MistaFlava's 2008-2009 CFB Bowl Record: 9-12 ATS (-102.00 Units)
What can I say? The difference between my NFL and CFB seasons have been that I have nailed almost all my big plays in the NFL and have missed almost all my big plays in college football which is why I continue to lose cash. Whatever I don't really give a shit, today is a new day and no matter what I love waking up in the morning with the prospect of winning money even if it means having a bad day. You all know how my regular season went (not well) and it looks like I'm heading the same way with the Bowl games. Should I juss stop now? Maybe but that's not my style.
1 Unit = $100
What you have to keep in mind about me is that the units I post is only meant to indicate how much I really like a play. It does not necessarily mean that I bet that much money on the game because I do sometimes put a lot more or a lot less on a game. So take it as you wish, only reason I post units is to keep things legit around here. Hope you all had a good New Year's, all the best today, let's make some of that cash back!
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What can I say? The difference between my NFL and CFB seasons have been that I have nailed almost all my big plays in the NFL and have missed almost all my big plays in college football which is why I continue to lose cash. Whatever I don't really give a shit, today is a new day and no matter what I love waking up in the morning with the prospect of winning money even if it means having a bad day. You all know how my regular season went (not well) and it looks like I'm heading the same way with the Bowl games. Should I juss stop now? Maybe but that's not my style.
1 Unit = $100
What you have to keep in mind about me is that the units I post is only meant to indicate how much I really like a play. It does not necessarily mean that I bet that much money on the game because I do sometimes put a lot more or a lot less on a game. So take it as you wish, only reason I post units is to keep things legit around here. Hope you all had a good New Year's, all the best today, let's make some of that cash back!
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Friday, January 2
COTTON BOWL
View attachment 6159
View attachment 6158 Mississippi Rebels +4 (25 Units) View attachment 6157
***PLAY OF THE DAY***
COTTON BOWL
View attachment 6159
View attachment 6158 Mississippi Rebels +4 (25 Units) View attachment 6157
***PLAY OF THE DAY***
The Mississippi Rebels quietly made their way around college football this season winning a lot more games than anyone really predicted them to. Houston Nutt has done a fantastic job with these kids, he is turning the program around and depending on who can lure to the school the next two years, I would expect this team to contend for something big and possibly even play in a BCS Bowl Game before any of us can know it. WELL THE NEW GENERATION STARTS NOW and this game actually means everything to the Rebels because a win here would solidify their place as one of the most dangerous up and coming programs in college football and Houston Nutt wants this game bad. Same can't be said for their opponents who are settling for a spot in this game. Ole Miss not only went 8-4 SU this season but they cashed in for bettors going 8-3 ATS in those games and keeping a lot of their losses close. I really like the way this team played on the road this season as they opened things up with a close 2 point loss at Wake Forest, followed that up with quite possibly the biggest upset of the college football season with their road win over the Florida Gators, went to Alabama and lost by only 4 points as 12.5 point underdogs, followed that up with a tough grinded out win at Arkansas and ended their road schedule with a 31-13 blowout win at LSU which is pretty damn impressive and which makes them 4-1 ATS on the road this season. Ole Miss comes into this game averaging a whopping 45.0 points per game in their last three games and in those games this team managed to also average 463.3 total yards of offense per game and 6.8 yards per play in those games. WOW...this offense is clicking big time it seems. That's going to be a huge problem in this game for Texas Tech because the Red Raiders defense has allowed 37.7 points per game in their last three games and in those games they have also allowed 437.7 total yards of offense per game and 6.6 yards per play. On the ground, the Rebels could run the ball all day and completely control this game as they come into the game averaging a whopping 224.0 rushing yards per game in their last three games on 4.7 yards per carry in those games. RB's Cordera Eason, Dexter McCluster and Brandon Bolden all rushed for 430+ yards this season combining for 12 rushing touchdowns and forming the best rushing trio in the Nation. Texas Tech cannot stop the run and they are in big trouble here as they have allowed 238.0 rushing yards per game in their last three games and have allowed 5.4 yards per carry in those games. In the air, QB Jevan Snead has been outstanding this season and in his last three games he managed