MistaFlava's 2008-2009 CBB Record: 97-95-4 ATS (-35.20 Units)
MistaFlava's 2008-2009 Tournament Record: 7-2 ATS (+48.00 Units)
My apologies for the wrong units posted, had a + instead of a - and I have made the changes. I am as honest as it gets with my record keeping so I don't know why a few of you flipped out, it was a simple typo.
I am so happy to have March finally come strolling around. I needed this month to show up. Time to turn things around big time. Okay so we are in the home stretch of the college basketball season and I am no satisfied with my results. I have not been able to go on any kind of streak and have not been all that helpful to anyone who visits my threads. My solution to this is to go back to my old school capping ways that made me more than 40k on the season in the NFL. I have tried too hard to mess around with systems, PS3 plays and all sorts of bullshit that I have sorta lost my way a bit.
So my plan from here on in is to go back to my style of capping which is straight up gut and stats, big unit plays, televised games and all that good stuff. We are closing in on tournament time both conference and the NIT and NCAA tournaments and this is the best time of the year to place huge wagers on college hoops. I don't have much else to say. I have always done well betting on college hoops but again my season has not gone as well as I would have liked it to at this point on in the year. Wish me luck and can't wait to catch fire.
1 unit = $100
You can tail, you can fade or you can just watch. I have always been a streaky capper. Good Luck to all this week!
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Thursday, March 12
View attachment 6624 Miami-Florida Hurricanes -3 (10 Units) View attachment 6623
MistaFlava's 2008-2009 Tournament Record: 7-2 ATS (+48.00 Units)
My apologies for the wrong units posted, had a + instead of a - and I have made the changes. I am as honest as it gets with my record keeping so I don't know why a few of you flipped out, it was a simple typo.
I am so happy to have March finally come strolling around. I needed this month to show up. Time to turn things around big time. Okay so we are in the home stretch of the college basketball season and I am no satisfied with my results. I have not been able to go on any kind of streak and have not been all that helpful to anyone who visits my threads. My solution to this is to go back to my old school capping ways that made me more than 40k on the season in the NFL. I have tried too hard to mess around with systems, PS3 plays and all sorts of bullshit that I have sorta lost my way a bit.
So my plan from here on in is to go back to my style of capping which is straight up gut and stats, big unit plays, televised games and all that good stuff. We are closing in on tournament time both conference and the NIT and NCAA tournaments and this is the best time of the year to place huge wagers on college hoops. I don't have much else to say. I have always done well betting on college hoops but again my season has not gone as well as I would have liked it to at this point on in the year. Wish me luck and can't wait to catch fire.
1 unit = $100
You can tail, you can fade or you can just watch. I have always been a streaky capper. Good Luck to all this week!
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Thursday, March 12
View attachment 6624 Miami-Florida Hurricanes -3 (10 Units) View attachment 6623
The Miami-Florida Hurricanes had an up and down season but what you cannot ignore coming into this game is that they have one of the best players in the Nation on their team and good players tend to not only takeover games but they tend to takeover tournaments kinda like Carmelo Anthony did that one year and Gerry Mac has done in the past. All I have to say. The Hurricanes come into this game averaging 73.0 points per game this season and they have done that by shooting 42.9% from the floor which is not that good but is still decent by ACC standards. Virginia Tech has allowed 69.6 points per game this season but have done a good job holding opponents to a bad shooting percentage and really forcing them to work for good shots. Having said that, I don't like the fact that the Hokies have allowed 6.6 three point shots made per game this season because the Hurricanes can really put games away with their long range shooting as they have made 37.4% of their shots from beyond the arc this season on 7.9 three point shots made per game and I cannot tell you how many times I have lost betting against them because of this. Not only can they drop bombs from downtown but they also get to the free throw line 22.9 times per game and are not a horrible free throw shooting team. This game is going to be won on Miami's ability to grab rebounds and win battles under the basket as they average a whopping 36.1 rebounds per game this season on 12.4 offensive rebounds per game and second chance points are going to be key in this game for both teams. The only way you're going to beat the Hurricanes is if you can force them into making mistakes but Virginia Tech has forced only 12.3 turnovers per game this season and McClinton and company turn the ball over only 12.8 times per game (both below the NCAA average). Virginia Tech might find ways to stop the Canes inside but that means some guys are going to be left open on the outside perimeter and that is big time trouble for the Hokies. I think the Canes go on a three point shooting rampage and that leads them to a big win.
The Virginia Tech Hokies are young and they do have some experienced guys that have been here for a few years now but they are very inconsistent and a very frustrating team to bet on (anyone who was on them the last few weeks knows all about that). The Hokies have really faded lately as they come into this game averaging only 68.2 points per game in their last five games which is unusual in the ACC Conference. In those games they have managed to shoot only 39.9% from the floor and that is a big time problem coming into this game because Miami has allowed only 67.0 points per game in their last five games and they have allowed those opponents to shoot only 42.7% from the floor in those games. Much likes the Hurricanes, Virginia Tech is a very good three point shooting team and they can knock em down from deep range at any point of any game. The Hurricanes tend to leave the perimeter open quite a bit but if they can control what goes on inside and leave it up to the Hokies to beat them from downtown, I think they are going to run away with this game. I talked about rebounding being a big deal in this game and I say it again because with Virginia Tech shooting only 39.9% from the floor in their last five games, they will need to rebound as much as they can but I don't see them getting many second chance points because they have brought down only 26.8 rebounds per game in their last five games. The Canes are outstanding around their own basket and they have allowed their last five opponents to bring down only 29.4 rebounds per game and have allowed only 8.0 offensive rebounds against in those games. I don't know how many of you have seen these guys play recently but their guard play has been atrocious and they are averaging a pathetic 9.8 assists per game in their last five games (NCAA average is 12.8 for those games) and if they don't take care of the ball here, the Canes are going to make them pay for it with their 6.6 steals per game in their last five games. The only way Virginia Tech wins this game is if they can keep pace with the Hurricanes on both sides of the ball an they have shown lately that they just don't have the guys to do that. They don't have that one star player that can match McClinton basket for basket and pass for pass which is going to be a problem as this game moves into the deep stages of the second half. Fade the Hokies until next season or the season after that.
It took overtime but Virginia Tech won the only meeting between these two teams this season in Miami and I just don't see the Canes losing to these guys twice in the same season in games they should win (or are favored at least). The Hurricanes come into this game having always been a good team to bet on when they play on Thursdays as they are a perfect 6-0 ATS in their last six games played on a Thursday (day or night). They have also been a great team to back on neutral courts as they have gone 5-1 ATS in their last six neutral court games when favored by oddsmakers and they are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 neutral court games overall which makes them a very dangerous team to go against in this tournament. The Canes are also very good coming off mediocre performances as they are 15-4-2 ATS in their last 21 games that follow an ATS spread loss the game before and I think this is the beginning of what could be an incredible run in this tournament. Virginia Tech on the other hand probably looks enticing to a lot of you but don't bother with these clowns. They are coming off a bad loss to end their regular season and this is the team that is 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games coming off a straight up loss. They are also 2-5 ATS in their last seven games versus a team that has a straight up winning record and they finished the regular season on a 2-7 ATS run which is pathetic. They are 1-4 ATS in their last five games as an underdog of 0.5 to 6.5 points and have covered the spread in only one of their last five games played on a Thursday. I think Miami comes in this game and blows the Hokies away in the second half with McClinton's three point shooting barrage. Bank it!
Trend of the Game: Miami is 15-4-2 ATS in their last 21 games that follow an ATS loss the game before.
Miami-Florida 73, Virginia Tech 60
More selections to come...
P.S. I will try and get as many writeups in as possible today but my head might not be into it. At 2:00pm ET today my friend comes back from Afghanistan two weeks ahead of schedule...in a casket. I want to pay my respects and be on the Highway of Heroes (in Toronto) when his casket is driven by in front of the thousands of people who will line the highway. He was only 22 years old, was a great soccer coach, great summer camp leader to my son and a great guy in general. Sucks. He died on Sunday, killed by a roadside bomb while driving a tank.
