MistaFlava's CBB Monday ***POWER SELECTIONS*** (7-3 ATS last 10/Writeups & Analysis)

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MistaFlava's 2008 CBB Record: 17-19-2 ATS (-50.00 Units)

Last 10 Wagers: 7-3 ATS

Well what looked like a really good day turned sour pretty fast as I extended my streak to 7-1-1 ATS in my last 10 but then lost two wagers in the afternoon games and Ohio State blew a big lead. Anyways, rocked two more tennis plays last night making that 8 of the last 9 I win and have now reached the 20k mark for the year. You know where to find them. I don't normally do well in pre-New Year's college basketball selections so now is my time to shine and at least I've had the opportunity to watch a bunch of these teams play and I now have a better feel for where things are going, who can do what on the road, who can do what at home and it's just easier to watch a bit before betting. Nonetheless, my record is shit, I want to make it better and I hope to have a much different season than my college football season and a season a lot more like the NFL season I am having right now. This is one of the most exciting time's of the year for sports (don't we say that about 4-5 times a year???) and the road the Madness has begun, baseball is just around the corner and there is so much money to be made out there it's not even funny.

This is the best time of the year to bet CBB because the lines are often way off and a lot of teams are either overrated big time or underrated. Don't forget these kids care a lot more than the pros do.

1 unit = $100


You can tail, you can fade or you can just watch. I have always been a streaky capper. Good Luck to all this week!

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Monday, January 26


View attachment 6296 Marquette Golden Eagles +3 (25 Units) View attachment 6295

***PLAY OF THE DAY***

The Marquette Golden Eagles are a lot better than anyone gives them credit for and I really think they are going to show the world that they too can win big games like this in the Big East Conference. How the hell can you not like or respect Marquette here? What a talented team and what an underrated team if you ask me. Sure they are ranked #10 coming into this game but they still don't get the respect they deserve from a)opposing teams and b) college basketball gamblers because I see that more than 60% of the public is on the Irish in this game and I'm guessing it's only because they lost their last home game and had their 45 home game streak broken. Okay so hold on a second here...did you all forget that Marquette almost won here last year, losing by three points as a +4.5 point favorite and seeing how this Golden Eagles team is better than the one last year, I think they can do a little bit better this time around. Marquette was actually down by 10 points at the half last year but bounced back nicely and won that game and also beat the Irish in the Big East Conference tournament. On the road this season, the Golden Eagles are 3-3 ATS and this is really where they want to make a statement. I mean there were a lot of haters when they went into Providence last week as a -1 but they shut everyone up with 9 point win and I think this team has a come a very long way since their 12 point loss at Tennessee earlier this season as +5.5 point underdogs. It's not often you will find this team as an underdog and when they are dogs you have to take advantage of it for sure. Coming off a lacklustre effort on the weekend against Depaul as -16 point favorites, you know Marquette had this game on their minds which is why I think they are going to walk in here absolutely ready for this game. Everyone talks about Notre Dame and the points they score but did you forget about Marquette and the fact that they come into this game averaging 82.0 points per game in their last five games and that in those games they have managed to shoot a whopping 48.8% from the floor in those games and that is going to be an absolute nightmare for the Notre Dame defense that has allowed 79.0 points per game in their last five games and that have allowed those opponents to shoot 46.1% from the floor in those games. That's just horrendous and any team with a half decent offense/defense combination is going to beat these guys. If you thought ND was one of the best three point shooting teams in the Country, Marquette is a little bit better and these guys are lethal from downtown shooting 40.2% from beyond the arc in their last five games for 7.0 three point shots made per game. Notre Dame has done a decent job protecting the outside but the Golden Eagles have some inside weapons they can dish down to if the outside shoots are not there for the taking. Marquette is a team that loves to attack the basket and they love getting to the line as they average 25.8 free throw attempts per game in their last five games and have made 70.5% of those free throws (very impressive). Notre Dame's interior defense is decent and opponents get to the line 20.2 times per game in their last five games which means Marquette is going to get their fair share of chances down low. There are no guards in the entire Country playing as well as McNeal and James right now and that's a known fact as they have averaged 15.4 assists per game in their last five games and have turned the ball over an NCAA low 7.2 times per game in those games while the NCAA average is 13.7 turnovers per game for that period of time. That's going to be devastating for Notre Dame defensively because their guard coverage has been horrendous lately and they have allowed their last five opponents to average 16.0 assists per game (NCAA average is 13.0 asssits per game) and they have managed to force only 9.6 turnovers per game which is nowhere near good enough against this Golden Eagles team. Apart from having outstanding guards, Marquette can definitely rebound and although they are not as big as Notre Dame, the Irish have allowed a ton of rebounds and their boxing out skills suck ass this season. Notre Dame has managed only 3.8 steals per game in their last five games, they don't play good enough defense to defend a two guard team like Marquette and this is a very bad matchup for them defensively. Marquette is going to be all over the Irish in this game and the only way they lose is if they get outgunned from the outside which hasn't happened yet this year.

