MistaFlava's CBB Tournament Monday ***POWER SELECTIONS*** (Writeups & Analysis/27-13 so far)

[MistaFlava]

MistaFlava's 2009 NCAA Tournaments Record: 27-13 ATS (+127.00 Units)
MistaFlava's 2008-2009 CBB Record: 138-121-4 ATS (+88.80 Units)

Alright so tournament time is here and this is generally where I have most of my success with betting on college basketball. I will be betting on the NIT, the CBI and the NCAA Tournament of course. I don't know that I will bet on all the games because you have to be selective to be successful in sports betting and after 7-8 years of handicapping I am finally starting to learn that.

I am so happy to have March finally come strolling around. I needed this month to show up. Time to turn things around big time. Okay so we are in the home stretch of the college basketball season and I am no satisfied with my results. I have not been able to go on any kind of streak and have not been all that helpful to anyone who visits my threads. My solution to this is to go back to my old school capping ways that made me more than 40k on the season in the NFL. I have tried too hard to mess around with systems, PS3 plays and all sorts of bullshit that I have sorta lost my way a bit.

So my plan from here on in is to go back to my style of capping which is straight up gut and stats, big unit plays, televised games and all that good stuff. We are closing in on tournament time both conference and the NIT and NCAA tournaments and this is the best time of the year to place huge wagers on college hoops. I don't have much else to say. I have always done well betting on college hoops but again my season has not gone as well as I would have liked it to at this point on in the year. Wish me luck and can't wait to catch fire.

1 unit = $100


You can tail, you can fade or you can just watch. I have always been a streaky capper. Good Luck to all this week!

-------------------------------------------

Monday, March 23


NIT Tournament - Second Round


View attachment 6755 Kentucky Wildcats +2 (10 Units) View attachment 6756

The Kentucky Wildcats were almost there, they almost made the NCAA Tournament but injuries and a few bad losses at home this season kept them out of the Big Dance and into the NIT Tournament instead. The only good part about betting on them is that they expected to be in the NIT Tournament a long time ago and there was no disappointment when left out of the NCAA Tournament on Selection Sunday. This is one of the most talented teams in this tournament and now that they are 100% healthy, expect them to make some noise. Kentucky comes into this game averaging 74.6 points per game this season and they have managed to shoot 48.1% from the floor in those games. Well Creighton has been good defensively this season as they have allowed 65.5 points per game and allowed their opponents to shoot 42.2% from the floor on the season but that was against a weak schedule in a weak conference (not like the SEC is much better anyways). The Wildcats don't take many shots from three point range on the season but when they do they have made 34.7% of them and I think the Wildcats can have success shooting from beyond the arc tonight against a Creighton defense that has allowed opponents to hit 34.5% of their three point shots this season. The Wildcats also have a very good inside game averaging a 21.9 trips to the free throw line this season and making a very nice 77.2% of their free throws this season. The Blue Jays have not done a good job defensively on the inside as their opponents this season have been to the free throw line 20.2 times per game and allowing Kentucky inside in the paint is not what you want. The Wildcats are a very good rebounding team as they have brought down 34.3 rebounds per game this season while Creighton has had problems containing opponents on the glass allowing 32.5 rebounds per game and allowing 10.0 offensive rebounds per game in those games. One of the big reasons Kentucky did not win more games this season was because of turnovers and the amount of times they lost the ball at key points in a game. Having said that, for all the turnovers they have per game, they also have great ball moving guards who have led this team to 15.8 assists per game on the season. Creighton is very aggressive defensively and they come up with a lot of turnovers but Kentucky has seen this kind of pressure defense before, they move the ball well enough to find the openings in the trap and feed the ball inside to some of their big guys who should have a field day down low (Mr. Patterson show us what the hell you are made of son). I think Kentucky has a huge size advantage in this game and I think they are going to take advantage of that inside all game and take advantage of their ability to score inside and make opponents foul. Unless Kentucky comes out sleeping, this is a game they should have no problems winning although it won't be easy on the road.

