MistaFlava's 2009 MLB Baseball Record: 24-34 (-81.30 Units)
I am off to a horrendous start in baseball but I am not concerned because things always seem to even out a bit later and the season is very long. I am going to continue posting NBA, MLB, NHL and some tennis and hopefully things get better in baseball. Once we get out of April I think we are going to be just fine and it's time to make some cash before the summer months come rolling around and we are begging for football.
I am also contemplating heading back into the world of NBA Betting but it's late in the season, I have not established myself in the pro hoops betting ranks and it would be tough to get into the swing of things right now at the end of the season and right before the playoffs. I am pretty sure I am not going to post NBA Picks but that might change and I might do the playoffs We'll see I guess.
The key to winning baseball bets early in the season is to stay focused on which teams and which pitchers are finding early season chemistry. Some teams favored to win it all might start 2-10 or they might start 10-0. Don't forget that good pitchers are good pitchers and bad pitchers bad pitchers regardless of Spring Training.
1 Unit = $100
I am a streaky capper and everyone knows it. You can tail, fade or simply watch what I do. But in the end, I am always a winner and that is all that matters.
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I am off to a horrendous start in baseball but I am not concerned because things always seem to even out a bit later and the season is very long. I am going to continue posting NBA, MLB, NHL and some tennis and hopefully things get better in baseball. Once we get out of April I think we are going to be just fine and it's time to make some cash before the summer months come rolling around and we are begging for football.
I am also contemplating heading back into the world of NBA Betting but it's late in the season, I have not established myself in the pro hoops betting ranks and it would be tough to get into the swing of things right now at the end of the season and right before the playoffs. I am pretty sure I am not going to post NBA Picks but that might change and I might do the playoffs We'll see I guess.
The key to winning baseball bets early in the season is to stay focused on which teams and which pitchers are finding early season chemistry. Some teams favored to win it all might start 2-10 or they might start 10-0. Don't forget that good pitchers are good pitchers and bad pitchers bad pitchers regardless of Spring Training.
1 Unit = $100
I am a streaky capper and everyone knows it. You can tail, fade or simply watch what I do. But in the end, I am always a winner and that is all that matters.
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Thursday, April 23
Gil Meche vs. Anthony Reyes
View attachment 7071 Kansas City Royals ML +100 (10 Units) View attachment 7070
Gil Meche vs. Anthony Reyes
View attachment 7071 Kansas City Royals ML +100 (10 Units) View attachment 7070
The Kansas City Royals know these games against Divisional opponents mean the most and this is where they need to show that they can win games and not be a bunch of pushovers. Well so far so good as the Royals have been in the mix of things in both games so far this series losing Game 1 by one run and then winning Game 2 last night on a super performance by Brian Bannister. Now they have their ace Gil Meche on the mound for the rubber match and believe it or not this is a huge game for both teams. Meche has actually pitched very well in his three starts so far this season and the team is 2-1 in the games he has pitched. He has an ERA of 2.25 and a WHIP of only 1.15 in those games and the Royals have supported him with 6.7 runs per game which is just what this team needs...a lot of run support for their pitchers. Kansas City has been tremendous in their last five games played on a Thursday where they are 5-0 in those games and the Royals are an impressive 12-2 in their last 14 starts versus a right handed pitcher. They are also a very impressive 13-4 in their last 17 games played on the road and they have won 12 of their last 16 games as a road underdog which is as impressive as it gets really. The Royals are playing well right now because they have won 10 of their last 14 games versus AL Central opponents and dating back to last season this team has managed to win 21 of their last 30 games which has me believing that if their bats can continue hitting, this team is going to contend very soon for some Divisional Titles and it all starts here. With Gil Meche on the mound I have all the confidence in the world that these guys can win as the Royals are 5-1 in Meche's last six starts dating back to last season and they are 4-1 in his last five starts as an underdog. When Gil Meche is on the mound the Royals are always going to have a chance to win and I love the underdog tag here because the Royals are 7-3 in Meche's last 10 starts as an underdog and that is all you really need to know. I don't think the Royals need all that many runs to win this game because Meche should have another solid performance and I see him winning this game to add to his already very good season totals.
The Cleveland Indians are probably one of the most powerful teams in Major League Baseball right now when it comes to offensive prowness but for some reason they seem to only manage temporary offensive explosions and at other times this offense looks like they don't have a clue what they are doing out there. I mean with that kind of offense it should not matter how bad your pitching and a lot of people are going to back Cleveland here with the assumption that they cannot possibly be held to 0 runs like they were in Game 2 of this series but like I told you before...when this team struggles they struggle and when their bats are hitting their bats are hitting. Right now the Indians are batting only .241 at home and they have the shaky Anthony Reyes on the mound today. I know Reyes has some good stuff but he has not been consistent enough for me to back him (although I need a Quality Start and will have him in Fantasy Baseball). Had this been any other season and had this been later this summer, I would advise to never go against the Indians at home because they don't lose many games here but home has been a problem for these guys early in the season and I am not ready to forget about that. Cleveland has won only 2 of their last 7 games when they have been favored by -110 to -150 and I would like to point out that unlike the Royals, the Indians have struggled against righties and the team is only 3-10 in their last 13 games versus right handed starters. I know these guys are hitting a lot better the last week than they were the first week of the season but it's still tough for me to back them on anything against a good right handed starter like Meche knowing that they have won only 3 of their last 13 games versus a right handed starting pitcher and that is ridiculous. The Indians bullpen has been horrendous at home with an ERA of 9.20 on the season so unless Reyes can find a way to get through a full six or seven innings, the Indians are going to have problems in the late innings of this game. I have no confidence in this offense at home against a righty and until the betting public learns that they are not that good against good righties, I am going to continue taking the Royals and hoping I don't get screwed by Kyle Farnsworth.
