MistaFlava's 2009 NCAA Tournaments Record: 26-9 ATS (+161.00 Units)
MistaFlava's 2008-2009 CBB Record: 137-117-4 ATS (+122.80 Units)
Alright so tournament time is here and this is generally where I have most of my success with betting on college basketball. I will be betting on the NIT, the CBI and the NCAA Tournament of course. I don't know that I will bet on all the games because you have to be selective to be successful in sports betting and after 7-8 years of handicapping I am finally starting to learn that.
I am so happy to have March finally come strolling around. I needed this month to show up. Time to turn things around big time. Okay so we are in the home stretch of the college basketball season and I am no satisfied with my results. I have not been able to go on any kind of streak and have not been all that helpful to anyone who visits my threads. My solution to this is to go back to my old school capping ways that made me more than 40k on the season in the NFL. I have tried too hard to mess around with systems, PS3 plays and all sorts of bullshit that I have sorta lost my way a bit.
So my plan from here on in is to go back to my style of capping which is straight up gut and stats, big unit plays, televised games and all that good stuff. We are closing in on tournament time both conference and the NIT and NCAA tournaments and this is the best time of the year to place huge wagers on college hoops. I don't have much else to say. I have always done well betting on college hoops but again my season has not gone as well as I would have liked it to at this point on in the year. Wish me luck and can't wait to catch fire.
1 unit = $100
You can tail, you can fade or you can just watch. I have always been a streaky capper. Good Luck to all this week!
-------------------------------------------
MistaFlava's 2008-2009 CBB Record: 137-117-4 ATS (+122.80 Units)
Alright so tournament time is here and this is generally where I have most of my success with betting on college basketball. I will be betting on the NIT, the CBI and the NCAA Tournament of course. I don't know that I will bet on all the games because you have to be selective to be successful in sports betting and after 7-8 years of handicapping I am finally starting to learn that.
I am so happy to have March finally come strolling around. I needed this month to show up. Time to turn things around big time. Okay so we are in the home stretch of the college basketball season and I am no satisfied with my results. I have not been able to go on any kind of streak and have not been all that helpful to anyone who visits my threads. My solution to this is to go back to my old school capping ways that made me more than 40k on the season in the NFL. I have tried too hard to mess around with systems, PS3 plays and all sorts of bullshit that I have sorta lost my way a bit.
So my plan from here on in is to go back to my style of capping which is straight up gut and stats, big unit plays, televised games and all that good stuff. We are closing in on tournament time both conference and the NIT and NCAA tournaments and this is the best time of the year to place huge wagers on college hoops. I don't have much else to say. I have always done well betting on college hoops but again my season has not gone as well as I would have liked it to at this point on in the year. Wish me luck and can't wait to catch fire.
1 unit = $100
You can tail, you can fade or you can just watch. I have always been a streaky capper. Good Luck to all this week!
-------------------------------------------
Sunday, March 22
NCAA Tournament - Second Round
View attachment 6746 Arizona State Sun Devils +2.5 (10 Units) View attachment 6745
NCAA Tournament - Second Round
View attachment 6746 Arizona State Sun Devils +2.5 (10 Units) View attachment 6745
The Arizona State Sun Devils are already being written off by the public in this game and I find that pretty damn funny. How quickly people forget how good this team was the entire regular season and how quickly people forget that Arizona State's best player and one of the best guards in the Nation has been having a shit tournament and it's only a matter of time before Harden comes out of his shell and wakes the hell up. Don't worry about the start time. Sure it's 9:00am for these Arizona State boys but they have been in Miami for more than a week now and are pretty much used to the new time. I still have the Sun Devils going really far on my bracket because I think they have the right combination of guys to win a lot of games. Arizona State comes into this game averaging a whopping 74.8 points per game on neutral courts this season and it annoys me that they are still being called a slow paced team. We are talking about a team that is shooting 51.0% from the floor on neutral courts this season. Well the Orangemen could be in trouble here because on neutral courts they have allowed 80.8 points per game and have allowed their opponents to shoot 42.8% from the floor in those games (above the NCAA average for neutral courts). Arizona State can drop bombs from beyond the arc as they have made a whopping 42.0% of their three point shots on a neutral court this season on 8.5 three pointers made per game in those games. Syracuse has decent perimeter defense but they have allowed 7.2 three pointers made per game on neutral courts this season and Arizona State is dangerous if they get hot. I actually think the Sun Devils are going to dominate the inside game in the paint here as the have been to the free throw line 20.2 times per neutral court game this season and are shooting an impressive 76.5% from the free throw line. Syracuse has somewhat struggled against good inside teams that have outside options as their neutral court opponents have been to the free throw line 20.8 times per game this season and the Sun Devils won't have problems getting to that line early. Sure Arizona State's rebounding numbers don't come anything close to Syracuse's numbers but that would probably be because they play at two different paces of basketball. Having said that, Syracuse has done a horrible job protecting their own basket on neutral courts as their neutral court opponents have brought down a whopping 14.1 offensive rebounds per game this season and those same opponents have brought down 38.5 total rebounds per game. Arizona State has the ability to get up on the glass and get some second chance points and I think their aggressiveness is going to help them do just that. Expect a lot of ball movement down low to find their big guys in the post. Like I said before Harden has yet to warm up to this tournament and we have yet to see the best of him. The Sun Devils have tremendous guard play with their 14.9 assists per neutral court game this season and in those games they have turned the ball over only 11.8 times per game which is going to make life tough for a Syracuse team that has pretty much earned a living by forcing turnovers in their neutral court games. Having said that, I think Glasser and Harden are going to destroy Syracuse with their ball moving abilities as the Orangemen have allowed a disgusting 18.9 assists against per game on neutral courts this season and teams with tremendous guard play have had their way with the Orange. I don't care how many turnovers they force, these guys cannot defend a double guard duo with inside options like the Sun Devils have and some of you betting on Syracuse are going to wonder what the hell you were doing in the first place. Believe me when I say Syracuse's defense sucks and Arizona State has all the right pieces of the puzzle to expose those defensive flaws. Yes it's early in the morning for Arizona State but are going to be ready for the game, they went to bed at the same time as Syracuse last night and there is no doubt in my mind they are going to win this game.
