MistaFlava's 2014 College Football Season: 0-0 ATS (+0.00 Units)
Back for another year doing what I love doing. Will try to post as much as I can and discuss as many games as I can, win or lose. Good luck to everyone on another season of college football betting.
------------------------------------------------------------
Friday, August 29
Jacksonville State Gamecocks +34.5 (10 Units)
Funny name for these guys and I don't know too much about them but I can tell you I don't see the Spartans winning by more than 20 points on opening night. At home or not, these points are a ton. This no-name team has 14 returning starters from a Quarter-Finals team in 2013 and they did beat Ole Miss back in 2010 so they have some experience in these D-1 games. Their RB is a Senior who had something like 29 rushing touchdowns last season (could be overall touchdowns not too sure). The only reason I think Jacksonville State can score some points is because Michigan State loses 6 starters on defense this season. I don't have any trends for either one of these teams but like I said before I think Michigan State can beat these guys with ease and their D is still very solid but the Gamecocks have some offensive weapons and Sparty doesn't know enough about them to stop them and by 35+. I'll take the underdog.
Michigan State 38, Jacksonville State 14
Colorado State Rams +2.5 (10 Units)
Always a fan of the underdog in this opening weekend series between two in-State rivals and that is not about to change. QB Garrett Grayson is a baller and he beat the Buffs last year. He had a school record 3000+ passing yards last season and this season he returns his top 5 wide receivers from a year ago so it should be another big year. I know traditionally Colorado always wins this series and they have dominated over the years but the Buffs programs just ain't the same anymore and winning consistently is not part of the culture here. The Rams D-Line is suspect and Colorado can probably run all over them in this one but they have some solid DB's with experience and they should be able to make some plays in the secondary. In what could be yet another yearly shootout, I do really like the team with the best QB play and that's Colorado State. Grayson is no joke and he is making his third career start against Colorado, something almost nobody has done before in this program. The Rams come into this game 5-0 ATS in their last five non-conference games and they finished the 2013 season on a 4-1 ATS run. Colorado also did the same at the end of last season despite losing 6 of their last 8 but you can never lose track of the underdog in this series. The underdog that has covered the spread in 13 of the last 18 meetings. I'll follow that trend.
Trend of the Game: Underdog is 13-5 ATS in the last 18 meetings.
Colorado State 31, Colorado 28
Houston Cougars -10 (10 Units)
I like to think of this as an early season college football gift to the betting community but I'm also a little skeptical of the possible trap play. I think the reason this line is so low is because Texas-San Antonio return 21 starters from last season and have the exact same team as a year ago. They are also coached by Larry Coker. These two teams met last season and the Cougars put up 59 points. They have a lot of their weapons back on offense this season so in what should be a shootout I see them scoring another 50-60 points. Houston has a defense that forced an incredible 43 turnovers last season to lead the Nation and 9 starters are back from that very same defense of 2013. Not bad at all. I would love to back the dog here if it was a bigger dog but I can't back a visiting team that has a QB making his first career start with only five games experience. I also have concerns about the Houston starting offensive line because they have three new starters but they have so many weapons in the backfield and out wide that compensating for shady coverage shouldn't be too hard. All that matters to me is this Houston defense and their ability to force turnovers left and right. Again this Texas San-Antonio team is a team I will be backing a lot this year because they covered so many spreads last season and they have experience but Houston is a scoring machine and they are at home. They are 12-3 ATS in their last 15 games overall and have gone 4-1 ATS in their last five Friday Night games. Not sure about a shootout but Houston will come up with enough turnovers to win this game by a nice margin.
Trend of the Game: Houston is 12-3 ATS in their last 15 games overall
Houston 55, Texas-San Antonio 24
Arizona Wildcats -23.5 (10 Units)
I think the run for the PAC-12 Title starts tonight and I really don't see Rich Rodriguez letting up the push at any point in this game. Neither team has answers at the QB position and that could make this thing a bit iffy but I know Rich Rod offenses and if you like points you are probably going to get points here. Does everyone not remember the 58-13 Arizona win in Las Vegas last year at the Rebels home stadium? Sure we won't see the same thing but you still have to respect the fact that Arizona was able to destroy them on the road. My issue with UNLV is that they don't have an experience QB (he comes from the JUCO circuit) and their RB's are all brand new so this offense is going to take some time to get going. Arizona also has question marks at the QB and RB positions but again this is more about Rich Rodriguez and his history of putting together high scoring offenses, new players or not. They have a very strong WR corps that is going to make plays for their new QB. Let's not forget the Wildcats and their 400 rushing yard performance on the road in last year's game. I think the Rebels can score some points in this one but I don't see them keeping up. UNLV has been notoriously bad away from home over the year and prior to last season had not won away from home in forever. They have covered the spread in only 12 of their last 53 away games and Arizona is 6-1 ATS in their last seven games played on a Friday Night. I'll take Arizona with a big win.
Trend of the Game: Arizona is 6-1 ATS in their last seven Friday Night games.
