.71
Suggested Line 4: Indianapolis -2.58
Las Vegas at Atlanta
Suggested Line 1: Las Vegas -3.36
Suggested Line 2: Las Vegas -3.86
Suggested Line 3: Las Vegas -3.37
Suggested Line 4: Las Vegas -3.05
Cleveland at Jacksvonville
Suggested Line 1: Cleveland -9.24
Suggested Line 2: Cleveland -8.10
Suggested Line 3: Cleveland -10.17
Suggested Line 4: Cleveland -9.55
NY Giants at Cincinnati
Suggested Line 1: NY Giants -1.67
Suggested Line 2: NY Giants -2.18
Suggested Line 3: NY Giants -1.25
Suggested Line 4: NY Giants -1.72
Miami at NY Jets
Suggested Line 1: Miami -9.01
Suggested Line 2: Miami -8.80
Suggested Line 3: Miami -7.53
Suggested Line 4: Miami -10.92
Carolina at Minnesota
Suggested Line 1: Minnesota -1.23
Suggested Line 2: Minnesota -1.47
Suggested Line 3: Minnesota -2.20
Suggested Line 4: Minnesota -0.03
LA Chargers at Buffalo
Suggested Line 1: Buffalo -4.24
Suggested Line 2: Buffalo -2.80
Suggested Line 3: Buffalo -5.00
Suggested Line 4: Buffalo -5.08
Official system picks will be posted around 12:50pm ET as the system feeds off late line movement.
:toast:
adding...
Sunday, November 29
Tennessee Titans +3 (10 Units)
It's funny because everyone keeps doubting the Tennessee Titans but they keep on winning and now brandish a 7-3 record heading into this big divisional showdown with tons on the line. It was only a few weeks ago really that the Titans lost to the Colts on Thursday Night Football but they looked a little unprepared in that game and I think with the few added days and coming off their big win over Baltimore last week this team will be ready. The Colts have one of the best defenses in the NFL so don't expect too many fireworks but they do have some holes and I think if there is one team that has enough balance to beat them it's Tennessee. in the first meeting, 34-17 win for the Colts, the Titans ran the ball well but QB Ryan Tannehill had a terrible game and ended up with only 137 passing yards on the day. That won't happen again. Tennessee comes into this game 6-1 ATS in their last seven Road Games versus a team with a winning record at home and the Road Team is on a streak of covering the spread in four straight in this series. Aside from their win over the Titans a few weeks ago the Colts are only 2-6 ATS in their last eight games versus AFC Conference opponents and they seem to take care of business a lot better against NFC Conference opponents. The system is calling for Tennessee to keep it close and possibly win so I'll take that same road.
Trend of the Game: The Road team is 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings between these teams.
Tennessee 23, Indianapolis 17
Cleveland Browns -7 (10 Units)
The Cleveland Browns are not a team I ever trust to back myself but they've put together a nice string of home games recently and seem to be going in the right direction on both sides of the ball. Now they take on a Jacksonville Jaguars team that has been competitive in recent weeks (against Green Bay) but that lost most of their steam last week and couldn't do anything on the offensive side of things. The Browns are 7-3 on the season and have the #8 ranked run defense in the NFL. They are also ranked #3 in the league in takeaways and they face the #27 ranked team in the NFL at turning the ball over (Jaguars have turned it over 16 times this season). I have to say though that the Browns defense has been impressive the last three games allowing no more than 17 points in any game and making up for the lack of offense (the Browns have not gone over 400 yards of offense since October 4 in Dallas). I am well aware how bad the Browns have been historically on the road but they are playing the worst team in the NFL so something has to give. Jacksonville is only 1-5 ATS in their last six games versus AFC Conference opponents and they are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games versus a team with a winning record and 2-6 ATS in their last eight games overall. I am going with the Browns to finally put it all together on the road.
Trend of the Game: Cleveland is 4-2 ATS this season after a spread cover the previous game.
Cleveland 25, Jacksonville 16
Miami Dolphins -7 (10 Units)
Everyone is calling TRAP Line on this game and if had climbed any higher than I saw it (7.5 at some books) then I would have agreed and said something is off (system is calling for them Dolphins to win by 7.58 in Suggested Line 3) but I think the Dolphins will have a pretty good bounce back spot here against a Divisional rival coming off that dud at Denver. The Jets are the Jets and will always be the Jets so the fact that they have covered three of their last four games overall tells me there has to be some kind of regression coming and there is no way they can sustain this pace of covering games. The last times these teams played back on October 18 in Miami the Jets got clobbered to the tune of a 24-0 shutout and you better believe Brian Flores will be turning up the heat on the defensive side of things in this game today. There were concerns of public money in this game and the stakes on Miami being too high but right now as of early Sunday morning I see around 65% of bets on the Dolphins and that's not always a loser. The Dolphins got destroyed by the Broncos passing game last week but the good news is they are 6-0 ATS in their last six games after allowing 250+ passing yards to an opponent the previous game and aside from being 5-1 ATS in their last six games overall they are also 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games versus a team with a losing record on the season. The Dolphins are also 5-0-1 ATS in the last six meetings between these two teams and get to face a Jets team that has covered the spread in only 5 of their last 17 games versus divisional AFC East opponents. That's terrible and the Jets defense should get torn apart in this game.