Alright so this is a huge game for both teams, the betting odds are great and I am guessing with this being a Thursday afternoon that a lot of people are going to be betting on this game. Right now I see things split down the middle at 50/50 in terms of who is taking the Indians and who is taking the Royals. I have been on Kansas City twice this season and in both games they have been winning halfway through only to have Farnsworth come in and blow both games. PLEASE NO FUCKIN KYLE FARNSWORTH IN THIS GAME TODAY, I AM BEGGING YOU! Meche has had a up and down career pitching in Cleveland as a member of the Royals winning two of the four starts he has made in this ballpark but two of his starts here in 2008 saw the veteran righty pitch several scoreless innings and I think he is in good enough form to pitch well again here. Reyes has been fantastic in all his pitching appearances versus the Royals (three starts and three wins in his career against Kansas City) but I just don't trust the bullpen for this Indians team and I think they are going to come in this game blow it up. Kansas City has now won four of their last five meetings in Cleveland and they have taken 6 of their last 8 games overall against the Indians. John Hirschbeck is the home plate umpire for this game and let me tell you right now that the road team has won four of his last five games behind home plate and that could be huge in the late innings of this game. I am going to try my luck with the Royals one more time here and hope I don't get screwed.
Trend of the Game: Kansas City is 12-2 in their last 14 games versus a right handed starting pitcher.
Kansas City 5, Cleveland 2
More selections to come...
The Cleveland Indians are probably one of the most powerful teams in Major League Baseball right now when it comes to offensive prowness but for some reason they seem to only manage temporary offensive explosions and at other times this offense looks like they don't have a clue what they are doing out there. I mean with that kind of offense it should not matter how bad your pitching and a lot of people are going to back Cleveland here with the assumption that they cannot possibly be held to 0 runs like they were in Game 2 of this series but like I told you before...when this team struggles they struggle and when their bats are hitting their bats are hitting. Right now the Indians are batting only .241 at home and they have the shaky Anthony Reyes on the mound today. I know Reyes has some good stuff but he has not been consistent enough for me to back him (although I need a Quality Start and will have him in Fantasy Baseball). Had this been any other season and had this been later this summer, I would advise to never go against the Indians at home because they don't lose many games here but home has been a problem for these guys early in the season and I am not ready to forget about that. Cleveland has won only 2 of their last 7 games when they have been favored by -110 to -150 and I would like to point out that unlike the Royals, the Indians have struggled against righties and the team is only 3-10 in their last 13 games versus right handed starters. I know these guys are hitting a lot better the last week than they were the first week of the season but it's still tough for me to back them on anything against a good right handed starter like Meche knowing that they have won only 3 of their last 13 games versus a right handed starting pitcher and that is ridiculous. The Indians bullpen has been horrendous at home with an ERA of 9.20 on the season so unless Reyes can find a way to get through a full six or seven innings, the Indians are going to have problems in the late innings of this game. I have no confidence in this offense at home against a righty and until the betting public learns that they are not that good against good righties, I am going to continue taking the Royals and hoping I don't get screwed by Kyle Farnsworth.
Alright so this is a huge game for both teams, the betting odds are great and I am guessing with this being a Thursday afternoon that a lot of people are going to be betting on this game. Right now I see things split down the middle at 50/50 in terms of who is taking the Indians and who is taking the Royals. I have been on Kansas City twice this season and in both games they have been winning halfway through only to have Farnsworth come in and blow both games. PLEASE NO FUCKIN KYLE FARNSWORTH IN THIS GAME TODAY, I AM BEGGING YOU! Meche has had a up and down career pitching in Cleveland as a member of the Royals winning two of the four starts he has made in this ballpark but two of his starts here in 2008 saw the veteran righty pitch several scoreless innings and I think he is in good enough form to pitch well again here. Reyes has been fantastic in all his pitching appearances versus the Royals (three starts and three wins in his career against Kansas City) but I just don't trust the bullpen for this Indians team and I think they are going to come in this game blow it up. Kansas City has now won four of their last five meetings in Cleveland and they have taken 6 of their last 8 games overall against the Indians. John Hirschbeck is the home plate umpire for this game and let me tell you right now that the road team has won four of his last five games behind home plate and that could be huge in the late innings of this game. I am going to try my luck with the Royals one more time here and hope I don't get screwed.
Trend of the Game: Kansas City is 12-2 in their last 14 games versus a right handed starting pitcher.
Kansas City 5, Cleveland 2
More selections to come...
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