Math Question

[Stocks]

Everything is equal like strength of schedule and anything else.

Example 1

If Team A wins 70% of they're games and Team B wins 50% of they're games how often should Team A beat Team B

Example 2

If Team A wins 70% of they're games and Team B wins 35% of they're how often should Team A beat Team B

 

[HarryCaray]

70% and 85%?????

I have no clue, would be interested to hear the answer on this one.

 

[Stocks]

70% and 85%?????

I have no clue, would be interested to hear the answer on this one.

Thats the answer I came up with aswell, I want to hear what some of the smart math people think

 

[HarryCaray]

Thats the answer I came up with aswell, I want to hear what some of the smart math people think

LOL, well I have a degree in statistics, but I'm not sure how to answer your question... hno:

 

[bigtendominator]

Your English appears to be just as bad.

 

[trytrytry]

a most complex problem to be honest..i think there is an infinite nubmer of right answers with the simple data you provide..

 

[Stocks]

a most complex problem to be honest..i think there is an infinite nubmer of right answers with the simple data you provide..

How do you mean would'nt there only be one answer

 

[onemwtheone]

Against the 50% team B, I would think Team A should win at 70% (since team B represents the average team they'd face).

Against a 35% B team, the average team should win twice as often (or lose half as much). So I guess team A should win about 85% of the time since their losing percentage should fall from 30% to 15%.

Math is hard.

 

[goodcall]

example 1

if team a wins 70% of they're games and team b wins 50% of they're games how often should team a beat team b

(.7-.7*.5)/(.7+.5-2*.7*.5)= 70.0%

example 2

if team a wins 70% of they're games and team b wins 35% of they're how often should team a beat team b

(.7-.7*.35)/(.7+.35-2*.7*.35)= 81.25%

 

[HarryCaray]

(.7-.7*.35)/(.7+.35-2*.7*.35)= 81.25%

Explain how/why please. Just curious; been a WHILE since basic probability.

 

[goodcall]

bill james came up with the formula in his 1981 book...here's a short write-up:

http://diamond-mind.com/articles/playoff2002.htm