The Syracuse Orangemen are so overrated it's disgusting and right now the way I see they have a bunch of blind sheep betting on them in this early afternoon game much like we were all on Villanova yesterday. Well the differences between that game and this game are that Arizona State is miles better than UCLA, they are well prepared to play an early morning game, Syracuse is not playing a virtual home game and keep in mind that the Orange are probably still a little bit tired from the Big East Tournament. So much public action on the Orange is crazy because I'm thinking of all the people about to lose their money. Syracuse comes into this game averaging 73.7 points per away game this season and in those games they have shot an impressive 49.3% from the floor which is pretty damn good for road play. Having said that, Arizona State's defense is one of the most underrated defenses in the Country and they have allowed only 57.8 points per away game this season and have allowed those road opponents to shoot only 39.6% from the floor in those games. I think Syracuse is screwed on all facets of this game. The Orange don't take that many three point shots on the road but when they do they tend to make them but today is going to be a different story because Arizona State's perimeter defense is tremendous, teams rarely unload on them from beyond the arc and they have allowed their road opponents to shoot only 28.1% from three point range and have allowed only 5.2 three point shots made per game in those games. Did you guys know that Syracuse's inside game sucks and that they have been to the free throw line only 18.3 times per away game this season? How about the fact that Syracuse shoots only 52.1% from the free throw line away from home? Disgusting. Either way, Arizona State shuts down the paint action and their road opponents this season have been to the free throw line only 16.3 times per game. That has me wondering how Syracuse is going to score their usual barrage of points needed if they are going to win games. The Sun Devils don't allow anything from the outside and they make it impossible for teams to set things up in the paint too. Again I talked about the rebounding edge Syracuse should have but in away games they have not been the same team on the boards and they average only 9.4 offensive rebounds per road game this season. Again that doesn't matter because Arizona State has been outstanding around their own basket on the road this season allowing opponents to bring down only 28.0 rebounds per game and allowing only 9.0 offensive rebounds per game in those games. Toughness for toughness I think Arizona State wins the battles on the boards in this one. It's already impossible to get consistent ball movement inside and outside the perimeter against Arizona State as they allow only 11.9 assists per away game this season witbouth forcing too many turnovers. They are more about forcing bad shots and keeping opponents to one and dones and that usually works a lot better keeping the game at a slower pace. Well Syracuse has turned the ball over 13.0 times per away game this season and they are going to find it very tough to move the ball down low and penetrate the lanes against this defense. It's not that Arizona State is all that big in the middle it's more than they know how to take away open lanes, they play some tight ass defense and they have a very rare ability to make teams take bad shot after bad shot which should be what Syracuse does in this game. Believe me you are all going to wonder why in the world you were on the Orange in this game.
I think a lot of people are blindly betting on Syracuse in this game forgetting how horrendous they were at times this season. I mean how can you forget all those pathetic losses they had at some point this season. The Big East Tournament is taylor made for the Orange because they play in their home away from home Madison Square Gardens and they always have motivation to make it far in that tournament. Well this is not the Big East Tournament, the Orangemen are overrated and not deserving of that high seed they currently hold and its going to show today. Devendorf is going to get bitched by Glasser and Harden. Arizona State is a perfect 5-0 ATS in their last five games as an underdog and they are 4-1 ATS in their last five games versus teams that have a straight up winning record on the season. The Sun Devils are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 neutral site games, they are 4-1 ATS in their last five non-conference games and they are 5-0 ATS in their last five games as an underdog of 0.5 to 6.5 points. Syracuse has also been on fire covering the spread in 8 of their last 9 games and its hard to say anything bad about them seeing how they are on the best run of their season but I think this is the end of the road for the Orange. Arizona State is badly underrated and people forget how diverse they are people forget how the Sun Devils can play at a fast pace or they can play at a slow pace which means they are going to control the tempo of this game regardless and that is a problem for Syracuse. Get your heads out of those Syracuse asses please. Arizona Stats rolls.