The Notre Dame Fighting Irish are unbeaten no more on their home court. The Irish had the longest home win streak in the Nation (45 home wins in a row) heading into their game against UConn on Saturday but the Irish finally met their match and boom there went the win streak. Now most of you are thinking that there is no chance in hell that this is going to happen again, two games in a row, after not happening for more than two years...right? Well I would re-think that because if you saw the way Marquette battled the last time they were here, you would understand that they know how to play here and they came very close to winning that game last year despite being down double digits for quite some time. That was a revenge spot for the Irish after getting killed by 26 at Marquette earlier and they still struggled to win that game. Notre Dame is only 4-8 ATS this season and I don't ever trust this team. The Irish have played 9 games at home this season and only four of those games have been lined (2-2 ATS in those games) so to say this team has been through tough times at home is misleading. Georgetown was here a few weeks ago and they lost by seven as +3 point underdogs but the Hoyas don't have the same scoring ability as Marquette and that is a completely different kind of matchup. In the end the way it works, if you can score points and provided matchup problems for the Irish defense, you are going to have some success. The only other worthy opponent at home for Notre Dame apart from Georgetown and Connecticut was Seton Hall and Notre Dame won that game by only 9 points as a -15 point favorite. Not good enough for me. Notre Dame comes into this game averaging 73.8 points per game in their last five games played and in those games they have managed to shoot a pathetic 39.3% from the floor. Although they are scoring a lot of points, this team is really not shooting well from the floor and they are scoring 8.2 less points than Marquette are in their last five games. That's very concerning. If you can't ball with the Golden Eagles and match them point for point, you aren't going to win many games. As poor as Notre Dame's shooting has been, it's only about to get worse against a Marquette defense that has allowed only 66.2 points per game in their last five games and that have allowed those opponents to shoot only 43.6% from the floor. That is by no means the best defense in the conference but the Golden Eagles score enough points and play at a fast enough pace that they allow quite a few chances on defense as well. We already know what Notre Dame is all about and that is three point shooting. They have hit 40.0% from downtown in their last five games making 9.2 three point baskets per game in those games on 23.0 attempts per game. That usually keeps this team in games but against a Marquette defense that defends the perimiter very well, it probably won't work as well seeing how the Golden Eagles have allowed their last five opponents to shoot only 30.8% from beyond the arc and make only 5.6 three point shots per game. That is going to throw the Irish off their game and force them to go inside where they are not all that efficient and where they are not comfortable playing. The Irish are one of the best free throw shooting teams in the Country so even if they go inside they are probably going to score some points but they go to the free throw line only 13.0 times per game in their last five games and have made 87.7% of those free throws. Having said that, Marquette really shuts things down on the interior and their last five opponents have been to the free throw line only 14.4 times per game. The Golden Eagles really make you work for your shots and they prefer allowing mid-range jumpers all day long instead of anything down low or from the outside. It's unique and Notre Dame will struggle with it. It's only natural that the Irish average more rebounds than their opponents per game because they have attempted 12.3 more shots per game than the NCAA average for the last five games. Much like Marquette, the Irish have above average guard play and they are very good at moving the ball around on offensive sets with their 15.6 assists per game in their last five games and their 10.6 turnovers per game in their last five games. Having said that, unlike the Notre Dame defense, Marquette's defense is very aggressive, they force a lot of bad plays and they are fundamentally better than the Irish despite allowing a lot of fast breaks and keeping things simple defensively. They do have 6.4 steals per game in their last five games and although they are going to allow some points in this game, that is to be expected against Notre Dame's offense that can score in bunches. The key here is going to be Marquette's perimeter defense when the game is on the line because if you shut down Notre Dame outside game and force them into shorter range jumpers, they just aren't the same team and it really throws them off their game. Notre Dame might score some points but it won't be as many points as Marquette and I this comes down to the Golden Eagles have the better guard combination. I'll take James and McNeal over Jackson and McAlarney any day of the year baby. TWO STRAIGHT FOR YOU NOTRE DAME BITCHES!

