MistaFlava's 2017 AFL Record: 0-0 ATS (+0.00 Units)
I have not posted at all this season but this is a sport I follow very closely, it's unreal to watch and we catch a bunch of these games on Fox Sports TV in the States so why the heck not.
The playoffs are here which means the season is down to 9 games leading up to the Grand Final!
Follow at your own risk.
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Thursday, September 7
Qualifying Final #1
Adelaide Crows -10.5 (10 Units)
The is no doubt the Crows are the class of the AFL and it's not even close. I know the Finals are a completely different story than the regular season but the public money is going to be on GWS in this one and I am not falling for it. Let's study the stats a little. So Adelaide went 8-3 SU at home this season while Greater Western Sydney went 5-1-5 SU away from home. In those home games Adelaide managed to score 1247 total points (#1 in the AFL for Home Teams) and allowed 787 points (#3 in the AFL for Home Teams). The Giants on the other hand scored 1010 points away from home this season (#8 in the AFL for away teams) and allowed 953 points (#6 in the AFL for away teams). Adelaide had some strange home matches this season losing to Melbourne, Hawthorn and Sydney but they beat Port Adelaide by 84, Geelong by 21, Richmond by 76, Essendon by 65 and Greater Western Sydney by 56. ALL PLAYOFF TEAMS! So you see how good this squad is at home.
Keep in mind the loser of this game goes into the Quarter-Finals while the winner goes right into the Semi-Finals so losing is the not the end of the world. Adelaide is 4-0 SU lifetime against Greater Western Sydney at home winning those four games by 46 (2012), 65 (2014), 22 (2016) and 56 (this season). They are also 6-1 ATS (Against the Spread) in their last 7 games versus the Giants and have won 7 of the 8 all-time meetings. My initial thought was that the line would be a bit tighter given the titanic battle between these two but over the years it has never been close when playing in Adelaide and as mentioned above, the Giants have absolutely mangled some of their playoff reaching opponents this season and it wasn't even close. I will follow that trend into the playoffs.
Trend of the Game: Adelaide is 6-1 ATS in their last seven games against Greater Western Sydney
Adelaide 106, Greater Western Sydney 74
more to come...
I have not posted at all this season but this is a sport I follow very closely, it's unreal to watch and we catch a bunch of these games on Fox Sports TV in the States so why the heck not.
The playoffs are here which means the season is down to 9 games leading up to the Grand Final!
Follow at your own risk.
------------------------------------------------------------
Thursday, September 7
Qualifying Final #1
Adelaide Crows -10.5 (10 Units)
The is no doubt the Crows are the class of the AFL and it's not even close. I know the Finals are a completely different story than the regular season but the public money is going to be on GWS in this one and I am not falling for it. Let's study the stats a little. So Adelaide went 8-3 SU at home this season while Greater Western Sydney went 5-1-5 SU away from home. In those home games Adelaide managed to score 1247 total points (#1 in the AFL for Home Teams) and allowed 787 points (#3 in the AFL for Home Teams). The Giants on the other hand scored 1010 points away from home this season (#8 in the AFL for away teams) and allowed 953 points (#6 in the AFL for away teams). Adelaide had some strange home matches this season losing to Melbourne, Hawthorn and Sydney but they beat Port Adelaide by 84, Geelong by 21, Richmond by 76, Essendon by 65 and Greater Western Sydney by 56. ALL PLAYOFF TEAMS! So you see how good this squad is at home.
Keep in mind the loser of this game goes into the Quarter-Finals while the winner goes right into the Semi-Finals so losing is the not the end of the world. Adelaide is 4-0 SU lifetime against Greater Western Sydney at home winning those four games by 46 (2012), 65 (2014), 22 (2016) and 56 (this season). They are also 6-1 ATS (Against the Spread) in their last 7 games versus the Giants and have won 7 of the 8 all-time meetings. My initial thought was that the line would be a bit tighter given the titanic battle between these two but over the years it has never been close when playing in Adelaide and as mentioned above, the Giants have absolutely mangled some of their playoff reaching opponents this season and it wasn't even close. I will follow that trend into the playoffs.
Trend of the Game: Adelaide is 6-1 ATS in their last seven games against Greater Western Sydney
Adelaide 106, Greater Western Sydney 74
more to come...