to complete 62.9% of his passes for a whopping and Nation leading (over that period of time) 11.6 yards per pass attempt which is quite incredible. Texas Tech's defense has completely fallen off the map as they have allowed their last three opponent QB's to complete 66.2% of their passes the last three games for 8.8 yards per pass attempt. WR's Mike Wallance and Shay Hodge are big time deep threats and if Snead has his way (which he should), he will pick apart this Texas Tech secondary with his two receivers that combined for 14 touchdown receptions. In those last three games Snead has been sacked only 3 times and as a result has had all the time in the world and thrown only 1 interception in those games. Texas Tech doesn't exactly bring a lot of pressure up front as they have generated only 6 sacks in their last three games and have come up with only 2 interceptions in those games as well. The only way I see Ole Miss losing this game is if they get caught turning over the ball too many times but having fumbled the ball only two times in their last three games, I have a feeling this team is going to play a near mistake free game this afternoon. The Red Raiders are not forcing turnovers lately the way they did earlier this season as they forced only one fumble in their last three games and have been useless at stopping opponents in the first level of attack. Ole Miss is a disciplined team averaging only 4.7 penalties per game in their last three games and for those of you concerned that they cannot keep up with Mike Leach and his offense in this game, look no further than the 30.0 points per first half this team has scored in their last three games which is by far the highest first half total in the Nation over that span of time. Houston Nutt is going to have one heck of a plan coming into this game because like I mentioned before, winning this game is everything to this program heading into the off-season and some crucial recruiting months. This team has what it takes to compete with some of the best and this game should be no different whatsoever. I really like Ole Miss in this afternoon game.
The Texas Tech Red Raiders probably don't give a damn about playing in this game. That's the honest truth and even if they do, why are you people so convinced that they cant beat this Ole Miss team by this many points when the Florida Gators struggled so much against them? How about Alabama or LSU? They both struggled big time against this Ole Miss team yet the oddsmakers are giving them no respect whatsoever and for some reason the betting public is looking more and more like a BUNCH OF SHEEP BETTING ON THE RED RAIDERS. You can fall in love with the Red Raiders and their offense all you want but in the end this is a bad spot and a bad matchup for them. Their road schedule saw them go 4-1 SU away from home this past season while going 3-2 ATS in those games. They opened things up with a blowout win at Nevada and followd that up with another blowout win at Kansas State (two teams who had no business playing in Bowl games this season). Then came the 43-25 win over Texas A&M in College Station (ATS loss by the way) which was followed by yet another blowout win this time over Kansas in Lawrence (I think this was their best win of the season). Their final road game of the season was a disaster as the Red Raiders travelled to Norman only to get blown out by the Sooners to the tune of 65-21 loss. That game was clear evidence that Texas Tech can't play defense away from home against good teams like Ole Miss. The Red Raiders come into this game averaging 37.3 points per game in their last three games and they managed to get that done on 466.7 total yards of offense per game and 6.1 yards per play in those games which is a bit below what they did all season. Having said that, this offense now has to go up against one of the hottest defenses in the Nation the last three games as Ole Miss has allowed a total of only 13 points in the last three games. In those games the Rebels allowed only 123.3 total yards of offense per game and allowed only 2.2 yards per play in those games (which was once again Nation leading for that time period). I don't know what Texas Tech is going to do but it will take a lot to win this game. On the ground, the Red Raiders running game is non existent as they have rushed for only 71.3 rushing yards per game in their last three games and in those games have managed to rush for only 3.0 yards per carry. They won't even get that far in this game against an Ole Miss run defense that has allowed only 15.0 rushing yards per game in their last three games and that have allowed only 0.5 yards per carry in those games (crazy considering they played against LSU in those games). I don't think Mike Leach minds throwing the ball another 50+ times in this game as QB Graham Harrell is coming off his Heisman Trophy Nomination snub and has completed 74.4% of his passes the last three games for 7.4 yards per pass attempt in those games making this offense very dangerous. Ole Miss has allowed their last three opponents to complete 39.2% of their passes