MIAMI /APP ST..Is this line too low?

[METFAN]

I thought Miami would be around 6--7.


Any thoughts?

 

[PENNYWISE]

I think they should be...

I see Miami handling this game very well and in the late 3rd taking advantage... I have it at 9

 

[Cantpickem]

That was my first thought then I thought that maybe the books want you to take Miami. Looking deeper, Miami has played the Florida A&M Rattlers and won 70-3 and Florida Atlantic Owls and won 38-10 while App St lost to Tenn in OT 20-13 and beat Old Dom 31-7. App St should give Miami a better game and they will be playing at home.

 

[MoMoneyNoProblem]

This is a strong lean for me as well right now. Just looking for the "trap". From what I've heard, App St is a tough place to come to.

 

[METFAN]

interesting..obviously it's in the mountains of Ncarolina but that's not like Colorado or Utah..App st has an excellent defense but I see Miami's speed and power wearing them down

I agree with Pennywise which as we know is usually a very good thing..Thank you for your input guys

 

[KDawgg]

Eagerly reading the commentary about this one. Had the same feeling that it is too low a number but this is out of my sweet spot. We know App St is good and I've seen a few of their players on nfl draft lists, but this seems like a "I told you so!!!" public underdog for the lack of a better description.

 

[Leatherballs]

The way I see it is that we have 2 head scratchers in the eyes of the public. Miami @ App. St. and Ohio St. @ Oklahoma. Both are being heavily bet. Which team prevails is the question? I have capped both games and the more I look at this Miami game, the more I like it and see many just jumping on App St. assuming they can pull off the upset in a stadium that seats 24,000. Miami will not be phased by the atmosphere. Miami has the better athletes and they know they are going to get a team that is going to be playing all out. I think Miami is the play here as Richt has lit a new fire in the team and trying to change the culture in Miami. He should have them ready to play.

 

[mikeru3]

On Miami Largo.

Only play lay for me this week.

No need to wager on many plays when one good one will do.

dbanana0-9

 

[Ayubm1983]

On Miami as well, lines at -4 on bovada and it's just too good to be true.

 

[Greenbacks]

Miami only -3.5 to App St..lol.....72 % of the public on the Canes

I love fading the public especially when the line smells like shit.

App St. +3.5

Good luck!

 

[PENNYWISE]

I think we'll have this game mirror last nights game with Houston and Cincy .. That line looked odd too. Houston possessed far more speed at every position....though line was only 7 ....on the road. Houston wins by 30ish. When u cap each game they stack up almost identical. BOL EVERYONE

 

[bank--it]

I think we'll have this game mirror last nights game with Houston and Cincy .. That line looked odd too. Houston possessed far more speed at every position....though line was only 7 ....on the road. Houston wins by 30ish. When u cap each game they stack up almost identical. BOL EVERYONE

Agreed and Miami's size will wear App st down in the second half

 

[PENNYWISE]

App St is so one dimensional. IT will take some fluke plays to stay in this one. Just my opinion

 

[Biz]

The line is correct. Power rating difference is Miami -4. Line opened correctly.

There's a difference between a proper line and whether or not you think a team can cover it. If you think Miami wins by 10, that doesn't make it a bad line. It just means you prefer one side.

Same thing with Houston last night. The line was correct, it wasn't fishy at all. PR diff was 6, so at 6 or 7 the opening line was correct.

 

[METFAN]

THANKS BIZ..I guess I just don't believe the power ratings then..app st defense is for real, I just think they fade like they did in the 2nd half against the Vols