MistaFlava's 2008 CBB Record: 86-86-4 ATS (+6.80 Units)
I am so happy to have March finally come strolling around. I needed this month to show up. Time to turn things around big time. Okay so we are in the home stretch of the college basketball season and I am no satisfied with my results. I have not been able to go on any kind of streak and have not been all that helpful to anyone who visits my threads. My solution to this is to go back to my old school capping ways that made me more than 40k on the season in the NFL. I have tried too hard to mess around with systems, PS3 plays and all sorts of bullshit that I have sorta lost my way a bit.
So my plan from here on in is to go back to my style of capping which is straight up gut and stats, big unit plays, televised games and all that good stuff. We are closing in on tournament time both conference and the NIT and NCAA tournaments and this is the best time of the year to place huge wagers on college hoops. I don't have much else to say. I have always done well betting on college hoops but again my season has not gone as well as I would have liked it to at this point on in the year. Wish me luck and can't wait to catch fire.
1 unit = $100
You can tail, you can fade or you can just watch. I have always been a streaky capper. Good Luck to all this week!
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The Villanova Wildcats are coming off a loss and that is nothing they have done too often this season so it's tough to say how they are going to come out for this game. We all remember them getting smoked at West Virginia a few weeks ago and something tells me this game will look the same. The Wildcats comes into this game averaging 74.2 points per game in their last five games which is quite a big number and quite impressive with their 44.5% shooting from the floor in those games. I don't doubt they can score some points against this Notre Dame defense which allows quite a few points per game in their last five but this is about outscoring your opponent tonight and I don't think Nova can ball with the Irish in this house. The Wildcats like to shoot the three ball but part of their recent problems have stemmed from the fact that they have shot only 32.6% from three point range in those games. If they Wildcats think things will get better they won't because Notre Dame has done a great job defending the perimeter the last five games allowing those opponents to shoot only 29.2% from three point range in those games. The only way Villanova can stay in this game is if they attack the hoop and get some baskets in the paint as they have been to the free throw line 26.0 times per game in their last five games but Notre Dame's interior defense has improved greatly and their last five opponents have been to the line only 18.2 times per game in those games. I think it's also important to note that Villanova has not rebounded well lately bringing down only 30.4 rebounds per game in their last five games. Their guard play has been nothing short of bad as they average only 12.2 assists per game in their last five games and have turned the ball over a whopping 15.2 times per game in those games which is exactly what this Notre Dame defense needs since they don't force many turnovers themselves. With both teams struggling on the defensive side of things lately, I have to go with the team that has been getting better guard play and that has been more effective on all offensive sides and that is not the Villanova Wildcats.
The Notre Dame Fighting Irish have been a real disappointment this season and that all started when their Nation leading home win streak was broken way back in the month of January against Uconn and then right away against Marquette. What you have to know is that they have since started a new home win streak by beating Louisville by 33 points, South Florida by 10 and Rutgers by 5. So this team can win at home and they usually win big. The Irish come into this game averaging 74.6 points per game in their last five games and they have managed to shoot 43.0% from the floor in those games which is not all that bad. What is bad is the fact that Villanova has completely given up on defense as they have allowed 75.8 points per game in their last five games and they have allowed those last five opponents to shoot 46.6% from the floor in those games. That's more than enough for Notre Dame to open a can of whoop ass as they are on fire from beyond the arc, hitting 38.6% of their shots from three point range in their last five games at 8.8 three pointers made per game in those games. The Wildcats have allowed 8.8 three point shots made per game their last five games and if the Irish start unloading, this team could be in big time trouble. The Irish have been good on the boards bringing down 32.4 rebounds per game in their last five with 10.4 offensive rebounds per game. What has been the most impressive however is their guard play as they are averaging 14.6 assists per game in their last five games, they have turned the ball over only 8.8 times per game in those games and Nova cannot defend teams that move the ball around the way the Irish do. The Wildcats have allowed a whopping 17.0 assists per game in their last five games and the Irish are going to take advantage of that. Villanova usually scores a bunch of points off turnovers but the Irish just don't turn it over much and that should hold the Wildcats at bay for the duration of this game. Notre Dame is not that far back in the Big East and a win tonight ties them with Cincinnati and puts them one back of West Virginia and Syracuse. This is not senior's night but you have to expect ND to win and when they win at home it's usually by large margins.
You would think the Wildcats are good coming off a loss and you would think this game means quite a bit to them seeing how they lost to Georgetown at home on the weekend. Having said that, the Wildcats are only 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games that follow a straight up loss the game before and they have really struggled the last couple of weeks going 1-4 ATS in their last five games. That makes them 1-4 ATS in their last five games versus Big East Conference opponents and I don't see things getting any better for this team as they struggle heading into the Conference tournament. Playing at Notre Dame is not going to remedy things in any shape or form as Notre Dame is 5-1-1 ATS the last seven times these two teams have met each other and Villanova can't handle the offensive prowness of the Irish. Notre Dame has struggled big time at home with spreads this season but having said that they have covered the spread in 11 of their last 15 games when favored by 0.5 to 6.5 points and are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 home games when favored by 0.5 to 6.5 points. The Irish used to be a team that would never lose at home and they did lead the Nation in consecutive home wins (it wasn't even close) until they lost two in a row here back in January. Since those losses they have been on a complete tear at home and I expect another big win to close in and get better positioning in the Big East Conference.
Trend of the Game: Notre Dame is 5-1-1 ATS in the last seven meetings between these teams.
Notre Dame 89, Villanova 69
More to come....
