MistaFlava's 2009 MLB Baseball Record: 12-10 (+80.80 Units)
Big Plays 25/50 Units: 3-0 (+100.00 Units)
So we are back for another baseball season and I could not be more excited. I did not post consistently in this sport in 2008 because I simply did not have the time but I have made the decision to post baseball picks right up until the NCAA Football season and NFL seasons come rolling back around and that should be a good 4-5 months of baseball and nothing but baseball.
I am also contemplating heading back into the world of NBA Betting but it's late in the season, I have not established myself in the pro hoops betting ranks and it would be tough to get into the swing of things right now at the end of the season and right before the playoffs. I am pretty sure I am not going to post NBA Picks but that might change and I might do the playoffs We'll see I guess.
The key to winning baseball bets early in the season is to stay focused on which teams and which pitchers are finding early season chemistry. Some teams favored to win it all might start 2-10 or they might start 10-0. Don't forget that good pitchers are good pitchers and bad pitchers bad pitchers regardless of Spring Training.
1 Unit = $100
I am a streaky capper and everyone knows it. You can tail, fade or simply watch what I do. But in the end, I am always a winner and that is all that matters.
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Big Plays 25/50 Units: 3-0 (+100.00 Units)
So we are back for another baseball season and I could not be more excited. I did not post consistently in this sport in 2008 because I simply did not have the time but I have made the decision to post baseball picks right up until the NCAA Football season and NFL seasons come rolling back around and that should be a good 4-5 months of baseball and nothing but baseball.
I am also contemplating heading back into the world of NBA Betting but it's late in the season, I have not established myself in the pro hoops betting ranks and it would be tough to get into the swing of things right now at the end of the season and right before the playoffs. I am pretty sure I am not going to post NBA Picks but that might change and I might do the playoffs We'll see I guess.
The key to winning baseball bets early in the season is to stay focused on which teams and which pitchers are finding early season chemistry. Some teams favored to win it all might start 2-10 or they might start 10-0. Don't forget that good pitchers are good pitchers and bad pitchers bad pitchers regardless of Spring Training.
1 Unit = $100
I am a streaky capper and everyone knows it. You can tail, fade or simply watch what I do. But in the end, I am always a winner and that is all that matters.
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Saturday, April 11
Felix Hernandez vs. Josh Outman
View attachment 6947 Seattle Mariners ML -113 (10 Units) View attachment 6946
Felix Hernandez vs. Josh Outman
View attachment 6947 Seattle Mariners ML -113 (10 Units) View attachment 6946
The Seattle Mariners are off to a decent start on the season and they managed to continue that good start yesterday with their exciting 5-4 win in Game 1 of this series against the Oakland Athletics. I see a lot of people fading the Mariners this time around because they don't see them winning the first two games of a series against anyone really but think again please. Sure Ichirio is out and it is impossible to replace him in this lineup but the Mariners have done a good job without him anyways as they currently bat .265 on the year and they have had some guys step up to replace both Ichiro and Raul Ibanez (who signed elsewhere in the off-season after being in the TOP 5 for RBI's in Major League Baseball last season). If you are going to take the Mariners and you want some big time cash, take them on the RunLine where they are 5-0 already this season. Seattle has now won their last four games versus AL West opponents and they have won four straight games when facing a left-handed starting pitcher (Outman is a lefty so the Mariners are going to love that). I know Seattle has been somewhat of a bust on the road the past few seasons and that's fine because even though I think they will probably be a bust on the road again in 2009, Oakland is not a tough road opponent and this is a great chance for the Mariners to gain some ground in the Division. Felix Hernandez was horrendous at the end of last season and that was a big problem for the Mariners who were counting on him to lead the team in 2009 but his first start of this season was incredible as he went 8 strong innings of five hit ball in a 6-1 win over Minnesota on opening day. That showed that Hernandez can not only win games away from home but it also showed that Hernandez is in top shape right now and that he is going to be a force to be reckoned with. Seattle has not done well in Oakland in past seasons but the Mariners are 6-2 the last eight times Hernandez has pitched against the Athletics and this is a team he loves to face. At these odds I cannot stay away that is for sure.