Arizona 38, UNLV 10
more to come...
Back for another year doing what I love doing. Will try to post as much as I can and discuss as many games as I can, win or lose. Good luck to everyone on another season of college football betting.
------------------------------------------------------------
Friday, August 29
Jacksonville State Gamecocks +34.5 (10 Units)
Funny name for these guys and I don't know too much about them but I can tell you I don't see the Spartans winning by more than 20 points on opening night. At home or not, these points are a ton. This no-name team has 14 returning starters from a Quarter-Finals team in 2013 and they did beat Ole Miss back in 2010 so they have some experience in these D-1 games. Their RB is a Senior who had something like 29 rushing touchdowns last season (could be overall touchdowns not too sure). The only reason I think Jacksonville State can score some points is because Michigan State loses 6 starters on defense this season. I don't have any trends for either one of these teams but like I said before I think Michigan State can beat these guys with ease and their D is still very solid but the Gamecocks have some offensive weapons and Sparty doesn't know enough about them to stop them and by 35+. I'll take the underdog.
Michigan State 38, Jacksonville State 14
Colorado State Rams +2.5 (10 Units)
Always a fan of the underdog in this opening weekend series between two in-State rivals and that is not about to change. QB Garrett Grayson is a baller and he beat the Buffs last year. He had a school record 3000+ passing yards last season and this season he returns his top 5 wide receivers from a year ago so it should be another big year. I know traditionally Colorado always wins this series and they have dominated over the years but the Buffs programs just ain't the same anymore and winning consistently is not part of the culture here. The Rams D-Line is suspect and Colorado can probably run all over them in this one but they have some solid DB's with experience and they should be able to make some plays in the secondary. In what could be yet another yearly shootout, I do really like the team with the best QB play and that's Colorado State. Grayson is no joke and he is making his third career start against Colorado, something almost nobody has done before in this program. The Rams come into this game 5-0 ATS in their last five non-conference games and they finished the 2013 season on a 4-1 ATS run. Colorado also did the same at the end of last season despite losing 6 of their last 8 but you can never lose track of the underdog in this series. The underdog that has covered the spread in 13 of the last 18 meetings. I'll follow that trend.
Trend of the Game: Underdog is 13-5 ATS in the last 18 meetings.
Colorado State 31, Colorado 28
Houston Cougars -10 (10 Units)
I like to think of this as an early season college football gift to the betting community but I'm also a little skeptical of the possible trap play. I think the reason this line is so low is because Texas-San Antonio return 21 starters from last season and have the exact same team as a year ago. They are also coached by Larry Coker. These two teams met last season and the Cougars put up 59 points. They have a lot of their weapons back on offense this season so in what should be a shootout I see them scoring another 50-60 points. Houston has a defense that forced an incredible 43 turnovers last season to lead the Nation and 9 starters are back from that very same defense of 2013. Not bad at all. I would love to back the dog here if it was a bigger dog but I can't back a visiting team that has a QB making his first career start with only five games experience. I also have concerns about the Houston starting offensive line because they have three new starters but they have so many weapons in the backfield and out wide that compensating for shady coverage shouldn't be too hard. All that matters to me is this Houston defense and their ability to force turnovers left and right. Again this Texas San-Antonio team is a team I will be backing a lot this year because they covered so many spreads last season and they have experience but Houston is a scoring machine and they are at home. They are 12-3 ATS in their last 15 games overall and have gone 4-1 ATS in their last five Friday Night games. Not sure about a shootout but Houston will come up with enough turnovers to win this game by a nice margin.
Trend of the Game: Houston is 12-3 ATS in their last 15 games overall
Houston 55, Texas-San Antonio 24
Arizona Wildcats -23.5 (10 Units)
I think the run for the PAC-12 Title starts tonight and I really don't see Rich Rodriguez letting up the push at any point in this game. Neither team has answers at the QB position and that could make this thing a bit iffy but I know Rich Rod offenses and if you like points you are probably going to get points here. Does everyone not remember the 58-13 Arizona win in Las Vegas last year at the Rebels home stadium? Sure we won't see the same thing but you still have to respect the fact that Arizona was able to destroy them on the road. My issue with UNLV is that they don't have an experience QB (he comes from the JUCO circuit) and their RB's are all brand new so this offense is going to take some time to get going. Arizona also has question marks at the QB and RB positions but again this is more about Rich Rodriguez and his history of putting together high scoring offenses, new players or not. They have a very strong WR corps that is going to make plays for their new QB. Let's not forget the Wildcats and their 400 rushing yard performance on the road in last year's game. I think the Rebels can score some points in this one but I don't see them keeping up. UNLV has been notoriously bad away from home over the year and prior to last season had not won away from home in forever. They have covered the spread in only 12 of their last 53 away games and Arizona is 6-1 ATS in their last seven games played on a Friday Night. I'll take Arizona with a big win.
Trend of the Game: Arizona is 6-1 ATS in their last seven Friday Night games.
Arizona 38, UNLV 10
more to come...
