The Scoop?? I am perfect on my 10k plays (2-0 this season)
2-1 (+$4025) yesterday with my plays is not bad and my Pinnacle account continues to grow and grow and grow. So the idea here is to continue the smaller amount wagers until I decided it's time to pound away on a 10k play again. Nevermind, it's that time again tonight. Money management has always been a problem for me but I am getting better and I am winning a lot more than I am losing. This is my $10 000 play at Pinnacle tonight. So I am betting on three games tonight in all likelyhood but only one of them is for a large amount and I will post that first:
Minnesota Twins ML -105
I am fully aware that the Oakland Athletics are one of the hottest teams in baseball right now but their success at home cannot continue forever and the Twins miseries on the road cannot go on the way they have gone. The cure for Minnesota? Some Scott Baker at McAfee Stadium in Oakland where he is perfect in his career and where he will find it a lot easier to get around get some wins than he has anywhere else this season. What the hell is wrong with Scott Baker anyways.Check these stats out.
Baker in 2009 = 15 Home Runs allowed in 10 starts
Baker in 2008 = 20 Home Runs allowed in 28 starts
Baker in 2007 = 15 Home Runs allowed in 23 starts
For some reason Baker is keeping the ball up in the zone, he is making bad pitches and he is struggling big time against the Home Run ball. He has allowed at least 1 Home Run in each of his last four starts and Baker has actually allowed 7 HR's in his last 4 starts. The problem? Well for one he has had to face a bunch of power hitting right handed bats in the Milwaukee, Tampa Bay and Cleveland lineups.
Baker has allowed 7 HR's in last 4 starts (however, those starts have been against teams with big bats from the right hand side and checkout those teams power hitting numbers compared to Oakland):
vs. Cleveland (1 HR allowed) = Cleveland is ranked #8 in MLB Home Runs
vs. Tampa Bay (2 HR's allowed) = Tampa Bay is ranked #4 in MLB Home Runs
vs. Milwaukee (2 HR's allowed) = Milwaukee is ranked #6 in MLB Home Runs
vs. Chicago White Sox (2 HR's allowed) = White Sox are ranked #15 in MLB Home Runs
Tonight vs. Oakland: Oakland is ranked #22 in MLB Home Runs
What you also have to understand is that Baker has struggled big time against right handed bats and the difference between his numbers against righties and lefties this season are staggering. I am not sure what the problem is but something tells me he is going to fix it tonight in this game. The reason I say is because the Home Run ball is all that has killed him. He has allowed more than 7 hits in a start only once all season in 10 starts which is pretty damn good but his numbers are crappy because of the HR's he has allowed. So check this out. Oakland is ranked #22 in MLB in Home Runs hit and I already told you Scott Baker prefers facing lefties.
Scott Baker vs. Righties (this season): 13 HR's allowed, .301 batting average against
Scott Baker vs. Lefties (this season): 2 HR's allowed, .224 batting average against
OAKLAND'S TOP HR HITTERS
Jack Cust (10 HR's) = Left Handed Hitter
Jason Giambi (8 HR's) = Left Handed Hitter
Matt Holliday (8 HR's) = Right Handed Hitter
Adam Kennedy (4 HR's) = Left Handed Hitter
Travis Buck (3 HR's) = Left Handed Hitter but on the DL
Ryan Sweeney (2 HR's) = Left Handed Hitter but on the DL
NO WAY IN HELL SCOTT BAKER ALLOWS HOME RUNS TONIGHT. Oakland is not a Home Run hitting team and the only reason Baker has been losing game is because of the HR's he has allowed this season. Also, he has dominated batters who bat on the left side and 5 of Oakland's Top 6 Home Run hitters are batting from the left side although two of them are out with injuries and on the DL. So I don't know how Oakland is going to get anything going tonight because they won't get power from their short list of power guys and Baker has been good apart from that against other hitters.
Scott Baker at McAfee Stadium (Career)
2 Starts, 2-0 Record, 11.0 IP's, 3.27 ERA, 1.18 WHIP, Oakland batting .262
Alright so we know Scott Baker is going to show up and have a good performance but what about Oakland's starter Brett Anderson? The rookie left handed pitcher is in for quite the surprise tonight when he faces a Minnesota lineup that is juiced to smack him around the ballpark. Despite his good start at home against Seattle the last time he started here, this is a completely different lineup he is going up against and I think Anderson is in big time trouble. First of all he has sucked at home this year:
Brett Anderson Home Starts
4 Starts, 1-3 Record, 4.94 ERA, 1.44 WHIP, Opponents batting .293
Not so good now is it. What's also interesting about Anderson is that he is getting a lot of value from the boys in Vegas tonight because of the way he pitched last Thursday in Chicago going 7.0 innings without allowing a single run but let me tell you right now that Chicago sucks against lefties and Chicago is one of the worst hitting teams in baseball the last few weeks so again the oddsmakers are putting way too much value in this guy and it's going to cost them if the public decides to fade to A's (which I don't see happening seeing how they are winning a lot lately).