Hold on a second here. Everyone is obviously going to be on Notre Dame in this game because they are one of the best home teams in College Basketball and there is no chance in hell they lost two straight home games on this court right? WRONG! How can you not respect this team and understand that Notre Dame just doesn't match up well against these guys. I know the Fighting Irish probably want to come out of the gates strong and take out some frustrations early but this is one of the most veteran teams in the Big East Conference and they have shown in the past that they can win in this building. Dominic James and Jerel McNeal are the nastiest 1-2 guard combo in the Conference if you ask me and if anyone can ball with the Irish (apart from UConn) on their home court, it has to be Marquette and their two guards. No doubt about that. Marquette lost by 3 points here last season but that's only because it was a revenge spot for Notre Dame after they lost by 26 at Marquette earlier that season. THIS IS NOT A REVENGE SPOT. So with a fresh slate, Marquette had the egde like they did in the Big East Tournament last year. Stop doubting Marquette. They are 5-1 ATS in their last six games versus teams with a winning record this season and even better against teams with almost perfect winning records. The Golden Eagles have covered the spread in 10 of their last 14 road games, 5 of their last 7 Monday games, 12 of their last 17 versus Big East Conference opponents and 9 of their last 13 versus good home teams. Notre Dame on the other hand is only 1-5-1 ATS in their last seven games played on a Monday and they are 0-4 ATS in their last four games versus Big East Conference opponents. McNeal and James are the only two names you need to remember tonight...BANK THAT SHIT!

Trend of the Game: Marquette is 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games versus Big East Conference opponents.


Marquette 86, Notre Dame 82





:toast:





I have one more play for tonight guys and will post it later on. I won my two tennis wagers againt last night and I am almost at the 20k mark for tennis wagers since the beginning of the year. What a sport to make profits. Djokovic is the wager tonight (11pm ET is the start time for that match) and I am going 5k on that (writeups posted at all tennis site). See you soon and GOOD LUCK!
 
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I agree, seems like the whole world likes ND...Marq it is for me as well
 

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Thanks flava:103631605
 

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I like this pick flava. I'm droppin 25 units on this play as well! Let's cash this ticket tonight!
 

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I have one more play for tonight guys and will post it later on. I won my two tennis wagers againt last night and I am almost at the 20k mark for tennis wagers since the beginning of the year. What a sport to make profits. Djokovic is the wager tonight (11pm ET is the start time for that match) and I am going 5k on that (writeups posted at all tennis site). See you soon and GOOD LUCK!

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Actually, I don't know where to get your tennis plays, but would like to know..............I looked at several forums in here, tracker, other sports, and the general forum and couldn't find them. Could you let me know where they are? thx.:toast:
 

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Alright so Marquette should have the win in the books by now and there is time for one more basketball wager before my bomb on the Djokovic-Roddick match at the Australian Open tonight. Here we go, let's make this a perfect night...



