MistaFlava's 2009 MLB Baseball Record: 3-3 (-5.10 Units)
So we are back for another baseball season and I could not be more excited. I did not post consistently in this sport in 2008 because I simply did not have the time but I have made the decision to post baseball picks right up until the NCAA Football season and NFL seasons come rolling back around and that should be a good 4-5 months of baseball and nothing but baseball.
I am also contemplating heading back into the world of NBA Betting but it's late in the season, I have not established myself in the pro hoops betting ranks and it would be tough to get into the swing of things right now at the end of the season and right before the playoffs. I am pretty sure I am not going to post NBA Picks but that might change and I might do the playoffs We'll see I guess.
The key to winning baseball bets early in the season is to stay focused on which teams and which pitchers are finding early season chemistry. Some teams favored to win it all might start 2-10 or they might start 10-0. Don't forget that good pitchers are good pitchers and bad pitchers bad pitchers regardless of Spring Training.
1 Unit = $100
I am a streaky capper and everyone knows it. You can tail, fade or simply watch what I do. But in the end, I am always a winner and that is all that matters.
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So we are back for another baseball season and I could not be more excited. I did not post consistently in this sport in 2008 because I simply did not have the time but I have made the decision to post baseball picks right up until the NCAA Football season and NFL seasons come rolling back around and that should be a good 4-5 months of baseball and nothing but baseball.
I am also contemplating heading back into the world of NBA Betting but it's late in the season, I have not established myself in the pro hoops betting ranks and it would be tough to get into the swing of things right now at the end of the season and right before the playoffs. I am pretty sure I am not going to post NBA Picks but that might change and I might do the playoffs We'll see I guess.
The key to winning baseball bets early in the season is to stay focused on which teams and which pitchers are finding early season chemistry. Some teams favored to win it all might start 2-10 or they might start 10-0. Don't forget that good pitchers are good pitchers and bad pitchers bad pitchers regardless of Spring Training.
1 Unit = $100
I am a streaky capper and everyone knows it. You can tail, fade or simply watch what I do. But in the end, I am always a winner and that is all that matters.
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Tuesday, April 7
Gil Meche vs. Mark Buehrle
View attachment 6897 Kansas City Royals ML +118 (10 Units) View attachment 6896
Gil Meche vs. Mark Buehrle
View attachment 6897 Kansas City Royals ML +118 (10 Units) View attachment 6896
The Kansas City Royals are the laughing stock of Major League each and every season but I did see some improvements at the end of 2008 and that has me thinking that this team can be decent this time around. I would not underestimate the Royals as underdogs and let me tell you right now that although they are a few years away from contending, this is a very capable young team that is going to surprise some people. Like I said before, anyone who followed September and October baseball knows how well these guys finished the year. The Royals are 7-0 in their last seven games as an underdog of +110 to +150 and I don't see the value in going against them. The Royals were tremendous on the road at the end of the season winning 8 of their last 9 games and with a much improved roster this season we can only expect much improved results. So in other words they finished the year 7-1 in their last eight games as road underdog and 5-1 against AL Central opponents. I have faith in this underdog that finished the year winning 13 of their last 16 games because that momentum means a lot for 2009. They have their ace Gil Meche who makes his season debut and he is in a comfort zone in Kansas City right now and I think we'll see some much improved numbers from him in 2009. I mean the only time Meche was a complete disaster last season was when he was favored (which was all too many times) and believe it or not Kansas City went 8-2 in his last 10 starts as an underdog so once again there is too much value in the Royals today to pass this up. Meche won 4 of his last 5 starts in 2008 and now is the time to pick things up right where he left off. Upset of the day here.
The Chicago White Sox had a buzz kill yesterday when the home opener was cancelled because of weather and I don't know that it's anymore special today. I mean a lot of the fans who were supposed to be there yesterday probably won't all be around for the game today and I think this is a great spot to fade the White Sox. What I remember from this team last season is that they struggled against pitchers who have good control and pitchers who have a decent WHIP. Meche doesn't have any stats yet this season but I expect him to have a good WHIP this season and the White Sox are only 3-7 in their last 10 games versus a starting pitchers that has a WHIP of 1.15 or less. Not much can be said about Mark Buehrle and how good he has been at home over the years because he has been better than good and he is not usually worth fading in a case like this. He has tremendous career numbers against the Royals both at home and on the road but what you have to know is that he has not faced a Royals lineup like this in his career and I just don't trust his offense to back him with much in this game. Well Buehrle has had a nice career but as he gets older I think it will be tougher for him to handle younger lineups like that of the Royals in this game. Buehrle had a horrendous spring where he went 0-2 in four spring starts with an ERA of 6.50 and a WHIP of 1.67 and I think he is going to struggle against a young Royals lineup that has speed, agility and power. Although his career has been pretty damn good, I expect Buehrle to fade a little bit this season and even if he has another good year, I just don't see him doing all that well in his first few starts. He had a terrible spring and much like Cliff Lee, he will probably have a terrible home opener. Fade Buehrle guys.
