Microsoft Cortana predicts NFL games. 69-37 YTD 2014 (Interesting read)

3peet · Oct 22, 2014

Have you guys seen this? Vegas might have a problem on it's hands.
http://finance.yahoo.com/news/microsoft-engine-nailed-world-cup-131036209.html

Here are Cortana's picks for Week 8 as of Wednesday morning. We'll update them throughout the week if they change (Vegas favorites in parentheses):

San Diego Chargers vs. Denver Broncos — Broncos win, 71.6% chance (Broncos -7.5)
Detroit Lions vs. Atlanta Falcons — Lions win, 62.9% chance (Lions -3.5)
St. Louis Rams vs. Kansas City Chiefs — Chiefs win, 71.6% chance (Chiefs -6.5)
Houston Texans vs. Tennessee Titans — Texans win, 56.6% chance (Texans -1)
Minnesota Vikings vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers — Buccaneers win, 51.5% chance (Buccaneers -3)
Seattle Seahawks vs. Carolina Panthers — Seahawks win, 61.4% chance (Seahawks -4.5)
Baltimore Ravens vs. Cincinnati Bengals — Bengals win, 56.6% chance (Bengals -1)
Miami Dolphins vs. Jacksonville Jaguars — Dolphins win, 62.9% chance (Dolphins -5.5)
Chicago Bears vs. New England Patriots — Patriots win, 76.7% chance (Patriots -6)
Buffalo Bills vs. New York Jets — Bills win, 56.6% chance (Jets -3)
Philadelphia Eagles vs. Arizona Cardinals — Cardinals win, 53.3% chance (Cardinals -2.5)
Oakland Raiders vs. Cleveland Browns — Browns win, 65.9% chance (Browns -7)
Indianapolis Colts vs. Pittsburgh Steelers — Colts win, 56.6% chance (Colts -3)
Green Bay Packers vs. New Orleans Saints — Saints win, 58.2% chance (Saints -1.5)
Washington Redskins vs. Dallas Cowboys — Cowboys win, 81% chance (Cowboys -9.5)

Right now Vegas and Cortana disagree on one game, Jets-Bills. But there are so many close games this week that that may change by Sunday.
Here are Cortana's results so far this year:

Week 1 — 10-6
Week 2 — 9-7
Week 3 – 10-6
Week 4 — 5-8
Week 5 — 13-2
Week 6 — 11-4
Week 7 — 11-4
Total — 69-37

Murphy8276 · Oct 22, 2014

its ml betting not ATS but sure in -1 to -3 games it might have some value to know their side they feel has better chance maybe.

-murph

HarryCaray · Oct 22, 2014

Yeah I'm guessing I could pick 65% straight up winners too.

terps1313 · Oct 22, 2014

Haha fail

Defying · Oct 23, 2014

65% seems low for every NFL game SU

MotorMouth · Oct 23, 2014

I think you all think this is easier than it looks.

There are 150 regular season NFL games to go this year,
A person who could hit 66 percent straight up or 2 out of every 3, would pick a min of 100 games correctly.
Im willing to bet Harry or Defying a friendly $20 up to $50 against them doing it.
Would be fun to keep track.

The Guesser · Oct 23, 2014

My GF, who knows nothing about Football, picked every game straight up, before the season through week 17. I set up a yahoo league for her to do it. So far she has picked 65 games out of 106 correctly. She is 35 for 45 the last 3 weeks, same as this sophisticated analyst. She swears she picked based on if she likes the City, or has a friend in the City, vs a City she doesn't like, or stuff like that.

gremlin · Oct 23, 2014

Picking 65% straight up winners is not impressive. I'm not going to waste the time to look at the numbers so far this season but just picking the favorite in every game line at 3.5 or higher and the home teams in under 1.5, flipping a coin on the FG spreads would probably net 65% SU winners.

MotorMouth · Oct 23, 2014

The Guesser said:
My GF, who knows nothing about Football, picked every game straight up, before the season through week 17. I set up a yahoo league for her to do it. So far she has picked 65 games out of 106 correctly. She is 35 for 45 the last 3 weeks, same as this sophisticated analyst. She swears she picked based on if she likes the City, or has a friend in the City, vs a City she doesn't like, or stuff like that.

Lemme guess, she loves Rocky movies and riding horses,enjoys a big D, and finds red birds beautiful.
She is afraid of big cats, anyone who wears an eye patch, and hates to fly