2018 MistaFlava's CFB Record: 29-12 ATS (+278.00 Units)
Had another huge week in College Football last week hitting my PLAY OF THE WEEK on Texas and finishing 7-3 ATS (+77.00 Units) and now moving to 19-7 ATS in the last 3 weeks!
Good luck to everyone
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Thursday, October 18
Arizona State Sun Devils +2 (10 Units)
The Stanford Cardinal are not a BAD team but they are also not a GOOD team. Sorry they're not. This is a team that was supposed to contend for a PAC 12 Conference Title and that had a darkhorse chance of making the BCS Playoffs but instead Stanford comes into this game on a two game losing streak with losses to Utah and Notre Dame. In their last three games the Cardinal have been outyarded by 445 total yards of offense and despite outyarding Utah by 2 total yards they still lost the game 40-21. The assumption is that this is a bounce back game for Stanford and it kind of is but do you not find the line sketchy? This is the PAC 12 after dark afterall. RB Bryce Love is back tonight and rushed for 300 yards (yep you read that right) in last year's matchup but Arizona State is allowing only 2.9 yards per carry at home on 109 rushing yards per game. This is a whole different ball game with the Sun Devils playing on their home turf. I know Love has been out with an injury but Stanford averaged 63 rushing yards on 2.6 yards per carry away from home this season. In three home games this season, despite not playing the strongest of teams, Arizona State's defense has 16 sacks, 2 interceptions and 3 fumble recoveries. In two road games this season Stanford QB KJ Costello has been sacked 7 times. Stanford should get some yards in this game but Arizona State's defense will bring pressure, they will make plays and they will force critical turnovers.
The Arizona State Sun Devils have looked good at home. They beat UTSA 49-7 in their home opener back in September outyarding them by 283 total yards, they then followed that up with a huge statement 16-13 win over Michigan State (who are now ranked) outyarding them by 47 total yards and then they beat up on 52-24 on Oregon State two weeks ago outyarding the Beavers by 152 total yards. That's a 3-0 ATS record at home in 2018 and outyarding opponents by a total of 482 yards in three games. They are averaging 39.0 points per home game on 495.3 total yards of offense on a crazy 7.1 yards per play. Stanford's defense has been horrendous in their two road games at Utah and Notre Dame allowing 34.5 points per game and 537 total yards of offense on 6.3 yards per play in those games. The Sun Devils have a tremendous running game at home averaging 235.7 rushing yards per game on 6.3 yards per carry which is a problem for a Stanford defense allowing 4.3 yards per carry on the road. The secondary is a mess allowing 312 passing yards per game and 9.5 yards per pass attempt and they will struggle to have any success against this underrated Sun Devils offensive line that has allowed 2 sacks in three home games. I absolutely love the matchup for Arizona State, Stanford's defense is in big trouble.
Looking at the history of these two schools playing each other its goes back quite a while but they don't play each other that often. Arizona State is 3-1-1 ATS in their last five games hosting the Cardinal and they are also a very good team when coming off a loss. The Sun Devils lost 28-21 at Colorado last weekend but they are 6-0 ATS in their last six games coming off a straight up loss. Arizona State is also 5-1 ATS in their last six home games dating back to last season and they have covered the spread in 7 of their last 10 games versus a team with a winning record on the season. Stanford allowed 222 rushing yards against Utah so I went back and looked at how they did the following few games after allowing 200+ rushing yards in the past and they went 0-3-1 ATS in the following games the last four times. Geez. The Home Team in this series is 10-4-1 ATS in the last 15 meetings and at some point people are going to have to understand that Stanford is just not that good. It will show again tonight, Arizona State get rid of their Thursday Night curse and win this game!
Trend of the Game: Arizona State is 6-0 ATS in their last six games coming off a straight up loss.
Arizona State 36, Stanford 21
more to come...
Had another huge week in College Football last week hitting my PLAY OF THE WEEK on Texas and finishing 7-3 ATS (+77.00 Units) and now moving to 19-7 ATS in the last 3 weeks!
Good luck to everyone
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Thursday, October 18
Arizona State Sun Devils +2 (10 Units)
The Stanford Cardinal are not a BAD team but they are also not a GOOD team. Sorry they're not. This is a team that was supposed to contend for a PAC 12 Conference Title and that had a darkhorse chance of making the BCS Playoffs but instead Stanford comes into this game on a two game losing streak with losses to Utah and Notre Dame. In their last three games the Cardinal have been outyarded by 445 total yards of offense and despite outyarding Utah by 2 total yards they still lost the game 40-21. The assumption is that this is a bounce back game for Stanford and it kind of is but do you not find the line sketchy? This is the PAC 12 after dark afterall. RB Bryce Love is back tonight and rushed for 300 yards (yep you read that right) in last year's matchup but Arizona State is allowing only 2.9 yards per carry at home on 109 rushing yards per game. This is a whole different ball game with the Sun Devils playing on their home turf. I know Love has been out with an injury but Stanford averaged 63 rushing yards on 2.6 yards per carry away from home this season. In three home games this season, despite not playing the strongest of teams, Arizona State's defense has 16 sacks, 2 interceptions and 3 fumble recoveries. In two road games this season Stanford QB KJ Costello has been sacked 7 times. Stanford should get some yards in this game but Arizona State's defense will bring pressure, they will make plays and they will force critical turnovers.
The Arizona State Sun Devils have looked good at home. They beat UTSA 49-7 in their home opener back in September outyarding them by 283 total yards, they then followed that up with a huge statement 16-13 win over Michigan State (who are now ranked) outyarding them by 47 total yards and then they beat up on 52-24 on Oregon State two weeks ago outyarding the Beavers by 152 total yards. That's a 3-0 ATS record at home in 2018 and outyarding opponents by a total of 482 yards in three games. They are averaging 39.0 points per home game on 495.3 total yards of offense on a crazy 7.1 yards per play. Stanford's defense has been horrendous in their two road games at Utah and Notre Dame allowing 34.5 points per game and 537 total yards of offense on 6.3 yards per play in those games. The Sun Devils have a tremendous running game at home averaging 235.7 rushing yards per game on 6.3 yards per carry which is a problem for a Stanford defense allowing 4.3 yards per carry on the road. The secondary is a mess allowing 312 passing yards per game and 9.5 yards per pass attempt and they will struggle to have any success against this underrated Sun Devils offensive line that has allowed 2 sacks in three home games. I absolutely love the matchup for Arizona State, Stanford's defense is in big trouble.
Looking at the history of these two schools playing each other its goes back quite a while but they don't play each other that often. Arizona State is 3-1-1 ATS in their last five games hosting the Cardinal and they are also a very good team when coming off a loss. The Sun Devils lost 28-21 at Colorado last weekend but they are 6-0 ATS in their last six games coming off a straight up loss. Arizona State is also 5-1 ATS in their last six home games dating back to last season and they have covered the spread in 7 of their last 10 games versus a team with a winning record on the season. Stanford allowed 222 rushing yards against Utah so I went back and looked at how they did the following few games after allowing 200+ rushing yards in the past and they went 0-3-1 ATS in the following games the last four times. Geez. The Home Team in this series is 10-4-1 ATS in the last 15 meetings and at some point people are going to have to understand that Stanford is just not that good. It will show again tonight, Arizona State get rid of their Thursday Night curse and win this game!
Trend of the Game: Arizona State is 6-0 ATS in their last six games coming off a straight up loss.
Arizona State 36, Stanford 21
more to come...