Trend of he Game: Miami is 6-0 ATS in their last six games after allowing 250+ passing yards the previous game.
Miami 34, NY Jets 6
Carolina Panthers +3.5 (10 Units)
This is a good one ladies and gentlemen and if you are into NFL story lines you have definitely picked the right game. As it sits right now the betting public is all over the Vikings at a clip of 62% despite their 31-28 loss to the Dallas Cowboys last week but after seeing the Cowboys play on Thanksgiving Thursday you have to be concerned with the loss. The Panthers are no joke and they got the job done against the Detroit Lions even without their starting QB playing last week and as a Home Underdog. Now we move to the storyline. QB Teddy Bridgewater is back this week and he is back in Minnesota for the first time since his horrific knee injury back in 2016. This game is obviously going to mean a ton to him and his teammates and you are getting them as a Road Underdog of three or more points with the public pounding the other side. That's without even mentioning that star WR Adam Thielen is OUT for the Vikings in this game and that limits the offensive weapons with Thielen being such a high usage guy. The Panthers come into this game 4-0 ATS in their last four Road Games as an Underdog and they are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games overall as an Underdog. On top of that the Underdog is 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings between these two teams. Minnesota has for years been one of the best home teams to bet on in the NFL but they come into this game a horrid 1-4 ATS in their last five home games as a favorite and they can't seem to stop any passing attack for their lives. Carolina should be no different and Teddy should have a huge day.
Trend of the Game: Carolina is 6-1 ATS in their last seven games as an Underdog.
Carolina 30, Minnesota 17
:toast:
Sunday, November 29
Tennessee Titans +3 (10 Units)
It's funny because everyone keeps doubting the Tennessee Titans but they keep on winning and now brandish a 7-3 record heading into this big divisional showdown with tons on the line. It was only a few weeks ago really that the Titans lost to the Colts on Thursday Night Football but they looked a little unprepared in that game and I think with the few added days and coming off their big win over Baltimore last week this team will be ready. The Colts have one of the best defenses in the NFL so don't expect too many fireworks but they do have some holes and I think if there is one team that has enough balance to beat them it's Tennessee. in the first meeting, 34-17 win for the Colts, the Titans ran the ball well but QB Ryan Tannehill had a terrible game and ended up with only 137 passing yards on the day. That won't happen again. Tennessee comes into this game 6-1 ATS in their last seven Road Games versus a team with a winning record at home and the Road Team is on a streak of covering the spread in four straight in this series. Aside from their win over the Titans a few weeks ago the Colts are only 2-6 ATS in their last eight games versus AFC Conference opponents and they seem to take care of business a lot better against NFC Conference opponents. The system is calling for Tennessee to keep it close and possibly win so I'll take that same road.
Trend of the Game: The Road team is 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings between these teams.
Tennessee 23, Indianapolis 17
Cleveland Browns -7 (10 Units)
The Cleveland Browns are not a team I ever trust to back myself but they've put together a nice string of home games recently and seem to be going in the right direction on both sides of the ball. Now they take on a Jacksonville Jaguars team that has been competitive in recent weeks (against Green Bay) but that lost most of their steam last week and couldn't do anything on the offensive side of things. The Browns are 7-3 on the season and have the #8 ranked run defense in the NFL. They are also ranked #3 in the league in takeaways and they face the #27 ranked team in the NFL at turning the ball over (Jaguars have turned it over 16 times this season). I have to say though that the Browns defense has been impressive the last three games allowing no more than 17 points in any game and making up for the lack of offense (the Browns have not gone over 400 yards of offense since October 4 in Dallas). I am well aware how bad the Browns have been historically on the road but they are playing the worst team in the NFL so something has to give. Jacksonville is only 1-5 ATS in their last six games versus AFC Conference opponents and they are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games versus a team with a winning record and 2-6 ATS in their last eight games overall. I am going with the Browns to finally put it all together on the road.
Trend of the Game: Cleveland is 4-2 ATS this season after a spread cover the previous game.
