MIDWEST_MAN Week 11

MIDWEST_MAN · Nov 4, 2014

Don't post a lot on here, but I have had a lot of time as of late, so why not.

Utah State @ Wyoming OVER 44.5 2*

I only bet 1* 2* bets as I feel I really like it - or it is a high lean for me. I try to make things as simple as I can. If it isn't simple value, then I could care less about that game.

For some reason the books have this game extremely low....Utah State games over 44.5 = 5 out of 7.....Wyoming games over 44.5 = 6 out of 7. I will take my chances here with recent history on my side. Crossing fingers for good weather.

GL against the book!

thecruncher · Nov 4, 2014

I'm pretty sure it's the weather driving this down, but even still I do like Over this low #. USU 4th string QB had a great game @ Hawaii last week. He's a frosh from Texas, though, not sure if he has any cold weather game experience.

MIDWEST_MAN · Nov 4, 2014

Adding Iowa State - 3 @ Kansas (1*)

This is more of a gut feeling as I think Iowa State is coming off a frustrating loss to Kansas and they have a good week of practice for a game that they have circled to get their 3rd win of the season. Iowa State has a horrible defense, but I am of the belief that Iowa State will score as much as they have to - to win - regardless of how much their D gives up. This game is circled for a win and they know this could be their last winnable game.

thecruncher · Nov 4, 2014

ISU is my gut feeling, too. Any team that matched scores with Texas for a full game up to the 40's should be able to outscore, Kansas, right? It certainly seems so, lol.

nd2000 · Nov 4, 2014

I think it's this cheap due to the ass whipping Iowa state received last week.

MIDWEST_MAN · Nov 4, 2014

That is also another reason nd2000. I believe you better get it at 3 because it might go the other way - never know - I feel like this year has been a little different though as some numbers have fallen further than I thought they would - without the small turn around.