MistaFlava's 2009 NCAA Tournaments Record: 39-25-1 ATS (+245.00 Units)
MistaFlava's 2008-2009 CBB Record: 150-133-4 ATS (+207.80 Units)
Alright so tournament time is here and this is generally where I have most of my success with betting on college basketball. I will be betting on the NIT, the CBI and the NCAA Tournament of course. I don't know that I will bet on all the games because you have to be selective to be successful in sports betting and after 7-8 years of handicapping I am finally starting to learn that.
I am so happy to have March finally come strolling around. I needed this month to show up.
Time to turn things around big time. Okay so we are in the home stretch of the college basketball season and I am no satisfied with my results. I have not been able to go on any kind of streak and have not been all that helpful to anyone who visits my threads. My solution to this is to go back to my old school capping ways that made me more than 40k on the season in the NFL. I have tried too hard to mess around with systems, PS3 plays and all sorts of bullshit that I have sorta lost my way a bit.
So my plan from here on in is to go back to my style of capping which is straight up gut and stats, big unit plays, televised games and all that good stuff. We are closing in on tournament time both conference and the NIT and NCAA tournaments and this is the best time of the year to place huge wagers on college hoops. I don't have much else to say. I have always done well betting on college hoops but again my season has not gone as well as I would have liked it to at this point on in the year. Wish me luck and can't wait to catch fire.
1 unit = $100
You can tail, you can fade or you can just watch. I have always been a streaky capper. Good Luck to all this week!
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MistaFlava's 2008-2009 CBB Record: 150-133-4 ATS (+207.80 Units)
Alright so tournament time is here and this is generally where I have most of my success with betting on college basketball. I will be betting on the NIT, the CBI and the NCAA Tournament of course. I don't know that I will bet on all the games because you have to be selective to be successful in sports betting and after 7-8 years of handicapping I am finally starting to learn that.
I am so happy to have March finally come strolling around. I needed this month to show up.
Time to turn things around big time. Okay so we are in the home stretch of the college basketball season and I am no satisfied with my results. I have not been able to go on any kind of streak and have not been all that helpful to anyone who visits my threads. My solution to this is to go back to my old school capping ways that made me more than 40k on the season in the NFL. I have tried too hard to mess around with systems, PS3 plays and all sorts of bullshit that I have sorta lost my way a bit.
So my plan from here on in is to go back to my style of capping which is straight up gut and stats, big unit plays, televised games and all that good stuff. We are closing in on tournament time both conference and the NIT and NCAA tournaments and this is the best time of the year to place huge wagers on college hoops. I don't have much else to say. I have always done well betting on college hoops but again my season has not gone as well as I would have liked it to at this point on in the year. Wish me luck and can't wait to catch fire.
1 unit = $100
You can tail, you can fade or you can just watch. I have always been a streaky capper. Good Luck to all this week!