Monday, January 26


View attachment 6297 Oklahoma Sooners -2.5 (10 Units) View attachment 6298

The Oklahoma Sooners are good and they are once again a lot better than they get credit for sometimes but their #5 ranking is right and they should have no problems winning this game tonight as the better of the two teams both at home and on the road. Some of you are going to compare this game to Oklahoma's straight up loss (their only loss this season) at Arkansas a few weeks back as -5.5 point favorites in that game but that was just a bad performance by the Sooners in a game they really didn't care all that much for. Well believe me when I say they care about this game against their in-state rivals Oklahoma State and losing here is not an option for a team with a lot more talent than their opponent. Again that was the only loss of the season for the Sooners and they have since won 7 straight games and have gone 4-1 ATS in those games. What more can this team do anyways? They went to Kansas State a few weeks ago as a -1 point favorite and came out of there with an 8 point win. They went to Texas A&M two games later as a -3.5 point favorite and came out of there with a 6 point win. They had Texas at home as a -4.5 point favorite and won that game by 15. Make no doubt about it this is a very good basketball team and they seem to do a lot better with smaller spreads than they do as favorites of double digits against weaker opponents. The Sooners were made for games like this and although the edge is not huge, they do match up very well with the Cowboys. If you thought this team was good at home, they are even better on the road where they have covered the spread in 5 of their 8 games this season and again the only time they have struggled and failed to cover a spread was when they were favored by double digits and played down to their opponents level. Oklahoma comes into this game averaging 75.0 points per game in their last five games and they have managed to get that done by shooting a whopping 48.9% from the floor in those games. That's good. What's even better for us Sooners backers is the fact that Oklahoma State has allowed their last five opponents to score 77.2 points per game and they have allowed those same opponents to shoot 44.1% from the floor in those games, both well above the NCAA averages for those five games. The Sooners don't take many shots from the outside because they are tough enough down low but when they do jack up the three point shots they make 40.8% of them in their last five games and they get to go up against a Cowboys defense that has allowed 7.0 three point shots made per game their last five games at a 34.7% clip which opens the door for the Sooners to blow this thing away. I don't know that I am a fan of Oklahoma's free throw shooting because they are not one of the best in the Country and are actually below NCAA average but they do get to the line 22.6 times per game in their last five games and I expect that to be somewhere around 30 free throw attempts this game as Oklahoma State has allowed their last five opponents to go to the line a whopping 26.6 times per game this season. Blake Griffin is no doubt going to have a field day down low in this game and unless he gets into foul trouble, which is rare with the big man, it's going to be very tough for Oklahoma State to control him in the paint. The only thing that could bother the Sooners tonight is the fact that Oklahoma State doesn't allow too many second point chances and Griffin won't be as effective as usual with the offensive boards in this one. The Sooners have to make sure they hold onto the ball tonight becauset he Cowboys have forced something like 17.6 turnovers per game in their last five games and even though Oklahoma has turned the ball over 13.6 times per game in their last five games, I like the way they move the ball even if it's risky and involves turnovers. The guards on this team have combined for 14.8 assists per game in their last five games and they will have to work very hard to move the ball around inside and outside in this game. Oklahoma State's perimeter defense is pretty good and they do have 8.0 steals per game in their last five games but I don't think they can handle Oklahoma's ability to use Griffin in the middle and just as easily kick it back outside for an open three point shot attempt. Yes they rebound well but Oklahoma State is not tough enough under the basket and they have only 2.6 blocks per game in their last five games, that's just not good enough to control Griffin down low. If Griffin is tied up by double teams, Willie Warren and Tony Crocker are going to destroy the Cowboys from the outside with some three point bombs and that should be enough for this team to pull away in this game. It won't be easy for Oklahoma and that's fine but in the end they are too tough inside and their offense is very effective when it comes to beating this type of high risk defense that likes to come after the ball and the only offenses that are going to beat the Cowboys are the ones like Oklahoma...very fundamentally sound in their offensive sets. Sooners should roll in this one and it should rain threes.