for 4.1 yards per pass attempt and although I don't think there is anyways this defense can hold this offense to such low yardage, they should have the confidence to make some big plays that will in the end change this game around. The offensive line faded towards the end of the season and they allowed Harrell to be sacked 6 times in their last three games. Well this team better be ready for this Ole Miss pressure and I say that because the Rebels are becoming the blitz kings of the SEC and they have a whopping 18 sacks in their last three games. Harrell has thrown only 2 interceptions in his last three games but this Ole Miss secondary loves to ball hawk, they loved to play underneath and they have the athletes to support each other in blown coverage situations. The Rebels have 6 interceptions in their last three games and I expect some of these guys to be all over the field as they are challenged against the best passing attack in the Nation. My only concern with this defense is that they have not recovered a single fumble in the last three games despite forcing 5 fumbles. Well that is going to change in this game as Texas Tech has fumbled the ball 5 times in their last three games and they have lost every single one of those fumbles. This is not a team that takes many penalties so there is no discipline concern with this team but if they get down early in this game, frustration will be obvious and I doubt they can comeback and score a ton of points against the hottest defense in the Country. The 16.3 points per first half scored by the Red Raiders in their last three games will probably be all for not because the Rebels have allowed only 3.3 points per first half in their last three games while scoring 30.0 of their own in those games. Mike Leach and his crew are in for one hell of a surprise in this game.
More than 75% of the public are on Texas Tech for this game yet OLE MISS WAS 4-1 ATS ON THE ROAD THIS SEASON WITH WINS OVER ARKANSAS, LSU AND FLORIDA as well as close losses (and spread covering) to Alabama and Wake Forest. I am completely shocked at the lack of respect this team is getting and I wish I had seen this line when it came out and pounded away on the Rebels to cover the spread and win the game. I think it's also worth mentioning that the OLE MISS DEFENSE ALLOWED ONLY 13 TOTAL POINTS IN THEIR LAST THREE GAMES OF THE REGULAR SEASON. I want to once again mention that this game means a ton to the Mississippi Rebels football program because Houston Nutt is trying to turn things around and if he wants to make this an elite programs in the SEC like he has talked about since the season began, winning games like this one here is a must. Ole Miss has shown in the past that they can play on this Field Turf surface as they have covered the spread in 11 of their last 15 games on this stuff. They are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games versus teams with winning records, 4-0 ATS in their last four games non-conference games and the REBELS ARE 7-0 ATS in their last seven games as underdogs. I don't know why the hell you would trust this Texas Tech team that has done nothing but bitch about this and bitch about that the last three games. That same team is only 2-6 ATS in their last eight games as a favorite and they have covered the spread only 4 times in their last 13 games as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points. This is not the spot for them, OLE MISS IS GOING TO WIN THIS GAME!
Trend of the Game: Ole Miss is 7-0 ATS in their last seven games as underdogs.
Mississippi 42, Texas Tech 24
:toast:
The Texas Tech Red Raiders probably don't give a damn about playing in this game. That's the honest truth and even if they do, why are you people so convinced that they cant beat this Ole Miss team by this many points when the Florida Gators struggled so much against them? How about Alabama or LSU? They both struggled big time against this Ole Miss team yet the oddsmakers are giving them no respect whatsoever and for some reason the betting public is looking more and more like a BUNCH OF SHEEP BETTING ON THE RED RAIDERS. You can fall in love with the Red Raiders and their offense all you want but in the end this is a bad spot and a bad matchup for them. Their road schedule saw them go 4-1 SU away from home this past season while going 3-2 ATS in those games. They opened things up with a blowout win at Nevada and followd that up with another blowout win at Kansas State (two teams who had no business playing in Bowl games this season). Then came the 43-25 win over Texas A&M in College Station (ATS loss by the way) which was followed by yet another blowout win this time over Kansas in Lawrence (I think this was their best win of the season). Their final road game of the season was a disaster as the Red Raiders travelled to Norman only to get blown out by the Sooners to the tune of 65-21 loss. That game was clear evidence that Texas Tech can't play defense away from home against good teams like Ole Miss. The Red Raiders come into this game averaging 37.3 points per game in their last three games and they