MistaFlava's 2008 CBB Record: 35-37-4 ATS (-71.50 Units)
I am coming off a 4-1 ATS night last night and it was about time my capping work paid off. Okay so my PS3 project is on hold right now, the results are not doing shit, it was worth a try and it was fun for now. I will bring it back when I have time to do simulations but right now my work is more important and I will revert back to my old style for some winners. Time go on a huge run and bring this record back to something good. I can really start being useful around here. I only care about the money I win and not the percentage of bets I win so taking home the cash is all that matters and proper Money Management is a must, although I have a feeling I will still drop bombs here and there. That's just the way I roll and if you don't like it I don't really give a shit. Gotta love college hoops a lot more than the NBA and believe me when I say that this is where the money is at despite some of these kids really sucking when the game is on the line. Only in this sport can you have miracle covers. Hope you enjoy my writeups.
1 unit = $100
You can tail, you can fade or you can just watch. I have always been a streaky capper. Good Luck to all this week!
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I am coming off a 4-1 ATS night last night and it was about time my capping work paid off. Okay so my PS3 project is on hold right now, the results are not doing shit, it was worth a try and it was fun for now. I will bring it back when I have time to do simulations but right now my work is more important and I will revert back to my old style for some winners. Time go on a huge run and bring this record back to something good. I can really start being useful around here. I only care about the money I win and not the percentage of bets I win so taking home the cash is all that matters and proper Money Management is a must, although I have a feeling I will still drop bombs here and there. That's just the way I roll and if you don't like it I don't really give a shit. Gotta love college hoops a lot more than the NBA and believe me when I say that this is where the money is at despite some of these kids really sucking when the game is on the line. Only in this sport can you have miracle covers. Hope you enjoy my writeups.
1 unit = $100
You can tail, you can fade or you can just watch. I have always been a streaky capper. Good Luck to all this week!
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Wednesday, February 11
Connecticut Huskies -11.5 (10 Units)
Connecticut Huskies -11.5 (10 Units)
The Syracuse Orangemen come into this game tonight averaging 74.0 points per game in their last five games but it comes as a shock to nobody that they have struggled to win games in those games seeing how they are shooting a below average 42.9% from the floor in those games and anytime they play against teams with a half decent defense, they don't know what to do. Well the Huskies are that half good defense as they have allowed only 56.6 points per game in their last five games and their last five opponents have managed to shoot only 35.2% from the floor in those games, both well below the NCAA averages of 67.8 points per game and 43.5% shooting so we know the Huskies can really D things up. Syracuse is an above average three point shooting team and that is the only reason they have been close in games as of late but having said that Connecticut perimeter defense is just nasty and they have allowed their last five opponents to shoot only 27.1% from three point range on 5.8 three point shots made per game in those games and believe me when I say they always have someone in your face when you pull up to shoot. The Orangemen also score points with their tougness inside and they have been to the free throw line a whopping 23.8 times per game in their last five games so we know they love to attack the basket and be aggressive around the hoop. Having said that, the Huskies don't allow any inside action whatsoever as they have sent their last five opponents to the line only 8.8 times per game while the NCAA average for those games is 20.1 so I don't really know where and how Syracuse is going to score points in this game. In terms of rebounding they are totally screwed because despite being an above average rebounding team, it doesn't get any tougher than the Huskies as their last five opponents have brought down only 29.4 rebounds per game and this team cleans up just about anything that is up for grabs on the boards. The guard play of Devendorf and Flynn has been above average in their last five games in terms of ball movement but the Orangemen turn the ball over 15.8 times per game in their last five games and the more they make mistakes, the more the Huskies are going to make them pay for it. Unless this poor shooting team can start making shots from the outside, they won't even keep this game within 20 points because Connecticut shuts down the interior and they have 8.2 blocks per game in their last five games. Forget about it. Syracuse doesn't shoot well enough to stay close, this is a blowout guys.
The Connecticut Huskies come into this game here averaging 74.2 points per game in their last five games and not only have the outplayed most of their opponents but they have also outshot them and are hitting 45.1% of their shots from the floor in those games so one thing is sure and that is that this team can score points. Well any team that can score points is going to be a big problem for Syrcacuse because the Orangement don't know the first thing about playing defense as they have allowed their last five opponents to score 81.6 points per game in their last five games and those same opponents have shot 46.8% from the floor in those games. So again I really don't know why so many cappers are backing the Orange in this spot because I just don't see them keeping up or playing good enough defense to keep the game close. What most would be surprised by is that Connecticut does not shoot the three ball all that well and they have not really played an outside game all season but again keep in mind that only 22.5% of their shot attempts in the last five games have come from beyond the arc and they are not a team that relies any little bit on their ability to hit outside shots. Syracuse has good outside perimeter defense anyways so that won't bother the Huskies here. What UConn does very well with their toughness is get to the free throw line as they have been there 24.4 times per game in their last five games and have managed to knock down 70.5% of those free throws per game in those games. That's going to be a huge problem for a Syrcause team that cannot defend the inside as the Orangemen have sent their last five opponents to the free throw line 19.8 times per game and this is definitely a game they are going to get into foul trouble as UConn will not stop attacking the middle. Even if UConn doesn't hit the first shot attempt, you can bet your bottom dollar they are going to have another shot as they have brought down a whopping 44.0 rebounds per game in their last five games (NCAA average is 31.0 rebounds per game in those games) and 14.8 of those have been offensive rebounds so the second chance points should come in bunches. Syracuse is weak around their own basket and their last five opponents have bitched them around and brought down 13.2 offensive rebounds per game and 36.2 total rebounds down per game in those games. Jerome Dyson and AJ Price should have one of their best games this season as they get to go up against a Syracuse defense that is completely lost in transition basketball as their last five opponents have dropped 19.8 assists per game on these guys in those games and that's enough for these two guards to really go to town on this defense as they have averaged 14.6 assists per game of their own in their last five games. These guys rarely turn the ball over and they can really terrorize opposing defenses by running the floor and dumping off to some of their big guys inside which is what is going to happen all night long in this game. The Orangemen are not aggressive enough on defense to force turnovers and the Huskies are going to have their way each and every time they run up the floor in this game which means Syracuse is in big time trouble tonight and I don't see them keeping it close at all.
