METFANS 2017 THREAD TEAM TOTALS AND PICKS..Don't kill the umpire

[METFAN]

sick of managers over managing, bringing in mediocre pitchers who blow 3 run leads and turn 2-1 unders into 5-4 overs and sore armed pitchers giving up 4-5 runs then going on the DL? How about guys popping up check swinging on 3-0 bases loaded 2 out counts? Then you are probably watching the same games as me..Over the yrs the one thing that has been more constant is the umpires ..There is a group of about 20-25 that are fairly consistent overs/unders..favs/or homers

I have decided this yr to try to find those and try to win $200-$300 per umpire..For you RXERS who failed remedial math ( by your record keeping that is about 70%)

IF successful that should net me between $4000-$7500..if anyone knows a good home plate umpire rotation site, that would be appreciated. Particularly for the first game of the series..the rest is easy to find

TOP TEAM TOTALS..All lines at 5 dimes

BALT OVER 80.5 -105 /SHOWWALTER always seems to find a way and if Jones and Machado stay healthy, they could easily top 85

CUBS OVER 96.5 +110..rest of division weaker..Davis makes them stronger

CINCY UNDER 69.5-105 Scott Feldman is a key starter, no Phillips , no Bruce, no hope..even in weak division hard to see them getting 65

KC OVER 76.5 -110
MINNY UNDER 74.5 +100 Are the royals so bad that they have sunk to the level of the twins? if they stay healthy they can compete for the division
Minny under? I like betting on bad teams to do badly..seems to work in all sports

ST LOUIS OVER 83.5 -140 It seems they always find a way..rest of the division is Cubs and not much more

SAN DIEGO UNDER 66.5 -140..They will battle the reds for worst in baseball..a sure 100 loss team esp if Rockies improve as expected

GOOD LUCK THIS YR

 

[Dialer]

Plan on going on the Royals and following your umpire plays. My only worry with KC is that they trade their for minor leaguers if they aren't in the race. I think it's a great bet if they don't and worth the risk.

 

[METFAN]

My thinking is I don't expect much from White Sox or minny and even without Davis bullpen figures to e in the top 1/2 of the league

GOOD LUCK TO US..I will probably play Yanks in Tanaka's starts

 

[LENBO]

Hey METFAN-

Good luck on your team totals this year.
My only total played is the Reds under 69.5 (-125)
As you mentioned about their bad SP , Desclafani is already shut down for a month.
The offense is Votto and not much else.
The bullpen should be shot by the All Star break.


Other props/futures I like.

Donaldson over 30.5 HR (-125)
The one thing that seemed odd to me on these HR total numbers were that a lot looked low compared to last year's performance.
Lots of players over achieved in that dept. last year and I trust the steady Donaldson to come close to last year's number.

I was fortunate to have a friend place this at a William Hill book in Vegas (SLS)

Astros to win AL West (EVEN)
I would still play to (-130).
My only worry here is the Rangers have their number but this lineup is just going to outscore just about everyone.
Mariners are getting some love but Smyly already injured (out 4-6 weeks) and King Felix best days might be behind him.

Played at Westgate. Not sure if you can find online.

McCutcheon over 151 hits.
You're asking a career .292 hitter coming off a career worst year and playing with a chip on his shoulder to hit about .260
I believe he was playing hurt last year.
Moving to RF might help him relax more at the plate also.


Good luck !

 

[LENBO]

McCutcheon is 151.5 , not 151.
Couldn't edit in time.

 

[indiana]

M/fan..........BOL with all your action this season..........indy

 

[METFAN]

THANKS LENBO..I liked Astros last yr and they screwed me..they should score a lot but their pitching scares me..plus a lot of tout love ..

I took a few hrs over/unders and some pitching over/unders..problem is you need to worry about injuries on the overs..will post shortly

 

[METFAN]

ALL TEAM TOTALS TO WIN $200 CUBS $220

BUMPING UP MINNY TO $400..They won 59 games last yr how are they going to win the extra 15 needed to beat you?

adding:

OAKLAND UNDER 73.5

 

[METFAN]

OAKLAND UNDER 73.5 -105 Won 69 last yr and division improved /sonny gray will be hard pressed to win more than 13 games

TEXAS OVER 85.5 .They won the division last yr with 95-96 wins. if Darvish and Hamels stay healthy all yr they should be right there again

$100:
MOST HRS BY ANYONE OVER 45.5 -120

$50:
MOST HRS BY ONE PLAYER: NOLAN ARENDO 14/1 $50 to win $700

$100:

WINS:
ARCHER UNDER 14-130
PORCELLO OVER 14 -110
SYNDERGAARD OVER 13.5 -110 Homer pick

HOME RUNS
OVER:

HARPER 33.5 -115
ARENDO 36-115
CRUZ 34.5 He's been good to me over the yrs
CEPEDES OVER 30.5 -110

UNDER:
SPRINGER 29.5 -160 New additions figures that he gets less at bats
GOLDSCHMIDT 32.5 Not even close to that last yr
JUSTIN UPTON 29.5 -115

Good Luck to us this yr


NOLAN ARENDO

 

[METFAN]

First play..following tanaka

$100 yanks -103

 

[METFAN]

correction: ARENADO is onl;y 10/1 so $50 to win $500

ADDING $100 ea:

CANO OVER 26.5 HRS -125

UNDER 8.5 PED SUSPENSIONS -135 @ 5 DIMES..

Going to hit some golf balls..good luck today

 

[METFAN]

DAY 1 AND ALREADY 2/3 GAMES HAD BULLPEN MALFUNCTIONS..Of course not the one I bet

0-1 -103

today :

$100 ea:

KC -105 Cant believe Santana is the twins opening day starter.Don't think he ever beat KC

TEXAS +105 ..Darvish one of the better April pitchers.. kluber one of the worse

DETROIT -120 huge talent differential

GOOD LUCK

 

[METFAN]

2 DAYS AND I AM ALREADY LOOKING AT 5 INNING PLAYS..TEXAS PEN BLOWS THE LEAD..why is it always my team the blows the lead? When will the other team

Yest 0-2 -$205

ytd 0-3 -$308

FINALLY SOME UMPIRE PLAYS

REG PLAYS:
DETROIT -129 game carried over from yesterday
TBAY +100 5 INNINGS
TBAY/NYY O 4 5 INNINGS
LAA -115 5 INN

UMPIRE PLAYS:ALL 5 INNINGS UNLESS NOTED
MILW -115 WENDLESTADT
SF -.5 -110 TIMMONS'
TEX/CLEV O 4.5 -120 WEGNER
LAD -1.5 -105 GAME MARQUEZ

ML PARLAY $50 TO WIN $168

DET -129
SFRAN -150
LAD -210

Good Luck

 

[XSPower]

Good luck tonight.....

 

[METFAN]

THANKS XS

adding $100

CUBS/STL O 3.5 FIRST 5 ONLY

 

[METFAN]

One of the best teams in baseball gets shutout by the worst costing me $423 swing..oh well that's baseball, any given day anything can happen

reg plays 2-7 -$468
ump plays 2-2 -$20

total 4-9 -$488

 

[METFAN]

umpire plays 4/5

$100 ea

KC -116 RANDAZZO

CUBS -127
CUBS/STL O 7.5 -115 WOLCOTT

NYY -125 BELLINO

CINCY -107 CUZZI

 

[XSPower]

Thanks and good luck today....

 

[METFAN]

DEFINITELY NOT THE START I WANTED..

Yest 1-2 -$141

ump plays 3-4 -$161
reg plays 2-7 -$468

total
5-11 -$629

early observations

1) I still can not get a yankee game correct
2) after watching hockey all winter, my wife has tried to watch 2 yankee games and both times feel asleep by the 4th inning..
3) both Met starters pitched 6 inning shutout ball and got no decisions ..same old shit
4} maybe Minnesota is better than KC..SHIT

TODAYS PLAYS ALL UMPIRE PLAYS

CINCY/PHILS UNDER 8.5-105 CARAPAZZA
PITT/BOSTON UNDER 8.5 -103 GUCCIONE
MILW-112
COLO/MILW U 9 -110 PORTER
CUBS -23
CUBS/CARDS OVER 7.5 -115 WOLCOTT
WSOX +108 IASSOGNA
SEATTLE +146
HOUST/SATTLE U 8 -105 BLASNER

 

[METFAN]

3pm game

wash rl -1.5 -107

back shortly