managed to get that done on 466.7 total yards of offense per game and 6.1 yards per play in those games which is a bit below what they did all season. Having said that, this offense now has to go up against one of the hottest defenses in the Nation the last three games as Ole Miss has allowed a total of only 13 points in the last three games. In those games the Rebels allowed only 123.3 total yards of offense per game and allowed only 2.2 yards per play in those games (which was once again Nation leading for that time period). I don't know what Texas Tech is going to do but it will take a lot to win this game. On the ground, the Red Raiders running game is non existent as they have rushed for only 71.3 rushing yards per game in their last three games and in those games have managed to rush for only 3.0 yards per carry. They won't even get that far in this game against an Ole Miss run defense that has allowed only 15.0 rushing yards per game in their last three games and that have allowed only 0.5 yards per carry in those games (crazy considering they played against LSU in those games). I don't think Mike Leach minds throwing the ball another 50+ times in this game as QB Graham Harrell is coming off his Heisman Trophy Nomination snub and has completed 74.4% of his passes the last three games for 7.4 yards per pass attempt in those games making this offense very dangerous. Ole Miss has allowed their last three opponents to complete 39.2% of their passes for 4.1 yards per pass attempt and although I don't think there is anyways this defense can hold this offense to such low yardage, they should have the confidence to make some big plays that will in the end change this game around. The offensive line faded towards the end of the season and they allowed Harrell to be sacked 6 times in their last three games. Well this team better be ready for this Ole Miss pressure and I say that because the Rebels are becoming the blitz kings of the SEC and they have a whopping 18 sacks in their last three games. Harrell has thrown only 2 interceptions in his last three games but this Ole Miss secondary loves to ball hawk, they loved to play underneath and they have the athletes to support each other in blown coverage situations. The Rebels have 6 interceptions in their last three games and I expect some of these guys to be all over the field as they are challenged against the best passing attack in the Nation. My only concern with this defense is that they have not recovered a single fumble in the last three games despite forcing 5 fumbles. Well that is going to change in this game as Texas Tech has fumbled the ball 5 times in their last three games and they have lost every single one of those fumbles. This is not a team that takes many penalties so there is no discipline concern with this team but if they get down early in this game, frustration will be obvious and I doubt they can comeback and score a ton of points against the hottest defense in the Country. The 16.3 points per first half scored by the Red Raiders in their last three games will probably be all for not because the Rebels have allowed only 3.3 points per first half in their last three games while scoring 30.0 of their own in those games. Mike Leach and his crew are in for one hell of a surprise in this game.
More than 75% of the public are on Texas Tech for this game yet OLE MISS WAS 4-1 ATS ON THE ROAD THIS SEASON WITH WINS OVER ARKANSAS, LSU AND FLORIDA as well as close losses (and spread covering) to Alabama and Wake Forest. I am completely shocked at the lack of respect this team is getting and I wish I had seen this line when it came out and pounded away on the Rebels to cover the spread and win the game. I think it's also worth mentioning that the OLE MISS DEFENSE ALLOWED ONLY 13 TOTAL POINTS IN THEIR LAST THREE GAMES OF THE REGULAR SEASON. I want to once again mention that this game means a ton to the Mississippi Rebels football program because Houston Nutt is trying to turn things around and if he wants to make this an elite programs in the SEC like he has talked about since the season began, winning games like this one here is a must. Ole Miss has shown in the past that they can play on this Field Turf surface as they have covered the spread in 11 of their last 15 games on this stuff. They are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games versus teams with winning records, 4-0 ATS in their last four games non-conference games and the REBELS ARE 7-0 ATS in their last seven games as underdogs. I don't know why the hell you would trust this Texas Tech team that has done nothing but bitch about this and bitch about that the last three games. That same team is only 2-6 ATS in their last eight games as a favorite and they have covered the spread only 4 times in their last 13 games as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points. This is not the spot for them, OLE MISS IS GOING TO WIN THIS GAME!
Trend of the Game: Ole Miss is 7-0 ATS in their last seven games as underdogs.
Mississippi 42, Texas Tech 24
:toast:
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