Alright so the White Sox have spent season after season whoopping some serious Kansas City ass but when is all that going to change? The Royals have their best lineup in ages right now, the team is very excited coming into the season and my question is...why the hell not? Despite playing so well at the end of last season the Royals have always struggled when playing in Chicago or when hosting the White Sox but again with their ace on the mound this afternoon I think we see some big time changes and it all starts here. Meche started two games in this ballpark last year as a member of the Royals and went 1-1 in those games, winning 9-1 on one occasions in one of his most impressive starts of the season. The Royals actually swept the White Sox in that mini two game series back in July and despite losing every other game in Chicago that season, they come into this season with some serious momentum and that should mean. Buehrle had a horrendous spring, you cannot ignore that and he is not getting any younger which should be a huge concern for anyone taking the White Sox in this game. I am going to go with the Royals (something I blacklisted about two seasons ago) and I think they are going to open some eyes for a good part of this season. Years of building are going to finally payoff and see this team succeed a little bit more than they did last year. With their ace on the mound, it's time to make some cash!
Trend of the Game: Kansas City is 8-2 in Gil Meche's last 10 starts as an underdog.
Kansas City 5, White Sox 3
More selections to come...
The Chicago White Sox had a buzz kill yesterday when the home opener was cancelled because of weather and I don't know that it's anymore special today. I mean a lot of the fans who were supposed to be there yesterday probably won't all be around for the game today and I think this is a great spot to fade the White Sox. What I remember from this team last season is that they struggled against pitchers who have good control and pitchers who have a decent WHIP. Meche doesn't have any stats yet this season but I expect him to have a good WHIP this season and the White Sox are only 3-7 in their last 10 games versus a starting pitchers that has a WHIP of 1.15 or less. Not much can be said about Mark Buehrle and how good he has been at home over the years because he has been better than good and he is not usually worth fading in a case like this. He has tremendous career numbers against the Royals both at home and on the road but what you have to know is that he has not faced a Royals lineup like this in his career and I just don't trust his offense to back him with much in this game. Well Buehrle has had a nice career but as he gets older I think it will be tougher for him to handle younger lineups like that of the Royals in this game. Buehrle had a horrendous spring where he went 0-2 in four spring starts with an ERA of 6.50 and a WHIP of 1.67 and I think he is going to struggle against a young Royals lineup that has speed, agility and power. Although his career has been pretty damn good, I expect Buehrle to fade a little bit this season and even if he has another good year, I just don't see him doing all that well in his first few starts. He had a terrible spring and much like Cliff Lee, he will probably have a terrible home opener. Fade Buehrle guys.
Alright so the White Sox have spent season after season whoopping some serious Kansas City ass but when is all that going to change? The Royals have their best lineup in ages right now, the team is very excited coming into the season and my question is...why the hell not? Despite playing so well at the end of last season the Royals have always struggled when playing in Chicago or when hosting the White Sox but again with their ace on the mound this afternoon I think we see some big time changes and it all starts here. Meche started two games in this ballpark last year as a member of the Royals and went 1-1 in those games, winning 9-1 on one occasions in one of his most impressive starts of the season. The Royals actually swept the White Sox in that mini two game series back in July and despite losing every other game in Chicago that season, they come into this season with some serious momentum and that should mean. Buehrle had a horrendous spring, you cannot ignore that and he is not getting any younger which should be a huge concern for anyone taking the White Sox in this game. I am going to go with the Royals (something I blacklisted about two seasons ago) and I think they are going to open some eyes for a good part of this season. Years of building are going to finally payoff and see this team succeed a little bit more than they did last year. With their ace on the mound, it's time to make some cash!
Trend of the Game: Kansas City is 8-2 in Gil Meche's last 10 starts as an underdog.
Kansas City 5, White Sox 3
More selections to come...
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