The Creighton Bluejays had ambitions to make the NCAA Tournament but an early loss in the Conference Tournament ensured that they would not be in the Field of 65 and that was the end of that. So despite winning their first round game of this tournament against a complete garbage Bowling Green team (they barely won by 2 points as a -12.5 point favorites) and believe me when I say that this team is very disappointed at having not made the Big Dance and at this point this tournament doesn't really mean shit to these guys. The Bluejays come into this game averaging 73.6 points per game this season and they have done that by shooting 44.7% from the floor which is not impressive at all and which is going to be a problem for them against a defense like Kentucky's. The Wildcats have allowed only 66.1 points per game this season and have allowed their opponents to shoot only 38.8% from the floor in those games...not good news for a poor shooting team like Creighton. The Bluejays love shooting from beyond the arc and they are pretty damn good at it which is why I think Kentucky is going to be given a run for their money tonight seeing how their perimeter defense has not been much better than average this season. Having said that, the Wildcats expect it and they know what they have to otherwise. Creighton is also a very good inside team with a bunch of guys who can cut to the hoop and make attack the paint. This is where the size advantage comes into play for Kentucky because the Wildcats have some big time shot blockers in the middle and they average a whopping 6.7 blocks per game this season, which is more than double the NCAA average for blocks per game. Kentucky's opponents this season have been to the free throw line only 19.6 times per game (below the NCAA average) and that could be huge tonight. I also have a problem with Creighton's size and rebounding disadvantage tonight as they average only 29.3 rebounds per game this season and average only 8.2 offensive rebounds per game and that is a problem against this tough Kentucky team. The Wildcats have allowed opponents to grab only 28.6 rebounds per game this season and they do a very good job of protecting their own glass. Kentucky has to be careful because Creighton has above average guard play, they move the ball very well around the perimeter and they don't turn the ball over all that much per game. Having said that, Kentucky is very aggressive defensively and they have allowed opponents to average only 10.0 assists per game this season, they play a high pressure style of defense that sees them press a lot and that has led them to 14.3 turnovers forced per game this season which should generate some possession changes in this game. Kentucky averages 6.7 steals per game this season, they have tremendous inside presence which should contain the Creighton speed and their ability to get to the basket and draw fouls and I just don't think the Bluejays can shoot well enough from the outside (only way to beat Kentucky really) to get a win in this game. This is not a good matchup for them, they showed how much they care about this tournament in the opening game and I think they lose tonight.

What more can be said about teams that don't really care about this tournament? Creighton was projected to win their conference tournament and get into the NCAA Tournament but that didn't happen and they were left in a state of disappointment. Fine. Kentucky on the other hand has known for quite some time that a) they would not win the SEC Tournament, b) they would not get into the NCAA Tournament unless they did and c) that their season was a disappointment only because of the injuries to Patterson and others. So they are happy to be here and not willing to go out this fast. I have 100% faith in the Wildcats and Jodie Meeks in a game like this as Kentucky is 6-1 ATS in their last seven non-conference games and seem to do a lot better against out of conference opponents. I know this team is not reliable on the road but they are playing with a purpose in this tournament and the only way to build for next season would be to continue playing well and possibly win this damn tournament. Creighton on the other hand, despite playing well at home this season in terms of ML, are only 1-4-1 ATS in their last six games that follow a straight up win the game before, they are 0-4 ATS in their last four games as a favorite, they have not covered the spread at home in four straight games and are 0-4 ATS in their last four games as home favorites. I actually think this team is a bit overrated and for a team that doesn't care about this tournament, that's just bad bad news. Kentucky rolls tonight and sets up an interesting matchups with Notre Dame in the next round.

Trend of the Game: Kentucky is 6-1 ATS in their last seven non-conference games.


Kentucky 71, Creighton 66




More selections to come...
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[jk47auto]

mistaflava! we're going to have a good day today!

 

[hubbard316]

G/L tonight. I am following on each. Looking forward to your other picks.