I am so happy to have March finally come strolling around. I needed this month to show up. Time to turn things around big time. Okay so we are in the home stretch of the college basketball season and I am no satisfied with my results. I have not been able to go on any kind of streak and have not been all that helpful to anyone who visits my threads. My solution to this is to go back to my old school capping ways that made me more than 40k on the season in the NFL. I have tried too hard to mess around with systems, PS3 plays and all sorts of bullshit that I have sorta lost my way a bit.
So my plan from here on in is to go back to my style of capping which is straight up gut and stats, big unit plays, televised games and all that good stuff. We are closing in on tournament time both conference and the NIT and NCAA tournaments and this is the best time of the year to place huge wagers on college hoops. I don't have much else to say. I have always done well betting on college hoops but again my season has not gone as well as I would have liked it to at this point on in the year. Wish me luck and can't wait to catch fire.
1 unit = $100
You can tail, you can fade or you can just watch. I have always been a streaky capper. Good Luck to all this week!
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Monday, March 2
View attachment 6546 Notre Dame Fighting Irish -3.5 (10 Units) View attachment 6545
View attachment 6546 Notre Dame Fighting Irish -3.5 (10 Units) View attachment 6545
The Villanova Wildcats are coming off a loss and that is nothing they have done too often this season so it's tough to say how they are going to come out for this game. We all remember them getting smoked at West Virginia a few weeks ago and something tells me this game will look the same. The Wildcats comes into this game averaging 74.2 points per game in their last five games which is quite a big number and quite impressive with their 44.5% shooting from the floor in those games. I don't doubt they can score some points against this Notre Dame defense which allows quite a few points per game in their last five but this is about outscoring your opponent tonight and I don't think Nova can ball with the Irish in this house. The Wildcats like to shoot the three ball but part of their recent problems have stemmed from the fact that they have shot only 32.6% from three point range in those games. If they Wildcats think things will get better they won't because Notre Dame has done a great job defending the perimeter the last five games allowing those opponents to shoot only 29.2% from three point range in those games. The only way Villanova can stay in this game is if they attack the hoop and get some baskets in the paint as they have been to the free throw line 26.0 times per game in their last five games but Notre Dame's interior defense has improved greatly and their last five opponents have been to the line only 18.2 times per game in those games. I think it's also important to note that Villanova has not rebounded well lately bringing down only 30.4 rebounds per game in their last five games. Their guard play has been nothing short of bad as they average only 12.2 assists per game in their last five games and have turned the ball over a whopping 15.2 times per game in those games which is exactly what this Notre Dame defense needs since they don't force many turnovers themselves. With both teams struggling on the defensive side of things lately, I have to go with the team that has been getting better guard play and that has been more effective on all offensive sides and that is not the Villanova Wildcats.
The Notre Dame Fighting Irish have been a real disappointment this season and that all started when their Nation leading home win streak was broken way back in the month of January against Uconn and then right away against Marquette. What you have to know is that they have since started a new home win streak by beating Louisville by 33 points, South Florida by 10 and Rutgers by 5. So this team can win at home and they usually win big. The Irish come into this game averaging 74.6 points per game in their last five games and they have managed to shoot 43.0% from the floor in those games which is not all that bad. What is bad is the fact that Villanova has completely given up on defense as they have allowed 75.8 points per game in their last five games and they have allowed those last five opponents to shoot 46.6% from the floor in those games. That's more than enough for Notre Dame to open a can of whoop ass as they are on fire from beyond the arc, hitting 38.6% of their shots from three point range in their last five games at 8.8 three pointers made per game in those games. The Wildcats have allowed 8.8 three point shots made per game their last five games and if the Irish start unloading, this team could be in big time trouble. The Irish have been good on the boards bringing down 32.4 rebounds per game in their last five with 10.4 offensive rebounds per game. What has been the most impressive however is their guard play as they are averaging 14.6 assists per game in their last five games, they have turned the ball over only 8.8 times per game in those games and Nova cannot defend teams that move the ball around the way the Irish do. The Wildcats have allowed a whopping 17.0 assists per game in their last five games and the Irish are going to take advantage of that. Villanova usually scores a bunch of points off turnovers but the Irish just don't turn it over much and that should hold the Wildcats at bay for the duration of this game. Notre Dame is not that far back in the Big East and a win tonight ties them with Cincinnati and puts them one back of West Virginia and Syracuse. This is not senior's night but you have to expect ND to win and when they win at home it's usually by large margins.
You would think the Wildcats are good coming off a loss and you would think this game means quite a bit to them seeing how they lost to Georgetown at home on the weekend. Having said that, the Wildcats are only 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games that follow a straight up loss the game before and they have really struggled the last couple of weeks going 1-4 ATS in their last five games. That makes them 1-4 ATS in their last five games versus Big East Conference opponents and I don't see things getting any better for this team as they struggle heading into the Conference tournament. Playing at Notre Dame is not going to remedy things in any shape or form as Notre Dame is 5-1-1 ATS the last seven times these two teams have met each other and Villanova can't handle the offensive prowness of the Irish. Notre Dame has struggled big time at home with spreads this season but having said that they have covered the spread in 11 of their last 15 games when favored by 0.5 to 6.5 points and are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 home games when favored by 0.5 to 6.5 points. The Irish used to be a team that would never lose at home and they did lead the Nation in consecutive home wins (it wasn't even close) until they lost two in a row here back in January. Since those losses they have been on a complete tear at home and I expect another big win to close in and get better positioning in the Big East Conference.
Trend of the Game: Notre Dame is 5-1-1 ATS in the last seven meetings between these teams.
Notre Dame 89, Villanova 69
More to come....
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