appears that today is a watch and see variable game on LAA.
the difference is that we don't play this variable game at all. we wait it out. if it wins, then we just go back to Bet A and take our loss from teh previous bet A, not chasing. If it loses, then we continue the chase, but we have saved considerable money, especially late in the chase by skipping 1 game. That series that got to Bet F would have been risking over $3k on the final game if we had played that variable game and chased all the way to game G.
the difference is that we don't play this variable game at all. we wait it out. if it wins, then we just go back to Bet A and take our loss from teh previous bet A, not chasing. If it loses, then we continue the chase, but we have saved considerable money, especially late in the chase by skipping 1 game. That series that got to Bet F would have been risking over $3k on the final game if we had played that variable game and chased all the way to game G.
he is currently $2500 better off by playing it how he does. if he didn't skip game 2, he would have lost game F and not been able to play one game deeper (for a given bankroll and expectation). He would have taken a series loss on that last series.
you can play it without skipping those variable games. you will just be betting twice as much as he is when it loses. and winning some variable games he skips.
you can play it without skipping those variable games. you will just be betting twice as much as he is when it loses. and winning some variable games he skips.
2012 Season Record: 4-0 $400
Bet A: 2-3
Variable Game: 0-2
Bet B: 0-2
Bet C: 1-1
Bet D: 0-1
Bet E: 0-1
Bet F: 1-0
Variable Game: Los Angeles Angels -1.5 (no bet just watching and hoping for a loss to start the chase)
Guys, to answer your questions, take a look at last years thread, see how many variable games lost. This is a key component to this model. The variable game (2nd game) loses quite frequently and therefore you save a considerable amount of money. Like I mentioned with Bet F a few days ago, this was the first time it has reached Bet F in 2 years.
Bet A: 2-3
Variable Game: 0-2
Bet B: 0-2
Bet C: 1-1
Bet D: 0-1
Bet E: 0-1
Bet F: 1-0
Variable Game: Los Angeles Angels -1.5 (no bet just watching and hoping for a loss to start the chase)
Guys, to answer your questions, take a look at last years thread, see how many variable games lost. This is a key component to this model. The variable game (2nd game) loses quite frequently and therefore you save a considerable amount of money. Like I mentioned with Bet F a few days ago, this was the first time it has reached Bet F in 2 years.
I just went back and looked at the numbers from years of data from all of the other chase methods out there and observed that by eliminating the 2nd game of the typical run line chase methods, you RISK much less and suffer less series losses by watching Game 2 than you would playing it. The game that won in BET F a few days back would have been a $2500 series loss on most chase methods, putting you in the hole over $2k in just the first month. This was the first time it has reached Bet F the last 2 years in this system. If you are an action junkie, you can play it however you want, what you see here carries less risk and is more profitable over the full course of the year.
Just something I put together and has been very successful if you have the bankroll to support a few Bet E or F wagers.
Follow or ignore, just sharing something I thought would be useful.
2012 Season Record: 7-0 $700
Bet A: 3-5
Variable Game: 0-4
Bet B: 2-2
Bet C: 1-1
Bet D: 0-1
Bet E: 0-1
Bet F: 1-0
Variable Game today: Looks like it will either be Phillies or Angels. Wont be around to post, non betting game so take a look at highest moneyline prior to Phillies game, and thats who we dont want to cover the -1.5 runs
Bet A: 3-5
Variable Game: 0-4
Bet B: 2-2
Bet C: 1-1
Bet D: 0-1
Bet E: 0-1
Bet F: 1-0
Variable Game today: Looks like it will either be Phillies or Angels. Wont be around to post, non betting game so take a look at highest moneyline prior to Phillies game, and thats who we dont want to cover the -1.5 runs