 

[MistaFlava]

CBI Tournament - Quarter Finals


View attachment 6757 Stanford Cardinal +1.5 (10 Units) View attachment 6758

The Stanford Cardinal are a very young team that have a lot of learning and growing up to do but having said that they are still pretty damn talented and I think they can do some damage in this post-season tournament. They already kicked serious Boise State ass in their first round game against the Broncos and I really don't see them letting up in the quarter-finals of this tournament against a very good home team that is however beatable. The Cardinal come into this game averaging a whopping 78.4 points per game in their last five games and they have managed to do that by shooting 46.2% from the floor in those games, which means they are playing their best basketball of the season for sure. Wichita State has been very good defensively in recent games and it's not easy to score against these guys as they have allowed only 64.8 points per game in their last five games and have allowed those opponents to shoot only 41.0% from the floor. Having said that, their level of opponents was not all that tough during that stretch and I think they might struggled against a team from the PAC 10 Conference. The Cardinal are on fire from three point range in recent games making 36.0% of their three point shot attempts and making 8.2 three point shots per game. Wichita State has defended the perimeter well in their last five games and I think Stanford will have more success going inside and getting to the line in this game as they shoot 77.2% from the free throw line in their last five games and the Shockers have a weak interior defense as their last five opponents have been to the free throw line 24.2 times per game in their last five games and Stanford can really take advantage of that inside edge. Stanford is not a big team but they are tough up front as they have brought down 9.8 offensive rebounds per game in their last five games and that should be worth a few extra buckets tonight. Wichita State has not allowed opponents in recent games to get many second chances around their own basket which is why it's good to have a team that can shoot the ball well from the floor and not have to worry about getting those extra chances. I have been impressed with Stanford's guard play in recent games, some guys are really stepping it up and they average a whopping 16.8 assists per game in those games (the NCAA average is 12.8 assists per game in the last five games). The only way to stop Stanford right now is to force turnovers and Wichita State has not done that in recent games forcing only 12.4 turnovers per game in their last five games on only 5.2 steals per game which is going to be a problem in this game. I think the Stanford guards are going to have their way in terms of ball movement which should create open looks from the perimeter and Stanford has been red hot with their outside shooting meaning they are confident and ready to come in here and trade some jabs with the home team. The Shockers are a good defensive team but they don't match up well with Stanford's offense and it's going to show tonight.

The Wichita State Shockers come into this game as favorites and from what I have read they really think they can win this game. I know it's a long way to come for a PAC 10 Conference team and that might bother Stanford a bit but the start time is decent and the Cardinal should be used to this by now. The Shockers beat Buffalo at home in their opening round game of this tournament and that was pretty impressive but Stanford is a whole different story and I don't like how they match up against the Cardinal. Wichita State comes into this game averaging only 63.0 points per game this season and they have done that on 43.8% shooting from the floor which is not good enough in my books to ball with Stanford. The Cardinal have allowed 69.1 points per game this season and have allowed their opponents to shoot 47.8% from the floor but having said that most of their opponents have been high scoring PAC 10 Conference opponents and it's understandable. The only way to really beat Stanford is to have a high scoring, high powered offense and Wichita State doesn't come close to that. The Shockers are not a good perimeter team as they have made only 32.8% of their three point shots this season and average only 5.6 three pointers made per game on the year. Stanford doesn't allow many shots from the perimeter as their defense is more interior focused and their opponents have managed to attempt only 13.6 three point shots per game (NCAA average is 18.3) this season. It's not like Wichita State is much better on the inside where they have been to the free throw line only 17.1 times per game this season and have managed to make only 69.6% of their free throws in those games. Well Stanford has been very good with their interior defense allowing their opponents to get to the line only 17.8 times per game this season and if they can defend both the inside and the outside in this game, Wichita State is going to have a hard time cracking the 60 point mark. Much like Stanford, the Shockers don't do much on the boards and average only 30.6 rebounds per game and 9.7 offensive rebounds per game this season (both below the NCAA average). Stanford has been good around their own basket allowing only 30.1 rebounds per game this season and allowing only 8.6 offensive rebounds in those games so I think they are going to have an easy time containing the Shockers under the basket. The problem with Wichita State and how they will perform tonight is that they are too careless with the ball, their guards lack experience and skill to move the ball effectively as they have turned it over 14.1 times per game this season and now have to face a very aggressive Stanford defense that has allowed only 12.8 assists against per game this season and that has forced a whopping 15.2 turnovers per game on 6.9 steals per game. The Shockers are going to have all sorts of problems holding onto the ball in this game and in the end those turnovers and their lack of ball control is going to cost them. The Stanford defense is not that good but they match up very well with this very slow tempo Wichita State offense and I think the Cardinal are going to completely shut these guys down and give their offense plenty of chances to pull away in this game.

