MistaFlava's 2008 CFB Record: 31-28-1 ATS (-86.80 Units) 53%
I am 3-1 ATS this week. Great start. Not having a good season at all, down some big money and struggling trying to get back to what I was at in the 2005 and 2006 seasons. It's been a rough couple of years but we still have some time to go and I think I can dig out of this hole with a few big plays. I took a week off, made some predictions of my own, saved my money and decided to just chill out for a bit. My largest lean Week 10 was on Miami over Virginia and it hit. Back to business we go, good luck to all this week.
The goal for the season remains to hit 65% of my plays or hit the 100 Unit mark.
1 Unit = $100
Week 1: 4-6 ATS (+3.20 Units)
Week 2: 3-3 ATS (-12.50 Units)
Week 3: 2-3-1 ATS (-29.00 Units)
Week 4: 3-4 ATS (+7.00 Units)
Week 5: 5-2 ATS (-16.00 Units)
Week 6: 5-3 ATS (+27.50 Units)
Week 7: 0-1 ATS (-11.00 Units)
Week 8: ---No Plays---
Week 9: 5-4 ATS (-64.50 Units)
Week 10: 1-1 ATS (-6.00 Units)
Week 11: ---No Plays---
Week 12: 3-1 ATS (+14.50 ATS)
You can tail, you can fade or you can just watch. I have always been a streaky capper. I am due for a huge week. Good Luck to all this week!
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I am 3-1 ATS this week. Great start. Not having a good season at all, down some big money and struggling trying to get back to what I was at in the 2005 and 2006 seasons. It's been a rough couple of years but we still have some time to go and I think I can dig out of this hole with a few big plays. I took a week off, made some predictions of my own, saved my money and decided to just chill out for a bit. My largest lean Week 10 was on Miami over Virginia and it hit. Back to business we go, good luck to all this week.
The goal for the season remains to hit 65% of my plays or hit the 100 Unit mark.
1 Unit = $100
Week 1: 4-6 ATS (+3.20 Units)
Week 2: 3-3 ATS (-12.50 Units)
Week 3: 2-3-1 ATS (-29.00 Units)
Week 4: 3-4 ATS (+7.00 Units)
Week 5: 5-2 ATS (-16.00 Units)
Week 6: 5-3 ATS (+27.50 Units)
Week 7: 0-1 ATS (-11.00 Units)
Week 8: ---No Plays---
Week 9: 5-4 ATS (-64.50 Units)
Week 10: 1-1 ATS (-6.00 Units)
Week 11: ---No Plays---
Week 12: 3-1 ATS (+14.50 ATS)
You can tail, you can fade or you can just watch. I have always been a streaky capper. I am due for a huge week. Good Luck to all this week!
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Saturday, November 15
Illinois Fighting Illini +9 (10 Units)
Illinois Fighting Illini +9 (10 Units)
This is a great spot to take Illinois because I just don't think Ohio State knows what they are in for. I know Ohio State's win over NW was impressive last week but lets not lose our minds about it because this is the same team that struggled against some weaker teams earlier in the season. Illinois has struggled at many times this season but checkout what they have done at home. They beat Iowa 27-24, they beat Indiana 55-13, they lost to Minnesota 27-20 and they won their two non-conference games. I know the competition has not been stiff but these guys have played well enough at home to win every game and today should be no different. You might think the offense has struggled for the Illini the last three games having scored only 20.3 points per game in their last three games compared to Ohio State's 32.0 points per game in their last three games but those numbers don't mean much seeing how Illinois has averaged 361.3 total yards of offense per game in those games while Ohio State has averaged 353.7 total yards of offense per game in those games. All I know is that Illinois always plays Ohio State tough and this is way too many points. The Illini and Juice Williams won in Columbus last season, they kept things close in 2006 at home in a 17-10 loss and they lost in overtime to this same Ohio State team at home in 2004. Juice has been a turnover machine the last three games but it's not all his fault and he is the kind of kid who lives for big games like this one. The crowd should be loud and the Illini need to keep this game close or win.
Trend of the Game: Ohio State is 0-6 ATS in their last six games played on turf.
Illinois 28, Ohio State 27
Trend of the Game: Ohio State is 0-6 ATS in their last six games played on turf.