The Oakland Athletics are a team I will probably never trust because they cannot seem to ever get a consistent offense going long enough to win close games. Sure they scored four runs yesterday but that was one run too short and the A's found a way to once again lose the first game of a series. I like the fact that a lot of the public is going to be on Oakland in this game for the simple fact that they don't think the Athletics can lose two straight at home against a lowly Mariners team but like I said before, get ready for something different. Pitching has been good for both teams so far this season but the A's starting pitchers have not been all that strong and the Starters have a combined ERA of 5.09 on the season. Josh Outman makes his first start of the season and I don't get why he is getting so much respect here. In four career starts Outman is 1-2 with an ERA of 4.56 and the Athletics are only 1-3 in those games. He started four games last September and although he was brilliant in his first career start, things went downhill after that and he struggled to finish the season. I know Oakland is very good at home against right handed pitchers and they have won seven straight against righties at home but having said that, this is the same Oakland team that has lost 22 of their last 30 when playing Game 2 of a series and this is the same Oakland team that is only 7-20 in their last 27 games versus good pitcher, in other words pitchers with a WHIP better than 1.15 (Hernandez looked way too good in his season debut for me to go against him here). Oakland is also only 2-7 in their last nine games versus AL West opponents and again I think this is a bad spot for them against a pitcher who is looking to turn his career around and live up to expectations. The reason the Mariners are 3-2 right now on the season is because of their solid pitching as both their pen and their starters have combined ERA's below 4.00 and they have gotten the job done. I think both teams are going to score in this game but the Mariners are going to end up with more points on the board in somewhat of a shootout.
These two teams know each other very well, they play each other many times a year and I can tell you right now that despite his struggles against just about everyone else, Felix "King" Hernandez loves playing against Oakland as the Mariners are 6-2 in his last eight starts versus the Athletics. As long as his team can support him with runs like they did against the Twins this past week, Hernandez should cruise to a win despite allowing a few runs here and there and I say that because he pitched two games in Oakland last season. The first was a 4-2 win and the second was a 2-0 loss. Don't expect things to be all that low scoring though as Josh Outman can be good or he can be bad. I don't trust young pitchers all that much early in the season and we all saw what happened to Scott Lewis of the Indians yesterday. He pitched well but made too many mistake against the Jays and it cost him in the end. Dana Demuth is behind home plate this afternoon for this game and for some reason he loves the road team when Oakland plays as the road team is 4-1 in his last five games behind home plate in an Oakland game. Regardless of that stat, Hernandez already showed he has his good stuff locked and loaded this season and this is the best price you will see on him for quite some time. TAKE THE KING!
Trend of the Game: Seattle is 4-0 in their last four games versus a left-handed starter.
Seattle 9, Oakland 5
More selections to come...
The Oakland Athletics are a team I will probably never trust because they cannot seem to ever get a consistent offense going long enough to win close games. Sure they scored four runs yesterday but that was one run too short and the A's found a way to once again lose the first game of a series. I like the fact that a lot of the public is going to be on Oakland in this game for the simple fact that they don't think the Athletics can lose two straight at home against a lowly Mariners team but like I said before, get ready for something different. Pitching has been good for both teams so far this season but the A's starting pitchers have not been all that strong and the Starters have a combined ERA of 5.09 on the season. Josh Outman makes his first start of the season and I don't get why he is getting so much respect here. In four career starts Outman is 1-2 with an ERA of 4.56 and the Athletics are only 1-3 in those games. He started four games last September and although he was brilliant in his first career start, things went downhill after that and he struggled to finish the season. I know Oakland is very good at home against right handed pitchers and they have won seven straight against righties at home but having said that, this is the same Oakland team that has lost 22 of their last 30 when playing Game 2 of a series and this is the same Oakland team that is only 7-20 in their last 27 games versus good pitcher, in other words pitchers with a WHIP better than 1.15 (Hernandez looked way too good in his season debut for me to go against him here). Oakland is also only 2-7 in their last nine games versus AL West opponents and again I think this is a bad spot for them against a pitcher who is looking to turn his career around and live up to expectations. The reason the Mariners are 3-2 right now on the season is because of their solid pitching as both their pen and their starters have combined ERA's below 4.00 and they have gotten the job done. I think both teams are going to score in this game but the Mariners are going to end up with more points on the board in somewhat of a shootout.
These two teams know each other very well, they play each other many times a year and I can tell you right now that despite his struggles against just about everyone else, Felix "King" Hernandez loves playing against Oakland as the Mariners are 6-2 in his last eight starts versus the Athletics. As long as his team can support him with runs like they did against the Twins this past week, Hernandez should cruise to a win despite allowing a few runs here and there and I say that because he pitched two games in Oakland last season. The first was a 4-2 win and the second was a 2-0 loss. Don't expect things to be all that low scoring though as Josh Outman can be good or he can be bad. I don't trust young pitchers all that much early in the season and we all saw what happened to Scott Lewis of the Indians yesterday. He pitched well but made too many mistake against the Jays and it cost him in the end. Dana Demuth is behind home plate this afternoon for this game and for some reason he loves the road team when Oakland plays as the road team is 4-1 in his last five games behind home plate in an Oakland game. Regardless of that stat, Hernandez already showed he has his good stuff locked and loaded this season and this is the best price you will see on him for quite some time. TAKE THE KING!
Trend of the Game: Seattle is 4-0 in their last four games versus a left-handed starter.
Seattle 9, Oakland 5
More selections to come...
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