This is quite the unusual matchup but that's what tournaments like this tend to do and it will be interesting to see how these two teams match up. I know most of the public is on Stanford and why not seeing how they are finally coming around and looking like a much more mature team in recent games. This is the first time these two teams meet and just to let you know the last time Stanford lost was in their conference tournament to a team (Washington) that made the NCAA Tournament. Wichita State on the other hand lost in their conference tournament to Creighton, a team that did not make the Big Dance. The Cardinal come into this game 4-0 ATS in their last four games following a game where they score 90+ points the game before which is a great indication that when this team is hot, they stay hot for a while. They are also 4-0 ATS in their last four non-conference games and have covered the spread in 14 of their last 21 games against a team with a straight up winning record (one of those was a push). Wichitat State has managed to cover the spread in only 9 of their last 30 games as a favorite (OUCH!!!) and they are only 1-6 ATS in their last seven home games versus a visiting team that has a losing road record on the season. That means these guys tend to underestimate bad road teams and I think they do the exact same in tonight's game and Stanford comes in here and rolls these guys.

Trend of the Game: Stanford is 4-0 ATS in their last four non-conference games.


Stanford 75, Wichita State 65




More selections to come...
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[KirbyZhang]

Lets get paid!

 

[jk47auto]

what is your opinion on the college of charleston vs richmond game? I'm leaning heavily towards coc because they can score inside and out. richmond is a 3 point shooting team and at one point against st. john's they were down by 16. i say coc cruises to a win here.

 

[thetexaskid]

just pointing out a few other stats

stan 5-9 on rd and have lost ats 6 of L8 rd games

wichita started pooly and coming on strong since mid january going 11-5 including 8-0 at hm

best of luck

 

[MistaFlava]

CBI Tournament - Quarter Finals


View attachment 6759 Oregon State Beavers -1 (10 Units) View attachment 6760

The Vermont Catamounts are no strangers to post-season tournaments but I highly question their ability to come all the way out West like this and win a game against a PAC 10 Conference team that sucks but that is playing at home and that should have their home crowd behind them tonight. The Catamounts pulled off an impressive road win in the first round of this tournament but that was against another mid-major team Wisconsin Green Bay and playing in this type of environment is a little bit different than that game was so I don't know that they are ready. Vermont comes into this game averaging a whopping 77.7 points per road game this season and they have managed to get that done by shooting 46.7% from the floor in those games but having said that, they have to go up against a typical PAC 10 Conference defense and that's a defense that has allowed only 59.7 points per game this season at home and that has allowed those visiting opponents to shoot only 43.3% from the floor in those games. Vermont doesn't take many shots from the outside on the road but when they do they tend to knock them down which is why I like the fact that Oregon State has been under fire from three point range at home all season yet have allowed those opponents to knock down only 32.7% of their shots from beyond the arc. Regardless, the Catamounts average only 5.8 three pointers made per road game anyways. Vermont is more a team that loves to attacking the middle and they love working in the paint as they have been to the free throw line a ton of times per game on the road this season and this is where they win their games. NOT SO FAST MY FRIEND. Oregon State's interior defense is very solid at home, they completely shut paint action down and force opponents to shoot from the perimeter as their home opponents this season have been to the free throw line only 13.3 times per game and that is tremendous interior defense. Seeing how Vermont relies heavily on getting to the line every game, they are going to have a tough time doing so tonight. The Catamounts are not a very good rebounding team as they have brought down only 9.1 offensive rebounds per road game this season and they have to face a good home rebounding team in Oregon State who have allowed visiting opponents to bring down only 26.6 rebounds per game and 8.3 offensive rebounds per home game in those games. Despite playing at such a quick pace and despite having a bunch of players who can really run the floor and make plays happen in transition, I have seen Vermont play a few times this season and they turn the ball over way too much. As a matter of fact, they have turned the ball over 15.0 times per away game this season and that is not going to work against the Beavers defense as Oregon State has forced 13.5 turnovers per home game this season and they have a whopping 8.0 steals per home game on the season as well. They have allowed home opponents to average only 12.5 assists per game and this defense has been very good at home. Some will be considered with the rapid pace of play that Vermont plays with but Oregon State should have no problems controlling the tempo of this game. Their perimeter is good enough to contain the Catamounts and their interior defense is the x-factor for me because without action in the paint, Vermont won't know what to do and will be forced to take bad shots from the outside. Bad spot for Vermont here.

