MILWALKEE/PORTLAND - WRITE UP + PICK!

Search
Joined
Sep 21, 2004
Messages
844
Tokens
Are the Trailblazers finally on Playoff-course? Well, I think they are. Portland haven't missed the Playoffs for the last 20 (or maybe even 21) years and they will do everything to keep that streak alive.

After winning three in row (twice against Minnesota and once against Sacramento), the red-hot Portland will visit the Bradley Center. They are currently 10th in the Western conference (33-33), 2 games behind 8th Denver and just 1/2 game behind 9th Utah. If we look at the names of the starting five (Stoudamire, Anderson, Miles, Randolph, Ratliff) and their sixth man Shareef Abdur-Rahim, we should really wonder how they aren't between the top five in the West? Well, as we all know, there has been a lot of roster changes during the season and they played awful on the road (started 0-10, since 12-11). Now, they are ready to make the final push towards the Playoffs.

The Bucks are looking pretty bad at the moment, winning just one of their last six games. In their last game against the Kinicks, they blew a 20+ third quarter lead and lost 100:103. That was their second consecutive home defeat (after losing to Denver). Still, their 24-10 home record looks very nice. They have injured their starting PG T.J. Ford, but I really don't think that his inury affected this team so much, because Damon Jones is deputizing him very well. The reason for this weaker results is simply the lack of real team-quality.


Comparing these two teams, I think that the Blazers are much, much stronger. Milwaukee is very weak in defence, while Portland is excellent in that area. The Buck will definitely lose the battle under the rim, because they don't have a match for Ratliff&Randolph. Milwaukee will also have high motivation for this game: they are currently 5th in Easter Conf. (34-32), 1 game behind the 4th Hornets and they will do everything to have home court advantage for the first round of the 2004 NBA Playoffs. And if they lose this one, that would be their 3rd consecutive home loss!

Because of all these reasons, my stakes are low/medium. But I strongly advice you to make this bet, because you will bet on quality+form. Small value-bet.
 

New member
Joined
Sep 21, 2004
Messages
1,765
Tokens
I was looking at this game too. My concern was when will Portland finally cool off?

While Milw. is in a home-court race, they sure have not played like it lately. I think a small bet like you mention is the way to go.
 

New member
Joined
Sep 21, 2004
Messages
680
Tokens
You could be right about playing just small on Portland, but I think they are a huge play. The Blazers need the win MUCH more. They may have to go 12-4 to catch Denver, since they would lose tie-breakers. Their late schedule is brutal with a dose of Lakers and Spurs. It might be no exaggeration to say they MUST win here. Bucks are sliding but probably will hang on to make playoffs. Current Blazers could be a .600-.650 West team, while current Bucks could be a .450 East team. PTL has lost 3 straight to MIL. "Veteran" coach Cheeks pays back rookie coach Porter. PTL has INDY on deck. Portland by 6.
 

New member
Joined
Sep 21, 2003
Messages
42,910
Tokens
it is gonna be hard mentally for the bucks to bounce back from that demoralizing loss against the Knicks, This coupled with the hot hand of the Blazers seems to make this good value...

Milwakee is 2-0 in the season series...making the revenge angle a factor perhaps...
 

Forum statistics

Threads
1,119,810
Messages
13,573,533
Members
100,877
Latest member
kiemt5385
The RX is the sports betting industry's leading information portal for bonuses, picks, and sportsbook reviews. Find the best deals offered by a sportsbook in your state and browse our free picks section.FacebookTwitterInstagramContact Usforum@therx.com