The Oklahoma State Cowboys are a good team and I will most likely be betting on them quite a few times this season but how in the world can you like this spot? I know almost nobody likes the Cowboys tonight and that's fine but those who do are making a big mistake. The 75%+ of us taking Oklahoma tonight are not brain dead and I guess we know something you don't know about this. Oklahoma State is 13-5 SU on the season right now but they are only 5-6-1 ATS in those games and have not come close to bringing home the bacon for their backers. I want to bring you guys back to the game last year when Oklahoma showed up here as +5 point underdogs and came away with a huge 12 point win over the Cowboys. Or how about the time they were here in 2006 and won the game by 8 points? What I mean is that this team is not afraid to play in Stillwater and they have shown in the past that they can win here as favorites or as underdogs. If you are going to beat the Sooners you need to have someone who can play Blake Griffin hard and control him down low. He is the backbone of this team and one of the best players in the Country. C Ibrahima Thomas was supposed to be that man as he is 6'11, 238lbs and he would definitely be able to put a body on Griffin to bother all game. However, THOMAS WAS KICKED OFF THE TEAM earlier this year and now the team doesn't have a natural center that can take care of business against Griffin. That will leave the big man all alone to do what he wants. The Cowboys are coming off a loss in their last home game as Missouri came in here and won a +1 point underdogs. The only real way to beat this team is if you can score a bunch of points and the Sooners can do just that. Apart from that game against the Tigers and another home game against Texas A&M (as -7 point favorites in an 11 point win), Oklahoma State has really not faced any really good teams and this is going to be one hell of a wakeup call for these guys. That's now 2 losses in their last 3 games for the Cowboys and the questions is, despite being motivated and pumped up for the game tonight, I still need to know how they are going to handle Griffin without a guy like Thomas out there. My general philosophy is that they can't. Oklahoma State comes into this game averaging a whopping 83.6 points per game in their last five games which is good but they don't shoot the ball as well as Oklahoma and have shot the ball 45.6% from the floor in those games. Still good though. Having said that, the Cowboys have not seen a defense like Oklahoma's all season long and that is a defense that has allowed only 63.2 points per game in their last five games and that have allowed those same five opponents to shoot only 36.4% from the floor while the NCAA average for those games is 43.4% shooting from the floor. Much like the Sooners or a team like Marquette, Oklahoma State is devastating from three point range as they have connected on 39.3% of their three point shots the last five games (that's 9.2 three pointers made per game in those games) and I don't doubt for one second that they will score their fair share of three pointers. However, let it be known that despite allowing 8.0 three point shots made per game in their last five games (on only 33.3% shooting from beyond the arc), Oklahoma allows that many three point shots because they would rather have a team beat you from the outside than ever get inside and collect free points off rebounds or off free throws. You also have to consider that teams jack up 24.0 three point shot attempts against this defense per game in the last five games because most of the time they are playing from behind and the only hope they have is to jack up three point shots. Alright so I talked about Oklahoma holding teams to the outside but that's not all that easy against a Cowboys team that has been to the free throw line 26.0 times per game in their last five games and that is shooting a very impressive 72.3% from the floor in those games. However, I also mentioned that the Sooners don't allow zone penetration and it's true. Their last five opponents have been to the free throw line 16.2 times per game in those games and have hit only 59.3% of those freebie shots. Both teams have guys who can really rebound and I don't give the edge to either side because despite not having a big big man on their side, the Cowboys have some really athletic guys who are just as effective on the boards and who can match up well with the Sooners. What I don't like about Oklahoma State is their lack of a pure playmaking guard. I mean how can you possibly think you are getting somewhere in a game like this when you are averaging only 10.0 assists per game in your last five games and when you have turned the ball over 14.2 times per game in those games. Oklahoma is already good enough at keeping everything outside the paint and they have allowed their last five opponents to average only 11.0 assists per game and they have forced 13.0 turnovers which is not a lot but it's a controlled zone defense that doesn't allow too many open looks. This is the hardest Oklahoma State is going to have to work for shots all season and I don't see them reacting well to that at all. With Griffin in the middle and leading this team to 5.2 blocks per game in their last five games, Oklahoma State won't have the options they usually have in this game and that won't allow them to score as many points as they usually do. Like I said before, I really like the matchup here for the Sooners defensively and I think Oklahoma State is going to struggle even if they hit a bunch of three point shots. No answer for Griffin means no chance to win and the Cowboys lost Mr. Thomas a while ago. YEEEEEEHAWWWWW SOONERS!

THIS SMELLS LIKE FISH...but I have happen to feel like fish tonight so I am not backing down from my wager no matter what anyone thinks Vegas is doing. Have you ever thought that maybe we are getting a gift here from Vegas here instead of being taken to the slaughter house like many of you have posted today? I mean give me a break here. Oklahoma is not only 2.5 points better than Oklahoma in this building but they are a good 10 points better and that was my range for this game (9 points or better and I was going to be on the Sooners no matter what). Sure the line is a bit surprising and sure you hate to be on the same side as a whopping 77.0% of the public in a game like this but sometimes you have to go with what feels right and the Sooners are definitely the play in this game. Call me a fuckin sheep I don't care...GREAT ODDS FOR SURE! Oklahoma has covered the spread in 4 of their last 5 games versus opponents in the Big 12 Conference and they are 4-1 ATS in their last five games versus teams with a winning record. That once again supports my theory that the Sooners show up to play against better teams and are motivated for games like this while they suck when favored by a lot against shittier teams like Rice. Oklahoma State has been good against Big 12 opponents the last season or two but did you know that they are 3-12 ATS in their last 15 games as an underdog of 0.5 to 6.5 points and 1-5 ATS in their last six games as an underdog. These guys just don't do so well when pegged as underdogs because they don't have the all around game to ball with better teams like the Sooners. SCREW YOU VEGAS..WE ARE TAKING YOU TO THE CLEANERS!

