MistaFlava's 2009 NBA Playoffs Record: 2-0 ATS (+20.00 Units)
MistaFlava's 2008-2009 NBA Record: 13-13 ATS (-22.50 Units)
Welcome to my 2008-2009 NBA Playoffs betting. I took a few months off to get a much better feeling for some of these teams and some of the way things are going to go this season. I think i'm a better college capper than I am NBA but I have done well in the past and I have won some large wagers over the years. I think this is the time to catch some good lines because many teams are making changes and many teams are having injury problems. I recommend keeping all wagers small for now and then increasing as the season moves along and as oddsmakers start to drop off a bit.
I took the regular season off but the playoffs are the time to have money on some of these games because these guys actually give a shit at this time of the year.
1 Unit = $100
You can tail, you can fade or you can just watch. I have always been a streaky capper. When things are not going well I don't just sit there and watch, I take action and make myself better. Good Luck to all this week!
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MistaFlava's 2008-2009 NBA Record: 13-13 ATS (-22.50 Units)
Welcome to my 2008-2009 NBA Playoffs betting. I took a few months off to get a much better feeling for some of these teams and some of the way things are going to go this season. I think i'm a better college capper than I am NBA but I have done well in the past and I have won some large wagers over the years. I think this is the time to catch some good lines because many teams are making changes and many teams are having injury problems. I recommend keeping all wagers small for now and then increasing as the season moves along and as oddsmakers start to drop off a bit.
I took the regular season off but the playoffs are the time to have money on some of these games because these guys actually give a shit at this time of the year.
1 Unit = $100
You can tail, you can fade or you can just watch. I have always been a streaky capper. When things are not going well I don't just sit there and watch, I take action and make myself better. Good Luck to all this week!
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Tuesday, April 21
Eastern Conference Quarterfinals - Game 2
View attachment 7044 Detroit-Cleveland 'Over' 178.5 (10 Units) View attachment 7043
Eastern Conference Quarterfinals - Game 2
View attachment 7044 Detroit-Cleveland 'Over' 178.5 (10 Units) View attachment 7043
The Detroit Pistons know their chances of winning this series are slim to none and they know they are the same defensive power house they used to be a few seasons ago (the Championship years). Having said that, the only way they are really going to have a shot in this game is if they can open things up offensively and keep up with Lebron and company. Easier said than done against this Cavaliers defense but the Pistons again do not have a choice. Slowing the game down is not going to work. The Pistons come into this game scoring 90+ points per game in their last five games and they have finally opened things up. As a matter of fact the 'Over' is now 4-1 in their last five games overall and 4-1 in their last five games versus Eastern Conference opponents. The Pistons for some reason have a way to come out a lot more aggressive when they are coming off a loss the game before and like I mentioned before this, if they cannot hold the Cavaliers to anything under 100 points, their only choice is to run the floor with Lebron James and try to score 100 points of their own. The 'Over' is actually 10-3 in Detroit's last 13 games coming off a straight up loss and the 'Over' has hit in 8 of their last 12 road games (with one of those being a PUSH). The 'Over' is 5-2-1 in Detroit's last eight road games as an underdog, it is 5-2 in their last seven playoff games as an underdog and when the Pistons defense sucks it continues to suck for more than one game as the 'Over' is 7-3-1 in their last 11 games following a game where they allow 100+ points the game before. Expect Detroit to score a lot more points tonight which should give us an easy OVER.
The Cleveland Cavaliers know they can score 100+ points per night and even the mighty Detroit Pistons defense was not able to stop these guys from doing that in the first game. As mentioned before, I actually anticipate the Pistons to come out running and gunning in this game which means that the Cavaliers are going to have to match their intensity and I think that means a lot of points in this game. The Cavs will probably sweep this series or at least win it in five games but as long as they are playing at home against a team that cannot stop their offense, they are going to score enough points to put this very low total in jeopardy. I know the 'Under' has been a popular play at home for the Cavs this season because they completely shut down visiting opponents and usually hold them to very low point totals but the Pistons need this game tonight and they will probably be a lot more efficient on the offensive side of things in this one. Having said that, the 'Over' is now 4-1 in Cleveland's last five games overall and 4-1 in their last five games versus Eastern Conference opponents. What you have to understand here is that the Pistons know they cannot contain Lebron and company on the offensive side of things and there is no sense wasting their energy in this game tonight. The Pistons will probably play a lot better defensively in their first home playoff game but that is not now and not here. The only way to win this game is to find a way to score a bunch of points against a Cavaliers defense that has now allowed 94.4 points per game in their last five games which is well above their season average. The Cavaliers are too hot offensively right now averaging 107.6 points per game in their last five games while shooting 50.3% from the floor in those games and again that is a disaster for the Pistons who know they cannot stop the Cavs and who have allowed 98.8 points per game in their last five games and allowed those opponents to shoot 47.5% from the floor in those games. I like the points.