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Wednesday, April 1
CBI Tournament - Finals (Game #2)
View attachment 6844 Texas El-Paso Miners -9 (10 Units) View attachment 6845
CBI Tournament - Finals (Game #2)
View attachment 6844 Texas El-Paso Miners -9 (10 Units) View attachment 6845
The Oregon State Beavers have made me more money than any other team this post-season. I am now 4-0 ATS betting on these guys in this CBI Tournament but what you need to know right away about that is that all those games were played at home and I would never touch the Beavers away from home. Sure they are one game away from winning this CBI Tournament for the first time ever and seeing how they are the lone PAC 10 Conference representative remaining in college basketball post-season play and a lot of bettors are going on that and betting on them tonight seeing how they have beat a bunch of high scoring teams in recent games. Well not so fast. Oregon State comes into this game averaging only 57.5 points per game on the road this season and shooting only 45.7% from the floor but that is just not enough to win in this building. I say that because UTEP loves to run the floor at home and keeping up is going to be a problem for the Beavers tonight. The Miners have allowed 69.4 points per home game this season and have allowed those same opponents to shoot only 41.2% from the floor but that is their style of play and no way Oregon State scores 70 on the road tonight. I know UTEP's perimeter defense has been bad as of late but they defend the perimeter very well at home and their home opponents this season have made only 33.0% of their shots from beyond the arc this season on only 6.2 three point shots made per game. Oregon State has shot the ball well from three point land and that is why they have been winning but the Beavers shoot only 33.6% from three point range on the road this season and average only 5.5 three point shots made per game in those games. The fact that they can't connect from the outside in this game is going to be a big problem for them and I say that because Oregon State has been to the free throw line only 11.9 times per away game this season and on the road they shoot a pathetic 61.9% from charity stripe. That is horrendous. It's also worth mentioning that UTEP's interior defense is not much better than it is on the road and they allow a lot of action inside but when the Beavers go down in this game, believe me they are going to jack up bad shot after bad shot from the outside. Oregon State cannot rebound for their lives on the road where they average only 24.1 rebounds per game and average only 6.3 offensive rebounds in those games. UTEP has been very solid around their own basket at home this season and visiting opponents have managed only 9.7 offensive rebounds per game despite attempting more than the national average of shot attempts per game this season. Oregon State's guard play away from home has been bad as they average only 11.5 assists per away game and have turned the ball over 11.4 times per game in those games. That's a big problem here because UTEP is very aggressive defensively at home this season where they have forced a whopping 14.9 turnovers per game and average 6.8 steals in those games. I think this is going to be one big mess for the Beavers tonight as they will struggle to get anything going inside and if you have ever watched this team play before, you know that if they struggle to control the tempo of the game early, they have even more trouble playing from behind and I think the Miners are going to run all over them. UTEP averages 4.5 blocks per home game this season, they are very tough to beat inside if you play with such slowly developping offensive sets and this just has disaster written all over it for the Beavers. There is a reason for the line being so high in this game, it's not the oddsmakers sleeping on this and unless you have seen Oregon State play on the road then I guess you would be confused heading into this game. Not my problem if you don't read this.
The UTEP Miners knew in the back of their minds that winning that Game 1 in Corvallis was probably going to be tough and once they got down by a bunch of points early, they never really bothered trying to make a big comeback. Sure enough though their high powered offense kept them in the game for most parts and you will see a completely different team tonight. Amateurs betting on this game don't realize that UTEP has one of the most underrated players in college basketball in Stefon Jackson who is going to be a first round pick in the upcoming NBA Draft. Jackson was off his game in the first game of this series but don't expect him to be quiet tonight. Jackson is a big time scorer and he was only 6 of 21 from the floor in the first game but still scored 17 points in that game. Expect him to be in the 30's tonight if you ask me. The Miners come into this game averaging 77.8 points per game in their last five games and despite the loss in Corvallis, they are playing their best basketball of the season in this tournament. In those games the Miners have shot only 42.7% from the floor which makes