Trend of the Game: Oklahoma State is 3-12 ATS in their last 15 games as underdogs of 0.5 to 6.5 points.





:toast:





Well this could be a great night or it could be a bad one. I start NBA Capping full swing tomorrow or Wednesday and will post my picks in that forum. Good luck to all with your bets here and in tennis, LETS CASH THESE FUCKERS!
 
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I've been following Flava on his tennis picks for about a week, and the man is downright nasty. He is a book slayer in tennis.
 

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I have one more play for tonight guys and will post it later on. I won my two tennis wagers againt last night and I am almost at the 20k mark for tennis wagers since the beginning of the year. What a sport to make profits. Djokovic is the wager tonight (11pm ET is the start time for that match) and I am going 5k on that (writeups posted at all tennis site). See you soon and GOOD LUCK!

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Actually, I don't know where to get your tennis plays, but would like to know..............I looked at several forums in here, tracker, other sports, and the general forum and couldn't find them. Could you let me know where they are? thx.:toast:



you have mail
 

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I've been following Flava on his tennis picks for about a week, and the man is downright nasty. He is a book slayer in tennis.


Thanks Paddy, it's one of the unknowns in the sports betting world. Lots of money to be made in that sport. GL tonight!
 

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sorry guys forgot to post a score for tonight, here goes:





Oklahoma 78, Oklahoma State 68





:103631605
 

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MistaFlava's 2008 CBB Record: 17-19-2 ATS (-50.00 Units)

Last 10 Wagers: 7-3 ATS

Well what looked like a really good day turned sour pretty fast as I extended my streak to 7-1-1 ATS in my last 10 but then lost two wagers in the afternoon games and Ohio State blew a big lead. Anyways, rocked two more tennis plays last night making that 8 of the last 9 I win and have now reached the 20k mark for the year. You know where to find them. I don't normally do well in pre-New Year's college basketball selections so now is my time to shine and at least I've had the opportunity to watch a bunch of these teams play and I now have a better feel for where things are going, who can do what on the road, who can do what at home and it's just easier to watch a bit before betting. Nonetheless, my record is shit, I want to make it better and I hope to have a much different season than my college football season and a season a lot more like the NFL season I am having right now. This is one of the most exciting time's of the year for sports (don't we say that about 4-5 times a year???) and the road the Madness has begun, baseball is just around the corner and there is so much money to be made out there it's not even funny.

This is the best time of the year to bet CBB because the lines are often way off and a lot of teams are either overrated big time or underrated. Don't forget these kids care a lot more than the pros do.

1 unit = $100


You can tail, you can fade or you can just watch. I have always been a streaky capper. Good Luck to all this week!