Trend of the Game: Arizona State is 5-0 ATS in their last five games as an underdog.
Arizona State 74, Syracuse 65
More selections to come...
The Syracuse Orangemen are so overrated it's disgusting and right now the way I see they have a bunch of blind sheep betting on them in this early afternoon game much like we were all on Villanova yesterday. Well the differences between that game and this game are that Arizona State is miles better than UCLA, they are well prepared to play an early morning game, Syracuse is not playing a virtual home game and keep in mind that the Orange are probably still a little bit tired from the Big East Tournament. So much public action on the Orange is crazy because I'm thinking of all the people about to lose their money. Syracuse comes into this game averaging 73.7 points per away game this season and in those games they have shot an impressive 49.3% from the floor which is pretty damn good for road play. Having said that, Arizona State's defense is one of the most underrated defenses in the Country and they have allowed only 57.8 points per away game this season and have allowed those road opponents to shoot only 39.6% from the floor in those games. I think Syracuse is screwed on all facets of this game. The Orange don't take that many three point shots on the road but when they do they tend to make them but today is going to be a different story because Arizona State's perimeter defense is tremendous, teams rarely unload on them from beyond the arc and they have allowed their road opponents to shoot only 28.1% from three point range and have allowed only 5.2 three point shots made per game in those games. Did you guys know that Syracuse's inside game sucks and that they have been to the free throw line only 18.3 times per away game this season? How about the fact that Syracuse shoots only 52.1% from the free throw line away from home? Disgusting. Either way, Arizona State shuts down the paint action and their road opponents this season have been to the free throw line only 16.3 times per game. That has me wondering how Syracuse is going to score their usual barrage of points needed if they are going to win games. The Sun Devils don't allow anything from the outside and they make it impossible for teams to set things up in the paint too. Again I talked about the rebounding edge Syracuse should have but in away games they have not been the same team on the boards and they average only 9.4 offensive rebounds per road game this season. Again that doesn't matter because Arizona State has been outstanding around their own basket on the road this season allowing opponents to bring down only 28.0 rebounds per game and allowing only 9.0 offensive rebounds per game in those games. Toughness for toughness I think Arizona State wins the battles on the boards in this one. It's already impossible to get consistent ball movement inside and outside the perimeter against Arizona State as they allow only 11.9 assists per away game this season witbouth forcing too many turnovers. They are more about forcing bad shots and keeping opponents to one and dones and that usually works a lot better keeping the game at a slower pace. Well Syracuse has turned the ball over 13.0 times per away game this season and they are going to find it very tough to move the ball down low and penetrate the lanes against this defense. It's not that Arizona State is all that big in the middle it's more than they know how to take away open lanes, they play some tight ass defense and they have a very rare ability to make teams take bad shot after bad shot which should be what Syracuse does in this game. Believe me you are all going to wonder why in the world you were on the Orange in this game.
I think a lot of people are blindly betting on Syracuse in this game forgetting how horrendous they were at times this season. I mean how can you forget all those pathetic losses they had at some point this season. The Big East Tournament is taylor made for the Orange because they play in their home away from home Madison Square Gardens and they always have motivation to make it far in that tournament. Well this is not the Big East Tournament, the Orangemen are overrated and not deserving of that high seed they currently hold and its going to show today. Devendorf is going to get bitched by Glasser and Harden. Arizona State is a perfect 5-0 ATS in their last five games as an underdog and they are 4-1 ATS in their last five games versus teams that have a straight up winning record on the season. The Sun Devils are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 neutral site games, they are 4-1 ATS in their last five non-conference games and they are 5-0 ATS in their last five games as an underdog of 0.5 to 6.5 points. Syracuse has also been on fire covering the spread in 8 of their last 9 games and its hard to say anything bad about them seeing how they are on the best run of their season but I think this is the end of the road for the Orange. Arizona State is badly underrated and people forget how diverse they are people forget how the Sun Devils can play at a fast pace or they can play at a slow pace which means they are going to control the tempo of this game regardless and that is a problem for Syracuse. Get your heads out of those Syracuse asses please. Arizona Stats rolls.
Trend of the Game: Arizona State is 5-0 ATS in their last five games as an underdog.
Arizona State 74, Syracuse 65
More selections to come...
Last edited:
