MistaFlava's 2009 MLB Baseball Record: 5-6 (-16.80 Units)
So we are back for another baseball season and I could not be more excited. I did not post consistently in this sport in 2008 because I simply did not have the time but I have made the decision to post baseball picks right up until the NCAA Football season and NFL seasons come rolling back around and that should be a good 4-5 months of baseball and nothing but baseball.
I am also contemplating heading back into the world of NBA Betting but it's late in the season, I have not established myself in the pro hoops betting ranks and it would be tough to get into the swing of things right now at the end of the season and right before the playoffs. I am pretty sure I am not going to post NBA Picks but that might change and I might do the playoffs We'll see I guess.
The key to winning baseball bets early in the season is to stay focused on which teams and which pitchers are finding early season chemistry. Some teams favored to win it all might start 2-10 or they might start 10-0. Don't forget that good pitchers are good pitchers and bad pitchers bad pitchers regardless of Spring Training.
1 Unit = $100
I am a streaky capper and everyone knows it. You can tail, fade or simply watch what I do. But in the end, I am always a winner and that is all that matters.
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So we are back for another baseball season and I could not be more excited. I did not post consistently in this sport in 2008 because I simply did not have the time but I have made the decision to post baseball picks right up until the NCAA Football season and NFL seasons come rolling back around and that should be a good 4-5 months of baseball and nothing but baseball.
I am also contemplating heading back into the world of NBA Betting but it's late in the season, I have not established myself in the pro hoops betting ranks and it would be tough to get into the swing of things right now at the end of the season and right before the playoffs. I am pretty sure I am not going to post NBA Picks but that might change and I might do the playoffs We'll see I guess.
The key to winning baseball bets early in the season is to stay focused on which teams and which pitchers are finding early season chemistry. Some teams favored to win it all might start 2-10 or they might start 10-0. Don't forget that good pitchers are good pitchers and bad pitchers bad pitchers regardless of Spring Training.
1 Unit = $100
I am a streaky capper and everyone knows it. You can tail, fade or simply watch what I do. But in the end, I am always a winner and that is all that matters.
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Wednesday, April 8
Daniel Cabrera vs. Christopher Volstad
View attachment 6914 Washington Nationals ML +124 (10 Units) View attachment 6913
Daniel Cabrera vs. Christopher Volstad
View attachment 6914 Washington Nationals ML +124 (10 Units) View attachment 6913
The Washington Nationals are not a good baseball team and a lot of people are going to go against them in this game today but having said that they are not going to lose every game they play this season and this is probably a good spot to back them. It's not often there is anything good to talk about when it comes to Washington and their baseball team because this team has done nothing but lose since they got here and a lot of experts are saying that there is no light at the end of the tunnel for the near future anyways. Daniel Cabrera is on the mound for Washington today and strangely enough he has been one of the most inconsistent pitchers in baseball the last few seasons. I have a feeling though that the National League might actually do this guy some good. The Nationals have not won many games in this ballpark but what you have to know about these guys is that the games that they did lose here in 2008 were close games. Washington played 9 games in Florida last season and out of those games, only 1 was lost by more than 2 runs. I know things have not looked good for this team in the opening two games (both losses) of this season but their hitting is not that bad. It's their pitching that needs to improve and if Cabrera can avoid walks and if he can be on his game, I think the Nationals offense will find a way to score runs in this game and that is all they really need...a good pitching outing (the team has an ERA of 10.69 right now after two games). The Nationals have an advantage against a right handed pitcher here because I don't see them winning many games when having to face a lefty. Wins in Florida are rare for this team but with a somewhat even pitching matchup in place, I like the Nationals to win their first game of the season.
The Florida Marlins look to have a pretty damn good team put together but the question mark with these guys all season is going to be pitching and I don't know if their young arms can hold long enough to make the playoffs. Having said that, make no mistake about it this is a good young team that can do some serious damage against opposing pitchers. There is not much bad to say about the Marlins and again that is probably why so many people are backing them in this game this afternoon. Having said that, Christopher Volstad is on the mound this afternoon and he is a big part of the future for this team. Volstad has started only 14 games in the Majors and he has six wins in those games but there is something not right about the line for this game today. It's not often that Volstad has shown his stuff in afternoon games because the Marlins don't usually play in the afternoon heat but he does have 5 career starts during the day and despite pitching well enough to win those games, his WHIP is 1.52 lifetime when pitching during the day and the Nationals are very capable of getting guys on base and they do have a few guys who can hit home runs. I have also noticed that if you are going to go against Volstad you might as well do it at home where he is 2-3 in eight career starts and has allowed 19 ER's in those starts, compared to only 8 ER's in only six career road starts. I think this is a very good opportunity to go against Volstad here and the oddsmakers obviously know something we don't about the way he pitches at home and the way he pitches during the daytime. The Marlins bullpen has been bad in the opening two games where they have an ERA of 6.50 and the Nationals are going to score enough runs off this pen and off Volstad to win the game. I expect this to be an upset...watch it happen. Good spot to fade Volstad, specailly if Daniel Cabrera can get hot in this game.