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Monday, January 26


View attachment 6296 Marquette Golden Eagles +3 (25 Units) View attachment 6295

***PLAY OF THE DAY***


The Marquette Golden Eagles are a lot better than anyone gives them credit for and I really think they are going to show the world that they too can win big games like this in the Big East Conference. How the hell can you not like or respect Marquette here? What a talented team and what an underrated team if you ask me. Sure they are ranked #10 coming into this game but they still don't get the respect they deserve from a)opposing teams and b) college basketball gamblers because I see that more than 60% of the public is on the Irish in this game and I'm guessing it's only because they lost their last home game and had their 45 home game streak broken. Okay so hold on a second here...did you all forget that Marquette almost won here last year, losing by three points as a +4.5 point favorite and seeing how this Golden Eagles team is better than the one last year, I think they can do a little bit better this time around. Marquette was actually down by 10 points at the half last year but bounced back nicely and won that game and also beat the Irish in the Big East Conference tournament. On the road this season, the Golden Eagles are 3-3 ATS and this is really where they want to make a statement. I mean there were a lot of haters when they went into Providence last week as a -1 but they shut everyone up with 9 point win and I think this team has a come a very long way since their 12 point loss at Tennessee earlier this season as +5.5 point underdogs. It's not often you will find this team as an underdog and when they are dogs you have to take advantage of it for sure. Coming off a lacklustre effort on the weekend against Depaul as -16 point favorites, you know Marquette had this game on their minds which is why I think they are going to walk in here absolutely ready for this game. Everyone talks about Notre Dame and the points they score but did you forget about Marquette and the fact that they come into this game averaging 82.0 points per game in their last five games and that in those games they have managed to shoot a whopping 48.8% from the floor in those games and that is going to be an absolute nightmare for the Notre Dame defense that has allowed 79.0 points per game in their last five games and that have allowed those opponents to shoot 46.1% from the floor in those games. That's just horrendous and any team with a half decent offense/defense combination is going to beat these guys. If you thought ND was one of the best three point shooting teams in the Country, Marquette is a little bit better and these guys are lethal from downtown shooting 40.2% from beyond the arc in their last five games for 7.0 three point shots made per game. Notre Dame has done a decent job protecting the outside but the Golden Eagles have some inside weapons they can dish down to if the outside shoots are not there for the taking. Marquette is a team that loves to attack the basket and they love getting to the line as they average 25.8 free throw attempts per game in their last five games and have made 70.5% of those free throws (very impressive). Notre Dame's interior defense is decent and opponents get to the line 20.2 times per game in their last five games which means Marquette is going to get their fair share of chances down low. There are no guards in the entire Country playing as well as McNeal and James right now and that's a known fact as they have averaged 15.4 assists per game in their last five games and have turned the ball over an NCAA low 7.2 times per game in those games while the NCAA average is 13.7 turnovers per game for that period of time. That's going to be devastating for Notre Dame defensively because their guard coverage has been horrendous lately and they have allowed their last five opponents to average 16.0 assists per game (NCAA average is 13.0 asssits per game) and they have managed to force only 9.6 turnovers per game which is nowhere near good enough against this Golden Eagles team. Apart from having outstanding guards, Marquette can definitely rebound and although they are not as big as Notre Dame, the Irish have allowed a ton of rebounds and their boxing out skills suck ass this season. Notre Dame has managed only 3.8 steals per game in their last five games, they don't play good enough defense to defend a two guard team like Marquette and this is a very bad matchup for them defensively. Marquette is going to be all over the Irish in this game and the only way they lose is if they get outgunned from the outside which hasn't happened yet this year.​