2-1 (+$4025) yesterday with my plays is not bad and my Pinnacle account continues to grow and grow and grow. So the idea here is to continue the smaller amount wagers until I decided it's time to pound away on a 10k play again. Nevermind, it's that time again tonight. Money management has always been a problem for me but I am getting better and I am winning a lot more than I am losing. This is my $10 000 play at Pinnacle tonight. So I am betting on three games tonight in all likelyhood but only one of them is for a large amount and I will post that first:
Minnesota Twins ML -105
I am fully aware that the Oakland Athletics are one of the hottest teams in baseball right now but their success at home cannot continue forever and the Twins miseries on the road cannot go on the way they have gone. The cure for Minnesota? Some Scott Baker at McAfee Stadium in Oakland where he is perfect in his career and where he will find it a lot easier to get around get some wins than he has anywhere else this season. What the hell is wrong with Scott Baker anyways.Check these stats out.
Baker in 2009 = 15 Home Runs allowed in 10 starts
Baker in 2008 = 20 Home Runs allowed in 28 starts
Baker in 2007 = 15 Home Runs allowed in 23 starts
For some reason Baker is keeping the ball up in the zone, he is making bad pitches and he is struggling big time against the Home Run ball. He has allowed at least 1 Home Run in each of his last four starts and Baker has actually allowed 7 HR's in his last 4 starts. The problem? Well for one he has had to face a bunch of power hitting right handed bats in the Milwaukee, Tampa Bay and Cleveland lineups.
Baker has allowed 7 HR's in last 4 starts (however, those starts have been against teams with big bats from the right hand side and checkout those teams power hitting numbers compared to Oakland):
vs. Cleveland (1 HR allowed) = Cleveland is ranked #8 in MLB Home Runs
vs. Tampa Bay (2 HR's allowed) = Tampa Bay is ranked #4 in MLB Home Runs
vs. Milwaukee (2 HR's allowed) = Milwaukee is ranked #6 in MLB Home Runs
vs. Chicago White Sox (2 HR's allowed) = White Sox are ranked #15 in MLB Home Runs
Tonight vs. Oakland: Oakland is ranked #22 in MLB Home Runs
What you also have to understand is that Baker has struggled big time against right handed bats and the difference between his numbers against righties and lefties this season are staggering. I am not sure what the problem is but something tells me he is going to fix it tonight in this game. The reason I say is because the Home Run ball is all that has killed him. He has allowed more than 7 hits in a start only once all season in 10 starts which is pretty damn good but his numbers are crappy because of the HR's he has allowed. So check this out. Oakland is ranked #22 in MLB in Home Runs hit and I already told you Scott Baker prefers facing lefties.
Scott Baker vs. Righties (this season): 13 HR's allowed, .301 batting average against
Scott Baker vs. Lefties (this season): 2 HR's allowed, .224 batting average against
OAKLAND'S TOP HR HITTERS
Jack Cust (10 HR's) = Left Handed Hitter
Jason Giambi (8 HR's) = Left Handed Hitter
Matt Holliday (8 HR's) = Right Handed Hitter
Adam Kennedy (4 HR's) = Left Handed Hitter
Travis Buck (3 HR's) = Left Handed Hitter but on the DL
Ryan Sweeney (2 HR's) = Left Handed Hitter but on the DL
NO WAY IN HELL SCOTT BAKER ALLOWS HOME RUNS TONIGHT. Oakland is not a Home Run hitting team and the only reason Baker has been losing game is because of the HR's he has allowed this season. Also, he has dominated batters who bat on the left side and 5 of Oakland's Top 6 Home Run hitters are batting from the left side although two of them are out with injuries and on the DL. So I don't know how Oakland is going to get anything going tonight because they won't get power from their short list of power guys and Baker has been good apart from that against other hitters.
Scott Baker at McAfee Stadium (Career)
2 Starts, 2-0 Record, 11.0 IP's, 3.27 ERA, 1.18 WHIP, Oakland batting .262
Alright so we know Scott Baker is going to show up and have a good performance but what about Oakland's starter Brett Anderson? The rookie left handed pitcher is in for quite the surprise tonight when he faces a Minnesota lineup that is juiced to smack him around the ballpark. Despite his good start at home against Seattle the last time he started here, this is a completely different lineup he is going up against and I think Anderson is in big time trouble. First of all he has sucked at home this year:
Brett Anderson Home Starts
4 Starts, 1-3 Record, 4.94 ERA, 1.44 WHIP, Opponents batting .293
Not so good now is it. What's also interesting about Anderson is that he is getting a lot of value from the boys in Vegas tonight because of the way he pitched last Thursday in Chicago going 7.0 innings without allowing a single run but let me tell you right now that Chicago sucks against lefties and Chicago is one of the worst hitting teams in baseball the last few weeks so again the oddsmakers are putting way too much value in this guy and it's going to cost them if the public decides to fade to A's (which I don't see happening seeing how they are winning a lot lately).