The Oregon State Beavers probably gave a bunch of you nightmares this season when you bet on them but that was against PAC 10 Conference opponents who were more than ready to beat these guys. I know the Beavers are not a good basketball team and it's tough to back bad teams but they showed a lot of gusto in their first round win over Houston because they trailed for 95% of that game but managed to turn things around late, maintain composure on defense and eventually find a way to score enough points to put away the Cougars and join the second round. Oregon State comes into this averaging only 60.1 points per game at home this season but in those games they have managed to shoot 45.8% from the floor which is good for a team that plays at such a slow pace. Well because Vermont plays at such a different place of play I think Oregon State can have success controlling the tempo of the game against a defense that has allowed 70.9 points per away game this season regardless of how poorly their opponents have shot in those games. The Beavers don't take many three point shots per home game but when they do they connect on a decent amount of them. Vermont's perimeter defense is decent and I don't see them getting killed by three point shots but at such a slow tempo of play it could be that one or two big three pointers that change this game in the end. The Beavers don't get to the line much for a team that averages 8.0 less shot attempts per game than the NCAA average this season, I would say getting to the line 16.2 times per game is pretty damn good for these guys and I see the Beavers attacking the middle quite a bit in this game tonight against a Vermont team that has allowed their road opponents to get to the free throw line 22.8 times per game in those games and the Beavers can really make them pay for their lack of interior defense. As you can expect with a team that does not take many shots from the floor and plays at a slow tempo of play like Oregon State, they do not bring many rebounds down per game. However, Vermont is not good on the boards away from home as they have allowed their road opponents to bring down 32.5 rebounds per game and have allowed their opponents to bring down 11.2 offensive rebounds per game in those games. Much like the Catamounts, Oregon State has some quick guards who can move the ball around quite well at home as they average 13.5 assists per home game this season despite turning the ball over quite a few times per game. I do however have confidence that by bringing the pace of this game down to their own level the Bevears can avoid the turnovers and really make Vermont pay for their lack of attention to the middle of the court. Oregon State has struggled all season but their first round win over Houston has them believing that they can beat any high scoring team they want and they are going to come into this thing tonight very motivated and very confident after their opening round win. I think Oregon State is the better team tonight as long as they can contorl the tempo because Vermont doesn't know how to play at a slow pace.

Its not a shock to anyone that these two teams have never played against each other in the past but what I have to point out here is that I think it will be tough for a team like Vermont to play at 10:00pm their time while it is only 7:00pm in Oregon when this game starts. Houston had problems playing here in the first round because they really wore down in the second half of that game. The Cougars much like the Catamounts are a team that loves to press the floor and play at a very fast pace of play but that didn't work against Oregon State because the Beavers slowed things down enough to confuse the Cougars and then took the late lead for the win. I know by just looking at all the ATS stats for this game that the advantage does seem to be with Vermont because of how good they have been in non-conference action and how good they have been in recent road game but Oregon State seems to be turning things around and they have problably turned the corner for the better on their season. Like I already mentioned before, they are very confident heading into this game tonight with their first round win already coming as a surprise to many and I think they will have even more motivation to make it into the semi-finals of this tournament despite having a losing record on the overall season. Don't waste your time with a Vermont team that is playing too late for their own good in this game and that is going to struggle when the Beavers bring this game down to their own pace. I like the home team to pull this sloppy game off.

Trend of the Game: Oregon State is 3-1 ATS in their last four home games.


Oregon State 67, Vermont 61




More selections to come...
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[hubbard316]

G\l!!