The Notre Dame Fighting Irish are unbeaten no more on their home court. The Irish had the longest home win streak in the Nation (45 home wins in a row) heading into their game against UConn on Saturday but the Irish finally met their match and boom there went the win streak. Now most of you are thinking that there is no chance in hell that this is going to happen again, two games in a row, after not happening for more than two years...right? Well I would re-think that because if you saw the way Marquette battled the last time they were here, you would understand that they know how to play here and they came very close to winning that game last year despite being down double digits for quite some time. That was a revenge spot for the Irish after getting killed by 26 at Marquette earlier and they still struggled to win that game. Notre Dame is only 4-8 ATS this season and I don't ever trust this team. The Irish have played 9 games at home this season and only four of those games have been lined (2-2 ATS in those games) so to say this team has been through tough times at home is misleading. Georgetown was here a few weeks ago and they lost by seven as +3 point underdogs but the Hoyas don't have the same scoring ability as Marquette and that is a completely different kind of matchup. In the end the way it works, if you can score points and provided matchup problems for the Irish defense, you are going to have some success. The only other worthy opponent at home for Notre Dame apart from Georgetown and Connecticut was Seton Hall and Notre Dame won that game by only 9 points as a -15 point favorite. Not good enough for me. Notre Dame comes into this game averaging 73.8 points per game in their last five games played and in those games they have managed to shoot a pathetic 39.3% from the floor. Although they are scoring a lot of points, this team is really not shooting well from the floor and they are scoring 8.2 less points than Marquette are in their last five games. That's very concerning. If you can't ball with the Golden Eagles and match them point for point, you aren't going to win many games. As poor as Notre Dame's shooting has been, it's only about to get worse against a Marquette defense that has allowed only 66.2 points per game in their last five games and that have allowed those opponents to shoot only 43.6% from the floor. That is by no means the best defense in the conference but the Golden Eagles score enough points and play at a fast enough pace that they allow quite a few chances on defense as well. We already know what Notre Dame is all about and that is three point shooting. They have hit 40.0% from downtown in their last five games making 9.2 three point baskets per game in those games on 23.0 attempts per game. That usually keeps this team in games but against a Marquette defense that defends the perimiter very well, it probably won't work as well seeing how the Golden Eagles have allowed their last five opponents to shoot only 30.8% from beyond the arc and make only 5.6 three point shots per game. That is going to throw the Irish off their game and force them to go inside where they are not all that efficient and where they are not comfortable playing. The Irish are one of the best free throw shooting teams in the Country so even if they go inside they are probably going to score some points but they go to the free throw line only 13.0 times per game in their last five games and have made 87.7% of those free throws. Having said that, Marquette really shuts things down on the interior and their last five opponents have been to the free throw line only 14.4 times per game. The Golden Eagles really make you work for your shots and they prefer allowing mid-range jumpers all day long instead of anything down low or from the outside. It's unique and Notre Dame will struggle with it. It's only natural that the Irish average more rebounds than their opponents per game because they have attempted 12.3 more shots per game than the NCAA average for the last five games. Much like Marquette, the Irish have above average guard play and they are very good at moving the ball around on offensive sets with their 15.6 assists per game in their last five games and their 10.6 turnovers per game in their last five games. Having said that, unlike the Notre Dame defense, Marquette's defense is very aggressive, they force a lot of bad plays and they are fundamentally better than the Irish despite allowing a lot of fast breaks and keeping things simple defensively. They do have 6.4 steals per game in their last five games and although they are going to allow some points in this game, that is to be expected against Notre Dame's offense that can score in bunches. The key here is going to be Marquette's perimeter defense when the game is on the line because if you shut down Notre Dame outside game and force them into shorter range jumpers, they just aren't the same team and it really throws them off their game. Notre Dame might score some points but it won't be as many points as Marquette and I this comes down to the Golden Eagles have the better guard combination. I'll take James and McNeal over Jackson and McAlarney any day of the year baby. TWO STRAIGHT FOR YOU NOTRE DAME BITCHES!​



Hold on a second here. Everyone is obviously going to be on Notre Dame in this game because they are one of the best home teams in College Basketball and there is no chance in hell they lost two straight home games on this court right? WRONG! How can you not respect this team and understand that Notre Dame just doesn't match up well against these guys. I know the Fighting Irish probably want to come out of the gates strong and take out some frustrations early but this is one of the most veteran teams in the Big East Conference and they have shown in the past that they can win in this building. Dominic James and Jerel McNeal are the nastiest 1-2 guard combo in the Conference if you ask me and if anyone can ball with the Irish (apart from UConn) on their home court, it has to be Marquette and their two guards. No doubt about that. Marquette lost by 3 points here last season but that's only because it was a revenge spot for Notre Dame after they lost by 26 at Marquette earlier that season. THIS IS NOT A REVENGE SPOT. So with a fresh slate, Marquette had the egde like they did in the Big East Tournament last year. Stop doubting Marquette. They are 5-1 ATS in their last six games versus teams with a winning record this season and even better against teams with almost perfect winning records. The Golden Eagles have covered the spread in 10 of their last 14 road games, 5 of their last 7 Monday games, 12 of their last 17 versus Big East Conference opponents and 9 of their last 13 versus good home teams. Notre Dame on the other hand is only 1-5-1 ATS in their last seven games played on a Monday and they are 0-4 ATS in their last four games versus Big East Conference opponents. McNeal and James are the only two names you need to remember tonight...BANK THAT SHIT!​



Trend of the Game: Marquette is 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games versus Big East Conference opponents.​




Marquette 86, Notre Dame 82​







:toast:​







I have one more play for tonight guys and will post it later on. I won my two tennis wagers againt last night and I am almost at the 20k mark for tennis wagers since the beginning of the year. What a sport to make profits. Djokovic is the wager tonight (11pm ET is the start time for that match) and I am going 5k on that (writeups posted at all tennis site). See you soon and GOOD LUCK!​

13,500 to win 5,000..............For real?
 

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