I'll be honest right off the bat here...I don't think the Pistons have a shot in hell of winning this game but having said that the spread is too high for me and way too many people are going to be on Cleveland tonight because it's the only side that makes sense. We were lucky enough to get an 'Over' in the first game of this series and I say that because a whopping 29 of the last 36 meetings between these two teams have gone 'Under' the number and 16 of their last 21 meetings in Cleveland have gone 'Under'. However, like I mentioned before the Pistons don't have a choice but to let it all out tonight in hopes of stealing a win on the road and believe me when I say that they are not going to get that done by playing defense on the road. Since March 31, all the Cavaliers home games have seen 180 or more points in those games and there is no reason to believe this is going to be a low scoring affaire. I know the Pistons are very capable of scoring 90+ points per game like they have done all season and seeing how the Cavaliers were succesful pushing the floor in the first game, I don't see why they would not do the exact same thing tonight. History has it that these two teams are going to play a low scoring game but this is the playoffs and like I mentioned before, the Cavaliers are on fire right now and nobody is going to stop them. They are going to want the 2-0 series lead and they are going to want it big here. OVER IS THE PLAY!
Trend of the Game: The 'Over' is 4-1 in Detroit and Cleveland's last five games each versus Eastern Conference opponents.
Cleveland 106, Detroit 95
More selections to come...
The Cleveland Cavaliers know they can score 100+ points per night and even the mighty Detroit Pistons defense was not able to stop these guys from doing that in the first game. As mentioned before, I actually anticipate the Pistons to come out running and gunning in this game which means that the Cavaliers are going to have to match their intensity and I think that means a lot of points in this game. The Cavs will probably sweep this series or at least win it in five games but as long as they are playing at home against a team that cannot stop their offense, they are going to score enough points to put this very low total in jeopardy. I know the 'Under' has been a popular play at home for the Cavs this season because they completely shut down visiting opponents and usually hold them to very low point totals but the Pistons need this game tonight and they will probably be a lot more efficient on the offensive side of things in this one. Having said that, the 'Over' is now 4-1 in Cleveland's last five games overall and 4-1 in their last five games versus Eastern Conference opponents. What you have to understand here is that the Pistons know they cannot contain Lebron and company on the offensive side of things and there is no sense wasting their energy in this game tonight. The Pistons will probably play a lot better defensively in their first home playoff game but that is not now and not here. The only way to win this game is to find a way to score a bunch of points against a Cavaliers defense that has now allowed 94.4 points per game in their last five games which is well above their season average. The Cavaliers are too hot offensively right now averaging 107.6 points per game in their last five games while shooting 50.3% from the floor in those games and again that is a disaster for the Pistons who know they cannot stop the Cavs and who have allowed 98.8 points per game in their last five games and allowed those opponents to shoot 47.5% from the floor in those games. I like the points.
I'll be honest right off the bat here...I don't think the Pistons have a shot in hell of winning this game but having said that the spread is too high for me and way too many people are going to be on Cleveland tonight because it's the only side that makes sense. We were lucky enough to get an 'Over' in the first game of this series and I say that because a whopping 29 of the last 36 meetings between these two teams have gone 'Under' the number and 16 of their last 21 meetings in Cleveland have gone 'Under'. However, like I mentioned before the Pistons don't have a choice but to let it all out tonight in hopes of stealing a win on the road and believe me when I say that they are not going to get that done by playing defense on the road. Since March 31, all the Cavaliers home games have seen 180 or more points in those games and there is no reason to believe this is going to be a low scoring affaire. I know the Pistons are very capable of scoring 90+ points per game like they have done all season and seeing how the Cavaliers were succesful pushing the floor in the first game, I don't see why they would not do the exact same thing tonight. History has it that these two teams are going to play a low scoring game but this is the playoffs and like I mentioned before, the Cavaliers are on fire right now and nobody is going to stop them. They are going to want the 2-0 series lead and they are going to want it big here. OVER IS THE PLAY!
Trend of the Game: The 'Over' is 4-1 in Detroit and Cleveland's last five games each versus Eastern Conference opponents.
Cleveland 106, Detroit 95
More selections to come...
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