you wonder if they can score 100 points when they shoot the ball well. I know Oregon State's defense has been solid as of late but please keep in mind that their last five games have all been at home and the Beavers cannot defend shit on the road. The Miners are an average three point shooting team the last five games but at home they are much better and I think the fact that Oregon State struggles to cover defenders off screens out on the perimeter is going to be a problem for them tonight. I say that because the Beavers have allowed their last five opponents to make 7.0 three point shots per game and if Jackson gets going from the outside, this game won't be close for long. UTEP is also a very good team down low and they have a huge advantage in the paint here. They have been to the free throw line 22.4 times per game in their last five games and have made a very impressive 74.1% of their free throws. You will all see that once Oregon State gets into foul trouble and once they start missing most of their shots and wasting possessions, they are going to foul a lot and that is going to put the game way out of reach by the time we hit the three quarter mark of the game. I don't care how solid Oregon State has looked defensively at home because none of that matters here and like I have said many times now, once they get down in this game, they are going to play a lot differently than what we have seen in recent weeks. UTEP has a huge rebounding edge and they made the game in Corvallis a lot closer with their ability to get second chances. That should benefit them even more in this game as the Miners have brought down 35.2 rebounds per game in their last five games which is 8.6 more rebounds per game than Oregon State during that span of games. The Miners also average 12.8 offensive rebounds per game in their last five games and that is going to be the key to covering the spread here as Oregon State has struggled to protect their own basket and their last five opponents have averaged 9.6 offensive rebounds per game in those games. With all the second chance points thery are going to score in this game, the Miners should have no problems being up by 10 or more points for the most part of the game. Their guard play is lacking in recent games and has not been great all season. They are a true point guard away from being a very good team that could have easily made the NCAA Tournament but that didn't happen. Having said that, Oregon State has managed to force only 12.2 turnovers per game in their last five games and penetrating their zone is not that difficult if you do it with speed and if you work the transition game. The Beavers have no inside presence as they average only 1.8 blocks per game in their last five games and Stefon Jackson is going to explode inside in this game. The guy can do everything from the run the point, to attack the basket and put other teams into serious foul trouble. I don't care how well the Beavers defense has played in recent games, they suck on the road and this is going to be a serious wakeup call game for them. The home court advantage is gone and UTEP is a very good home team. I am going with the Miners to win this game big guys.
Did anyone watch Oregon State play on the road this season or what? Sure it was nice making cash on them at home but they are fucked outside of Corvallis and I am shocked at the amount of people taking them tonight. I don't care how well they have played as of late, they are a no go on the road, they have sucked all season and UTEP is going to run them out of the gym in the second game of this championship series. Alright so the Beavers have covered the spread in four straight games and I have been along for the ride the entire time but in case you did not notice yet I am undefeated in CBI Tournament betting at a perfect 7-0 ATS so far. Well Oregon State is only 2-5 ATS in their last seven road games that follow three consecutive home games and they are only 3-12 ATS in their last 15 games played on a Wednesday. I don't know how much travel will be an issue but the Beavers are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 road games versus an opponents with a home winning percentage above .600. The Beavers are only 1-4 ATS in their last five games as a road underdog and are a pathetic 2-12 ATS in their last 14 games as an underdog of 7 to 12.5 points. HORRENDOUS! Prior to their loss in Corvallis the other night, UTEP was perfect in seven straight games versus non-conference opponents so that makes them 7-1-1 ATS in their last nine games versus non-conference opponents. They are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games when favored by 7 to 12.5 points and are a very reliable wager at home. I think UTEP wins this game large and forces a third and deciding game...actually I guarantee it.
Trend of the Game: MistaFlava is 7-0 ATS in CBI Tournament betting this season.
Texas El-Paso 78, Oregon State 61
:toast:
Alright I am out for the night, the college basketball season is almost done. See you all tomorrow for the NIT Tournament Final (should be a good one and I am not sure which way I am going). Good Luck to all!