First of all, I cannot believe that the public is leaning (although slightly) on Syracuse in this game the way they have looked in recent road games. Like are you serious or what? On top of playing horrible on the road, Syracuse has not been good in midweek games covering the spread in only 2 of their last 7 games played on a Wednesday. Syracuse is only 1-4 ATS in their last five games played against Big East Conference opponents and they are 0-4 ATS in their last five road games overall so what the hell is the point of backing these guys? Connecticut on the other hand have done nothing but cash our tickets in Big East play as they are 4-0 ATS in their last four games versus Big East Conference opponents. Having said that, this team has struggled a little bit at home when it comes to covering spreads and this is the one game they probably want to win big to get back on track for their fans and do better than the one game of the last seven they have covered in this building. Syracuse is only 2-6 ATS in their last eight trips to Connecticut and with the way they have played on the road in recent weeks I don't see this game being remotely close at all. The favorite has covered 5 of the last 7 games as well as this is going to be all Connecticut in this game. I think we see a blowout in this game.
Trend of the Game: Connecticut is 4-0 ATS in their last four games versus Big East Conference opponents.
Connecticut 86, Syracuse 64
:toast:
I will post my other plays for the night as the day progresses, please check back a bit later and good luck to all. Coming off a great night last night, also cashed two tennis bets this morning.
The Connecticut Huskies come into this game here averaging 74.2 points per game in their last five games and not only have the outplayed most of their opponents but they have also outshot them and are hitting 45.1% of their shots from the floor in those games so one thing is sure and that is that this team can score points. Well any team that can score points is going to be a big problem for Syrcacuse because the Orangement don't know the first thing about playing defense as they have allowed their last five opponents to score 81.6 points per game in their last five games and those same opponents have shot 46.8% from the floor in those games. So again I really don't know why so many cappers are backing the Orange in this spot because I just don't see them keeping up or playing good enough defense to keep the game close. What most would be surprised by is that Connecticut does not shoot the three ball all that well and they have not really played an outside game all season but again keep in mind that only 22.5% of their shot attempts in the last five games have come from beyond the arc and they are not a team that relies any little bit on their ability to hit outside shots. Syracuse has good outside perimeter defense anyways so that won't bother the Huskies here. What UConn does very well with their toughness is get to the free throw line as they have been there 24.4 times per game in their last five games and have managed to knock down 70.5% of those free throws per game in those games. That's going to be a huge problem for a Syrcause team that cannot defend the inside as the Orangemen have sent their last five opponents to the free throw line 19.8 times per game and this is definitely a game they are going to get into foul trouble as UConn will not stop attacking the middle. Even if UConn doesn't hit the first shot attempt, you can bet your bottom dollar they are going to have another shot as they have brought down a whopping 44.0 rebounds per game in their last five games (NCAA average is 31.0 rebounds per game in those games) and 14.8 of those have been offensive rebounds so the second chance points should come in bunches. Syracuse is weak around their own basket and their last five opponents have bitched them around and brought down 13.2 offensive rebounds per game and 36.2 total rebounds down per game in those games. Jerome Dyson and AJ Price should have one of their best games this season as they get to go up against a Syracuse defense that is completely lost in transition basketball as their last five opponents have dropped 19.8 assists per game on these guys in those games and that's enough for these two guards to really go to town on this defense as they have averaged 14.6 assists per game of their own in their last five games. These guys rarely turn the ball over and they can really terrorize opposing defenses by running the floor and dumping off to some of their big guys inside which is what is going to happen all night long in this game. The Orangemen are not aggressive enough on defense to force turnovers and the Huskies are going to have their way each and every time they run up the floor in this game which means Syracuse is in big time trouble tonight and I don't see them keeping it close at all.
First of all, I cannot believe that the public is leaning (although slightly) on Syracuse in this game the way they have looked in recent road games. Like are you serious or what? On top of playing horrible on the road, Syracuse has not been good in midweek games covering the spread in only 2 of their last 7 games played on a Wednesday. Syracuse is only 1-4 ATS in their last five games played against Big East Conference opponents and they are 0-4 ATS in their last five road games overall so what the hell is the point of backing these guys? Connecticut on the other hand have done nothing but cash our tickets in Big East play as they are 4-0 ATS in their last four games versus Big East Conference opponents. Having said that, this team has struggled a little bit at home when it comes to covering spreads and this is the one game they probably want to win big to get back on track for their fans and do better than the one game of the last seven they have covered in this building. Syracuse is only 2-6 ATS in their last eight trips to Connecticut and with the way they have played on the road in recent weeks I don't see this game being remotely close at all. The favorite has covered 5 of the last 7 games as well as this is going to be all Connecticut in this game. I think we see a blowout in this game.
Trend of the Game: Connecticut is 4-0 ATS in their last four games versus Big East Conference opponents.
Connecticut 86, Syracuse 64
:toast:
I will post my other plays for the night as the day progresses, please check back a bit later and good luck to all. Coming off a great night last night, also cashed two tennis bets this morning.
arty:
