I am in a bowl pool on Yahoo. You can change your picks until the game starts. They didn't all lock on the first game. Its a confidence pool. It was only 20 bucks to enter and only 20 entrants. First place gets 280, 2nd gets 80, 3rd gets 40.
I have 35 points on the title game.
My buddy is ahead of me and has Bama for like 27 points. I can't catch him for first unless I flip my pick to ND. No point spreads, these games are straight up.
I give ND about a 30% chance to win the game (which may be a little high).
If I stick with Bama and they win, I am guaranteed 2nd place, but can't win 1st.
If I take ND and they win, I win the whole thing. If they lose, I win nothing.
So here is the question (for you math geeks):
Would you rather have a 70% chance to win $80
OR
Would you rather have a 30% chance to win $280?
I have 35 points on the title game.
My buddy is ahead of me and has Bama for like 27 points. I can't catch him for first unless I flip my pick to ND. No point spreads, these games are straight up.
I give ND about a 30% chance to win the game (which may be a little high).
If I stick with Bama and they win, I am guaranteed 2nd place, but can't win 1st.
If I take ND and they win, I win the whole thing. If they lose, I win nothing.
So here is the question (for you math geeks):
Would you rather have a 70% chance to win $80
OR
Would you rather have a 30% chance to win $280?