***MINNESOTA IS BATTING .276 VERSUS LEFTIES THIS SEASON***
And what that means is that they are going to take this rookie to town tonight because some of the top hitters on this team have some big time numbers against Left Handed Pitchers and again that is just what the doctor ordered for this Twins team heading into this game.
Vs. Left Handed Pitchers (This Season)
Justin Morneau is batting .380
Denard Span is batting .352
Joe Mauer is batting .300
Mike Redmond is batting .300
Brendan Harris is batting .288
Joe Crede is batting .283
Michael Cuddyer is batting .273
Also what's important for you to understand is that although the Twins crush lefties and have had a lot of success against them this season, they are also going up against a pitcher in Anderson that struggles big time versus left handed batters and that is going to be a big problem for the A's tonight, I can tell you that right now. Don't believe me?
Brett Anderson vs. Right Handed Batters: 1.32 WHIP, Opponents batting .258
Brett Anderson vs. Left Handed Batters: 1.71 WHIP, Opponents batting .348
That is a big time difference and that goes to show how much Anderson's struggles in his rookie campaign have been largely based on the part of opponent's batting lineup that has left handed bats. Guess what? The Twins have some left handed bats and some pretty damn good ones and that means Anderson is yet again in big time trouble.
LEFT HANDED BATS FOR MINNESOTA
You get the point by now that Anderson cannot retire left handed batters and the top four batters on this Minnesota team all bat from the left side. My prediction is that Anderson has his worst start of his young career tonight and this is probably one of the best betting lines I have seen in many Major League baseball years.
You may not be convinced just yet about this but let's get serious for a second here and go over some of the fact I have posted and you will more than understand why Baker should have a good enough outing to win (because Oakland cannot use the power game to beat him) and you should by now see why Brett Anderson is going to get lit up big time tonight (because he sucks against left handed bats and sucks at home). More facts to know about tonight:
I know a lot of you don't play with huge cash but my recommendation is to get on this 10K Power Selection because I rarely miss these and this is the time to make some big time cash. Minnesota is due to win some games, Oakland is due for a letdown. If you like money a lot, this is YOUR PLAY OF THE MONTH and believe me when I say we will be celebrating once all is said and done. See you then. YOUR BOOKIE WILL HATE YOU CASH MONEY STYLES!
$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$
Vs. Left Handed Pitchers (This Season)
Justin Morneau is batting .380
Denard Span is batting .352
Joe Mauer is batting .300
Mike Redmond is batting .300
Brendan Harris is batting .288
Joe Crede is batting .283
Michael Cuddyer is batting .273
Also what's important for you to understand is that although the Twins crush lefties and have had a lot of success against them this season, they are also going up against a pitcher in Anderson that struggles big time versus left handed batters and that is going to be a big problem for the A's tonight, I can tell you that right now. Don't believe me?
Brett Anderson vs. Right Handed Batters: 1.32 WHIP, Opponents batting .258
Brett Anderson vs. Left Handed Batters: 1.71 WHIP, Opponents batting .348
That is a big time difference and that goes to show how much Anderson's struggles in his rookie campaign have been largely based on the part of opponent's batting lineup that has left handed bats. Guess what? The Twins have some left handed bats and some pretty damn good ones and that means Anderson is yet again in big time trouble.
LEFT HANDED BATS FOR MINNESOTA
- Joe Mauer who is batting .413 on the season with 12 HR's
- Justin Morneau who is batting .329 on the season with 15 HR's
- Jason Kubel who is batting .302 on the season with 7 HR's
- Denard Span who is batting .294 this season with 12 Stolen Bases
- Brian Buscher who has 13 BB's in only 74 AB's this season
You get the point by now that Anderson cannot retire left handed batters and the top four batters on this Minnesota team all bat from the left side. My prediction is that Anderson has his worst start of his young career tonight and this is probably one of the best betting lines I have seen in many Major League baseball years.
You may not be convinced just yet about this but let's get serious for a second here and go over some of the fact I have posted and you will more than understand why Baker should have a good enough outing to win (because Oakland cannot use the power game to beat him) and you should by now see why Brett Anderson is going to get lit up big time tonight (because he sucks against left handed bats and sucks at home). More facts to know about tonight:
- Minnesota has won 13 of their last 16 games as a favorite (assuming they remain that way)
- Minnesota has won four straight games when Baker is favored (assuming he remains that way)
- Minnesota is 4-1 in Baker's last five starts versus AL West Opponents
- Oakland has won only 3 of Anderson's 10 career starts.
I know a lot of you don't play with huge cash but my recommendation is to get on this 10K Power Selection because I rarely miss these and this is the time to make some big time cash. Minnesota is due to win some games, Oakland is due for a letdown. If you like money a lot, this is YOUR PLAY OF THE MONTH and believe me when I say we will be celebrating once all is said and done. See you then. YOUR BOOKIE WILL HATE YOU CASH MONEY STYLES!
$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$
