Might as well post my picks...

bigwillokc · Oct 29, 2008

Been following this forum a long time and have got into a lot of discussions regarding picks, but have never posted my own picks. I let my daughter pick between the helmets or mascots a while back and she went 12-5, but mama didn't like it, so I'm on my own now. Haven't done bad the last three weeks, so we'll see how it goes. I'm no professional, just read everything available as thoroughly as possible and try and make the best educated pick. I put my own money on every pick, so I don't pick a lot of games, but here's what I have so far:

YTD 0-0-0
Missouri -20
Tulsa -7

GoForIt · Oct 29, 2008

I agree with you. Make your own picks. That is part of the fun and challenge. Some people like to join the sheep brigade.

GoForIt · Oct 29, 2008

The two games you played I eliminated, but BOL to you
However, I did go against another undefeated road favorite in Utah so I have New Mexico.

bigwillokc · Oct 29, 2008

Thanks....will also be making a HUGE play on Oklahoma first half if it is less than 14. I am thinking it will come out at 12 or so and if it does, I'm playing it BIG.

Regarding your Utah play...I may be on the other side if it comes down 1/2 point or may even buy the hook down to 7. The way I see it, New Mexico's only chance on offense is their running game. Utah has a stout running defense and allows 80 something yards per game, even against Oregon State and Quizz. New Mexico's defense doesn't seem to be able to have a balanced game, either. When they hold opponents to less than 100 yards rushing, they give up over 200 yards passing. When they hold on passing, they give up major rushing yardage. BOL with your pick though as I have not played it yet and you have....

GoForIt · Oct 29, 2008

Utah

I agree with you that Utah has the matchup edge. I'm hoping emotion, situations, and series history can overcome that. Utah is an undefeated road favorite off a bye with a few other parameters which is usually not good for a team ATS wise. The Lobos are playing a Final Home Game with Revenge. The Lobos are a Conference Home Dog that is rested with revenge. The Lobos are 5-2 SU in this decade against Utah. Utah traveled to Albuquerque in 2006 as 6 point chalk and lost. New Mexico also beat a solid Arizona team at home earlier this year. New Mexico is also 4-5 SU for the year and this game is huge for their bowl hopes. Utah's argument is the matchup advantage. New Mexico runs and Utah stops the run. I'm hoping piles of emotion and situations can overcome that. But hey, that is why they call it gambling. Who knows what will happen.

bigwillokc · Oct 29, 2008

You're right....on paper it looks lopsided, but we all know how the straight statistical wagers go.....

New Mexico by no means will go silently.

Hopefully you got it at +7.5, I can hope it gets down to -7, buy the hook, and we can get a 35-28 score for TWO winners.