11-27-1 ATS before this bowl season....
conference = MAC and game type = BG and ...
| games | ATS W - L- P (marg, %win) | Avg Line | OU W - L- P (marg, %over) | Avg Total | SU W - L- P (marg, %win) | SDQL |
|---|
| 5 | 3-2-0 (-1.70, 60.0%) | 2.3 | 5-0-0 (17.40, 100.0%) | 63.0 | 2-3-0 (-4.00, 40.0%) | season = 2014 |
| 5 | 0-5-0 (-10.50, 0.0%) | 0.5 | 2-3-0 (-3.90, 40.0%) | 56.9 | 0-5-0 (-11.00, 0.0%) | season = 2013 |
| 7 | 2-5-0 (1.21, 28.6%) | 7.9 | 1-6-0 (-9.29, 14.3%) | 57.1 | 2-5-0 (-6.71, 28.6%) | season = 2012 |
| 5 | 3-2-0 (6.40, 60.0%) | -1.0 | 3-2-0 (0.70, 60.0%) | 61.1 | 4-1-0 (7.40, 80.0%) | season = 2011 |
| 4 | 2-2-0 (2.25, 50.0%) | 0.2 | 3-1-0 (6.62, 75.0%) | 55.4 | 2-2-0 (2.00, 50.0%) | season = 2010 |
| 5 | 0-4-1 (-6.00, 0.0%) | 1.0 | 3-2-0 (3.30, 60.0%) | 54.5 | 1-4-0 (-7.00, 20.0%) | season = 2009 |
| 5 | 0-5-0 (-15.70, 0.0%) | 1.1 | 1-4-0 (-14.60, 20.0%) | 62.6 | 0-5-0 (-16.80, 0.0%) | season = 2008 |
| 3 | 1-2-0 (-18.83, 33.3%) | 8.2 | 2-1-0 (13.67, 66.7%) | 70.0 | 0-3-0 (-27.00, 0.0%) | season = 2007 |
as far as reasoning my guess is that there has been an influx of transfers to the MAC from big power-5 programs in the past 3 years. I know Pitt and Michigan have supplied several MAC schools with kids that they would never have been able to recruit out of high school but transferred due to coaching changes. Then you have kids like Phillip Ely who was stuck deep on Bama's QB depth chart so took a transfer to Toledo. These 4-5 star kids are absolute game-changers in the MAC where they might never see the field at the school that originally signed them
There were some decent QBs in the MAC this year and up and coming coaches as well. Remember they had a good run to start the season against the B1G conference who usually beats them down. Like an idiot, I decided to play on SBC teams to start the Bowl season, need to avoid that garbage although I think Georgia Southern can cover, lol. Looks like cat may be out of the bag though as the Bet % on that Boise/No. Ill game all the way down to about 50/50 now.