Cleveland 25, Jacksonville 16
Miami Dolphins -7 (10 Units)
Everyone is calling TRAP Line on this game and if had climbed any higher than I saw it (7.5 at some books) then I would have agreed and said something is off (system is calling for them Dolphins to win by 7.58 in Suggested Line 3) but I think the Dolphins will have a pretty good bounce back spot here against a Divisional rival coming off that dud at Denver. The Jets are the Jets and will always be the Jets so the fact that they have covered three of their last four games overall tells me there has to be some kind of regression coming and there is no way they can sustain this pace of covering games. The last times these teams played back on October 18 in Miami the Jets got clobbered to the tune of a 24-0 shutout and you better believe Brian Flores will be turning up the heat on the defensive side of things in this game today. There were concerns of public money in this game and the stakes on Miami being too high but right now as of early Sunday morning I see around 65% of bets on the Dolphins and that's not always a loser. The Dolphins got destroyed by the Broncos passing game last week but the good news is they are 6-0 ATS in their last six games after allowing 250+ passing yards to an opponent the previous game and aside from being 5-1 ATS in their last six games overall they are also 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games versus a team with a losing record on the season. The Dolphins are also 5-0-1 ATS in the last six meetings between these two teams and get to face a Jets team that has covered the spread in only 5 of their last 17 games versus divisional AFC East opponents. That's terrible and the Jets defense should get torn apart in this game.
Trend of he Game: Miami is 6-0 ATS in their last six games after allowing 250+ passing yards the previous game.
Miami 34, NY Jets 6
Carolina Panthers +3.5 (10 Units)
This is a good one ladies and gentlemen and if you are into NFL story lines you have definitely picked the right game. As it sits right now the betting public is all over the Vikings at a clip of 62% despite their 31-28 loss to the Dallas Cowboys last week but after seeing the Cowboys play on Thanksgiving Thursday you have to be concerned with the loss. The Panthers are no joke and they got the job done against the Detroit Lions even without their starting QB playing last week and as a Home Underdog. Now we move to the storyline. QB Teddy Bridgewater is back this week and he is back in Minnesota for the first time since his horrific knee injury back in 2016. This game is obviously going to mean a ton to him and his teammates and you are getting them as a Road Underdog of three or more points with the public pounding the other side. That's without even mentioning that star WR Adam Thielen is OUT for the Vikings in this game and that limits the offensive weapons with Thielen being such a high usage guy. The Panthers come into this game 4-0 ATS in their last four Road Games as an Underdog and they are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games overall as an Underdog. On top of that the Underdog is 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings between these two teams. Minnesota has for years been one of the best home teams to bet on in the NFL but they come into this game a horrid 1-4 ATS in their last five home games as a favorite and they can't seem to stop any passing attack for their lives. Carolina should be no different and Teddy should have a huge day.
Trend of the Game: Carolina is 6-1 ATS in their last seven games as an Underdog.
Carolina 30, Minnesota 17
:toast:
Side notes:
1) I had to remove Cincinnati +6.5 because the spread difference overall (Combined) was 4.8 which rounded out is 5.0 which would potentially make this a fade play and a play on Giants but decided to leave that one. If you strictly compare the 6.5 to the actual lines, it says Bengals will cover so watch out with that one either way. Very similar scenario in the Seahawks/Rams game a few weeks ago when the average combined line difference was 4.8 in favor of Seattle and that made it a fade the other way (on the Rams).
2) I also had to remove Las Vegas -3 because the line moved the -3.5 and as you can see in the suggested lines that doesn't work because the Falcons cover under Suggested Lines 1,2 and 4. Had it stayed at 3 the play would have been on Vegas. Hopefully this one is a loss saver. This is one of the sharper lines this week.
3) I will be back shortly to post suggested line for afternoon games and will post plays around 3:55pm ET.
GOOD LUCK TO EVERYONE!
:toast:
1) I had to remove Cincinnati +6.5 because the spread difference overall (Combined) was 4.8 which rounded out is 5.0 which would potentially make this a fade play and a play on Giants but decided to leave that one. If you strictly compare the 6.5 to the actual lines, it says Bengals will cover so watch out with that one either way. Very similar scenario in the Seahawks/Rams game a few weeks ago when the average combined line difference was 4.8 in favor of Seattle and that made it a fade the other way (on the Rams).
2) I also had to remove Las Vegas -3 because the line moved the -3.5 and as you can see in the suggested lines that doesn't work because the Falcons cover under Suggested Lines 1,2 and 4. Had it stayed at 3 the play would have been on Vegas. Hopefully this one is a loss saver. This is one of the sharper lines this week.
3) I will be back shortly to post suggested line for afternoon games and will post plays around 3:55pm ET.
GOOD LUCK TO EVERYONE!
:toast:
