MistaFlava's 2008 CBB Record: 67-56-4 ATS (+61.50 Units)
What a Saturday it was. Finished the day 8-3 ATS, missed most of it because I was working and then I got plastered but all in all it was a great day. My season has taken a turn for the better and now it's time to really turn up the heat. I nailed my PLAY OF THE WEEK on Georgetown -6 but didn't do so well on my other plays. Had Arkansas as well but backed out right before posting on here. Oh well shit happens. Okay so my PS3 project is on hold right now, the results are not doing shit, it was worth a try and it was fun for now. I will bring it back when I have time to do simulations but right now my work is more important and I will revert back to my old style for some winners. Time go on a huge run and bring this record back to something good. I can really start being useful around here. I only care about the money I win and not the percentage of bets I win so taking home the cash is all that matters and proper Money Management is a must, although I have a feeling I will still drop bombs here and there. That's just the way I roll and if you don't like it I don't really give a shit. Gotta love college hoops a lot more than the NBA and believe me when I say that this is where the money is at despite some of these kids really sucking when the game is on the line. Only in this sport can you have miracle covers. Hope you enjoy my writeups.
1 unit = $100
You can tail, you can fade or you can just watch. I have always been a streaky capper. Good Luck to all this week!
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What a Saturday it was. Finished the day 8-3 ATS, missed most of it because I was working and then I got plastered but all in all it was a great day. My season has taken a turn for the better and now it's time to really turn up the heat. I nailed my PLAY OF THE WEEK on Georgetown -6 but didn't do so well on my other plays. Had Arkansas as well but backed out right before posting on here. Oh well shit happens. Okay so my PS3 project is on hold right now, the results are not doing shit, it was worth a try and it was fun for now. I will bring it back when I have time to do simulations but right now my work is more important and I will revert back to my old style for some winners. Time go on a huge run and bring this record back to something good. I can really start being useful around here. I only care about the money I win and not the percentage of bets I win so taking home the cash is all that matters and proper Money Management is a must, although I have a feeling I will still drop bombs here and there. That's just the way I roll and if you don't like it I don't really give a shit. Gotta love college hoops a lot more than the NBA and believe me when I say that this is where the money is at despite some of these kids really sucking when the game is on the line. Only in this sport can you have miracle covers. Hope you enjoy my writeups.
1 unit = $100
You can tail, you can fade or you can just watch. I have always been a streaky capper. Good Luck to all this week!
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Sunday, February 22
View attachment 6477Xavier Musketeers -18.5 (10 Units) View attachment 6488
View attachment 6477Xavier Musketeers -18.5 (10 Units) View attachment 6488
I am done betting on these Xavier clowns when they play away from home but on this court it's a completely different story and today's game will probably determine if these guys stay in the TOP 25 teams in the Country or if they are relegated to the rest of the pack status. George Washington has probably made some people quite a bit of money the last little while when playing as big number underdogs but this year's team is horrendous and I don't think they can get anything done against a very hungry Xavier team that is probably a little bit pissed after their losses this week. Despite covering large spreads as underdogs, George Washington is only 9-21-2 ATS in their last 32 road games and they are only 9-24-1 ATS in their last 34 away games as an underdog. Not their spot at all here. They have failed to cover the spread in each of their last five Sunday games and they are 0-4-1 ATS in their last five games following a straight up win the game before. Xavier on the other hand seems to love playing on Sunday afternoons as they are 4-0 ATS in their last four Sunday games and this is really their spot here. I say that because they are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games when favored by 13 or more points, 5-1 ATS in their last six games when favored by 13 or more points at home, 5-1-1 ATS in their last seven games versus teams that have a losing road record and 4-1-1 ATS in their last six home games. I know this team has struggled big time the last week and a half against conference opponents but a date with George Washington is just what the doctor ordered I'm sure and the Musketeers should win this game huge. The road team and the underdog have both been dominant the last few seasons in this series but that was then and this is now and Xavier is really about to open up a can of whoop ass on these guys. No way they have another bad game. Not here, not now and not in front of these fans.
Trend of the Game: Xavier is 6-1 ATS in their last seven games as a favorite of 13 or more points.
Xavier 87, George Washington 61
View attachment 6473 Villanova Wildcats +2.5 (10 Units) View attachment 6474
What a game this is going to be. The house is surely going to be rocking, the Orange need a win here more than they have ever needed a win all season but Villanova is one hell of a tough team and like I just said, this is going to be one hell of a game here. It's been more than a week since we have last seen Syracuse and that was in their pathetic overtime win against the Hoyas last weekend. Having said that, Villanova is nothing like Georgetown, they are a much better team overall and they are 4-0 ATS in their last four games played on a Sunday. I also want to mention that Villanova seems to play well against good teams as they are 7-1 ATS in their last eight games versus teams that have a straight up winning record on the year. They are also 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games overall, 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games versus Big East Conference opponents and 6-1 ATS in their last seven games that follows a straight up win the game before. Syracuse on the other hand can really ball at home but they have covered the spread in only 2 of their last 7 games played on a Sunday and have covered the spread in only 3 of their last 13 games that follow a game where they scored 90 or more points. As we have seen many times this season, the Orange struggle against good road teams and are 1-4 ATS in their last five home games versus teams that have a straight up winning road record. I bet on Villanova a couple of times the last few years when they have come to play in Syracuse and it has paid off becausee the Wildcats are 4-1 ATS in their last five trips to Syracuse and the underdog is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings overall. This game is going to go back and forth but the Orange, as they almost always do, will find a way to choke away the game as the Wildcats come out of this with another win.
Xavier 87, George Washington 61
View attachment 6473 Villanova Wildcats +2.5 (10 Units) View attachment 6474
What a game this is going to be. The house is surely going to be rocking, the Orange need a win here more than they have ever needed a win all season but Villanova is one hell of a tough team and like I just said, this is going to be one hell of a game here. It's been more than a week since we have last seen Syracuse and that was in their pathetic overtime win against the Hoyas last weekend. Having said that, Villanova is nothing like Georgetown, they are a much better team overall and they are 4-0 ATS in their last four games played on a Sunday. I also want to mention that Villanova seems to play well against good teams as they are 7-1 ATS in their last eight games versus teams that have a straight up winning record on the year. They are also 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games overall, 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games versus Big East Conference opponents and 6-1 ATS in their last seven games that follows a straight up win the game before. Syracuse on the other hand can really ball at home but they have covered the spread in only 2 of their last 7 games played on a Sunday and have covered the spread in only 3 of their last 13 games that follow a game where they scored 90 or more points. As we have seen many times this season, the Orange struggle against good road teams and are 1-4 ATS in their last five home games versus teams that have a straight up winning road record. I bet on Villanova a couple of times the last few years when they have come to play in Syracuse and it has paid off becausee the Wildcats are 4-1 ATS in their last five trips to Syracuse and the underdog is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings overall. This game is going to go back and forth but the Orange, as they almost always do, will find a way to choke away the game as the Wildcats come out of this with another win.
Trend of the Game: Villanova is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games versus Big East Conference opponents
Villanova 74, Syracuse 71
View attachment 6486 Michigan State Spartans -8.5 (10 Units) View attachment 6479
Villanova 74, Syracuse 71
View attachment 6486 Michigan State Spartans -8.5 (10 Units) View attachment 6479
I don't know how many times I've bet on the Spartans this season and been burned and it seems that every time I lose betting on these guys, they come out the next game and kick some serious ass. Well I am hoping to catch them at the right time here coming off a loss, playing at home and looking to completely redeem themselves from all the shit they have done the last week and a half. Wisconsin has actually played some good basketball the last two weeks and that's why a large percentage of people are going to give them a shot here in this game. Having said that, as well as Wisconsin has played and as good as they have been in this spot in the past, they are still only 2-6-1 ATS in their last nine games versus a team with a winning percentage that is above .600%. I said earlier that Michigan State has been a nightmare bet for me the last couple of weeks and the entire season for that matter but the Spartans are actually 8-0 ATS in their last eight games after losing their previous game straight up and that mid-week loss to Purdue was just horrendous so expect Izzo to have his guys fired up in this game today. The Spartans are also 5-1 ATS in their last six games as a favorite (they were not favored against Purdue). They have covered 5 of their last 7 games versus Big Ten Conference opponents and covered 42 of their last 62 games when favored by 7 to 12.5 points in a game. Coming off that loss is a great time to bet on this team and this is where you make some big time cash. I was going to make this a 25 unit play but I am trying really hard to keep my money management in check so same size play as all the others.