R.I.P Trooper Marc Diab, thanks for everything you did over there (had to post this somewhere). So forgive me if this is a sloppy thread today.
The Virginia Tech Hokies are young and they do have some experienced guys that have been here for a few years now but they are very inconsistent and a very frustrating team to bet on (anyone who was on them the last few weeks knows all about that). The Hokies have really faded lately as they come into this game averaging only 68.2 points per game in their last five games which is unusual in the ACC Conference. In those games they have managed to shoot only 39.9% from the floor and that is a big time problem coming into this game because Miami has allowed only 67.0 points per game in their last five games and they have allowed those opponents to shoot only 42.7% from the floor in those games. Much likes the Hurricanes, Virginia Tech is a very good three point shooting team and they can knock em down from deep range at any point of any game. The Hurricanes tend to leave the perimeter open quite a bit but if they can control what goes on inside and leave it up to the Hokies to beat them from downtown, I think they are going to run away with this game. I talked about rebounding being a big deal in this game and I say it again because with Virginia Tech shooting only 39.9% from the floor in their last five games, they will need to rebound as much as they can but I don't see them getting many second chance points because they have brought down only 26.8 rebounds per game in their last five games. The Canes are outstanding around their own basket and they have allowed their last five opponents to bring down only 29.4 rebounds per game and have allowed only 8.0 offensive rebounds against in those games. I don't know how many of you have seen these guys play recently but their guard play has been atrocious and they are averaging a pathetic 9.8 assists per game in their last five games (NCAA average is 12.8 for those games) and if they don't take care of the ball here, the Canes are going to make them pay for it with their 6.6 steals per game in their last five games. The only way Virginia Tech wins this game is if they can keep pace with the Hurricanes on both sides of the ball an they have shown lately that they just don't have the guys to do that. They don't have that one star player that can match McClinton basket for basket and pass for pass which is going to be a problem as this game moves into the deep stages of the second half. Fade the Hokies until next season or the season after that.
It took overtime but Virginia Tech won the only meeting between these two teams this season in Miami and I just don't see the Canes losing to these guys twice in the same season in games they should win (or are favored at least). The Hurricanes come into this game having always been a good team to bet on when they play on Thursdays as they are a perfect 6-0 ATS in their last six games played on a Thursday (day or night). They have also been a great team to back on neutral courts as they have gone 5-1 ATS in their last six neutral court games when favored by oddsmakers and they are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 neutral court games overall which makes them a very dangerous team to go against in this tournament. The Canes are also very good coming off mediocre performances as they are 15-4-2 ATS in their last 21 games that follow an ATS spread loss the game before and I think this is the beginning of what could be an incredible run in this tournament. Virginia Tech on the other hand probably looks enticing to a lot of you but don't bother with these clowns. They are coming off a bad loss to end their regular season and this is the team that is 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games coming off a straight up loss. They are also 2-5 ATS in their last seven games versus a team that has a straight up winning record and they finished the regular season on a 2-7 ATS run which is pathetic. They are 1-4 ATS in their last five games as an underdog of 0.5 to 6.5 points and have covered the spread in only one of their last five games played on a Thursday. I think Miami comes in this game and blows the Hokies away in the second half with McClinton's three point shooting barrage. Bank it!
Trend of the Game: Miami is 15-4-2 ATS in their last 21 games that follow an ATS loss the game before.
Miami-Florida 73, Virginia Tech 60
More selections to come...
P.S. I will try and get as many writeups in as possible today but my head might not be into it. At 2:00pm ET today my friend comes back from Afghanistan two weeks ahead of schedule...in a casket. I want to pay my respects and be on the Highway of Heroes (in Toronto) when his casket is driven by in front of the thousands of people who will line the highway. He was only 22 years old, was a great soccer coach, great summer camp leader to my son and a great guy in general. Sucks. He died on Sunday, killed by a roadside bomb while driving a tank.
R.I.P Trooper Marc Diab, thanks for everything you did over there (had to post this somewhere). So forgive me if this is a sloppy thread today.
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