Ah.... that's the kind of rational thinking that has me wanting to bet more on Mayweather. Peppermill still has him at -475.
I don't think some of you people understand how low variance of a sport boxing is. It is highly technical and there are huge gaps in skill. This isn't a bar fight with 1 of your friends and if he lands flush then he can take out the biggest, baddest dude.
Lomachenko was -4000 a few weeks ago, Terrence Crawford was -1500 last week. Gervonta Davis is -2800 tonight. And these guys aren't fighting complete cans. They're fighting ranked guys in their weight classes.
I don't really want to keep harping about it because anything can happen, but I'd be shocked if this wasn't the free-est $ bet we will ever see. Sure there is some chance of nefarious play, but at -500 I think that is more than worth the gamble. And Floyd inside distance at -160 should hit too if you don't feel like laying a huge #. Although that isn't as much of a certainty obviously.
Lomachenko was -4000 a few weeks ago, Terrence Crawford was -1500 last week. Gervonta Davis is -2800 tonight. And these guys aren't fighting complete cans. They're fighting ranked guys in their weight classes.
I don't really want to keep harping about it because anything can happen, but I'd be shocked if this wasn't the free-est $ bet we will ever see. Sure there is some chance of nefarious play, but at -500 I think that is more than worth the gamble. And Floyd inside distance at -160 should hit too if you don't feel like laying a huge #. Although that isn't as much of a certainty obviously.
I'm with you 100% on this, same way I see it. I feel like this is the best bet i've ever made in my life.
In boxing guys are routinely 20-0, 30-0. It is a normal occurence for top ranked fighters.
So this idea that anyone has a punchers chance is a bit of a myth. For the most part, there aren't very many "fluke knockouts" compared to the amount of fights there are. It just doesn't happen much. Especially at the lower weight classes.
So unless you think the skill gap isn't that big (it is) or that it is going to be rigged, McGregor having a 15-20% chance to win really isn't reasonable.
So this idea that anyone has a punchers chance is a bit of a myth. For the most part, there aren't very many "fluke knockouts" compared to the amount of fights there are. It just doesn't happen much. Especially at the lower weight classes.
So unless you think the skill gap isn't that big (it is) or that it is going to be rigged, McGregor having a 15-20% chance to win really isn't reasonable.
This normally would be true if this was a legitimate event but there is too much money at stake if you can get a rematch and a rematch leads to a rubber match. It's goes McGregor win, Mayweather win close decison, Mayweather decisive. Or Floyd could just decide to destroy McGregor in the second match and it ends there. Too many people are treating this like an actual fight. If Floyd annihilates McGregor tonight and you bet on him, congratulations. You just can't fathom how much money a second fight would bring. Some people will say legacy as the Money Belt means something. Give me a break. Mayweather is 40 and has been out of boxing for two years. Boxing's history has been one of the most corrupt sports to ever exist. This just looks too easy.
If you think it is rigged then there really isn't much I can say to get you to believe otherwise. We'll know soon enough. I don't think there is 0 chance it is rigged, but I think most likely Floyd wouldn't give up his 0 to a MMA fighter for an extra payday (he could just go into the octagon and get his ass kicked if he wants the $ that bad, and keep his boxing legacy intact) If he lost to McGregor, his entire career would almost be invalidated in one night.
But regardless of all that, what I am saying is if it isn't rigged then Floyd is 99% to win IMO. So it is well worth the gamble that the fight is on the up and up because the line is so low.
If Floyd was -2500 instead of -500 then I probably wouldn't bother betting on it.
But regardless of all that, what I am saying is if it isn't rigged then Floyd is 99% to win IMO. So it is well worth the gamble that the fight is on the up and up because the line is so low.
If Floyd was -2500 instead of -500 then I probably wouldn't bother betting on it.
The man has a plan. 50-0. No one would want to see a rematch. Floyd is done after this for sure. He is set to clear $375 Million+ after all said and done from this event. No rematch after Floyd starts picking him apart after the 4th round. Mcgregor is going to get tired after 4. That is why he keeps saying...."It will end within 4" because he knows deep down he wont be able to hang for that long with the skill of Floyd Mayweather.
Watch the Maidana fight. They fought twice. Because why? Because people wanted to see Floyd pressured the ENTIRE fight. He caught Floyd at the end of that 3rd but didn't drop. Mayweather is saying it wont go the distance because he knows Mcgregor will be breathing through his mouth after 4 rounds and it will be a cake walk after that. He just needs to survive the first 4 and it's a wrap IMO. They both know this. That's why this is a money grab. Because Mcgregor has gone over 25 minutes twice in his career and did not look like he was going to make it in the rematch vs Diaz. To his credit that was pure determination and revenge. But, he is way out classed here.
A lot of showboating. Probably tells floyd to hit him like he did those women. Probably tells him he hits like a bitch. And then Mcgregor will ware himself out doing dumb shit like that.
If Mcgregor doesn't do any ANTICS and honestly tries to fuck every ones head up by trying to box with floyd and not rushing him. If he does that... Maybe he has a chance with the judges. But, from what Mcgregor has promised, he will try to knock him out within 4.
At least with Tyson, you knew what you were getting. Most of the time a complete destruction of a human being live on PPV. But this is just false hope they are trying to sell you. Mcgregor will make it entertaining because that's what he does. Getting in karate stances and throwing different looks. But the old wise one will prevail. Too many different shots. People want to talk about unorthodox and throwing awkward shots from different angles. Floyd does that shit way way better than Mcgregor.
I believe that 50-0 means a lot to Mayweather.....That's a perfect retiring record.
I'll give it 8 rounds.....8 rounds is worth the $99.00 for me.
I'll give it 8 rounds.....8 rounds is worth the $99.00 for me.
Nick Diaz stood toe to toe in a boxing match with Connor - and squeaked out one win - not only that Diaz was hit millions of times and wasn't knocked out - and people think McGregor has a shot with a guy that is untouchable against the most elite boxers? - De La Hoya was dead serious when he said that he doesn't expect McGregor to land one punch tonight
I'll give the original 11 to 1.
Heart and stamina are two different things,though. I see Connor gassing,but who knows,neither might not do shit enough to cause it anyways. We shall see.No way I pay to see this clown show,though.