 

[MistaFlava]

NIT Tournament - Second Round


View attachment 6762 Davidson Wildcats +4.5 (10 Units) View attachment 6761

The Davidson Wildcats knew they had little or no chances of making the NCAA Tournament when Selection Sunday came rolling around last week but they still held out hope a little bit of hope and in the end it was all for nothing as they were sent packing to the NIT Tournament. The Wildcats were supposed to be a shoe-in for the NCAA Tournament before the season started as they were picked to win not only their Conference regular season title but their conference tournament as well but that didn't happen. Having said that, this team is still very dangerous for anyone who has to play against them...just ask South Carolina and I think they will come in this game with a full head of steam. The Wildcats are playing some of their best basketball of the season right now even though it comes a bit late. They come into this game averaging 79.0 points per game in their last five games and they have managed to shoot 46.3% from the floor in those games. St. Mary's has been good defensively all season pretty much and have allowed only 64.6 points per game in their last five games despite allowing opponents to shoot 43.5% from the floor in those games. We all know the damage Davidson can do from both the inside and the outside but surprisingly enough their success has come inside as they have not attempted all that many three point shots per game in their last five games. Having said that, should they change their minds and go back to a perimeter attack with Stephen Curry dropping bombs from the outside, St. Mary's last five opponents have shot 38.4% from three point range and if you allow Davidson those kinds of percentages they are going to make you pay for it badly. Having said that, not many teams are more aggressive in the paint than Davidson as they have been to the free throw line a whopping 28.2 times per game in their last five games and have surprisingly still made 69.5% of those free throws which means they are going to bother this tough St. Mary's interior defense. The Gaels have not allowed much action down low in the post because they have some big guys roaming the floor who can disrupt opposing offenses but Davidson just saw that with South Carolina and it was not a problem at all. Believe me Davidson puts St. Mary's into some early foul trouble in this game and the Gaels are going to struggle from there. The Wildcats also have some big guys to compensate for any other teams that believe they can win the battle down low as they have brought down 35.8 rebounds per game in their last five games and have shown that size is not going to be a problem for this team. They don't bring down too many offensive rebounds but that's because they shoot the ball so well from the floor and have not had those second chances that bad shooting teams usually have. The Wildcats have tremendous guard play from Curry and company as they average 15.0 assists per game in their last five games and have turned the ball over only 12.6 times per game in those games. Having said that, St. Mary's doesn't allow much ball movement around the perimeter and they don't allow many passes inside but they have not seen an offense like Davidson's in a long time (maybe since their games against Gonzaga) and the Gaels don't force enough turnovers (only 12.0 per game in their last five games) to bother the Wildcats in this one. Sure they have some size down low but so does Davidson and I think the Wildcats are going to have no problems whatsoever balling with St. Mary's in this game and probably being the ones who play from ahead all game. I think this is yet another great matchup for Stephen Curry and the boys.

The St. Mary's Gaels have been a pretty good wager all season long but the only times I have seen them have problems with opponents was against Gonzaga and Davidson actually reminds me a lot of the Wildcats in more ways then one. St. Mary's had high ambitions of playing in the NCAA Tournament but they were another one of the teams left out of the bubble and unlike Davidson who knew they had no chance of making the big dance, St. Mary's pretty much got shafted for the likes of Arizona and Wisconsin and I can tell you right now they are not too happy about having that happen and their interest in this tournament is probably somewhere close to not so good. The Gaels come into this game averaging 70.4 points per game in their last five games and they have managed to get that done on only 41.9% shooting from the floor which means they are not playing good basketball and I don't see how they can keep up with this Davidson team that is playing their best basketball of the season. The Wildcats are not only scoring a bunch of points in recent games but their defense is on fire (again at the wrong time of the season) as they have allowed only 64.8 points per game in their last five games and have allowed those opponents to shoot only 36.0% from the floor...impressive stuff im telling you. The Gaels are not shooting the ball well from three point range having made only 34.0% of their three point shots per game in their last five games and that won't matter much because the Wildcats defend the perimeter really well having allowed their last five opponents to shoot only 30.1% from the floor in those games and allowing only 5.6 three pointers made per game in those games. The Gaels do a good job on the inside as they have been to the free throw line 21.6 times per game in their last five games and they shoot pretty well from the line so I see them having some success against a Davidson defense that has struggled against interior and paint teams all season. Having said that, the Gaels take too many shots from the perimeter and if they continue to think they are going to win by shooting from the outside, I don't think they'll have much success against this Wildcats defense and they won't be able to expose their interior weaknesses. St. Mary's is a good rebounding team and that is pretty much all that is going to keep them in this game because Davidson plays at a rampant pace of play and there are a lot of opportunities to rebound against these guys. Having said that the Wildcats do have some big guys inside who have averaged 3.6 blocks per game in their last five games and that should be enough to keep the Gaels from teeing off inside all game long. What I don't like about St. Mary's apart from the way Patrick Mills has played (I think Stephen Curry is going to bitch slap this guy tonight) is the fact that their guard play has been very average as they average only 11.6 assists per game in their last five games despite not turning the ball over all that much. Davidson is crazy aggressive on defense, that is why they commit as many fouls as they do but they are very effective averaging 8.2 steals per game in their last five games and forcing a whopping 17.4 turnovers per game in those games. WOW! I think the Gaels are going to struggle big time against this pressure defense of the Wildcats and this is something they don't normally see playing in the conference that they play. St. Mary's and Patrick Mills are both overrated and like I said before, get ready for a straight up loss in this game by these guys.

We are in for one hell of a game tonight but I am telling you right now that the oddsmakers are making a huge mistake by making Davidson such an underdog in a game like this because they have had no problems taking on bigger teams in the past (South Carolina found out the hard way) and when you have difference making players like Stephen Curry on your team, you are going to do well in any tournament you play in. That's a known fact and that is why I bet on guys like Jodie Meeks and Stephen Curry and made the mistake of taking James Harden (Arizona State) yesterday. How the fuck can you go against a Davidson team that is now 8-1 ATS in their last nine games as a road underdog? Or how can you go against a Davidson team that is a crazy 14-3 ATS in their last 17 games as an underdog, 6-1 ATS in their last seven games as an underdog of 0.5 to 6.5 points or a Davidson team that is 12-4 ATS in their last 16 non-conference games? Are you guys out of your minds or what. The Wildcats have covered the spread in 36 of their last 52 road games (with one of those being a push) and they have covered the spread in 44 of their last 64 road games versus teams with a straight up winning home record on the season. St. Mary's has also done well on the spread this season and they are good in both home games and non-conference games. Having said that, they have been inconsistent in recent weeks going 1-5 ATS in their last six games that follow an ATS win the game before. Davidson is too good in this spot and I think they matchup up very well with St. Mary's. This is going to be a great game and Stephen Curry, unlike Mr. Harden, will not disappoint in this game. WILDCATS TO THE BANK!

Trend of the Game: Davidson is 14-3 ATS in their last 17 games as an underdog.


Davidson 78, St. Mary's 73




:toast:


Good Luck to everyone tonight. I am coming off an embarassing and pathetic day at the office but fuck that I am jumping right back on my tournament horse that has led me to some amazing days as of late and all I can say is lets make some cash tonight baby!
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[JWinner17]

54% of the public is taking the dog, Kentucky... Interesting...

 

[Skoal37]

good luck man, bring them home brother

 

[seanm0520]

54% of the public is taking the dog, Kentucky... Interesting...

I only reason I can see this is name recognition. It IS Kentucy..:think2:

 

[MistaFlava]

RECAP


Kentucky +2
Stanford +1.5
Oregon State -1
Davidson +4.5


1-0 ATS with pending

28-13 ATS this tournament season




Good start to the night. Love taking these few nights off after a crazy NCAA Tournament weekend and this is a great chance to sit back, relax and make some money on the smaller tournaments. Good Luck to all the rest of the way.

 

[IvanPutski]

Flava,
You rock!! I was on Kentucky before I read your post. Your pick had me bet bigger. YEAH BABY!!!:cripwalk:<<<<<<:toast::toast)@)arty:arty::chest::chest::Guitarman:chest::hugesmile

 

[HTFDC102]

Stanford kicking ass with 4:00 to go....nice!

 

[MRPOOPS]

I bet both games...

Kentucky and Stanford. Wonder if i should by the law of averages stay from the last 2 just in case he splits and goes 3-1 :think2:

 

[KirbyZhang]

just won a nice amount from your first two, Stanford and Kenn. and I just reinvested 6 thousand into the last two picks, if you're right im sending you a check baby!

 

[MistaFlava]

RECAP


Kentucky +2
Stanford +1.5
Oregon State -1
Davidson +4.5


2-0 ATS with pending

29-13 ATS this tournament season




Good start to the night. Love taking these few nights off after a crazy NCAA Tournament weekend and this is a great chance to sit back, relax and make some money on the smaller tournaments. Good Luck to all the rest of the way.

 

[ljump12]

On Davidson ML at +200, GL