The UTEP Miners knew in the back of their minds that winning that Game 1 in Corvallis was probably going to be tough and once they got down by a bunch of points early, they never really bothered trying to make a big comeback. Sure enough though their high powered offense kept them in the game for most parts and you will see a completely different team tonight. Amateurs betting on this game don't realize that UTEP has one of the most underrated players in college basketball in Stefon Jackson who is going to be a first round pick in the upcoming NBA Draft. Jackson was off his game in the first game of this series but don't expect him to be quiet tonight. Jackson is a big time scorer and he was only 6 of 21 from the floor in the first game but still scored 17 points in that game. Expect him to be in the 30's tonight if you ask me. The Miners come into this game averaging 77.8 points per game in their last five games and despite the loss in Corvallis, they are playing their best basketball of the season in this tournament. In those games the Miners have shot only 42.7% from the floor which makes you wonder if they can score 100 points when they shoot the ball well. I know Oregon State's defense has been solid as of late but please keep in mind that their last five games have all been at home and the Beavers cannot defend shit on the road. The Miners are an average three point shooting team the last five games but at home they are much better and I think the fact that Oregon State struggles to cover defenders off screens out on the perimeter is going to be a problem for them tonight. I say that because the Beavers have allowed their last five opponents to make 7.0 three point shots per game and if Jackson gets going from the outside, this game won't be close for long. UTEP is also a very good team down low and they have a huge advantage in the paint here. They have been to the free throw line 22.4 times per game in their last five games and have made a very impressive 74.1% of their free throws. You will all see that once Oregon State gets into foul trouble and once they start missing most of their shots and wasting possessions, they are going to foul a lot and that is going to put the game way out of reach by the time we hit the three quarter mark of the game. I don't care how solid Oregon State has looked defensively at home because none of that matters here and like I have said many times now, once they get down in this game, they are going to play a lot differently than what we have seen in recent weeks. UTEP has a huge rebounding edge and they made the game in Corvallis a lot closer with their ability to get second chances. That should benefit them even more in this game as the Miners have brought down 35.2 rebounds per game in their last five games which is 8.6 more rebounds per game than Oregon State during that span of games. The Miners also average 12.8 offensive rebounds per game in their last five games and that is going to be the key to covering the spread here as Oregon State has struggled to protect their own basket and their last five opponents have averaged 9.6 offensive rebounds per game in those games. With all the second chance points thery are going to score in this game, the Miners should have no problems being up by 10 or more points for the most part of the game. Their guard play is lacking in recent games and has not been great all season. They are a true point guard away from being a very good team that could have easily made the NCAA Tournament but that didn't happen. Having said that, Oregon State has managed to force only 12.2 turnovers per game in their last five games and penetrating their zone is not that difficult if you do it with speed and if you work the transition game. The Beavers have no inside presence as they average only 1.8 blocks per game in their last five games and Stefon Jackson is going to explode inside in this game. The guy can do everything from the run the point, to attack the basket and put other teams into serious foul trouble. I don't care how well the Beavers defense has played in recent games, they suck on the road and this is going to be a serious wakeup call game for them. The home court advantage is gone and UTEP is a very good home team. I am going with the Miners to win this game big guys.
Did anyone watch Oregon State play on the road this season or what? Sure it was nice making cash on them at home but they are fucked outside of Corvallis and I am shocked at the amount of people taking them tonight. I don't care how well they have played as of late, they are a no go on the road, they have sucked all season and UTEP is going to run them out of the gym in the second game of this championship series. Alright so the Beavers have covered the spread in four straight games and I have been along for the ride the entire time but in case you did not notice yet I am undefeated in CBI Tournament betting at a perfect 7-0 ATS so far. Well Oregon State is only 2-5 ATS in their last seven road games that follow three consecutive home games and they are only 3-12 ATS in their last 15 games played on a Wednesday. I don't know how much travel will be an issue but the Beavers are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 road games versus an opponents with a home winning percentage above .600. The Beavers are only 1-4 ATS in their last five games as a road underdog and are a pathetic 2-12 ATS in their last 14 games as an underdog of 7 to 12.5 points. HORRENDOUS! Prior to their loss in Corvallis the other night, UTEP was perfect in seven straight games versus non-conference opponents so that makes them 7-1-1 ATS in their last nine games versus non-conference opponents. They are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games when favored by 7 to 12.5 points and are a very reliable wager at home. I think UTEP wins this game large and forces a third and deciding game...actually I guarantee it.
Trend of the Game: MistaFlava is 7-0 ATS in CBI Tournament betting this season.
Texas El-Paso 78, Oregon State 61
:toast:
Alright I am out for the night, the college basketball season is almost done. See you all tomorrow for the NIT Tournament Final (should be a good one and I am not sure which way I am going). Good Luck to all!
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