Misleading scores

[jasonc69]

Seems like this was a pretty helpful thing in the past. Teams get overvalued or undervalued based on the final score of their previous game. Any games this past weekend that may fall into this category?

 

[iamhuge]

Seems like this was a pretty helpful thing in the past. Teams get overvalued or undervalued based on the final score of their previous game. Any games this past weekend that may fall into this category?

Ball State vs UAB - 51 - 31.....Ball State was outgained by 504 to 377 yards. UAB lost 2 fumbles and gave up a kickoff return. Game should have been much closer or could have gone the other way.

Cal vs Weber State 33-20...Cal outgained by Weber State! 571 to 341..Weber State coughed up 3 fumbles....could have easily won if they had played a clean game. Cal not good at all.


Wake Forest vs BC 34-10....Offensive stats were equal but BC turned the ball over 4 times. Can't win that way. Wake Forest also had a pick 6. This game should have been a toss up.

Hope that helps.

 

[jasonc69]

Ball State vs UAB - 51 - 31.....Ball State was outgained by 504 to 377 yards. UAB lost 2 fumbles and gave up a kickoff return. Game should have been much closer or could have gone the other way.

Cal vs Weber State 33-20...Cal outgained by Weber State! 571 to 341..Weber State coughed up 3 fumbles....could have easily won if they had played a clean game. Cal not good at all.


Wake Forest vs BC 34-10....Offensive stats were equal but BC turned the ball over 4 times. Can't win that way. Wake Forest also had a pick 6. This game should have been a toss up.

Hope that helps.

Good stuff. Thanks

 

[jasonc69]

I'm a Gamecock fan and I'll say this. We have been outgained in both our games. We've had two kickoff returns for touchdowns! I don't think we're bad but not sure we're ready to be 6 point favorites over anyone.

 

[Saints2016]

Good info!

 

[mws]

I'm a Gamecock fan and I'll say this. We have been outgained in both our games. We've had two kickoff returns for touchdowns! I don't think we're bad but not sure we're ready to be 6 point favorites over anyone.

You return a KO for a TD, and you get one less possession. That accounts for *some* of the yardage difference. I don't know what to make of the Gamecocks yet. I didn't think Mizzou would be any good, but State is definitely a pretty good team, and a good win no matter how you do it.

 

[InsightMike]

I have found digging into box scores gives you a huge edge when capping games.

Good Stuff Jason

 

[bigwang]

I have found digging into box scores gives you a huge edge when capping games.

Good Stuff Jason

Exactly what I was going to type.

Thanks jason and everyone else for the knowledge.

 

[Serbone]

Good stuff!

HA, in handicapping, I have always had a category for teams I call "LUCKY", in other words, they covered but were solidly out played and it is unlikely they will look as good the next game, final score wise.