Illinois 28, Ohio State 27
Florida Gators -21 (25 Units)
***PLAY OF THE WEEK***
***PLAY OF THE WEEK***
I don't really care who is making a return in this game, the bottom line is right now that Florida needs to keep winning and they need to keep winning big if they want to be in that BCS Championship Game coming up in a few months. Everyone is talking South Carolina in this game because of their recent play and their recent wins but lets be honest here for a second. South Carolina has the #46 toughest schedule in the Country while the Gators have played the #9 toughest schedule in the Country this season. The Cocks are coming off wins over Arkansas, Tennessee, Kentucky, Ole Miss and UAB. Apart from Ole Miss I don't think any of those teams are going to a Bowl Game this season and not to disrespect Spurrier and his guys but they are not close to being in the same league as Tebow and the Gators who have not lost since their shocking sleeper against Ole Miss about a month ago. Since that loss the Gators have won their four games by an average win margin of 38.8 points per game. THEY HAVE WON GAME BY ALMOST 40 POINTS against conference opponents (LSU by 30, Kentucky by 58, Georgia by 39 and Vanderbilt by 28). Wow! South Carolina's offense is horrendous and unless they can play some top notch defense for an entire game, they are not going to come close in this game against a Florida team averaging 413.7 total yards of offense per game in their last three games compared to their pathetic 286.7 total yards per game in their last three games. Spurrier kept things close the last time he was in 2006 but things have changed and the Gators know not to take this game lightly against one of the toughest defenses in the SEC. This game should be more like the 48-14 shallacking in 2004.
Trend of the Game: Florida is 6-0 ATS in their last six November games.
Florida 45, South Carolina 13
Trend of the Game: Florida is 6-0 ATS in their last six November games.
Florida 45, South Carolina 13
California Golden Bears +3.5 (10 Units)
I really like this play guys. California has been horrendous on the road all season and it pretty much all started with their 12 Noon loss at Maryland earlier this season. Since that loss on the East Coast, the Bears walked into Arizona and got blown out and they followed that up with a pathetic 17-3 loss at USC last week despite covering the +21.5 points. Despite the way this team has played all season the Golden Bears are still one of the most profitable teams in college football this season with their 7-2 ATS record (2-2 ATS on the road this season). Oregon State is a good team and they have done some big things this season but at this point they are a tad bit overrated and this is a great spot for them to get caught. They have not lost ATS wise since September 6 against Penn State on the East Coast going an impressive 6-0 ATS since that game but their level of opponents has been mediocre at best as their last four games have been against Washington, Washington State, Arizona State and UCLA (only one of them is going to a Bowl Game). The road team in this series has been the hot pick as of late going 5-0 SU and ATS in the last five games. Oregon State went on the road and won 31-28 last season and there is no doubt in my mind the Golden Bears are ready to return the favor here. Neither team has impressed at all on the offensive side of things but I give the edge to the Golden Bears here who should have some success passing the ball believe it or not. California is one win away from being back in the TOP 25 and I see them getting the job done here despite not playing well on the road this season.
Trend of the Game: California is 5-1 ATS in their last six PAC 10 Conference games.
California 27, Oregon State 24
Trend of the Game: California is 5-1 ATS in their last six PAC 10 Conference games.
California 27, Oregon State 24
Florida State Seminoles -6 (10 Units)
I have never been a big fan of betting on the Noles as favorites at home or on the road but they have proven me wrong once again this season and are actually a decent 3-2 ATS as the favored team. There has been all that talk this week about the on-campus brawl between players and fraternity members at a union hall meeting and yes many big name receivers on this team are suspended. However, if anything, that probably brought this team a lot close together and they know the task at hand here...WINNING! The road team has always been able to win in this series as they are 3-0 SU and ATS the last three times they have met but I think things are about to change here. Florida State has been clicking on all cylinders really as they are coming off a huge 41-27 win over Clemson last weekend following their tough road loss to Georgia Tech and the Noles have looked impressive at home (10 point win over Virginia Tech and 18 point win over Colorado). You could call this their biggest test to date this season because Boston College needs to win to keep their season alive. The Eagles are coming off a 17-0 win over Notre Dame at home but the last time we saw them on the road was in a blowout loss to North Carolina a few weeks ago. I know Florida State's offense doesn't really scare other teams but Boston College is averaging only 242.0 total yards of offense per game in their last three games, which is pathetic, and they have to go up against a Noles defense that has allowed only 233.4 total yards of offense per home game this season and that is not about to let these guys walk in here and score some points. Florida State is not too far away from clinching the Atlantic Division Title and getting a chance to play in the ACC Championship Game but they know they have to keep winning and today is no different. I just don't see how this useless BC offense can keep this game close even if it's a low-scoring affaire.
Trend of the Game: Boston College is 1-6 ATS in their last seven ACC Conference games.
Florida State 33, Boston College 13
:toast:
RECAP
Miami Ohio +18.5
Kent State +1
Wyoming +7
Cincinnati -4
Illinois +9
Florida -21 ***PLAY OF THE WEEK***
California +3.5
Florida State -6
GOOD LUCK TO ALL!
Trend of the Game: Boston College is 1-6 ATS in their last seven ACC Conference games.
Florida State 33, Boston College 13
:toast:
RECAP
Miami Ohio +18.5
Kent State +1
Wyoming +7
Cincinnati -4
Illinois +9
Florida -21 ***PLAY OF THE WEEK***
California +3.5
Florida State -6
GOOD LUCK TO ALL!