The public is pounding away on Florida and with this being an early daytime game that is being watched and bet on by most people who are at home or at work right now, I have to lean with the underdog. Vegas is not stupid and with two question marks on the mound today, this is really anybody's ball game. I do give the edge to the Nationals as long as their bullpen can hang on in this game. CB Bucknor is the home plate umpire this afternoon and although he is a big time homer umpire and there are a lot of trends to prove that...Bucknor seems to have an issue with the Florida Marlins. I say that because even though the home team is 7-1 in Bucknor's last eight games behind the plate, the Marlins are only 1-4 the last five times he has been behind the plate in one of their games and the road team is 8-3 when Bucknor is behind the plate for a Marlins game. There are no stats to back me up on a Washington play in this game because the Marlins have dominated Washington at home the last few seasons and the Nationals are just a bad team in general. Having said that, Volstad is vulnerable at home and is vulnerable in daytime starts. If this turns into a high scoring game with both starting pitchers going out early (very possible), the Nationals have the better bullpen for now (as seen in the first two games) and that should be the deciding factor. Florida's bullpen will lose this game.
Trend of the Game: Florida is 1-4 in their last five games with CB Bucknor behind home plate.
Washington 6, Florida 4
More selections to come...
The Florida Marlins look to have a pretty damn good team put together but the question mark with these guys all season is going to be pitching and I don't know if their young arms can hold long enough to make the playoffs. Having said that, make no mistake about it this is a good young team that can do some serious damage against opposing pitchers. There is not much bad to say about the Marlins and again that is probably why so many people are backing them in this game this afternoon. Having said that, Christopher Volstad is on the mound this afternoon and he is a big part of the future for this team. Volstad has started only 14 games in the Majors and he has six wins in those games but there is something not right about the line for this game today. It's not often that Volstad has shown his stuff in afternoon games because the Marlins don't usually play in the afternoon heat but he does have 5 career starts during the day and despite pitching well enough to win those games, his WHIP is 1.52 lifetime when pitching during the day and the Nationals are very capable of getting guys on base and they do have a few guys who can hit home runs. I have also noticed that if you are going to go against Volstad you might as well do it at home where he is 2-3 in eight career starts and has allowed 19 ER's in those starts, compared to only 8 ER's in only six career road starts. I think this is a very good opportunity to go against Volstad here and the oddsmakers obviously know something we don't about the way he pitches at home and the way he pitches during the daytime. The Marlins bullpen has been bad in the opening two games where they have an ERA of 6.50 and the Nationals are going to score enough runs off this pen and off Volstad to win the game. I expect this to be an upset...watch it happen. Good spot to fade Volstad, specailly if Daniel Cabrera can get hot in this game.
The public is pounding away on Florida and with this being an early daytime game that is being watched and bet on by most people who are at home or at work right now, I have to lean with the underdog. Vegas is not stupid and with two question marks on the mound today, this is really anybody's ball game. I do give the edge to the Nationals as long as their bullpen can hang on in this game. CB Bucknor is the home plate umpire this afternoon and although he is a big time homer umpire and there are a lot of trends to prove that...Bucknor seems to have an issue with the Florida Marlins. I say that because even though the home team is 7-1 in Bucknor's last eight games behind the plate, the Marlins are only 1-4 the last five times he has been behind the plate in one of their games and the road team is 8-3 when Bucknor is behind the plate for a Marlins game. There are no stats to back me up on a Washington play in this game because the Marlins have dominated Washington at home the last few seasons and the Nationals are just a bad team in general. Having said that, Volstad is vulnerable at home and is vulnerable in daytime starts. If this turns into a high scoring game with both starting pitchers going out early (very possible), the Nationals have the better bullpen for now (as seen in the first two games) and that should be the deciding factor. Florida's bullpen will lose this game.
Trend of the Game: Florida is 1-4 in their last five games with CB Bucknor behind home plate.
Washington 6, Florida 4
More selections to come...
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