Trend of the Game: Michigan State is 8-0 ATS in their last eight games following a straight up loss.
Michigan State 68, Wisconsin 52
View attachment 6487 Rutgers Scarlet Knights +10 (10 Units) View attachment 6483
Michigan State 68, Wisconsin 52
View attachment 6487 Rutgers Scarlet Knights +10 (10 Units) View attachment 6483
Can you believe I am betting on Rutgers twice in one week and three times the last couple of weeks? I don't know what has gotten in to me but believe or not this team has actually made me some cash this season and they are not as bad as many of you think they are. I mean they don't lose games by more than 10 points on the road when they go to Providence or Villanova so why should they lose by that much at home? Besides that, West Virginia has not really done shit all season to show me that they can win and cover games on the road and despite being one of the best Sunday afternoon wagers of the last two or three seasons, I am fading the Mountaineers to the bank in this one. They are one of the most inconsistent ATS wagers in the Big East Conference going 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games following an ATS win the game before, they are 1-4 ATS in their last five games as road favorites and more importantly they are 1-5-1 ATS in their last seven games versus teams that have a straight up losing record on the season which means they play way down to their opponents level in games like this. Rutgers on the other hand are 5-1 ATS (all Big East Conference games) in their last five games overall and they have covered the spread 4 of the last 5 times when coming off a loss the previous game. This is virtually the same kind of deal as their meeting here in 2007 where Rutgers covered the spread as a large home underdog and I actually see them pulling off the upset in this game.
Trend of the Game: Rutgers is 5-1 ATS in their last six games versus Big East Conference opponents.
Rutgers 79, West Virginia 78
View attachment 6489 Seton Hall Pirates +1 (10 Units) View attachment 6490
Rutgers 79, West Virginia 78
View attachment 6489 Seton Hall Pirates +1 (10 Units) View attachment 6490
I don't know what it is about this Seton Hall team but they have been a pretty damn fun to bet on this season covering the spread quite a few times in big games. I know the easy way out of this would be to take the home team and run with the cash but that's easier said than done against the Pirates because believe it or not they believe they belong in the NCAA Tournament and if they continue to win big games on the road like this one, I would be the first to say they belong as well. Seton Hall is on absolute fire when playing on a Sunday as they are 5-0 ATS in their last five games played on a Sunday, they are 4-0 ATS in their last four games played as a road underdog, they are 5-0 ATS in their last five road games, they have covered the spread five straight times now against Big East Conference opponents and five of their last six losses have been followed up the next game with an ATS cover. The home team has always dominated this series but just to let you know this is Seton Hall's best team in a while and I see them taking over in this one. St. John's screwed me on my Duke wager a few days ago but life goes on. They are only 5-11-1 ATS in their last 17 games played as the favorite and they are only 9-21-1 ATS in their last 31 games at home played against a team with a losing straight up record on the road. They are also only 8-19-1 ATS in their last 28 home games, this is not a good spot to back these kids and they have covered the spread in only 1 of their last 6 games played on a Sunday so again this is just not their spot guys and Seton Hall is hungry for a win and Seton Hall is not going to allow any of that easy layup down the middle bullshit like Duke did on Thursday. I like this Pirates team a lot despite their sloppy ways and I actually think they could pull off an upset or two should they be allowed into the Big Dance come March time.
Trend of the Game: St. John's is 1-6 ATS in their last seven games that follow an ATS win.
View attachment 6480 Michigan Wolverines +1 (10 Units) View attachment 6478
View attachment 6480 Michigan Wolverines +1 (10 Units) View attachment 6478
Much like I couldn't believe I actually like the Seton Hall to win on the road, I also like Michigan to win on the road and this is probably the only time this season you will see me bet on these guys when not playing in the confines of their Ann Arbor home. Having said that, I was overly impressed with their win over the Gophers on Thursday and I think they can carry enough momentum to win here as well. Michigan comes into this game having been a very good wager in their games played on a Sunday as they are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games played on a Sunday and I just don't think they can look as bad today as they have all season when playing away from home. They have been a horrendous wager on the road all season and most experts would tell you it's a dumb bet regardless when you back them away from home. Having said that, Iowa is a bad team and that means the Wolverines are going to have a serious chance at the win here. Iowa has covered the spread in only 5 of their last 16 games as a favorite, in only 4 of their last 13 games as a home favorite and they have sucked ass when playing on a Sunday. The Hawkeyes are also 3-12 ATS in their last 15 home games versus road teams with a winning percentage of less than .400% like Michigan and they are only 1-4 ATS in their last five games as a favorite of 0.5 to 6.5 points. This is a place Michigan has always enjoyed playing as they are 4-1 ATS in their last five games played in Iowa, the underdog has covered the spread in 4 of the last 5 meetings and the road team has done the exact same so again this is the one and only time to bet on Michigan on the road this season.
Trend of the Game: Iowa is 3-12 ATS in their last 15 home games versus a team with a road winning percentage of less than .400%.
Michigan 64, Iowa 59
View attachment 6482 Northwestern Wildcats +6 (10 Units) View attachment 6481
Michigan 64, Iowa 59
View attachment 6482 Northwestern Wildcats +6 (10 Units) View attachment 6481
Why the hell not bet on a team that never seems to go away and that just keeps on keeping games close whether they win or lose them in the end. Northwestern should be beaming with confidence in this game as they are coming off a huge home win over Ohio State earlier in the week and if they want to have an outside chance of making the NCAA Tournament, they need to win this game. The Wildcats having covered the spread in 5 of their last 6 games played on a Sunday and despite all their problems playing on the road and away from home, Northwestern is 6-2 ATS in their last eight games versus teams with a straight up winning record on the season so they do play better against good teams and poorly against bad teams. The Wildcats, much like the Wolverines in Iowa, love playing in Minnesota and they are 5-1 ATS in their last six games played at the Gophers. They are also 8-3 ATS in the last 11 meetings and believe me they are going to show up for this game today. Minnesota on the other hand is struggling right now and their blowout road loss to Michigan a few days ago was a good example. Sure they are more comfortable at home but they are only 7-19 ATS in their last 26 games played on a Sunday and they are 0-5 ATS in their last five games overall making them 0-5 ATS in their last five games versus Big East Conference opponents in those games. Too many people are on the Gophers here but why? They beat Indiana by only 8 points here last week and are playing like complete dog shit right now. I am going with Northwestern here.
Trend of the Game: Minnesota is 0-5 ATS in their last five games versus Big Ten Conference opponents.
Northwestern 71, Minnesota 70
View attachment 6475 Arizona State Sun Devils -7.5 (10 Units) View attachment 6476
Northwestern 71, Minnesota 70
View attachment 6475 Arizona State Sun Devils -7.5 (10 Units) View attachment 6476
I was on the Sun Devils last Sunday night at this exact same line and it was a winner. I know it's tough to imagine them pulling off the same in this game with their in-state rivals from Tucson but what you have to understand is that the Sun Devils are a damn good team at home and the line is right for the circumstances. Arizona is on fire lately and they are covering games left and right so you have to think that this line is first of all setup to draw a lot of wagers on the Wildcats and second of all make people think a little bit before placing their wagers. I mean the Wildcats have looked so good so how can they be underdogs in this game right? Well how about the fact that they are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 road games or the fact that they are only 1-4 ATS in their last five games as road underdogs. They are only 1-5 ATS in their last six road games versus a team that has a straight up winning home record on the season so this is a bad spot for these guys to walk into. Arizona State on the other hand has covered the spread in four straight games versus PAC 10 Conference opponents and they are 6-1 ATS in their last seven home games when favored by 7 to 12.5 points and for those of you who don't know, Arizona has a losing record on the road this year and they just don't play the same away from home. Arizona State is 13-3 ATS overall in their last 16 games as a favorite of 7 to 12.5 points and the favorite in this series has covered the spread in 9 of their last 12 meetings which is a good chunk. Arizona is 0-4 ATS in their last four trips to Sun Devils land and the home team has covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 meetings. Enough said, Arizona State it is in this game.
Trend of the Game: Arizona State is 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games as a favorite of 7 to 12.5 points.
Arizona State 83, Arizona 71
:toast:
Arizona State 83, Arizona 71
:toast:
Good Luck to all of you today. I had a bit of time this morning so put together some small writeups with some stats and trends and other small things I would normally include in my writeups. Let's make some cash!!!
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